Experts named the main reasons for the withdrawal of Russian troops from Zmeinoye

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During the Russian special operation on Ukrainian territory on June 30, the Russian Ministry of Defense informed the public that the RF Armed Forces have completed their assigned tasks on Zmeiny Island and have completely withdrawn their garrison from this piece of land located in the Black Sea. In the Russian expert community, they immediately reacted to what happened, naming the main reasons for what happened.

So, according to the doctor of military sciences, retired captain 1st rank Konstantin Sivkov (part of the leadership of a number of NGOs - Deputy President of the Russian Academy of Missile and Artillery Sciences for Information policy and first vice-president of the Academy of Geopolitical Problems), told the newspaper "Sight", the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation on Zmein, probably threatened with large-scale shelling from the Armed Forces of Ukraine, so the command decided to evacuate personnel and machinery from the island. He clarified that Ukrainian troops deployed on Kubansky Island, located in the Danube Delta at a distance of 36 kilometers from Zmiynoye, a 155-mm French-made battery of self-propelled guns "Caesar" (CAESAR), which Paris presented to Kyiv.



It can be assumed that it became known from the intelligence data that the Armed Forces of Ukraine were preparing a large-scale attack on this island, which would be difficult to repel with cash forces.

- explained the specialist.

A similar point of view is also expressed by the Rybar Telegram channel, which reported, citing its source, that after the transfer of the Caesars and the Tochka-U shopping mall to the Odessa region, the density of the fire impact from the Armed Forces of Ukraine increased many times over, so the RF Armed Forces carried out an evacuation from the island.

The next stage of the battle for Serpentine is the destruction of the naval and airborne troops of the Armed Forces of Ukraine on the outskirts

the source is sure.

However, this point of view raises questions. The thing is that recently the Russian Ministry of Defense reportedthat on June 29 the battery of the mentioned "Caesars" in Kuban was destroyed. The department produced a video as evidence.

At the same time, they simply cannot transfer the second battery of “Caesars” of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, since it is located in the Donbass, where fierce battles are taking place, and intelligencethat two howitzers were captured by the Russians, although this has not yet been conclusively confirmed. The third battery of "Caesars", which Emmanuel Macron promised to present to Vladimir Zelensky, has simply not yet been delivered from France to Ukraine.

As for the presence of the ancient "Points-U", due to the damage to the bridge across the Dniester Estuary, these TRCs would have to launch their ballistic missiles from the maximum distance for their range. This greatly facilitates the work of air defense. In addition, the Armed Forces of Ukraine still had a few units of such ammunition, which were actively spent in the first months of the NMD.

It should be added that a week ago, the Russian military department really said that the Armed Forces of Ukraine were striking with the help of the Uragan MLRS of 220 mm caliber and American-made M777 towed howitzers of 155 mm caliber from the same Kuban on the positions of the RF Armed Forces on Zmein. These weapons systems, it seems to us, are more dangerous in this situation than those listed above, Ukraine has a much larger number of them, and interception by air defense systems is difficult compared to Tochki-U.

We remind you that the latest communiqué of the Russian Defense Ministry says that the decision to withdraw the garrison from the island was made for humanitarian reasons. Moscow does not want to allow Kyiv to continue to speculate on the topic of the food crisis in the world, which allegedly could happen due to the total control of the Black Sea by the Russians, which prevents the export of wheat and other agricultural crops from Ukraine.
  • I.E. Mazurok/wikimedia.org
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25 comments
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  1. -3
    30 June 2022 21: 33
    Moscow does not want to allow Kyiv to continue to speculate on the topic of the food crisis in the world, which allegedly could happen due to the total control by the Russians over the Black Sea

    When Russians became so (how to say) tolerant. They learned to grind with their tongues, but they forgot how to fight. The Red Banner Black Sea Fleet of the Russian Federation is completely demoralized and rendered harmless. Not capable of any combat operations. Maybe against Georgia, even then not for long.
    The way for ships with Western weapons is open. The mines will be cleared (the Naval Forces of Ukraine are more alive than all the living - hello to Lieutenant General Konashenkov) and forward. The one that the Red Banner Black Sea Fleet of the Russian Federation does not even rock. He lost this war with a crushing score.
    1. -2
      30 June 2022 23: 02
      Quote: Teacher
      The Red Banner Black Sea Fleet of the Russian Federation is completely demoralized and rendered harmless. Not capable of any combat operations.

      The fleet is not needed to mine the island. Several scuba divers - spotters for high-precision weapons, and "You are kindly requested."
      The main thing is to pick it up on time, after the operation.
    2. 0
      1 July 2022 06: 05
      Back in Soviet times, they said: the Northern Fleet is a Strong Fleet, the Pacific Fleet is also a Fleet, the Baltic Fleet is the Babi Fleet, the Black Sea Fleet is Chi Fleet, Chi Ne Fleet ...
      1. +1
        1 July 2022 09: 30
        Quote: Igor Pochkin
        Back in Soviet times, they said: the Northern Fleet is a Strong Fleet, the Pacific Fleet is also a Fleet, the Baltic Fleet is the Babi Fleet, the Black Sea Fleet is Chi Fleet, Chi Ne Fleet ...

        Can you say this in the eyes of the sailors of the KTOF, KBF and KChF? And if you can, how long do you think you will stay with your teeth after that?
    3. -4
      1 July 2022 15: 16
      It is not clear what the Black Sea Fleet has to do with it. He swims where he was allowed from the city with towers. They are not aware of the body, that it is possible to agree with everyone. It’s good that this fleet has not been sold and washed off yet.
  2. 0
    30 June 2022 22: 23
    Our people did the right thing by removing people from this island. This island is a good target during the war: ours were shelled, and now ours will be shelling it. Everything will end with the fact that the island will be destroyed and no one else is interested.
  3. -2
    30 June 2022 22: 34
    Withdrew, handed over the island of the Snake. The authorities know better, they think both for the state and for their own pocket. Maybe the surrender of Snake Island is a pretext for negotiations, a gesture of goodwill, we sit down to agree, we don’t need Ukraine, the West lifts sanctions from the Kremlin “elite”, the oligarchs and everything will be as before, everything is in chocolate, except for the Russian people.
    1. -2
      1 July 2022 15: 17
      This is not a goodwill gesture. This is a tin of good will.
  4. +3
    30 June 2022 23: 05
    Another failure in the NWO of the Russian Defense Ministry.
    The mediocrity of the leadership and, it seems, another betrayal.
    1. +2
      1 July 2022 08: 13
      betrayal is not the surrender of the snake island, but an operation for some reason concentrated within the Donbas, it was long necessary to block Odessa, Nikolaev, go to Transnistria, and not break unnecessary fortified areas in Bakhmut and Slavyansk Kharkov
  5. +2
    30 June 2022 23: 18
    and why the hell did he surrender to us at all, this piece of land, to die for him today? They frolic - and that's fine. The time will come, it will still be ours ...
  6. +1
    1 July 2022 00: 06
    An outrageous decision, not justified by anything - this is my opinion.
  7. +3
    1 July 2022 07: 49
    Listen to Sivkov, do not respect yourself ... he may be an expert, but he has long been an ordinary talking head. My opinion is that some kind of "agreement" with the West has gone again, hence the "gesture of good will" ...
    1. +6
      1 July 2022 08: 15
      the island is too small to survive on it, with artillery shelling it is unrealistic
  8. +8
    1 July 2022 08: 21
    Only on the video presented about the allegedly destroyed Caesars was there 1 sau peony installation, and most importantly, how this information was presented. As a gesture of goodwill. Kabzdets. What gestures of good will to Ukrainians? Some autofelation.
    What they could not explain humanly, they say, in order to save the lives of the soldiers, in view of the inability to resist small forces located on the island, it was decided to remove the garrison.
    And by the way, our equipment was not taken out, but they blew it up and sailed away on several boats.
  9. +3
    1 July 2022 08: 28
    If they decided to leave, then it was necessary to mine EVERYTHING there so that they could not land and use Bandera, and without this it would be treason.
  10. The comment was deleted.
  11. +3
    1 July 2022 09: 27
    Ukrainian troops deployed on the island of Kuban, located in the Danube Delta at a distance of 36 kilometers from Zmeiny, a battery of self-propelled guns "Caesar" (CAESAR) of 155 mm caliber of French production, which Paris presented to Kyiv.

    So the French are to blame?
    And if they blocked the western borders of Ukraine from the penetration of such weapons, would something change or not? It turns out that the cruiser "Moskva" loomed in vain near Serpentine?
  12. +2
    1 July 2022 10: 01
    It is not clear why it is impossible to destroy all Ukrainian artillery. Don't you know where it is ....
  13. +2
    1 July 2022 11: 17
    Quote: vladimir1155
    betrayal is not the surrender of the snake island, but an operation for some reason concentrated within the Donbas, it was long necessary to block Odessa, Nikolaev, go to Transnistria, and not break unnecessary fortified areas in Bakhmut and Slavyansk Kharkov

    because we're not going anywhere else
  14. -1
    1 July 2022 12: 49
    I am sincerely surprised by the commentators who "blame" about treason and gestures of goodwill. What is happening is not in its pure form either one or the other!
    You really do not see the essence of events: that certain managerial decisions are due to a narrow corridor of opportunities?!
  15. +2
    1 July 2022 13: 25
    And it was impossible to hit Kuban by means of bomber aircraft ...
  16. +1
    1 July 2022 13: 35
    Western proxies from their proxy territory carry out strikes on the territory of Russia.
    Why do we endure?
    Why can't our proxies from their proxy territory hit the territory of Western countries with something like homemade kamikaze drones?
    This will not lead to a nuclear war - it's not formally Russia that will strike, but "unknown forest brothers."
    There seems to be nothing left to lose. Previously, the threat of sanctions, economic relations, accounts in the West, etc. stopped. Now what's stopping you?
    From the point of view of the "economy" of such a strike, it is cheap for us and expensive for them. We will equalize the stakes, and then, if you want to stop, you are welcome to negotiate with us.
    Also, in all pipes, announce - you are to us, and we are to you. All garlic.
  17. +1
    1 July 2022 23: 23
    In ancient times, Serpent's Island was on the sea trade route from Greece to the Black Sea colonies.
    There was a temple on the island and the Greeks did not skimp on offerings for favorable sailing conditions and success in trade. The temple grew rich.
    Earthquakes, wars, changes in trade routes led to desolation, devastation and oblivion.
    The treasures of the temple accumulated over the centuries were hidden in a cave, and the rising sea level hid the entrance to the cave under water.
    Modern technical means show the presence of voids, but repeated attempts to find the treasure, for various reasons, were unsuccessful.
  18. 1_2
    -1
    2 July 2022 08: 50
    finally realized that sitting there is suicide
  19. 0
    3 July 2022 23: 08
    About the "trophying" of Cesar Uralvagonzavod - the infa turned out to be a fake, it seems, they exposed it.