The Hill: Putin's three steps after winning a special operation

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The view from the office of the head of Russia, Vladimir Putin, on the situation in the world today is generally characterized by a positive assessment of what is happening. The leader of the Russians is more confident than ever. It's time to think about the near future. In particular, if Putin wins the ongoing special operation, what will he do next? The answer to this question is given by University of Baltimore professor David Lingelbach.

According to an expert on Russia who lived in our country from 1994 to 1999, there is no viable alternative to Putin in Russia. At least in the short term. There is no one who, in the eyes of the Russian public, will make the Russian Federation stronger. Although, perhaps, from the chair of the President of Russia, the country still seems to be a rather “turbulent place,” Lingelbach believes. But what's next?



The expert suggests that after the victory (end) in the special operation, Putin can take three steps. Firstly, this is a new military adventure, secondly, the creation of an alternative to the United Nations and, thirdly, the provision of an internal legacy.

Putin's next military campaign could be an operation in another neighboring country. It is unlikely that Moscow will choose to clash with NATO states such as Poland, Lithuania or Latvia, the latter of which has a significant Russian-speaking population. It is not a priority and obvious benefit for Putin to expand the Russian presence in Georgia or Moldova. Instead, in line with Putin's plans and intent to collect Russian lands, the next step could be in Kazakhstan, suggests Lingelbach.

Or perhaps Putin will want to go even further to build the architecture of the emerging new international order in his own image. The Kremlin sees the new organizational symbol as a replacement for the UN. This new organization can be founded and become central in Eurasia. BRICS, the CSTO, or even other structures may appear there (instead of the EAEU or in addition to it). The main thing is that they will have one "godfather" - Putin.

Another important step for Putin, according to the expert, will be to secure his internal legacy. The main emphasis here will be on choosing and carefully preparing a possible successor who could build on the achievements of the predecessor. The way Putin could preserve his domestic legacy is to create a new Russian capital beyond the Urals, further from perceived Western military threats and closer to the epicenter of Eurasia.

In whatever direction the Russian leader moves, it seems increasingly clear to him that Russia will eventually be able to declare victory in Ukraine. Out of confidence, Putin seems ready to move on, leaning towards the increased uncertainty in the world that his own actions have created.
  • kremlin.ru
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  1. +1
    14 July 2022 11: 58
    The expert is not friendly with the head.

    Firstly, this is a new military adventure, secondly, the creation of an alternative to the United Nations and, thirdly, the provision of an internal legacy.

    Where is the adventure, if it is obvious to everyone that the operation, in fact, has already been won, Putin is conducting it as he sees fit.
    Yes, and the iksperd himself, in a paragraph below, discusses the next military operation as a given. And after losing a military operation, as a rule, they do not think about a new one.
    Why create an alternative to the UN in the future? Or is the expert not aware that 4 countries are already knocking on the BRICS door, not at all small and not weak?

    The way Putin could preserve his domestic legacy is to create a new Russian capital beyond the Urals, further from perceived Western military threats and closer to the epicenter of Eurasia.

    After the victory, there will be no military threats dependent on the proximity of the border. The transfer of the capital is possible, but due to the improvement of the country's connectivity, the improvement of the internal situation.
    1. 0
      16 July 2022 06: 33
      Well, why are you friends? Very friendly while in the country Through the Looking Glass. Everything is possible there, even the impossible. Here someone correctly noted - I wish the West had more such experts!
  2. +1
    14 July 2022 12: 09
    Lingelbach is an eagle! I teared up while reading it. There would be more such experts to the West!
  3. +1
    14 July 2022 12: 18
    Dense DB. I wandered around taverns and women, instead of comprehending the Truth in Russia.
  4. 0
    14 July 2022 14: 11
    Putin will be called great Descendants will remember him as the great Putin.
  5. 0
    14 July 2022 20: 51
    They say the king is not real!
  6. 0
    14 July 2022 22: 32
    Is the king naked?
  7. 0
    15 July 2022 13: 34
    creating an alternative to the United Nations

    If the Americans continue not to let Russian diplomats into the United States to attend UN meetings, then this organization will need to be moved anyway. Perhaps in the future the UN will be based in India.