National Interest: America can wait for Pearl Harbor 2.0

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The United States will not be able to confront China in the Far East without the European members of NATO, writes The National Interest. The recent mention of Beijing at the NATO summit may well indicate the beginning of such a turnaround, up to the possible extension of Article 5 on joint defense to the Pacific region.


Beijing's actions are not limited to the South China Sea, and the United States will need all the help it can get from democracies around the world to properly prepare to defend Taiwan.

- noted in an article on the website of The National Interest.

At the same time, as stated in the text, Europe should not consider the U.S. turn towards Asia as a simultaneous withdrawal from the Old Continent.

How can the participation of a military alliance be in demand in the vastness of the Asia-Pacific region?

The combination of NATO's heightened focus on China, US congressional delegations visiting Taiwan, and [President] Biden's repeated assurances that the United States will defend its Pacific ally could convince Beijing that Washington will side with Taipei anyway. As a result, the People's Liberation Army (PLA) may risk a first strike on American territory, even if the United States did not originally intend to support the island by military force.

- the article says.

It is worth noting here that this assumption is based on the fact that the People's Republic of China will actually repeat the strategy of the Japanese Empire in the early forties of the last century. Then the dictatorship ruling in Tokyo decided to attack the US Pacific colonies (Pearl Harbor, Guam, Philippines) in order to prevent the Americans from interfering in the process of appropriation by the Japanese of the oil-rich Dutch East Indies.

Further, in the article of the American web edition, the opinion is given that a hypothetical Chinese attack on American shores will automatically mean the entry into the conflict of Washington's European allies.

It is indicated that the NBC News Washington Bureau and the Center for a New American Security (CNAS) have already assembled a team of ex-Pentagon officials and experts on the Celestial Empire for a military game about landing on Taiwan. Scenarios have been mentioned in which China bombs US overseas territories, its military bases, and even the mainland with conventional or nuclear weapons.
  • Photos Used: United States Department of Defense
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  1. Observer2014 Offline Observer2014
    Observer2014 25 July 2022 14: 13
    +6
    The Chinese. These are not Japanese. From the word in general. And even more so since modern China is not even close to imperial Japan. But The National Interest. In general, not a highly intellectual publication in order to turn its precious attention to its next heresy.
    1. The comment was deleted.
    2. Vladimir Tuzakov Offline Vladimir Tuzakov
      Vladimir Tuzakov (Vladimir Tuzakov) 25 July 2022 14: 37
      -1
      War games are held on different variants. For some reason, you treat modern China this way, it has not been the same for a long time, modern and high-tech, like the national idea of ​​​​a common enemy, unites the PRC. For the Russian Federation, it may well be an example. And pressure on China with fear of its strengthening, the opposite effect is obtained. There is no doubt that Pearl Harbor will be there, the only question is when ...
  2. Bulanov Offline Bulanov
    Bulanov (Vladimir) 25 July 2022 14: 34
    +1
    China will first implement a naval blockade of Taiwan. If the United States intervenes (despite the fact that the United States officially considers Taiwan to be Chinese territory), then this will be regarded by China as a military intervention on China itself. Therefore, according to international logic, China will defend itself.
    It is then already possible to strike at the United States, sink aircraft carriers and land in California. And Russia, meanwhile, will return Alaska.
  3. zenion Offline zenion
    zenion (zinovy) 25 July 2022 15: 20
    0
    There is no need to be afraid that the second time will not happen. The states wanted Japan to attack them, the Japanese did it. Now the United States does not need it and it will not happen. Russian politicians dream that this will happen, but the fact is that it was not necessary to make countries with poverty out of the USSR. And the billionaires do not believe that they can live where they rob and therefore they did what the royal vassals did, money abroad.
    1. Vladimir Tuzakov Offline Vladimir Tuzakov
      Vladimir Tuzakov (Vladimir Tuzakov) 26 July 2022 12: 09
      -1
      (zenion) Pretty sketchy and confusing. Firstly, the blockade and the incessant Cold War did not allow the USSR to develop, plus the constant military threat forced the USSR to arm itself excessively, which is why there were so few people left. It was NATO that surrounded the USSR with constant provocations (the fate of Cuba is similar). There is no need to exalt today's United States so much, there are clearly destructive processes going on there. For example, a president with a syndrome of mental degradation was elected, and after all, candidates for elections must submit medical certificates about the possibility of performing presidential duties, while the candidate has already undergone brain surgery for a tumor. How did you pass the selection committee? This means that the basic laws are being violated, and this is a sign of collapse .. Of course, if the United States reaches a full confrontation with the growing power of China. As for Russian billionaire thieves (this is how English courts characterize Russian billionaires), it’s mostly not Russians (more Israelis), it’s their homeland, where money is stored and a foreign passport is at hand, and in the Russian Federation they can take away everything stolen.
  4. igorlvov Offline igorlvov
    igorlvov (Igor) 25 July 2022 16: 22
    0
    I remembered Damansky, the one that is an island ...
  5. Vox Populi Offline Vox Populi
    Vox Populi (vox populi) 26 July 2022 20: 09
    0
    Quote: Bulanov
    China will first implement a naval blockade of Taiwan. If the United States intervenes (despite the fact that the United States officially considers Taiwan to be Chinese territory), then this will be regarded by China as a military intervention on China itself. Therefore, according to international logic, China will be protected.
    It is then already possible to strike at the United States, sink aircraft carriers and land in California. And Russia, meanwhile, will return Alaska.

    lol Fabulous, write more!
    So: although Taiwan is a partially recognized state, it is supported by the United States, which is important. Do you know what a naval blockade means under international law? There will be no international logic (except for your personal positive one), otherwise the PRC would have implemented a power scenario long ago. By the way, will there be no retaliatory/counter strikes by the USA, Japan and (for example) South Korea against China?! And there will be no "returning" Alaska either ?! I don’t ask about the desire of the “Alaskans” to return to us ...
    1. Expert_Analyst_Forecaster Offline Expert_Analyst_Forecaster
      Expert_Analyst_Forecaster 27 July 2022 11: 05
      0
      Why does Russia need Alaska?

      China is not going anywhere. Although the Americans will begin to create military bases in Taiwan.
      USA, Japan, South Korea - these are the three arguments for China's obedience. Apart from Taiwan itself.
  6. usm5 Offline usm5
    usm5 (George) 26 July 2022 22: 50
    -1
    It is unlikely that China will enter into a military conflict. It has no tradition of holding victorious wars. There, at the gene level, fear of war reigns. In order for him to decide on a war with the United States, he needs to at least "train" on someone less strong. But the current alignment does not allow him to enter into conflicts with either India or Vietnam. Here, behind Russia's back, he can fight the United States. But does Russia need it now?
  7. Olga Taschilina Offline Olga Taschilina
    Olga Taschilina (Olga Taschilina) 31 July 2022 18: 54
    0
    Anything can happen and you have to be prepared for anything. Pelosi's plane took off from Hawaii. He is being followed.