Why did the dollar and the euro start to rise again in Russia?

July 5 2022 17

On July 5, in the process of trading on the Moscow Exchange, the US dollar crossed the mark of 60 rubles, which happened for the first time since June 8, and the euro reached 62 rubles for the first time since June 10. The expert community drew attention to this, explaining why foreign currency quotes began to grow again in Russia.

The situation is expected. By the fourth quarter, we will see the dollar for 70, but no one will let it rise above 80 rubles, since these are the same losses for our economicslike about 50

- wrote political scientist, economist and blogger Konstantin Dvinsky on his Telegram channel, commenting on the situation and expressing his personal opinion.

The expert clarified that this trend has two reasons. The first is objective. Imports to Russia began to recover. New logistics chains are emerging, issues with money transfers are getting better, and parallel imports have started to work.

The second is subjective. What is happening is influenced by the removal of currency restrictions by the Bank of Russia and the Ministry of Finance. The expert pointed out that the Bank of Russia allowed individuals to withdraw up to $1 million a month abroad (previously it was allowed to transfer $150), and the Ministry of Finance allowed exporters to direct their foreign exchange earnings to foreign accounts.

This, of course, is complete sabotage.

- the expert argues.

Dvinsky believes that if there is a large amount of foreign currency, then you need to find ways to use it, and not refuse cash flows. He stressed that if the state, for example, needs a dollar for 75 rubles, then there are many options for how to do this. However, the Bank of Russia always becomes indignant when it is offered to make quotes manageable, insisting on its point of view - to adhere to a “floating rate”.

Got it already, by God. Another robbery of the country

- summed up Dvinsky.

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tkot973

+3

5 July 2022 18: 37
In my humble opinion, an expert is either disingenuous or he is not an expert.
Below are two charts, the ruble-dollar, and oil-dollar.
I think the correlation is XNUMX%.

And you don't need any experts.
Everything is simple. The treasury needs grandmas.
And the more the better, especially now.
1. Expert_Analyst_Forecaster
  
  +1
  
  6 July 2022 12: 06
  
  political scientist, economist and blogger Konstantin Dvinsky
  
  Boys and girls of different ages, without education and life experience, earn money using the Internet. Who can.
Materialist

+4

5 July 2022 20: 57

..then you need to find ways to use it, and not give up cash flows.

absolutely right . spend, for example, on strengthening the fleet, creating production facilities (purchasing equipment)
1. berezinp
  
  +1
  
  6 July 2022 18: 14
  
  This requires rubles and not dollars ... The West does not sell us anything for dollars, only goods for the consumer market, everything else is prohibited ...
Demonlivi

-9

5 July 2022 22: 56

A dollar on the black market is 94 rubles! Where did you see a dollar for 60 rubles! Rave
1. berezinp
  
  0
  
  6 July 2022 18: 13
  
  You, my friend, are confusing a cash dollar with a non-cash one ... In general, why does an ordinary Russian need a cash dollar from the black market? More important, I think the exchange rate of a non-cash dollar, for example, which affects the price on aliexpress, for example! There, the exchange rate is usually the same as on the stock exchange + 10-15% (conversion, transfer commission, etc.) ...
cooper

+4

6 July 2022 01: 26

Because some liberals-inagents and traitors dug in in the financial and economic segment of the leadership, IMHO.
Bulanov

+5

6 July 2022 10: 42

The expert pointed out that the Bank of Russia allowed individuals to withdraw up to $1 million a month abroad (previously it was allowed to transfer $150), and the Ministry of Finance allowed exporters to direct their foreign exchange earnings to foreign accounts.

Tell me, what kind of individuals are they, withdrawing 1 million dollars a month for the cordon? Do they pay taxes to the treasury of the Russian Federation, and if so, what kind? And what are their profits?
And when money is arrested again on foreign accounts of exporters, will the state again have to help out of its own pocket?
And why does a strong dollar not hinder the development of the United States, and a strong ruble hinders the development of the Russian Federation? Maybe the wrong economists are running the industry?
1. special correspondent
  
  0
  
  7 July 2022 11: 18
  
  And why does a strong dollar not hinder the development of the United States, and a strong ruble hinders the development of the Russian Federation?
  
  Indeed, if a "weak national currency" is so beneficial to the state, then why do not such countries as Venezuela and others in Latin America and African countries with their national currencies constantly falling "in the trash" flourish? But Switzerland, Britain and others - with their "hard" currency live quite well. Some kind of lie .. The "weak, constantly weakening" national currency is beneficial only to the oligarchs in order to pay less (in terms of hard currency) to their workers and rob them more, and the loot is still "taken away" to hostile NATO countries .
Jarilo

+3

6 July 2022 11: 45

The expert pointed out that the Bank of Russia allowed individuals to withdraw up to $1 million a month abroad (previously it was allowed to transfer $150), and the Ministry of Finance allowed exporters to direct their foreign exchange earnings to foreign accounts.

You can list these individuals in the studio.
That again we will wait for foreign investment. By the way, in our city a whole minister was appointed for foreign investment.
What is it - we get our money out of the country, and we run with bows for foreign investments.
Where is the investment in fixed assets? The state, which has completely withdrawn from the economy and hopes only for foreign countries ("foreign countries will help us" - this is actually a White Guard slogan and somehow did not help much, they robbed mostly).
1. berezinp
  
  0
  
  6 July 2022 18: 11
  
  And if an ordinary person sells his house in order to leave Russia, why can't he withdraw his earned money?
2. k7k8
  
  0
  
  7 July 2022 09: 08
  
  Quote: Jarilo
  We have a whole city the Minister appointed for foreign investment
  
  This is especially touching - the minister of the city (region). Divorced these ministers that fleas on a dog. Which minister is this? This is the usual beginning. management of the mountains (region) of the executive committee!
Sergey Pavlenko

+1

6 July 2022 13: 31

For a simple layman, regardless of whether he is a patriot or not, these courses are of little interest to him, it is much more important that a person could come to an exchanger and exchange his rubles for currency, so that at least once a year to go and relax in the same Turkey or another country . They write correctly in the comments, why is the official rate 60, and in exchangers 90? I don’t give a damn about all the problems of the Ministry of Finance and other figures who have dug in around him, the exchange rate should be commensurate with salaries and pensions, and if this is not the case, then plant the Minister of Finance and all his entourage every year (not forgetting about the employees and leaders of the Central Bank .. .), so that they know that, first of all, they need to think about the people, and not about those who can withdraw a million bucks a month, ordinary people never dreamed of such grandmothers .... Where does the Central Bank look if banks overestimate exchange rates at times and where all these price regulators are looking, because this is a conspiracy - the central bank rate is one, and in all banks the rate of selling and buying currency is many times different, and it differs between banks by 1-2 rubles, here you have collusion! !! This is where the enemies of Russia are sitting ... where SMERSH, when it appears and starts working, the people endure for a long time, but this patience also has a limit ...
1. berezinp
  
  -1
  
  6 July 2022 18: 17
  
  Sergei, who is stopping you from going to Turkey? Banks there perfectly accept MIR cards ... Yes, there is a limit on withdrawals per day of no more than 10000 lira, in my opinion, but it should be enough for you, well, withdraw a couple of times ... You understand that there is no cash dollar, that it is under sanctions, we need it can't be imported! And the cash that was before February 24 is essentially a strategic reserve of the state, do you propose to spend it on holidays in Turkey? Are you normal?
  1. Sergey Pavlenko
    
    +1
    
    6 July 2022 18: 45
    
    I’m normal and just returned from Turkey, that’s why I wrote this comment, lira is not always and everywhere needed, but what about a trip to relatives in the same Europe? There, Mir does not roll and you need either cash, and they are sold in banks without restrictions, but with a crazy cheat, or you need a card from another bank that is not under sanctions, so you shouldn’t judge a person’s normality without understanding what’s what .. .., or are you one of the employees of these exchange offices that profit from people???
2. berezinp
  
  0
  
  6 July 2022 18: 19
  
  God, people endure for a long time))) what kind of people are they if they lust for enemy currency? You are the first enemy of the people, with your trips to Turkey you contribute to the withdrawal of prosperity from the country! The main task of the government is to make sure that everyone can build a beautiful comfortable house, raise at least 3 children, have a good, well-paid job, so that it does not burden people too much, so that the elderly have such a pension that will allow each of them to relax in resorts South of Russia, the Caucasus and the Far East! And these goals do not correlate with the dollar exchange rate! More precisely, to fulfill these goals, the ruble exchange rate should not be strong, it should be optimal, now it is 75-80 rubles ... And you, with your Turkeys, Courchevels, iPhones and other rubbish, are completely crazy ...
  1. Sergey Pavlenko
    
    -1
    
    6 July 2022 18: 47
    
    Well, yes, the dreams of a village inhabitant, who has not seen anything but his puddle in the village, give you away with his head, so relax in your swamp ... and if you think that banks are doing the right thing by winding up such interest on buying foreign currency, it means you are one of them...