American Institute for the Study of War: A new form of mobilization may appear in Russia


From the very beginning of the special operation in Ukraine, rumors persisted in Russia about the need (or inevitability) of a general or partial mobilization of persons subject to conscription for the needs of accelerating the SVO, bringing it to its logical end. However, in practice, the matter may turn into the appearance of the predicted "mobilization", only in its original, completely different form. This conclusion was made by the experts of the American analytical center dedicated to the study of war (ISW).


According to the researchers of the Institute for the Study of War, the leadership of the Russian Federation, on the basis of practical material obtained over several months of the military campaign in Ukraine, came to the conclusion that it is necessary to prepare the economy countries to "special obligations". Some documents of this period directly speak of the desire to support the special operation and other areas related to it.

The justified conclusions of the ISW about the beginning of the preparation of the Russian authorities for such an economic restructuring of the entire system indicate a very likely scenario of mobilization, in which not people, but finances and money will be called up. This assumption is based on the already existing serious mechanism of encumbrance of big business, subordinated to the state.

In this case, a large business close to the authorities, represented by Gazprom, received new taxes and additional mandatory contributions to the budget. As you know, it was precisely such “special” obligations that prevented the energy giant from paying dividends to shareholders for the past year, which led to serious unrest in the stock market.

After "running in" the mechanism for applying such economic "mobilization" of capital, it will be applied to the entire Russian economy as a whole. According to foreign experts, the Russian system of financial relations can no longer function in its former, “civilian” format just for the sake of maintaining profitability, existence, and stability of the social balance. Therefore, the burden on the entire business will increase.

Of course, it is more than obvious that the transition of the economy completely to military "rails", as it was during the Great Patriotic War, when everything was subordinated and worked for the front, will not, and indeed is impossible for many reasons. But the new taxes to fuel a major geopolitical project being implemented in Ukraine will cause some serious changes in the day-to-day activities for legal entities.

Russian President Vladimir Putin gave ten years to the economy to restore and increase prosperity for a reason. All this time the system must exist. No one can guarantee that there will not be more large-scale changes, cataclysms and shifts much earlier that will change everything, but in any case, the "mobilization" of the economy on two fronts - peaceful and military - is simply caused by a vital necessity.
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  1. Alexander Popov Offline Alexander Popov
    Alexander Popov (Alexander Popov) 3 July 2022 08: 29
    -2
    Of course, it is more than obvious that the transition of the economy completely to military "rails", as it was during the Great Patriotic War, when everything was subordinated and worked for the front, will not, and indeed is impossible for many reasons.

    Of course it won't.
    Everything is in private hands, the private property, especially of the "oligarchs", is inviolable.
    As long as the current political regime hostile to Russia exists, there will be no change.
    We need the restoration of socialism - the nationalization of land, natural resources, means of production - factories and plants, the transfer of power to the people.
    The mediocrity in carrying out the so-called SVO is obvious. Belgorod is already being bombed today, houses are on fire, people are dying.
    Will we wait for the Ukrainian fascists to hit the Kremlin?
    1. House 25 Sq. 380 (House 25 Sq. 380) 4 July 2022 00: 53
      +1
      Over 70% of the Russian economy belongs to the state....
      hi
  2. Bakht Offline Bakht
    Bakht (Bakhtiyar) 3 July 2022 09: 58
    +2
    Very often the thesis "We can repeat" was repeated!
    They mean the military component. I will not dispute or comment.
    But it is also necessary to "repeat" economic achievements. The slogan "Everything for the front, everything for the Victory" must also be repeated.

    Days and nights at open-hearth furnaces
    Our homeland didn’t close


    here is what needs to be repeated. Don't care about business.
  3. Moray Boreas Offline Moray Boreas
    Moray Boreas (Morey Borey) 3 July 2022 10: 43
    +3
    You just need to remove the bloodsuckers from the body of Russia - the oligarchs. Shoot them and their henchmen.
    1. Alexey Davydov Offline Alexey Davydov
      Alexey Davydov (Alexey) 3 July 2022 13: 21
      -1
      Why so cool?
      Russia does not yet have another economic bond, and the interests of this one are connected with its fate, even if the oligarchs themselves do not understand this, or do not accept it. Bye.
      Reality is inexorable. The hegemon has enough of its parasites. After subjugating Russia, he will take everything they have from these people and crush them like fat caterpillars on asphalt. Without regret.
      The stupidity of the oligarchs is understandable - they are used to living in their own interests, and in order to survive, it was necessary to raise Russia all this time. As long as she is strong, she is the only protection for them in this world.
      Probably their absurd, convulsive attempt to correct the situation, combined with the professionalism of the Foreign Ministry, was also our ultimatum to the West. They realized it.
      Since it is they who run the country behind Putin's back, we need to seek consensus with them in order to survive together and find a future. For them, this is also a chance to be reborn, and get their place in the future of a new, strong and self-sufficient Russia.
      However, all this can only happen on the basis of forcing the Hegemon to retreat on all positions as an immutable imperative.
      We have very little time for this, if any.
  4. alexey alexeyev_2 (Alexey Alekseev) 3 July 2022 16: 03
    -1
    Nemchura, in her theoretical explorations before the First World War, devoted a lot to the role of finance. So what? After a couple of years of the war, I staggered from hunger .. I see something similar now. We have Even a full-fledged ruble, if you put it in a cannon, it won’t shoot .. Vlad ... Vlad .. can it be enough to play nobility? One dog No one will appreciate your impulses. And for starters, lift all restrictions on volunteers. Personally, I know dozens of people who are ready to go to war with fascism for a lot of pence .. We grew up in the USSR .. If Russia caves in, nothing shines for my children and grandchildren. You need to start fighting seriously. And for start, send this talker Konoshenko to resign
  5. ivan2022 Offline ivan2022
    ivan2022 (ivan2022) 3 July 2022 20: 00
    0
    for many reasons, full mobilization is not possible.

    First of all, because big business is international.
    And also because any business wants to plunder their own country and warm their hands on high military prices.
    I guess that during the Second World War, this is why the high-tech Germans produced 1400 Tiger tanks, and the USSR - 6 thousand heavy tanks.
    1. Alexey Davydov Offline Alexey Davydov
      Alexey Davydov (Alexey) 3 July 2022 20: 44
      +2
      As for the internationality of our oligarchs, I doubt it.
      However, there is, unfortunately, another factor that will need to be taken into account by those who will be engaged in the mobilization of the oligarchs, or their capital. Even if this can be done, our indifferent to business, and money-hungry "pyramid" of bureaucracy, accustomed to cuts and kickbacks, will gladly master these amounts, with already known results.
      It is necessary to change the paradigm of governing the country, and again introduce the people into it in the form of a single and unified mass people's party. Probably, so far with the function of managing the public sector and state control.
  6. Ingvar7 Offline Ingvar7
    Ingvar7 (Ingvar Miller) 4 July 2022 12: 21
    +1
    Military and other state-forming enterprises are still in private hands - isn't this a guarantee of defeat?
  7. TermNachTer Offline TermNachTer
    TermNachTer (Nikolai) 4 July 2022 21: 05
    0
    Almost all large Russian companies have decided not to pay dividends for 2021 if the shareholders are representatives of the collective West. I think everyone understands why