The victory of Russia is already close - the countdown has begun


Today's text is a response to our readers who are trying to understand what we are facing in Ukraine and predict when it will all end. People expressed their opinion, I even agree with some, and I will also say my forecast. I do not insist on it, take it as one of the possible options (I estimate the probability at 65%). Forecasts are, by definition, a thankless thing; I prefer not to make them at all. Today is an exception. Rather, this is not even a forecast, but an analysis of the totality of facts, on the basis of which I draw conclusions.


Minimal War


I think all couch strategists have already noticed and military experts agree with them that here in Ukraine we are waging a war not of the 21st century, but of the 20th. Hence the use in the database on both sides of the military scrap sample of the 70-80s of the last century. Yes, and the Western allies of the 404th are in no hurry to supply her with the latest models of military equipment, getting off with Soviet “iron” from the warehouses of the former ATS countries, and their “hardware” of the 21st century model is supplied in piece copies, rather for testing, as it will prove itself in battles with a potential enemy. The only exceptions are unmanned aircraft, radar warfare equipment, as well as the use of the US satellite constellation for reconnaissance and target designation (when aiming ammunition at targets). Of the last three components of this war, we have succeeded only in electronic warfare.

Winston Churchill's famous phrase that generals always prepare only for the last war did not justify itself in our case, since our generals were not even ready for the last war. But I would not be in a hurry to blame them for this, because the conceptual strategic mistake was laid back in the 90s, when we were preparing for a confrontation with the United States, which could only be nuclear, and a big war in Europe, if considered, was only a war with NATO, and it would inevitably have to develop into a nuclear one, and then why do we need conventional weapons? No one then could even imagine that in the 21st century we would have to repeat the classic European war of the 20th century, especially with Ukraine as an adversary. Hence the reduction in the full-time personnel of the Armed Forces to 1 million people, and cuts in funding for officers, and the transition to a contract army, and many other reforms that the army called “stools” after the nickname of the then Minister of Defense Serdyukov-Taburetkin (this husband before the Moscow Region very successfully traded in stools and other furniture). Who would have thought then that in 2022 in Ukraine we would really lack not even tanks and planes, but people, and Putin would have to urgently begin to form a Volunteer Contract Army in order to plug holes at the front.

No one is surprised by the use in the SVO of the main battle tanks of the 60s T-62, their peers of the towed howitzers D-30 and D-20 and other military scrap of the last century. I would especially like to say about the Su-25 attack aircraft. Some part of the expert couch community had a completely wrong opinion that the Russian Aerospace Forces, following the results of the first months of the NWO, did not achieve complete dominance in the air. With all responsibility, I must declare that this is not so. The Russian Aerospace Forces have total, 100% dominance in the air; the Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine responds to our 300-500 sorties per day with three to five. These are dry statistics. What is behind it? The fact is that our command deliberately abandoned carpet bombing with high-explosive bombs of high destructive power over the territory of the enemy to the entire strategic depth of the formation of his armed formations. This was done solely with the aim of minimizing losses among the civilian population and preventing the destruction of civilian infrastructure.

Therefore, throughout the entire strategic depth of Ukraine, the RF Armed Forces are working selectively, exclusively on military targets and recognized as such, and only high-precision sea, land and air-based missile weapons. Yes, it's more expensive, but it's our conscious choice. Moreover, the object air defense systems of the Armed Forces of Ukraine were not suppressed by the first missile strike, and we do not intend to sacrifice our long-range bomber aviation strategists for this. Therefore, the lion's share of sorties falls on front-line tactical bomber and ground attack aircraft, the same Su-24s and Su-25s that tirelessly iron the front along the line of contact. Fortunately, the Armed Forces of the Armed Forces of Ukraine had almost none of them left - at the time of the start of the NMD, there were 23 Su-24 front-line bombers and 31 Su-25 subsonic attack aircraft (plus they could get another 38 Su-25K / Su-25UBK from the Czechs and Bulgarians). But, judging by the reports of the Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation, if they received, then they are no longer left. Therefore, Washington recently announced the possible transfer of A-10 Thunderbolt II attack aircraft to Kyiv. In particular, the head of the US Air Force, Frank Kendall, mentioned this during his latest press approach. At the same time, Kendall clarified that the time had come for the Pentagon to get rid of these attack aircraft, after which the idea arose of transferring the A-10 Thunderbolt II to the Ukrainian Armed Forces. Along with this, the US Air Force Chief of Staff Charles Brown expressed confidence that Ukraine would have to abandon Soviet-era military equipment in favor of “something non-Russian” (however, he did not say why, but we all know why - they mowed everything down!) .

No one in the world except the Russian Federation and the United States no longer produces subsonic attack aircraft. Because they don’t know how, but these manufacturers don’t need it. But why did the States decide to abandon them, the question is? Apparently, they do not plan to clash with us on land, they hope to solve their problems exclusively with the help of the US Navy and Air Force. There they have a significant advantage. But whether we will give them this chance, I'm not sure, we will immediately turn on the nuclear and hypersonic club, as a result - they will go to hell, we will go to heaven. That is why they are trying to weaken us through proxy wars and doomed suicide bombers like Ukraine. But here is a bummer!

Victory is near


Summing up the intermediate results of the 5-month military campaign, we can already say that we have successfully completed the defeat of the most combat-ready group of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, concentrated in the Donbass. Officially, this can only be declared with the fall of Slavyansk and Kramatorsk, after which it remains only to clear Maryinka and Avdiivka, closing the ring behind them and inviting the defenders to surrender or die (for me, the latter is better, because artillerymen from these two settlements in Only fierce death awaits in Donetsk, I hope they understand this!). The Seversk-Soledar-Bakhmut line will fall in the next few days, for it is difficult to defend the cities located in the lowlands when the dominant heights are already occupied by the enemy. Attention is drawn to the withdrawal of personnel line units from there with their withdrawal to the Slavyansk-Kramatorsk line and their replacement with the unfired mobilization reserve of the 2nd and 3rd waves of mobilization. These people are deliberately thrown to the slaughter, and this reveals the whole bloody essence of the Kyiv regime, which is trying to prolong its wretched existence with corpses for at least another couple of months.

In fact, there are no more combat-ready units capable of providing arbitrarily long resistance to the RF Armed Forces in the Donbass. The shortage of personnel in the line units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, holding the defense there, reaches half of the payroll. Moreover, the most motivated and prepared part of it was knocked out. It is necessary to replenish, but there is no one. The replacement is not identical to the retired, neither in combat, nor in moral and psychological qualities, at the first combat contact, the new arrivals either die or surrender (they would be happy to run, but detachments of inveterate Nazis stand behind). By the way, the Nazis themselves are not eager to go into this hell, recently the Kharkov "Kraken" (this is the most combat-ready unit of "Azov", (an organization banned in the Russian Federation), refused to obey the order of the command to advance to the Kramatorsk region, as a result of a fight that arose and shootouts killed 6 people). With all the hatred for Putin, it is even less to die for Zelensky, the bravest, as a rule, sit in Kyiv, and the farther from the front line, the bolder.

However, the most difficult task has already been solved by us. In four months (from April to August), the RF Armed Forces, together with detachments of the NM LDNR, actually broke into the most impenetrable enemy fortified area stuffed with long-term fortifications. The fortifications hastily created along the Slavyansk-Kramatorsk line are field-type structures that do not have sufficient resistance to prolonged fire, and will fall under the first serious blows. There will be no long siege. An exit corridor will be given, after which the Armed Forces of Ukraine will prefer to leave or die. I think the first thing is that after Mariupol there are no more people who want to die in the Armed Forces of Ukraine.

We are now having a respite before the decisive assault, part of the troops has been assigned to a planned rotation, instead of them the first detachments of volunteers of the Volunteer Contract Army, which has been formed in the cities and towns of Russia all this time, are entering (details on this here). At the same time, as the military commander Sladkov says, these volunteers already in the first battles show miracles of courage. This is what the ideologically motivated parts mean (and materially, by the way, too!). These are the same 300 thousand bayonets that will be able to support the troops of the first strike, and without which we cannot move further to the west. And the fact that we are not going to stop there is clear even to a child. The next stage will be a throw to the south, in the direction of Nikolaev-Odessa-Pridnestrovie. At the same time, I do not exclude the activation of the Kharkov front, as well as the movement of the Donbass grouping in the direction of the Dnieper with access to Zaporozhye and Poltava. We will leave for winter apartments, having already taken from Ukraine all the left bank and the northern Black Sea coast. After that, funding for the 404th will cease (to unfasten $ 9 billion every month, there are no more fools in Europe, which by that time had begun to chatter its teeth from the cold, or in America, which had rolled into the most serious crisis since the Great Depression by November, no longer will remain). And then the box will begin to slam shut - the regime will collapse overnight, they will run so that only the heels will sparkle. And who does not have time, the court awaits, the fairest court in the world.

I hope everyone here understands that there will be no more negotiations with this gang of Nazis and drug addicts. How they fulfill their obligations, we have already seen enough in these 8 years on the example of the Minsk agreements. They are only waiting for a military tribunal as Nazi criminals and death by hanging (for these ghouls, I hope this measure will be restored). Anyone who does not have time to escape, only death awaits! On their grave, it will be possible to put the Instructions for the Javelin ATGM on 290 pages in English with a translation into Ukrainian through Google Translate (as a warning to everyone who wants to taste the power of Russian weapons - they will end in the same way!).

On this I say goodbye to you and wish everyone only peace (we will buy everything else for rubles!). Your Mr X.
102 comments
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  1. Expert_Analyst_Forecaster 26 July 2022 18: 29
    -6
    I rub my hands happily. More and more people believe that the organized resistance of the Armed Forces of Ukraine will stop by winter.
    Once again, I will proudly say that I was the first to announce (in late April or early May) our victory before the start of winter.
    I understand that Mr. X will again say that I did not argue my forecast.
    But in my opinion, it is better to make correct predictions (or predictions, if you like) without justification than to give well-reasoned excuses that the prediction did not come true.
    1. Colonel Kudasov Offline Colonel Kudasov
      Colonel Kudasov (Boris) 26 July 2022 18: 57
      +4
      Once again, I will proudly say that I was the first to announce (in late April or early May) our victory before the start of winter.

      Well, yes, there is hope for the help of General Frost. American technology is supposed to fail. But if Gazprom does not finally cut off Ukraine from Russian gas, then the war will flare up in the spring with renewed vigor
    2. Volkonsky Offline Volkonsky
      Volkonsky (Vladimir) 26 July 2022 21: 24
      +2
      People expressed their opinion, I even agree with some (Irkutsk Expert-Analyst and Yuri-sinobi, it’s a pity that boriz, bakhtiyar and a number of people whose opinion I’m interested in didn’t speak out), I’ll also say my forecast.

      it was edited out
    3. Bakht Offline Bakht
      Bakht (Bakhtiyar) 26 July 2022 21: 29
      +3
      27 May 2022

      The next two or three weeks will be ground to dust the soldiers of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the Donbass.
      Next month - Odessa and Nikolaev regions, Chernihiv, Sumy.
      By September 1 - Kharkov, Dnepropetrovsk, Poltava, Kirovograd.
      In September, Lutsk, Rivne, Cherkassy, ​​Zhytomyr and Kyiv will be taken.

      It's the end of July now.
      1. Volkonsky Offline Volkonsky
        Volkonsky (Vladimir) 26 July 2022 23: 28
        +3
        your plan is not working? Putin is clearly slowing down the movement to the west! I think that on purpose - why destroy other cities? we will later restore them, the disposal and demilitarization of the Armed Forces of Ukraine will take place on the local sector of the front, if Zelensky wants it to be near Kheresn, then it will be there too
        1. Bakht Offline Bakht
          Bakht (Bakhtiyar) 27 July 2022 07: 44
          +2
          This is not my text. Here "Forecaster" understood everything correctly.
        2. Bakht Offline Bakht
          Bakht (Bakhtiyar) 27 July 2022 08: 40
          -1
          First, let's define. I'm not gloating and I'm not trying to catch someone on an inaccurate forecast. I just try to be objective and build logical chains.
          1. I didn't have any plan. From the very beginning and even earlier :-) I tried to explain that Russia could achieve a better result by economic methods. What is it all about today. The military wins (or loses) battles on the battlefield. But the outcome of the war is largely determined not only by them. Success on the battlefield is a REQUIRED condition for Victory. But not the only one.
          2. Putin cannot SPECIFICALLY slow down the movement to the West. Every day of the war is billions of rubles (I specifically do not write dollars). I am sure that trillions of rubles have been spent since February. But even this is not the main thing. The main thing is hundreds and thousands of dead young people. Including from Ukraine.
          3. Forecasts of other users (in particular the Predictor) about the new republics are partially justified. Most likely, referendums will be held in September. But whether they will be included in Russia, I do not know. If there is an idea to create Novorossia, then first these republics should unite among themselves, and only then ask to become part of Russia. Taking them one by one puts an end to Novorossiya (or Little Russia). There will simply be new administrative units within Russia. This doesn't seem like the best solution to me. But I'm not going to guess.
          4. The most interesting. Estimated development of events. The West is primarily interested in its own survival. And in profit. If for Russia the financial component is important, but not decisive, then in the West everything is exactly the opposite. The West has poured tens of billions of dollars into Ukraine. Nobody knows Ukraine's debt, but they talk about more than a hundred billion. Performing Ukraine and preserving it on Russian terms means that this debt must be repaid. But if the West does NOT recognize the new Ukraine, then the money will be lost. Analogy with 1917. The West did not recognize Soviet Russia and the debts were not returned. The West will have a headache. Or not to recognize the new Ukraine and lose hundreds of billions. Or recognize in the hope of receiving this money sometime in the future.

          Politics for Russia. Destroy the regime in Kyiv, take all of Ukraine and create it anew. The West does not recognize it, or it does not matter to Russia. All the same, Russia should restore it. What, in principle, we see in the Donbass.
          1. Vox Populi Offline Vox Populi
            Vox Populi (vox populi) 27 July 2022 10: 44
            0
            I agree with everything except this:

            The West will have a headache. Or not to recognize the new Ukraine and lose hundreds of billions. Or recognize in the hope of receiving this money sometime in the future.

            It is more than likely that we will pay for everything (in whole or in large part) ...
            1. Bakht Offline Bakht
              Bakht (Bakhtiyar) 27 July 2022 11: 10
              +2
              In any case, Russia will have to pay. But this is a temporary cost. Getting a country rich in resources and several million new citizens, in economic terms, is much more profitable.
            2. Bakht Offline Bakht
              Bakht (Bakhtiyar) 27 July 2022 11: 16
              +1
              How much is Ukraine in a food crisis

              Ukraine occupies approximately 11% of this market, Russia - depending on the harvest, from 16 to 20%. For sunflower oil, this share is even higher: Ukraine itself occupies more than 50% of the world oil market.

              But this is not only sunflower oil and wheat, it is also corn. Only Ukraine has a share of the world corn export market - 18%. There is also barley. That is, about five types of top grains, in which Ukraine and sometimes Russia have market leadership.
              1. Alexander Bazylev (Alexander Bazylev) 27 July 2022 22: 47
                0
                You forgot to say about Ukrainian wheat. The amount of wheat grown by Ukraine is even less than 1% of world consumption. Accordingly, all this movement with the export of grain costs nothing at all.
                I don't understand this game.
                1. Bakht Offline Bakht
                  Bakht (Bakhtiyar) 27 July 2022 23: 14
                  -1
                  The export of Ukrainian wheat is 11% of the total world wheat export. Em is mentioned in the quote.
                  If "this movement" is worthless, then why is it being taken out so hard?
          2. Volkonsky Offline Volkonsky
            Volkonsky (Vladimir) 27 July 2022 14: 30
            +1
            Bakht, here I disagree! I agree that the economy decides everything, but there are doubts about the rest. It seems to me that the debts of the 404th are not a problem of the Russian Federation, but of those who took them and those who gave them. With the disappearance of this territorial misunderstanding from the watered map - all its debts are nullified, there is no subject - there are no debts, if the subject remains at least in some form, all these debts will be hanged on it, but this will no longer be a problem of the Russian Federation. The plans of the Russian Federation include zeroing this project to zero, with the inclusion of the newly acquired territories in the Russian Federation. Recognition of these territorial acquisitions by the collective West or not is their problem, as are the sanctions imposed on the Russian Federation, we don’t care about their problems, we will have our own currency zone (RF-Iran-Turkey-Egypt-RB-former Ukraine- former republics of the USSR who want to join, but almost everyone wants to) and we will not be shaken by what is happening outside of it. The main task of GDP at this stage is not to stop until it reaches Zap. Buga (or better to the Oder)
            1. Bakht Offline Bakht
              Bakht (Bakhtiyar) 27 July 2022 16: 55
              0
              Let's see. My opinion is that all the same, Ukraine should be left. But in a completely different way. Although, of course, I understand the point of view that it needs to be eliminated. But I don't think it's possible.
      2. Expert_Analyst_Forecaster 27 July 2022 02: 11
        -1
        This seems to be my bug. Emotional outburst.
      3. Dima Offline Dima
        Dima (Dmitriy) 27 July 2022 22: 23
        -1
        The problem with any analytics is that we do not know the real intentions of the command. It is obvious that the GDP is deliberately delaying the implementation of the NMD, limiting the scale of the use of forces. It seems that the goal of the NWO is the collapse of the EU. In this case, it is not profitable for the Russian Federation to occupy territories outside the LPR/DPR/Kherson/Zaporozhye now, since the people need to be fed and maintained, and winter is coming soon.
    4. Vladimir Tuzakov (Vladimir Tuzakov) 27 July 2022 21: 35
      0
      (expert). The solution of any problem directly depends on the conditions for solving this problem. Here in Ukraine, the conditions were initially created very clear and simple. For 8 years of a sluggish current war, not in the Donbass and the loss of Crimea, - from the fragmented Ukrainian society, they recreated the statehood and cohesion of a large part of citizens who believe in independence and going to the West, as a solution to the bleeding problems in the Donbass and strained relations with Russia. Our Russian politicians played petty fraudulent games with gas supplies, bribing some officials, etc. in Ukraine, but did not work for strategy at all, in fact they became accomplices in the revival of nationalist anti-Russian Ukraine. The blame for the creation of a nationalist anti-Russian Ukraine lies with the West, but the fault of Russian politicians is no less. With the full support of the West, a combat-ready Armed Forces of Ukraine was formed, using rotation in military operations in the Donbass, which was shown by the first months of the NMD. With such an introductory, the future is not very optimistic, victory will be, but at a great cost, with the strengthening of IEDs with new Western weapons and, especially, the reconnaissance, target designation and corrective addition to these weapons by Western space and other intelligence. That is why these Himars and other M777s are so effective, because NATO headquarters and intelligence work for this. Now research is underway in the Russian Federation for forces and means by contractors to replenish and somehow increase the expended forces and means. But this is an erroneous prolongation of the military confrontation by small forces. The main postulates of military operations have been forgotten - to break the back of the enemy with all possible concentrated forces and means with a quick crushing pressure and create conditions for the enemy for further inexpedient resistance. Having started the NMD in this way, and having determined the defeat of the main parts of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, for example, near the Donbass, and not the ceremonial throw of small forces to the capital of many millions, where patriotism and resistance are more concentrated, victory would have come faster .. Today, with tractable efforts and with small forces, knocking out l .the composition of the Armed Forces of Ukraine with step-by-step advancement, as a necessary measure, is strategically clearly more expensive in everything and the wrong method to win ...
      1. Bakht Offline Bakht
        Bakht (Bakhtiyar) 27 July 2022 23: 32
        -1
        Operations planning is complex. Perhaps the "throw of small forces on the capital" was strategically justified. I'm not sure, but it's possible. Military history knows similar cases. For example, what was wrong with "Plan 17"? Why did the Schlieffen plan fail? This is from the First World War. From the Second, the Wehrmacht General Staff really hoped that the Red Army would launch an offensive at the beginning of the war. For what reason did the Germans stop the advance on Kursk? The axiom of military operations says that the enemy's offensive must be parried not with defense, but with an attack on the remote flank. In the battle of the Marne, the future Marshal Foch said "my center is retreating, the left flank is defeated. Therefore, I decided to advance."
        Armed Forces of Ukraine prepared for the offensive in the Donbass. How to stop them? Diversion of forces to defend the capital.
        Liddell Hart, in his book, called this "the strategy of indirect action." This applies not only to direct military operations. But also the conduct of the war in general. He considered the evacuation of enterprises in the USSR at the beginning of the war an example of brilliant indirect actions.
        It is quite possible that the slow destruction of the combat-ready forces of the Armed Forces of Ukraine is quite justified strategically. In any case, the losses of their troops decreased by a multiple. This is already a plus.
      2. Vox Populi Offline Vox Populi
        Vox Populi (vox populi) 28 July 2022 11: 17
        -1
        Vladimir Tuzakov!
        Quite appropriate and justified point of view on the "Ukrainian situation"!
  2. gene1 Offline gene1
    gene1 (Gennady) 26 July 2022 18: 31
    +1
    How will we take cities (Zaporozhye, Nikolaev, Odessa, Dnipro, ..)? The Natsiks have a big reliance on the cities. Suggest - how is Mariupol? After all, Putin said that there would be no more Stalingrads. This means: either a new tactic, or cities will not be taken.
    1. Expert_Analyst_Forecaster 26 July 2022 19: 08
      -4
      I think there will not be a single tactic for all cities. Perhaps they will block the big cities and starve them to death. There is no doubt that they will constantly bomb and shoot. Perhaps they will start testing super-powerful bombs. Significant destruction is inevitable.
      But the Armed Forces of Ukraine have already been knocked out for the most part. It is impossible to create a replacement in a couple or three months.
      1. Valentine Offline Valentine
        Valentine (Valentin) 26 July 2022 19: 43
        -1
        Quote: Expert_Analyst_Forecaster
        I think there will not be a single tactic for all cities. Perhaps they will block the big cities and starve them to death.

        Previously, this was called a siege - to be left without water supply, fuel, the supply of food and ammunition, completely de-energize, and when the refrigerators leak, they will not even want to fight in just a week or two.
      2. Volkonsky Offline Volkonsky
        Volkonsky (Vladimir) 26 July 2022 21: 27
        +1
        There will be no long siege. An exit corridor will be given, after which the Armed Forces of Ukraine will prefer to leave or die. I think the first thing is that after Mariupol there are no more people who want to die in the Armed Forces of Ukraine.

        I wrote about this in the text - the sieges are over, the Russian Federation no longer needs a second Mariupoli, this option has already been tested in Severodonetsk and Lysichansk
        1. Expert_Analyst_Forecaster 27 July 2022 02: 14
          0
          after which the APU will choose to leave or die.

          That's when he prefers to die - then great destruction and casualties among the civilian population are possible. One hope is that there will be few such cases.
  3. Expert_Analyst_Forecaster 26 July 2022 18: 37
    -1
    That is why they are trying to weaken us through proxy wars and doomed suicide bombers like Ukraine. But here is a bummer!

    In general, America has achieved its goals. We have quarreled with Europe. Perhaps forever.
    Again, we will spend a lot of time and effort on the restoration of our country.
    And do not forget that there are still Poles, Romanians, Bolts, etc. So plenty of cannon fodder. And the US will make and sell weapons.
    By the way, let's not forget that the US is currently supplying gas to Europe at excellent prices for the US.
    1. opportunist Offline opportunist
      opportunist (dim) 26 July 2022 20: 30
      +2
      your point of view is also the point of view of the domestic liberal lobby that the United States is a big winner, because they will sell more liquefied gas and more weapons to Europe. it's really true. the big question is what Russia can do in this case; From the very beginning, Europe refused to build a common security with Russia, obeying Washington's directives on further NATO expansion and the rejection of cheap Russian gas. you don't understand that the current European leaders are incapable of representing the interests of Europe. if they choose to move away from Russian natural gas and buy their expensive fuel from the US, it will increase the cost of producing their products and thus put them at a disadvantage compared to their competitors.
    2. Zenn Offline Zenn
      Zenn (Andrei) 27 July 2022 20: 18
      -1
      In general, America has achieved its goals. We have quarreled with Europe.

      The question at what cost did America achieve its goals, and did it achieve those goals, there are too many symptoms that the price is unnecessarily high, they simply do not pull out. The fact that they quarreled with Europe eventually showed that the share of the Russian Federation in world trade is about 2-3%, but in world trade in resources the share of the Russian Federation is about 30%. Unwillingly, we opened a chest with an answer to the question of how to break their system of world trade.

      And the US will make and sell weapons.

      You look at the primary sources in the form of the Financial Plans of the US Department of Defense for several years and you see that they are producing less and more expensive. And in order to produce, both money and resources are needed, money is getting cheaper, and resources are becoming more expensive. And in order to buy their weapons from the EU, there are fewer and fewer opportunities.
    3. Dima Offline Dima
      Dima (Dmitriy) 27 July 2022 22: 30
      +1
      The world is moving towards a division into global blocs. Previously, 5 applicants for the creation of a currency zone were named, including China, the USA, the Russian Federation, Germany, Britain.
      Now the Russian Federation, the United States and Britain are implementing the division of Europe and eliminating Germany from the major league players. And the stupid European bureaucrats are like sheep going to the slaughter.
  4. akm8226 Offline akm8226
    akm8226 26 July 2022 18: 51
    +5
    gunners from Marinka and Avdiivka in Donetsk are waiting for only a fierce death.
    1. Expert_Analyst_Forecaster 26 July 2022 18: 56
      0
      Why only gunners? The whole chain from top (from generals and politicians) - down (performers on the ground) - awaits execution. Ideally, to return to the classics - through hanging.
  5. Valera75 Offline Valera75
    Valera75 (Valery) 26 July 2022 20: 00
    -2
    I wrote and I will repeat that the turning point will be November-January, and 90% of the SVO will end (10% are stoned partisans from the west of Banderostan) in the spring somewhere in May.
    1. Dukhskrepny Offline Dukhskrepny
      Dukhskrepny (Vasya) 27 July 2022 13: 06
      +2
      Divination with a finger in the sky
  6. Nord11 Offline Nord11
    Nord11 (Sergei) 26 July 2022 20: 45
    -2
    And it scares me that the US and the EU have prepared a plan "B" for us. That is, there will be no peace negotiations, Zelya and K "will be thrown into comfortable exile in London, leaving Russia destroyed, plundered, all in debt and embittered independence. This will be a Pyrrhic victory, devastating as a defeat ..
  7. rotkiv04 Offline rotkiv04
    rotkiv04 (Victor) 26 July 2022 22: 39
    +3
    The Black Sea region, including Odessa, Nikolaev, Zaporozhye, and even more so the left bank in the winter, no one will take, otherwise all the problems with the life support of the population in these cities will fall on the shoulders of Russia and, of course, the blame for all the problems too. Therefore, in 22, everything will end with the capture of Donbass, and then a pause until spring, and there the grandmother for two said whether Putin would go further
    1. Marciz Offline Marciz
      Marciz (Stas) 2 August 2022 02: 59
      0
      One person said something specific among the hubbub of "infogypsies" !!!!!)))))
  8. Moray Boreas Offline Moray Boreas
    Moray Boreas (Morey Borey) 27 July 2022 01: 26
    +2
    I do not agree that "victory is already close ..." It would have been close when we would have seen the unorganized retreat of the enemy. And now there are fierce battles. In fact, putting aside the bravado arrogance, we must admit that the enemy is desperately resisting and continues to snap back, inflicting losses on our troops and civilians. The supply of the Armed Forces of Ukraine by NATO countries and the EU continues ... it's too early to say that victory is close.
  9. Moray Boreas Offline Moray Boreas
    Moray Boreas (Morey Borey) 27 July 2022 01: 39
    +2
    But this is the author's TRUE:

    ...These people are deliberately thrown to the slaughter, and this reveals the whole bloody essence of the Kyiv regime, which is trying to prolong its miserable existence with corpses for at least another couple of months.

    I can clarify that the whole of Ukraine was deliberately thrown to the slaughter. Everyone understands that the Armed Forces of Ukraine are technically weaker than the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation, and it is precisely because of this that sooner or later the war will be lost by Ukraine, however, they were forced to fight ... without giving the necessary weapons at the time ... this only says one thing: Ukraine deliberately kill and the greater the sacrifice of Ukrainians, the better for NATO. And this suggests that there is a war against the Slavic population, Slavic culture.
  10. cooper Offline cooper
    cooper (Alexander) 27 July 2022 01: 41
    +3
    That's just this..

    our command deliberately abandoned carpet bombing with high-explosive bombs of high destructive power over enemy territory to the entire strategic depth of the formation of his armed formations. This was done solely with the aim of minimizing losses among the civilian population and preventing the destruction of civilian infrastructure.

    - A very dubious decision, close to erroneous. And we were convinced in 2014 that Putin and the entire supreme power of Russia can make critical mistakes...
  11. Oleg Dmitriev Offline Oleg Dmitriev
    Oleg Dmitriev (Oleg Dmitriev) 27 July 2022 03: 41
    +5
    120 days were allotted for the organized export of Ukrainian grain through Odessa, from which we can conclude that we are not going to take Odessa until at least December. What kind of victory are we talking about then?
    1. Expert_Analyst_Forecaster 27 July 2022 04: 23
      -2
      And I see perfectly the export of grain from Russian Odessa. Why not? If there is excess grain, why not sell it?
    2. House 25 Sq. 380 (House 25 Sq. 380) 27 July 2022 11: 42
      0
      120 days were allotted for the organized export of Ukrainian grain through Odessa, from which we can conclude that we are not going to take Odessa until at least December.

      In fact, one doesn't follow from the other...
      hi
  12. Scharnhorst Offline Scharnhorst
    Scharnhorst (Scharnhorst) 27 July 2022 07: 40
    +1
    Russian victory is near

    - the forecast from Vladimir Volkonsky is striking in its obviousness at the level of the legendary "winter is coming." All arguments are sketched out from a TV show, but the author allows himself to disregard armchair experts and analysts who, individually on certain aspects of the topic, will give him a head start.
    The main question - what is considered a victory for Russia - is not even close to being disclosed.
    1. Expert_Analyst_Forecaster 27 July 2022 08: 16
      0
      At the first stage, it is a victory over the Armed Forces of Ukraine. The end of its organized resistance.
    2. Dukhskrepny Offline Dukhskrepny
      Dukhskrepny (Vasya) 27 July 2022 12: 47
      -1
      Parade on Khreshchatyk and the flag of the Russian Federation over the Government House
      1. Expert_Analyst_Forecaster 27 July 2022 13: 04
        0
        We'll do without the parade. There will be the Kyiv People's Republic within the Kyiv region.
        With the Russian military administration and the Government of the People's Republic of China under him.
        You can hang any flag - even Chinese, even Vietnamese. By choice. Or just an embroidered shirt with the inscription "Glory to Kyiv, glory to the people of Kiev" instead of a flag. And on the coat of arms depict a sausage, a piece of fat and a bottle of vodka.
        1. Dukhskrepny Offline Dukhskrepny
          Dukhskrepny (Vasya) 27 July 2022 14: 07
          0
          Live for this day
          1. Expert_Analyst_Forecaster 27 July 2022 14: 41
            0
            I will live to see the time when the PRC, after denazification, will file a petition for joining the Russian Federation. And yet the Russian Federation will satisfy this request. So the Kyiv region will appear as part of Russia.
        2. Dukhskrepny Offline Dukhskrepny
          Dukhskrepny (Vasya) 27 July 2022 14: 08
          -3
          Why not at the forefront? The most bawlers are just sitting in the bushes
        3. Vladimir Tuzakov (Vladimir Tuzakov) 27 July 2022 22: 05
          -1
          Remark: "Don't say gop until you jump over." A protracted confrontation with the West in Ukraine can give rise to anything, the West is cunning and cunning ... We have officials and billionaires (influential oligarchs in the old way) tied up by the West, the Central Bank of the Russian Federation is working against the Russian Federation (Professors M. Delyagin, Katasonov ... ) In such a swamp, everything can happen ... One thing pleases, during difficult times for Russia, it is possible to cleanse from parasites and other scale. Emigration from the Russian Federation to Israel in the first months of the NWO broke old records ...
          1. Monster_Fat Offline Monster_Fat
            Monster_Fat (What's the difference) 30 July 2022 19: 57
            0
            Four months they take Avdiivka - right by the author - the second "Maginot Line" or the reincarnation of the "Atlantic Wall" .... yes all the rare "formidable fortifications" of which consist of block reinforced concrete floors of the building sample of the local cement plant and trenches, not even camouflaged from the air, which is clearly visible in the few drone videos that the MoD occasionally puts up there. Also say - "millionaire pillboxes" there, everywhere ... wink
    3. Volkonsky Offline Volkonsky
      Volkonsky (Vladimir) 27 July 2022 14: 36
      +1
      I don't have a TV - that's one! I have never read a single smart word from you personally - these are two! I would like to see a quote where I ran into couch experts in the text - these are three!
  13. Muscool Offline Muscool
    Muscool (Glory) 27 July 2022 08: 56
    +5
    Oh, it would be great if the forecast comes true.
    But I have big doubts, I am more inclined to Strelkov’s version that the operational pause will end with an attempt by crests to attack in the south. It's too hard for our progress. How many TPPs were recaptured from Ugolgorsk, a month? For some village with 30 houses, fights go on for several weeks. Seversk-soledar-bakhmut will not fall even in the coming weeks, if we predict with an eye to the battles for the settlements we have already taken. It's running very strange.
    Infrastructure critical for warfare (railway communication, bridges, electrical facilities, gas flows) is not destroyed, all sorts of goodwill gestures, incomprehensible exchanges.
    Many people so stubbornly justify why we do not destroy bridges, they say it is impossible and expensive. And every day to hammer with Iskanders some sanatoriums with reservists and hangars where 5bmp is not expensive? Why not put a dozen Iskanders in one gulp into the bridge on the Dnieper? It’s not expensive for Ukrainians and they will soon stagger (already almost happened) the bridge in Kherson, we will carry ammunition and food on boats, and crests will calmly drive echelons across the Dnieper.
    And it is not clear from the text which army of crests we defeated? Officially, crests have irretrievable losses of 70 thousand, which they compensated by diluting the personnel units with reservists. And how many more have they mobilized? They will be trained, weapons and equipment will be given, tanks are coming from all the countries of the Warsaw Pact. We stuffed aviation 2 times more than they had (according to official reports), and they will be provided with armored vehicles and instructors.
    And we "grind" mainly reservists, and personnel officers stand at a distance. So at this pace, God forbid, we will liberate the Donbas by late autumn, and there will already be some kind of agreement like Minsk 3.
    1. House 25 Sq. 380 (House 25 Sq. 380) 27 July 2022 11: 40
      -2
      We "grind" mostly reservists,

      Bradok...
      hi
    2. Dukhskrepny Offline Dukhskrepny
      Dukhskrepny (Vasya) 27 July 2022 12: 50
      +2
      You undermine confidence in the Supreme and faith in victory on the Western Front
    3. Volkonsky Offline Volkonsky
      Volkonsky (Vladimir) 27 July 2022 14: 43
      0
      in the Donbass, the loss of personnel in line units is up to 90% - these are all personnel units, which of the mobile units are soldiers, Khodokovsky well said - only 30% can be used in the offensive, the rest are ballast. About bridges and why we don’t bomb them - your knowledge is not even at the level of high school (for example, the bridge in Zatoka - have you achieved a lot?), And we still need them ourselves - for some reason you don’t think about it at all (this is our land and we need it restore!)
  14. svetlanavradiy Offline svetlanavradiy
    svetlanavradiy (Svetlana Vradiy) 27 July 2022 09: 06
    -2
    The article is excellent. The only thing I would like to say is that what was said about Taburetkin is not quite right. Only now information is emerging that the whole story with Vasilyeva, as well as the allegedly gigantic spending on the Olympics in Sochi, were staged. The money actually went to the development of hypersonic weapons. Then Russia could not openly show how much money goes to the military budget. This would instantly alert our enemies. Therefore, various corruption cases were composed. And without hypersonic weapons, which NATO countries do not yet have, we would not be able to carry out NMD so boldly now. As for the size of the army, in peacetime it should not be huge. One million is enough. But training reservists should be regular. Yes, just in case.
    1. rotkiv04 Offline rotkiv04
      rotkiv04 (Victor) 27 July 2022 11: 20
      +1
      I think it’s time to end the HPP, they don’t exist, but there are miscalculations and they are now visible, we must admit mistakes and correct them, and not hush up and get out
    2. Dukhskrepny Offline Dukhskrepny
      Dukhskrepny (Vasya) 27 July 2022 12: 52
      -2
      Exactly. The adversary thinks everything is stolen and drunk from us. And then suddenly, out of nowhere, a Superpower
    3. Volkonsky Offline Volkonsky
      Volkonsky (Vladimir) 27 July 2022 14: 46
      -1
      here I agree with you, I myself wrote about this earlier - Taburetkin is a thermal rocket to divert attention, the results of his work are already visible right now, when the Moscow Region headed Shoigu, they are fired for poor work without pay, and are not appointed to head JSC Russian Helicopters
  15. House 25 Sq. 380 (House 25 Sq. 380) 27 July 2022 11: 38
    0
    nicknamed the then Minister of Defense Serdyukov-Taburetkin (this husband before the Moscow Region very successfully traded stools and other furniture)

    Neighing: Serdyukov before the Moscow Region was the head of the tax service of the Russian Federation ...))
    1. Volkonsky Offline Volkonsky
      Volkonsky (Vladimir) 27 July 2022 14: 47
      0
      and before the tax, who was he?
      1. House 25 Sq. 380 (House 25 Sq. 380) 28 July 2022 13: 50
        -1
        And before heading the Tax Service of the Russian Federation, he was Deputy Minister of the Tax Service of the Russian Federation, before that he was the head of the tax service of the Russian Federation in Moscow, before that he headed the tax service of St. Petersburg, before that he was the deputy head of the tax service of St. Petersburg, and before that - the head of the interdistrict inspectorate of the tax service of St. Petersburg. ...
        But it doesn't matter, because the text says that before the MO he was selling stools....
        hi
        1. Expert_Analyst_Forecaster 30 July 2022 06: 51
          0
          For seven years he worked in the tax office (2000 - 2007), and before that he was engaged in furniture trade for 15 years (1985 - 2000). Education - trade. So Taburetkin is quite a fair nickname. And career growth from zero (in the civil service) to the Minister of Defense - in seven years - is alarming.
          1. House 25 Sq. 380 (House 25 Sq. 380) 30 July 2022 16: 50
            0
            Serdyukov did not sit in the chair of the Minister of Defense right away from a furniture store, right?
            And then you can agree to the point that Stalin is generally a seminarian, and Kaganovich is a shoemaker ....
            Somehow managed...
  16. Panzer1962 Offline Panzer1962
    Panzer1962 (Panzer1962) 27 July 2022 11: 50
    +6
    I think that the author is wrong in the definition of goal setting. For almost 20 years, the entire training of the army was focused on the fight against the notorious "international terrorism", which did not involve military operations with a fairly clear front line, did not imply the enemy's defense in depth, did not imply the presence of a large number of armored vehicles, large masses of enemy artillery. "Barmalei" in jeep-carts with a few mortars and towed MLRS RPU-14, that's what the army was imprisoned for. Naturally, it seemed that, at the same time, "heavy" connections were not fucking needed. The notorious mobile brigades are maximally focused on counterguerrilla warfare. Hence the admiration for the "almighty" battalion tactical group, which was supposed to be able to solve everything and everything on the battlefield. Hence, the dashing ride on the armored personnel carrier / infantry fighting vehicle, because dozens of enemy guns were not expected to fall under barrage fire. And such a fire immediately turns the landing on the armor into minced meat.
    When they encountered the Wehrmacht, it turned out that the vaunted BTG - a motorized rifle battalion, a company of tanks, a cannon artillery division and a MLRS division - stretched over 5-6 km of the front, was not able to quickly and with minimal losses break through the well-equipped and in-depth defense of the units Ukro-Wehrmacht. And you have to pick out the enemy from each platoon strong point for several days.
    Moreover, it turns out that ALL levels of command simply do not know how to do it. After all, the experience of the "despicable scoop" was disgustedly discarded. For twenty years it was suggested that everything, now the war would be different, the troops would gallop like kangaroos through the theater of operations. They shot "barmaley" in one place, jumped to shoot in another place, then in a third. What are the assault detachments and groups, what are the battle formations for storming the fortified area.
    And with inexpressible surprise, they found out that 18 or 24 howitzers, albeit 152-mm, on a front of 5-6 km are absolutely not capable of not only destroying, even suppressing the enemy’s defenses.
    And so they turned out to be in a rage: it is impossible to fight against the Wehrmacht, as they were taught to fight against the "barmaley", but how to fight in the Soviet way they were not trained, they forgot, they threw skills into the trash.
    1. Bakht Offline Bakht
      Bakht (Bakhtiyar) 27 July 2022 13: 15
      +2
      The main problem is not BTG. The main problem is a banal lack of personnel. That is, orientation towards a professional army. If the BTG operates on a front of 5-6 km, then the result will be appropriate. The same is true if the division is stretched out on a front of 50 km.
      The presence of the BTG makes it possible to maneuver forces on an extended front. Concentrate 50-60 BTH on the selected area. Well, it would not be 100 BTG, but 10 divisions? And what would be the management of the division on the front of 100 km? And what order of forces could the division be able to allocate for the transfer of, say, their Donbass to Kherson?

      The BTGs grew out of German battle groups and western brigade groups. But the Russian BTG is stronger than the American brigade group in terms of artillery and missile weapons. In order to criticize the actions of the BTG, one must have a real idea of ​​\uXNUMXb\uXNUMXbthe course of hostilities. None of us have this idea. And it is unlikely that we will know anything even after the end of hostilities. But one conclusion can be drawn already now: a small professional army is good against barmaley. Against a regular army, an equally regular army is needed.
      Now they are fighting just according to Soviet rules. The strongest fire cover and only then the infantry offensive.
      But, in general, practice is the criterion of truth. Now the army is learning to fight in the new conditions. Let's just say, an analogue of the Winter War.
      1. Panzer1962 Offline Panzer1962
        Panzer1962 (Panzer1962) 23 September 2022 10: 40
        0
        I fully support your conclusion.
  17. syndicalist Offline syndicalist
    syndicalist (Dimon) 27 July 2022 11: 50
    +2
    Well, thank God, at least we won't have to wait long. And the Predictor gives a few weeks for major victories and the Ukrainians, not lagging behind, promise a minimum of Kherson in August. It will be interesting to compare the accuracy of the forecasts.
  18. aslanxnumx Offline aslanxnumx
    aslanxnumx (Aslan) 27 July 2022 12: 57
    0
    Another storyteller, writing with a pitchfork on the water.
  19. Muscool Offline Muscool
    Muscool (Glory) 27 July 2022 13: 30
    0
    Quote: House 25 Sq. 380
    We "grind" mostly reservists,

    Bradok...
    hi

    Well, then explain why we have almost no officers in captivity?
    Because as soon as they understand that everything, the pipe. They depart along with the personnel vfushniks. Leaving for the meat reservists, who are ground and captured.
    Every day, telegram channels post videos with captured reservists, all as one say that the officers threw them and dumped them.
    1. Volkonsky Offline Volkonsky
      Volkonsky (Vladimir) 27 July 2022 14: 51
      0
      because the Armed Forces of Ukraine are built according to the NATO standard - on the front end there are sergeants, gentlemen officers at the command post and in the rear
  20. Anton Sheremetev (Anton Sheremetev) 27 July 2022 13: 38
    +2
    such articles cause nothing but a smile. I really want it to be so of course .... but the reality is a little different
  21. Vadim Sharygin Offline Vadim Sharygin
    Vadim Sharygin (Vadim Sharygin) 27 July 2022 14: 04
    +1
    Taking into account the fact that the confrontation between Russia and NATO is just beginning and is unlikely to end with a "peaceful victory" for one of the parties, but with a global tragedy, including a dramatic development of events for that side of the confrontation, which is now slow, fighting on foot, flaunting the use of small forces in solving critical issues. All citizens will have to pay for the upcoming total unpreparedness for the sudden emergence of other fronts of confrontation - with their lives, with the lives of their relatives and friends of military age, urgently thrown into battle. Everything around is now developing, as they say in cheap Russian TV rentals "in a serious way."
    1. Moray Boreas Offline Moray Boreas
      Moray Boreas (Morey Borey) 27 July 2022 14: 41
      -2
      Don't push. Be more simple. After all, it's only once to die ... and you also need to make fun during your lifetime. Why all the important and downcast walk? Dying like this with music! And this war is for a long time. And it will end in a nuclear conflict. Everything is leading up to this.
    2. Volkonsky Offline Volkonsky
      Volkonsky (Vladimir) 27 July 2022 14: 55
      -2
      your surname is not Girkin? read other garbage dumps - New Time, Medusa, they will tell you the whole truth there, the New York Times or the Politician do not even suggest
      You have been here for a week without a year, and already such conclusions, always judge a book only by its cover?

      https://topcor.ru/27006-pochemu-kerchenskij-most-i-baza-chernomorskogo-flota-ne-po-zubam-amerikanskim-himars.html
      Is there any objection to this text?
  22. Tixiy Offline Tixiy
    Tixiy (Tixiy) 27 July 2022 15: 00
    +5
    Well, yes, the author, protect the generals and admirals, they need it. I will only talk about three questions, and there are many, many more. Who prevented the admirals from taking care of the air defense and missile defense of ships? (I wouldn’t have to load land systems onto the deck). And so the situation is like in 1941, remember the memoirs of Eroshenko, the commander of "Tashkent", how he collected the air defense of the leader throughout the fleet? Who prevented the non-native child of the fleet from taking up aviation? (Experts talk and talked about this) Who prevented the generals from adopting BMPTs and heavy infantry fighting vehicles? They are still "thinking" about what is not clear.
  23. Vox Populi Offline Vox Populi
    Vox Populi (vox populi) 27 July 2022 16: 02
    0
    Summing up the intermediate results of the 5-month military campaign, we can already say that we have successfully completed the defeat of the most combat-ready group of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, concentrated in the Donbass. Officially, this can only be declared with the fall of Slavyansk and Kramatorsk, after which it remains only to clear Maryinka and Avdiivka, closing the ring behind them and inviting the defenders to surrender or die (for me, the latter is better, because artillerymen from these two settlements in Only fierce death awaits in Donetsk, I hope they understand this!). The Seversk-Soledar-Bakhmut line will fall in the next few days, for it is difficult to defend the cities located in the lowlands when the dominant heights are already occupied by the enemy. Attention is drawn to the withdrawal of personnel line units from there with their withdrawal to the Slavyansk-Kramatorsk line and their replacement with the unfired mobilization reserve of the 2nd and 3rd waves of mobilization. These people are deliberately thrown to the slaughter, and this reveals the whole bloody essence of the Kyiv regime, which is trying to prolong its wretched existence with corpses for at least another couple of months.

    Not so simple:

    Written by Fighting Cat Murz
    https://kenigtiger.livejournal.com/2166896.html
    In anticipation of the coming Verdun.
    While sitting for a couple of hours without communication, I had the opportunity to record some illustration on the topic of intentional or unintentional sabotage in the military efforts of the Russian Federation at the moment.
    1. Alexey Lan Offline Alexey Lan
      Alexey Lan (Alexey Lantukh) 27 July 2022 20: 32
      -1
      The author of the article is just a propagandist from Channel 1. And the news is not so great. Promotion is calculated in kilometers, not tens. The Ukrainians throw the mobilized old people to be slaughtered, but at the same time they are probably preparing good reserves with NATO weapons. Well, if by the New Year the front line will pass along the Dnieper, and without Kharkov, Zaporozhye and Dnepropetrovsk. And it will be a VICTORY.
      1. Volkonsky Offline Volkonsky
        Volkonsky (Vladimir) 27 July 2022 21: 17
        +1
        count at your leisure the mileage from Belgorod through Kharkov-Izyum to Severodonetsk-Lysichansk-Seversk. How many kilometers did it take?
        1. Alexey Lan Offline Alexey Lan
          Alexey Lan (Alexey Lantukh) 3 August 2022 23: 52
          0
          If kilometers are divided by days, how many? In addition, our group was advancing on Severodonetsk not from Belgorod, but from Shchastia.
  24. Sergei Fonov Offline Sergei Fonov
    Sergei Fonov (sergey fonov) 27 July 2022 16: 26
    +2
    Particularly pleased with "Who would have thought?" , in general, in the army there are special centers with specially trained people who, in accordance with job descriptions, are obliged to think, analyze and calculate situations, NWO in Ukraine did not happen suddenly, and even if we take 2014 as a starting point, then there was enough time to think.
  25. guest Offline guest
    guest 27 July 2022 16: 50
    +2
    Quote: Colonel Kudasov
    But if Gazprom does not finally cut off Ukraine from Russian gas, then the war will flare up in the spring with renewed vigor

    It is more important to cut off oil, without fuel, all vaunted Western aid turns into a pile of unnecessary iron.
  26. kriten Offline kriten
    kriten (Vladimir) 27 July 2022 17: 01
    0
    In an adjacent article on the site, the horrors of the Ukrainian armada's attack on Kherson have already been described. There he explained that there was nothing to defend himself with, aviation would be powerless, etc., etc.
  27. vlad127490 Offline vlad127490
    vlad127490 (Vlad Gor) 27 July 2022 17: 21
    0
    Soon it will be like five months of NWO marking time. What kind of victory are we talking about? At such a pace, this government will fight for 100 years. In 2024, the presidential elections in the Russian Federation, and by this date the liberals will prepare for victory.
    1. DK Offline DK
      DK (Dmitri Kruchinin) 28 July 2022 13: 56
      -2
      And what about elections in Russia?)))
      1. Expert_Analyst_Forecaster 28 July 2022 14: 09
        0
        You, on the territory of the former Ukraine, will not have elections for a long time.
        Enough, we have already chosen. After denazification, you can be admitted to local elections.
        Klitschko and others like him will no longer exist. So there will be no big trouble from your actions with the ballots.
  28. Expert_Analyst_Forecaster 27 July 2022 17: 43
    -2
    Quote: vlad127490
    this power

    The fifth column continues to work off their pieces of silver.
  29. shinobi Offline shinobi
    shinobi (Yuri) 27 July 2022 17: 49
    0
    The bottom line is that before winter, NATO must decide for itself whether it enters the war or not. Officially. No, which is most likely, then we won. If yes, then it will be a different war. there is no chance in this war. Tellingly, this is the opinion of Western independent experts. Yes, in fact, the US Congress is already openly talking about this.
    1. Expert_Analyst_Forecaster 27 July 2022 18: 02
      +1
      If NATO enters a war, then it is a nuclear war, fast and victorious for China.

      As an option, Poland can be pumped up with weapons and sent to Russia. Like NATO has nothing to do with it, and let Russia and Poland deal with each other. Plus, there is also Romania and three battalions from the Baltic states.
      But all this is unlikely.
      If the Poles go crazy, then (I haven’t written about this for a long time) then 80-100 nuclear pills may well completely cure Poland of megalomania.
      1. Expert_Analyst_Forecaster 28 July 2022 05: 51
        +2
        There is a point of view among authors and commentators that we will fight with NATO or Japan with conventional weapons. And my comments about the use of nuclear weapons by Russia were downvoted, as if I were offering to sell the Motherland.
        Meanwhile, an article was published on VO stating that American analysts have the same point of view. Moreover, no one there scares the Russians that they will certainly be destroyed, as my opponents often wrote.
  30. alexey alexeyev_2 (Alexey Alekseev) 27 July 2022 18: 33
    +1
    Don't say gop.. The war will last more than one year.. Until our leaders realize that Ukraine can only be defeated by hammering it into the Stone Age.
    1. Vox Populi Offline Vox Populi
      Vox Populi (vox populi) 28 July 2022 11: 25
      0
      Our leaders can be treated differently, but how do your personal statements (and obviously views) differ from the American imperialists during the Vietnam War?!
      1. alexey alexeyev_2 (Alexey Alekseev) 28 July 2022 11: 47
        0
        You are confusing a Chinese aircraft carrier with a finger .. The Vietnamese essentially remained a single nation. I don’t think that an ordinary South Vietnamese experienced such bestial hatred for a northerner as our non-brothers for Russians.
    2. DK Offline DK
      DK (Dmitri Kruchinin) 28 July 2022 13: 55
      -3
      Yah??? But who is already in the Stone Age!?)))))
  31. DK Offline DK
    DK (Dmitri Kruchinin) 28 July 2022 13: 53
    -2
    I can not with the author and this article!))))) It seems to me that he turned everything upside down. Everything will be exactly the opposite! HIMARS life-giving rocks!)))
  32. Expert_Analyst_Forecaster 28 July 2022 15: 11
    +1
    Good news:

    The Moscow Exchange announced that it will suspend trading in the Japanese yen from August 8, 2022. From the same date, Japanese currency will not be accepted as collateral for transactions. In addition, the Accounts Chamber of the Russian Federation recommended that the yen (as well as pounds and euros) be excluded from the structure of the National Welfare Fund.
    1. Nick rex Offline Nick rex
      Nick rex (Nick Rex) 29 July 2022 18: 21
      -2
      And what good is the loss of another trading partner? And what! A high-tech leader
      1. guest Offline guest
        guest 30 July 2022 01: 13
        +1
        What partner?
  33. vdr5 Offline vdr5
    vdr5 (Elephant) 30 July 2022 18: 52
    -1
    I would not give 65% of the implementation for such a scenario. Something intuitively suggests that the Armed Forces of Ukraine do not lose their combat effectiveness despite the losses, and in the autumn of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation unpleasant and painful surprises await. Kyiv uses the huge mobilization resource of Ukraine to the fullest. So it is heard that reserves are being formed, motivated and well-armed. I bet on a positional confrontation, Kramatorsk and Slavyansk, of course, will be taken sooner or later.
    1. Alexey Lan Offline Alexey Lan
      Alexey Lan (Alexey Lantukh) 3 August 2022 23: 46
      -1
      Kyiv, apparently, is forming trained reserves, but for now it is plugging the front with mobilized and untrained ones, while retaining officers as much as possible. At least that's what our soldiers and prisoners say. So the war will be long. And a long war is also a loss. Mistakes in the initial period of the operation go sideways.
  34. The comment was deleted.
  35. Remigiusz Offline Remigiusz
    Remigiusz (Remigiusz) 2 August 2022 18: 38
    0
    Mother Russia how are you sleeping Middle winter cold winds blow From the trees the snowflakes drifting Swirling round like ghosts in the snow Mother Russia poetry majestic Tells the time of a great empire Turning round the old man ponders Reminiscing an age gone by Mother Russia Dance of the Tsars Hold up your heads Be proud of what you are Now it has come Freedom at last Turning the tides of history And your past Mother Russia Dance of the Tsars Hold up your heads Remember who you are Can you release The anger the grief Can you be happy Now your people are free
  36. Grei grin Offline Grei grin
    Grei grin (Gray Grin) 2 August 2022 22: 36
    0
    I can answer this article like this, war is not a game of spillikins and pity, if it goes slowly out of love of God, the damage to personnel is enormous and they don’t tell us about it, if they release and exchange punishers, they get back into line and go to kill again, in the Second World War there were also civilians on the territory occupied by the Germans, but they bombed and fired as expected in order to destroy the enemy! And this special operation for the disposal of military trash from the EU and America, they send it to Ukraine so as not to spend money on disposal themselves! That's the whole secret!