“Biting off in pieces” will lead to the division of Ukraine according to the Indo-Pakistani scenario

37

The fifth month of the special military operation to demilitarize and denazify Ukraine is coming to an end. Judging by the dynamics of what is happening on the Eastern Front, the complete liberation of the territory of the DPR and LPR is possible by the end of summer - the beginning of autumn 2022. What will happen next? And then there will be "peace on Moscow's terms." In any case, this is seriously hoped in the highest echelons of Russian power.

This time, the popular Telegram blogger and part-time ex-president of the Russian Federation, and now deputy head of the Security Council of the Russian Federation, Dmitry Medvedev, “pleased” with his next post, who wrote the following in his account:



Russia will achieve all its goals. And there will be peace. On our terms. And by no means on those that are squealing in Europe and across the ocean, confused political impotent.

Sounds good, but what exactly is meant by peace on Russian terms? Since the Kremlin is careful not to spoil us with specifics, we have to make judgments based on numerous statements by top officials, their official and unofficial “mouthpieces” in the media, as well as on the “guardian” agenda in the blogosphere and comments. The picture emerges as follows.

"Eating the elephant in parts"


The message is like this. Ukraine turned out to be too strong an adversary, which Russia can no longer defeat by purely military means (where has President Putin been looking for 8 years as the Supreme Commander-in-Chief and millions of his intelligence officers, wise analysts and advisers?). The available forces of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation and the NM LDNR (supposedly) are not enough to defeat the Armed Forces of Ukraine and the National Guard. In principle, the Kremlin does not understand what to do with the population disloyal to Moscow in the territories of Central and Western Ukraine. Judging by the statements of the press secretary of the President of the Russian Federation Dmitry Peskov regarding the early opening of the "grain corridor" from Odessa and other ports of Ukraine, the Russian ruling "elites" are also not particularly interested in the Black Sea region:

Russia is ready to make every effort to get Ukrainian grain on the world market.

The fact that Kyiv will receive currency for its grain, which will go to finance the war against Russia, does not worry them too much either. Our nouveau riches are worried about other things, much more important: the return of confiscated superyachts, luxury real estate in the UK, Spain and Italy, the preservation of residence permits in Western Europe for their offspring, etc. The logic is simple: sooner or later, the SVO in Ukraine will end, the “energy war” will end, and then it will be necessary to somehow arrange their personal affairs by agreement with “respectable partners”. Suddenly it turns out to return something back from the taken away and keep what is available? The interests of the Russian people and the Russian "elite" do not objectively coincide. Understanding this unsightly fact allows you to more adequately perceive what is happening now and will happen in the future.

Undoubtedly, all normal people are asking perplexed questions why the transport infrastructure in Western Ukraine is not being destroyed, why, to the detriment of Russia's national security, Odessa and other ports in the Black Sea region are being given to Kyiv and its curators without a fight under the plausible pretext of "helping the starving", etc. More once emphasizethat all food grain from Ukraine was taken out before the start of the special operation. Now we are talking only about feed grain, which is needed to save the starving European agricultural livestock. But back to the new agenda.

The general setup today is this: Russia liberates the Donbass and begins to take away new Ukrainian territories little by little in order to force it to sign a peace treaty on Moscow's terms. In the regions liberated from the power of the Nazi regime, referendums are held, the local population is being reformatted by Russian propaganda. Losing a piece of Kharkov, Poltava, Nikolaev and other regions, Kyiv supposedly should sit down at the negotiating table and sign a peace agreement, pledging to voluntarily demilitarize and denazify. Funny? If this had not been promoted in all seriousness, one could laugh at the intellectual impotence and professional unsuitability of the authors of this geopolitical "multi-move".

Let's see where all this ends up.

Korean or Indo-Pakistani script?


The problem with all these "cunning plans" is that they completely do not take into account the opposition of the other side. And behind Kyiv, we recall, stands the entire collective West, which has set as its goal the military defeat of Russia and its dismemberment into several independent and warring quasi-states. While we are digging on the Left Bank, biting off a piece of Ukraine, the following processes will take place on the Right Bank.

At first, under the influence of Russophobic propaganda, the population of the former Nezalezhnaya will finally “go crazy” from hatred towards us. Put yourself in their place and try to imagine what people should think when a neighboring country takes away region after region, “funerals” come home, and all sorts of Telegram bloggers “on serious soup” talk about denazification, demilitarization and peace. In that Ukraine, where Russian troops will not reach, a whole new nation of clinical Russophobes will be formed, who fiercely hate all of us. That is exactly what will happen, no doubt about it.

SecondlyAs long as the border with Poland, Moldova and Romania is not blocked, Ukraine will receive more and more powerful offensive weapons. Already, these are long-range American MLRS and coastal complexes with Harpoon anti-ship missiles. Soon, modern air defense systems will appear there, which will nullify the operational superiority of the Russian Aerospace Forces in the air. The next logical step is the transfer of fourth-generation American fighters F-15 and F-16 to the Air Force. The training of Ukrainian pilots is already included in the budget of the Pentagon, but foreign military experts can also freely serve in the Armed Forces of Ukraine. Then, ground-based Aegis Ashore missile defense systems will be located near Kyiv, Lvov and Odessa, in which anti-missiles can be replaced within a day with Tomahawk attack cruise missiles. American "Axes" will be able to finish off not only to Moscow, but also to the Urals, destroying strategically important objects of the Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation and military-industrial complex enterprises.

Thirdly, the final finish will be the appearance of tactical nuclear weapons in Kyiv, which the British can transfer to it. The fact that such an attempt, apparently, has already been made by London, we told previously. At the same time, nothing will prevent him from creating a “dirty bomb” on his own, since radioactive materials are in abundance, technical the base is available, foreign experts will help if necessary.

Do I need to explain that after Ukraine acquires nuclear status, there will be no need to talk about any further expansion of Russian expansion?

Where our troops stop at that moment, there the Iron Curtain will pass - 2, and Russia will have to go on the defensive, completely rebuilding its air defense / missile defense system. Retired US Navy Admiral James Stavridis, former Commander-in-Chief of the North Atlantic Alliance in Europe, recently stated that everything is heading towards the partition of Ukraine according to the Korean scenario:

I see that this is leading to the end of the Korean War, that is, to a truce, a militarized zone between the two sides, an ongoing hostility, a kind of frozen conflict.

However, in the personal opinion of the author of these lines, what has been said As early as February 9, 2015, it would be more correct to draw parallels not with the division of Korea into the eternally warring North and South, but with the Indo-Pakistani conflict. Leaving, the British colonialists managed to pit the two parts of the former British India against each other. Now these are countries fiercely hating each other, between which there have already been three wars, in which more than half a million people died. The fact that both New Delhi and Islamabad both possess nuclear weapons is a deterrent and at the same time an aggravating factor. There is no end and no end to this conflict, which has been going on for almost 70 years.

This is the most realistic future of Russia and Ukraine, if this farce with "agreements" and an attempt to seat the Nazis at the negotiating table does not stop. We will be left with the Donbass, the Sea of ​​Azov (“Southern Corridor”) and a few pieces of the Kharkov and Nikolaev regions. All this will be destroyed by the war and will critically depend on water supplies through the Dnieper-Donbass canal, which will remain with Kyiv. That is, the configuration will be the most disadvantageous of all possible. Everything else will remain with the collective West, which will arm the Armed Forces of Ukraine in such a way that further advancement without unacceptable losses will become impossible and we will have to go on the defensive. And then we will have an endless conflict with anti-Russia, into which the former Square will finally turn. In 2025, when Europe will reduce its dependence on Russian energy carriers, it will actively begin interfere bloc NATO.
37 comments
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  1. +1
    20 July 2022 12: 33
    about which confused political impotents are squealing in Europe and overseas.

    Wah, but Putin, I remember, said "Whoever calls names - that's what they call." Everything is clear here, as the son was kicked out of Omeriki, and so it went ...

    And the rest is predictable from the outset, take a part, and “bite” the rest so that it doesn’t get ... i.e. career raw materials for yourself - Motor owl in conditional dust.
    There are only pluses for everyone - an external PR enemy, with which you can kill all the failures in the leadership (a rise in prices in Omerik, for example), and squeeze all the dissatisfied (the green ones there, Shredders, opponents of the arms race, etc.)
  2. +10
    20 July 2022 12: 54
    It looks like it's all leading up to this. The Second Army of the World turned out to be only on paper and videos on YouTube, where tanks and airplanes are scrupulously counted.
    In fact: for several weeks we are conducting bloody battles to recapture a farm of 40 houses. What are the progress in 5 months? None, local, not giving any strategic success. crests run trains, there are bridges, OUR gas flows through pipes and money is paid for transit. Air defense is not suppressed, aviation is not destroyed. There is no air supremacy at all. Goodwill gestures and ridiculous threats to hit the decision-making centers. The daily shelling of the Kursk, Bryansk, Belgorod regions was added to the shelling of Donetsk, the flagship of the Black Sea Fleet was ruined. For the peasants at the front, the people themselves collect money in telegram channels for copters, sights, cars and armor protection. We exchange filthy terrorists and terrorists from Azov. Europe is transporting weapons to Ukrainians in echelons, to kill our people, and we give them energy resources for this, gas and oil. The feeling of some kind of surrealism, as if it's not real, we play with toys. The saddest thing is that there are no changes in 5 months, voooooobshche. Let everything go by itself (((
  3. -8
    20 July 2022 13: 06
    the author again carries the Svidomo nonsense of his own spill, they will deliver missiles, ship missiles, nuclear weapons, etc. there. I strongly doubt that Ukrainians will independently learn how to work with foreign weapons. "The elephant is eaten in pieces." And they are doing the right thing, that in pieces, and not capturing as much territory as possible, which still needs to be held and cleared from the enemy, including all sorts of DRGs and "sleeping cells" of the Sbushniks. The entire military operation should have begun in this way, gradually biting into the territory. occupied by the Ukronazi Reich, methodically knocking out Ukronazi scum city after city, quarter after quarter, district after district.
    *However, in the personal opinion of the author of these lines, expressed back on February 9, 2015, it would be more correct to draw parallels not with the division of Korea into eternally warring North and South, but with the Indo-Pakistani conflict. Leaving, the British colonialists managed to pit the two parts of the former British India against each other. Now these are fiercely hating countries, between which there have already been three wars, in which more than half a million people died.*
    ALL Novorossia will be ours, and not Kherson region with the DPR and DPR, i.e. The Odessa region will also be liberated from the Nazis and this is not even discussed. Ukroreich will not have either a land army or a fleet, especially the second one, because. he could not reasonably dispose of the Soviet legacy in the form of the Black Sea Fleet and shipyards and factories. Ukroreich itself can be and will remain in partial form, as a buffer zone between NATO countries and Russia, nothing more. Appointees from the US and EU countries will be in charge there, and the bloody clown, if he survives, will continue to fulfill his role as the "president" of the banana republic, as long as it is needed in the West. As soon as he plays his role, he will be immediately removed, it is possible that physically, because. it is unacceptable for the West to allow his hypothetical capture and trial by Russia and the republics of the LPR and DPR. The clown knows too much of what will be useful in the trial of him and the identification of all the specific customers of this war in the West, from presidents to generals and the top of NATO.
    1. +1
      20 July 2022 13: 32
      the author again carries the Svidomo nonsense of his own spill, they will deliver missiles, ship missiles, nuclear weapons, etc. there. I strongly doubt that Ukrainians will independently learn how to work with foreign weapons.

      Here is your answer
      https://topcor.ru/26952-udar-rszo-himars-prishelsja-po-rossijskoj-rls-v-hersonskoj-oblasti.html
      What are our UAVs, by the way, special in nonsense?
      1. 0
        21 July 2022 07: 17
        What `s next? Does this radically change something in terms of the destruction of these very rocket launchers of the Russian Aerospace Forces? As long as the West supplies weapons to Ukraine, this will continue many times. Judging by how many years Nenka has been pumped up with these very rocket launchers, artillery and anti-tank systems, heavy UAVs, not to mention small arms, mobile field hospitals, all sorts of Kevlar junk, tactical helmets, night vision devices, etc.?
        See https://ria.ru/20220706/minoborony-1800633880.html
    2. 0
      27 July 2022 09: 38
      Well, let them deliver, our guys through UAVs and other guidance systems will quickly calculate and destroy them ...

      Yes, of course, they will "calculate and destroy." Just like they calculated and destroyed the M777 howitzers and HIMARS launchers, which are still firing! Easy to say, but not as easy to do as the facts show! See things for real!
  4. +6
    20 July 2022 13: 21
    The "elite" of the Russian Federation is not interested in the future of the Russian people, this "elite" is in fact NATO. Yeltsin left behind chicks that grew into predators. The "biting off the pieces" tactic is the Army's own survival tactic when the political leadership plays games to the detriment of the country's interests. "Elite" is looking for how to conclude a peace treaty in Ukraine on any losing terms for the Russian Federation, but on conditions that do not lead to infringement of their property and power. The "elite" of the Russian Federation has shown its weakness and now NATO will finish off the Russian Federation to the end together with the "elite", which will not have time to escape. To resolve the issue of Ukraine in favor of the Russian Federation, it is necessary to issue two Laws.
    1 Law. RF - Russia is the successor - successor of the Russian Empire (1917) and the Union of Soviet Socialist Republics (1991).
    2 Law. In accordance with Law No. 1 on succession, consider the territory of Ukraine the property of the Russian Federation - Russia.
    You can, as now, fight without a goal, as in computer games.
  5. +6
    20 July 2022 14: 09
    "Nationalization of the elites", like import substitution, failed to hell. Personally, I am simply shocked by the stupidity and greed of our elites, who believe that as soon as we stop the war with crests, everything will immediately return, and they will live as before - with real estate in Miami and London, with assets in Italy and Germany, with families in Nice and Barcelona. No, this will not happen. If we stop - we will lose, if we lose - the West will clean up everyone who fancied himself the Russian "elite". He will clean it to zero, into dust, leave him without a penny and a roof over his head, find everything "acquired by overwork", from all relatives up to the tenth generation. And our country will be ruled by Polish and Baltic gauleiters. How can you not realize all this - I do not understand.
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    1. +3
      20 July 2022 14: 32
      Mr Andrey,
      There is a lot of controversy in the publications of your namesake. But your intention, in the absence of counter-arguments (!), to close his mouth is unworthy!
      To call for help from law enforcement agencies and the military registration and enlistment office, you need to have a moral right for this: "Have you signed up as a volunteer?" ;-(
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  8. +2
    20 July 2022 15: 01
    As long as the other side is counting on escalation, we will have to move forward, so the scenario of moving "piece by piece" is the most realistic.
    It would be right to immediately announce the goals (as was done on February 24) and make a “blitzkrieg”, but now the moment has been lost + our bosses are not so confident in themselves, so they cannot speak differently. I would like to hope that this talking shop is a purely situational story.
  9. +1
    20 July 2022 15: 08
    Quote: Oleg Dmitriev
    "if we lose, the West will clean up everyone who imagined themselves to be the Russian "elite". Clean them up to zero, into dust, leave them penniless and have a roof over their heads, find everything "acquired by overwork", from all relatives up to the tenth generation. And our country Polish and Baltic Gauleiters will steer

    I'm wildly sorry, but what is the problem of the Polish and Baltic Gauleiters?
    Will they give a damn about the country, will they pump out oil and gas, destroying industry, take what they earn here to the West and issue Western passports to their heirs?
    Well, this is absolutely the same thing that "our" elites have been doing for the last 30 years.
    Nothing will change for the average citizen.
  10. 0
    20 July 2022 15: 12
    Where do you get all this from?
    Who is interested in your defeatist, all-propalist thoughts?
    We haven’t really fought yet, we definitely have a special operation, no?
    Mobilization announced? Has the industry been transferred to a military footing?
    Are we carpet bombing cities, destroying infrastructure, electric and hydroelectric power plants, stations and railways, ports and airfields?
    But we could, and I think we will do it when it’s safe
    The ones you refer to don't solve anything
    Everything will be decided by Putin and Shoigu, and the people supporting them
    While everything is going well, we have nowhere to hurry, is that itching for you?
    Do you have hot water or heating? Maybe you don't have enough parmisan, or something?
    What is itching for you?
    1. -1
      20 July 2022 15: 42
      Where do you get all this from?
      Who is interested in your defeatist, all-propalist thoughts?

      No problem. Don't like it, don't read smile
  11. 0
    20 July 2022 15: 17
    If you believe Lavrov, then Russia will definitely not be limited to Donbass alone. https://360tv.ru/news/mir/geograficheskie-zadachi-rossii-v-hode-spetsoperatsii-izmenilis-lavrov/
    1. 0
      27 July 2022 07: 57
      It is necessary to denazify and demilitarize at least the entire left-bank Khokhland! And then we'll see.
  12. +2
    20 July 2022 16: 56
    Ukraine turned out to be too strong an adversary, which Russia can no longer defeat by purely military means (where has President Putin been looking for 8 years as the Supreme Commander-in-Chief and millions of his intelligence officers, wise analysts and advisers?).

    Right; But the question is purely rhetorical...

    the finish line will be the appearance of tactical nuclear weapons in Kyiv, which the British can transfer to it.

    But this is a very free "assumption", without comment ...

    if this farce with "agreements" and an attempt to seat the Nazis at the negotiating table does not stop.

    Let's be honest with ourselves - neo-Nazis and "simply" extreme nationalists are rather an instrument of the Ukrainian authorities, on which the truth itself depends (although probably somewhat less than from the so-called West, or maybe not).

    That is, the configuration will be the most disadvantageous of all possible. Everything else will remain with the collective West, which will arm the Armed Forces of Ukraine in such a way that further advancement without unacceptable losses will become impossible and we will have to go on the defensive. And then we will have an endless conflict with anti-Russia, into which the former Square will finally turn. In 2025, when Europe will reduce its dependence on Russian energy carriers, the NATO bloc will begin to actively intervene in it.

    It is quite and even very likely development of events, alas ...
  13. +1
    20 July 2022 17: 39
    Only one winter spent by Ukraine without Russian gas can dramatically change it for the better)
    1. 0
      25 November 2022 16: 05
      But we still continue to supply them with gas and even regularly pay for transit.
  14. +2
    20 July 2022 17: 51
    The article is interesting, the author logically substantiates his thoughts. There are too many sharp questions for the President as the Supreme Commander-in-Chief. The so-called "parterres" of Putin, he loves this expression. Each time, everything is bolder and bolder, and not only in Ukraine. ... Example: - The United States decided to supply impoverished Estonia with MLRS worth 500 million dollars, with a range of 300 km! Hello St. Petersburg!
    1. -1
      20 July 2022 23: 42
      Quote: Dust
      Example: - The USA decided to put poor Estonia

      Are you into populism? I put you a plus - after all, everything is for his sake, or from ignorance?
      Population :
      Estonia less than 1.5 million - exports more than 15 billion ... (2021)
      Russia ~ 150 million - less than 500 billion exports (2021) in the bulk of raw materials ...
      GDP :
      Estonia - PPP-42000$, Denomination $27000 for one est.
      Russia - PPP-33000$ , Denomination 12000$...
      Minimum wage:
      Estonia , January 2022 - 654€
      Russia , June 2022 - ...€ ? ...$?---15000₽
      If so Estonia beggar then what can you say about Russia? The language is spinning, but voice patriotism
      does not allow?
      1. +3
        21 July 2022 02: 51
        1/3 of the Estonian budget consists of subsidies from the European Union. It is so dependent on euro subsidies that in many areas nothing is done with local funds. After all expenses, therefore, if there were no EU funds, Estonians would have only six percent of free budget money.
        1. 0
          21 July 2022 08: 31
          Quote: Dust
          1/3 of the Estonian budget consists of subsidies from the European Union.

          Even if so (of course, you won’t bother to provide a link to this), then even without this third of the 13,5 billion euros, the Estonian budget per capita can be calculated and compared with the Russian
          can you do it yourself? ... Well, not in favor of rich Russia ...
        2. +1
          21 July 2022 08: 35
          Quote: Dust
          After all expenses, therefore, if there were no EU funds, Estonians would have only six percent of free budget money.

          What else for "free funds" - a surplus or what?
        3. 0
          21 July 2022 09: 44
          The budget of Estonia is replenished, including by Russia, transshipment of oil products and other cargoes through its ports. For some reason, not everyone wants to transship through St. Petersburg. Here, they recently reported that fuel oil is supplied to the Saudis through Estonia from Russia ...
  15. +1
    21 July 2022 10: 08
    It seems that some people are getting ahead of themselves through the formation of public opinion in order to set red flags for Putin in the hope that he will not go after them). There is an option when the forces of the LPR and DPR are legal successors for the liberation of the entire territory of Ukraine. Therefore, no one will join them in the Russian Federation until this task is completed. This will be a proxy war for several years, while the armed forces of the DNR and LNR will accumulate
  16. 0
    21 July 2022 12: 30
    We will bite off the very Polish borders, and then we'll see.
  17. +1
    22 July 2022 19: 40
    Ukraine turned out to be too strong an adversary, which Russia can no longer defeat by purely military means...

    what kind of nonsense? The Russian Federation is fighting 3 times less force, if we count only the Ukrainian army. And if all NATO is generally 10 times less. And the Russian Federation has no goal to destroy. If I wanted to destroy it, there are nuclear weapons. And 2 hours of time. The goal is to free Ukraine from banderlogs. Save your army and a maximum of normal Ukrainians.
    1. -1
      29 July 2022 16: 16
      If we are at war with Ukraine for so long, what will happen in the war with NATO? A day, and there is no Russia?
      1. 0
        29 July 2022 16: 22
        You still don’t understand. NATO is not interesting to us either as a people or as a territory. They are enemies. Nuclear missiles and after 2 hours there is neither London nor Paris nor Berlin. And we will forget about Poland in general. every quarter and the population is saved.
    2. 0
      29 July 2022 16: 19
      And enough already about the smaller force. And why not use normal force, albeit without nuclear weapons? There is nothing worse than a protracted war of attrition.
      1. 0
        29 July 2022 16: 32
        Tomorrow, to the draft board and to the war, do you agree? Because professionals are involved and take care of people. There is no point in crowding 3-4-5-story concrete bunkers.
  18. 0
    24 July 2022 23: 26
    "Interfere"?
    Considering that the Government of the Russian Federation not only consists of the most highly gifted and literate people, but is also headed by the smartest and most brilliant person in Russia, is it obvious that the Government and the person to whom the government is subordinate - FOREIGHT this RESULT? Can't they foresee?
    And if they foresee and go to him, is it obvious that this is exactly what they want?
    After all, it can't be otherwise, can it?
    And why should the government and ... the boss, let's call him so politely, strive for this?
    The answer to this question suggests some ... dangerous.
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  22. 0
    27 July 2022 09: 44
    The author, hohlandia has been anti-Russia for 8 years now! Our conflict with them began in 2014. And the NATO bloc has long been involved in this conflict for a long time!
  23. 0
    27 July 2022 12: 56
    Pay no attention to this author. The words are beautiful, but the judgments of a teenager.
  24. 0
    29 July 2022 16: 01
    I look at this "operation" ... Well, we don't have Stalin, Zhukov and Rokossovsky. Otherwise, everything would be completely different. "Glory to Gorbachev! And glory to Yeltsin!"
  25. 0
    29 July 2022 16: 13
    As we used to say: "We need ALL Ukraine." It looks like ours will be the one they leave us. It was necessary to fight in the 14th, with a dead Ukraine. The 14th still came to us.
  26. 0
    29 July 2022 16: 22
    What I want to say... Bravo! Anglo-Saxons, as always, WON! And divided like India and Pakistan)))