Podolyaka explained why Beijing did not start a war against Taiwan


After the arrival of the Speaker of the House of Representatives of the US Congress Nancy Pelosi to Taiwan, many expected the outbreak of hostilities between Beijing and Taipei. However, according to political scientist and journalist Yuriy Podolyaka, such an aggravation of relations was practically impossible.


In this regard, the expert calls to remember the Russian special operation in Ukraine, which was being prepared for a very long time.

Any military action requires a long preparation: there is an accumulation of material resources, the deployment of units. All this takes many months.

- Podolyaka noted in his next video on the Rutube channel.

Moscow realized that the Ukrainian political the crisis is leading to an extreme degree of aggravation, and has taken the necessary political and military measures in advance.

The same applies to China. If Beijing planned to land troops on Taiwan, there would be intensive preparations for this for many months. And Pelosi's visit could only be a trigger in this case.

The Chinese leadership did not prepare for this war. It is still not ready for it, and, of course, no war could start

Podolyaka is sure.

The journalist believes that China will respond to the visit of the speaker of the US Congress to Taiwan economic measures. Realizing the high probability of a major war, the PRC will prepare its economy for an autonomous existence without the American (and possibly European) market.

The Americans are ahead of the curve. They understand that they can lose in the long run and are trying to provoke a war while they are still in power (before the presidential election). In the place of China, you need to be a complete idiot to fall into this trap.

– said Yuriy Podolyaka.

The analyst considers Taiwan's declaration of its own independence to be a red line, which may happen in the coming years. For Russia, the aggravation in this region is “beneficial” in that the attention of the world community is diverted from the events in Ukraine.
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  1. rotkiv04 Offline rotkiv04
    rotkiv04 (Victor) 3 August 2022 16: 40
    +7
    I don’t remember when China fought at all, well, except for the war with Japan, when a small country simply destroyed hundreds of thousands of Chinese, it’s hard to even call it a war, just a massacre. Now a bunch of iksperds on TV and other telegram channels have begun to break through the idea that the Chinese have a different mentality, they play strategically and for a long time, but the fact remains here and now they lost the score 1: 0, and what will happen and how will it be in 2-3 or 10 years, no one will ever say, maybe China will no longer be, in general, they were not and did not become warriors, but everyone knows how to win in exercises
  2. cooper Offline cooper
    cooper (Alexander) 3 August 2022 16: 49
    +8
    Here, even without the next frills of the yurasuma, everything is clear. So far, the Chinese comrades have just lost their heads. Bye..
  3. Jacques sekavar Offline Jacques sekavar
    Jacques sekavar (Jacques Sekavar) 3 August 2022 17: 13
    +3
    Yury Ivanovich is correct
  4. Krapilin Offline Krapilin
    Krapilin (Victor) 3 August 2022 17: 15
    +3
    Podolyaka explained why Beijing did not start a war against Taiwan

    To whom did he explain?
  5. Observer2014 Offline Observer2014
    Observer2014 3 August 2022 17: 38
    -3
    Well, of course, where are we without the leader of the Sumy Maidan. negative And where is his freind laughing forever begging for pennies from gullible Russians with a bunch of nicknames and thinking that it’s smart. It already wrote to me in a personal yesterday.
    Coincidence? I don’t think so. bully
  6. opportunist Offline opportunist
    opportunist (dim) 4 August 2022 05: 36
    0
    Yuri is right in the first place, preparations for war take months, if not a year. It does not take much intelligence to figure out that if China invades Taiwan, which he considers a province, then the chances that the United States will be drawn into this war are not one in a million. For the same reason, they did not get involved in Ukraine. (At least not directly, by sending Stratos to fight on the side of Ukraine). China does not plan to resolve the Taiwan issue by military means as long as the Anglo-Saxons adhere to the policy of one China. Because in this case, China gains absolutely nothing. For Russia, the intervention in Ukraine was a one-way street, because if Russia had not intervened militarily, then the Kyiv regime would have occupied Donetsk by force, and in the long term, an enemy state would have joined NATO in 40 million. For China, the case of Taiwan is completely different. China is the second largest and fastest growing economy on the planet, which means that, based on what Western analysts themselves say, by 2030 China will become the first economy on the planet. Also, the Chinese fleet is the second most powerful in the world and is also developing rapidly outnumbering the corresponding American one in the future. China's economy is highly dependent on the economy of Taiwan, which, although a small country, is approximately the 23rd strongest economy on the planet with a population of only 20 million people. Taking into account considering all the facts, he concludes that, firstly, time is on the side of China, and secondly, what the Anglo-Saxons really want is to create a second Ukraine over Taiwan in order to impose more sanctions and strengthen the economic and diplomatic pressure to China. For those who are wondering, China has not yet dissolved Taiwan just because a US official visited him. With such logic, why Why didn't Russia sink a British ship that violated the Crimean waters; Why hasn't Russia shot down all those US strategic bombers that fly close enough to the Russian border;
  7. Kapany3 Offline Kapany3
    Kapany3 4 August 2022 06: 31
    +1
    Quote: opportunist
    Yuri is right in the first place, preparations for war take months, if not a year. It does not take much intelligence to figure out that if China invades Taiwan, which he considers a province, then the chances that the United States will be drawn into this war are not one in a million. For the same reason, they did not get involved in Ukraine. (At least not directly, by sending Stratos to fight on the side of Ukraine). China does not plan to resolve the Taiwan issue by military means as long as the Anglo-Saxons adhere to the policy of one China. Because in this case, China gains absolutely nothing. For Russia, the intervention in Ukraine was a one-way street, because if Russia had not intervened militarily, then the Kyiv regime would have occupied Donetsk by force, and in the long term, an enemy state would have joined NATO in 40 million. For China, the case of Taiwan is completely different. China is the second largest and fastest growing economy on the planet, which means that, based on what Western analysts themselves say, by 2030 China will become the first economy on the planet. Also, the Chinese fleet is the second most powerful in the world and is also developing rapidly outnumbering the corresponding American one in the future. China's economy is highly dependent on the economy of Taiwan, which, although a small country, is approximately the 23rd strongest economy on the planet with a population of only 20 million people. Taking into account considering all the facts, he concludes that, firstly, time is on the side of China, and secondly, what the Anglo-Saxons really want is to create a second Ukraine over Taiwan in order to impose more sanctions and strengthen the economic and diplomatic pressure to China. For those who are wondering, China has not yet dissolved Taiwan just because a US official visited him. With such logic, why Why didn't Russia sink a British ship that violated the Crimean waters; Why hasn't Russia shot down all those US strategic bombers that fly close enough to the Russian border;

    Anyone who thinks that by planting an old Pelosi at home, China wins something, it is worth straining your Moscow and think about the Chinese money that is stored in America. If they squeezed 300 lards from Russia, then it’s easy for the yellow-faced ones, they squeeze much more.
  8. Bulanov Offline Bulanov
    Bulanov (Vladimir) 4 August 2022 11: 35
    0
    The most optimal tactic for China in relation to Taiwan is a naval blockade. What at one time staged the United States against Cuba. If everyone recognizes one China, then maritime customs within the borders of one China is not a reason to start a war over Taiwan. Otherwise, this is anti-Chinese aggression. It is much easier to crush Taiwan economically as a punishment for separatism than to take it by military attack. In Russia, they did not understand this about Ukraine at the time, and in fact they economically strengthened the anti-Russian Ukrainian regime.
  9. Peace Peace. Offline Peace Peace.
    Peace Peace. (Tumar Tumar) 6 August 2022 16: 27
    0
    China, with its "preparations" for war and fearless powerful response, raised the bar for the visit of the hag Pelosi. But without answering anything at all, she gave this plank to the United States with giblets herself, sitting at a trough broken from grief. This is the strongest imedzhivy blow for China. At least at the airfield, long before the "visit", they would have sent their own hypersound, one would get the impression that the Yankees, trying to save face, agreed on the arrival of the mummy.
  10. Ugr Offline Ugr
    Ugr 8 August 2022 15: 01
    +1
    Who is Podolia? An expert who appointed himself, another talking head. It is clear to anyone who thinks that after the boilers in Debaltseve, it was possible to denazify all of Ukraine immediately and without losses on our part, but our liberal government signed the Minsk Treaty and now, after 8 years, a sea of ​​​​blood is pouring, and it is because of this agreement that allowed the Nazis to build a new army with defensive structures, trained by Western instructors. In China, it’s not Jewish liberals who don’t give a damn about the people, except for their own benefit, but the Communist Party and they fight no worse, even without experience and weapons they are better than Western ones, it’s not the 1950s when they ran with our PPSh. But they don’t take Taiwan because the time has not come, you’ll see, China will take everything to itself and will not miss its own. But Podolyak has nothing to listen to, all his broadcasting comes down to what was previously written by not very smart people ...