Has the US course really failed in Ukraine?


World media demonstrate the infirmity of the cyclist from the White House, his humiliating memos, confirming that the chair of the President of the United States is occupied by an elderly, incapable, possibly incapacitated person. Biden's GOP opponents conclude from this that policies The USA defines a senile, which is why all the troubles of America. We urgently need to change the old man on a bicycle for an old man with a golf club - Republican agitators are pushing ordinary Americans to such an idea.


Is Biden's weakness America's scourge?


Oppositional American media are sounding the alarm about the growing economic crisis in the country, criticizing record budget spending on aid to Ukraine and focusing on confrontation with Russia, while America's main enemy is China. Reports from think tanks have begun to surface that US weapons capabilities are declining, in particular, the annual production of US artillery shells is only enough for two weeks of intense hostilities, and a third of the stocks of anti-tank missiles for Javelin have already been swallowed up by the Ukrainian conflict. According to British experts from the Royal Joint Institute for Defense Studies, the Russian Federation has already spent three times more than the annual production of cruise missiles in the United States during the special operation. In short, everything is bad in the "American kingdom" and old Biden is to blame for everything.

It is easy to see that after the adoption in the United States of the “Lend-Lease Act in Defense of Democracy in Ukraine of 2022”, the approval of 40 billion in aid and inflation of military spending in almost all Western countries, the aggressive rhetoric on Ukraine has weakened. There are notes of pessimism both in the expert community and in the media. Close to the Pentagon and the CIA, the Hudson Institute recently stated:

“Ukraine is now buckling under the weight of Moscow’s concentrated offensive in the east of the country. Supported by rocket and artillery fire more than 10 times the capacity of the besieged defenders, Russian forces are expanding their gains in the Donbass… Unable to outmaneuver Russian forces on land or protect their merchant ships at sea, leaders in Kyiv will eventually be forced to negotiate for a settlement with Moscow that would leave Ukraine and the world hostage to Vladimir Putin's next gambit."


In general, the seething in American domestic politics provides abundant ground for those who like to speculate about the imminent collapse of the United States, including using the argument about the weakness of the current president.

All this would be great, because there is no more progressive process in world politics now than the withering away of US imperialism and the destruction of the domination system of the so-called collective West. However, is it worth taking the word of the Republicans, analysts and experts? After all, when they voraciously talk about the approaching military, economic, political collapse of Russia or China, we are aware of the partisanship of their position, so how is the current situation different? If we recall the period of the Trump presidency, then the Democratic media and analysts also made a nightmare about economic politics, covid, trade war with China, negotiations with North Korea, relations with Russia. With due attention to these sources of information, a depressing picture of the approaching collapse of the United States also took shape.

Therefore, all alarmist messages from the West must be divided by ten, because the severity of the internal political struggle there gives rise to chimeras of nightmares for voters. And how many cruise missiles and shells America has, no analysts are supposed to know, all such data is nothing more than calculated fantasies of "experts". This can be seen from the fact that the same “experts” predicted every week that the “Caliber” of the Russian Federation was about to run out, and our “experts” said that the air defense of Ukraine had long been destroyed. But the Kalibr are still flying, and the Ka-52 and Su-25 continue to fly at extremely low altitudes and hit with NURSs from a nose-up.

Therefore, one should not rush to define the domestic and foreign policy of the United States as unequivocally a failure. Moreover, it is naive to think that Biden, as a politician, as an individual, determines the policy of the American state, even within the limits of his authority. Biden is a purely nominal figure, therefore, all his physical and intellectual weakness does not interfere with the US ruling circles, but, on the contrary, helps to freely enter all the necessary points into the instructions. If Trump needed to be persuaded, pushed, intimidated, blackmailed, then Biden needed to be trained not to turn over the "cribs" and not to shake hands with ghosts in public. Therefore, there is nothing funny and positive in Biden's decrepitude; most American presidents were just as dependent and miserable.

Who determines US policy?


The constructiveness of the course of the American state does not depend on the correlation of the phases of Biden's dementia and the alignment of parties in Congress, but on the plans and correlation of various forces that really determine the country's policy. And these are, first of all, the American oligarchs, who through various "investment funds" (Vanguard Group, BlackRock, etc.) own the largest corporations that control the economies of the West. And here any analytics enters on the shaky ground of assumptions, because the springs of legal and illegal lobbying are covered with a well-guarded secret. It is not so easy to outline the circle of people who really influence US policy, despite all the Forbes lists, because they are only part of a well-thought-out PR.

However, it does not make much sense to go into personalities in the case of considering global processes, but you can fall into conspiracy theories. It seems that America is ruled by all the same clans noted in Soviet books - Morgans, Rockefellers, Du Ponts, etc. Of course, they are situationally grouped, promoting their group interests and realizing some plans. And successive teams of Republican and Democratic politicians act as a political headquarters that monitors the situation, makes forecasts and implements a certain compromise line of the American state.

Anatomy of American politics


If we remain solely on the basis of facts, we can note the following.

First, lobbying by the military-industrial complex plays a dominant role in the United States, since it is the sphere of military production that has the highest capital intensity. It has been repeatedly noted in the literature that sky-high monopoly prices are set in the US military industry, which make every rivet literally golden. Scandals are known when the media leaked information about the cost of purchases by the Pentagon of a type of steel screws for $37 or an ordinary hammer for $435 in 1986. It is clear that people who are so rich in defense orders are constantly pushing America to unleash wars and are actively ordering articles that the Pentagon's military reserves are depleted, and Russia will defeat the American army in five minutes.

Secondly, the line of conduct of the American state is tied to the economic interests of the largest corporations and has, as it were, two components: tactical and strategic. The first is largely economic and is determined by the momentary interests of specific lobbyists. For example, the provocation of the military conflict in Ukraine led to a redistribution of the European gas market and an increase in orders for weapons. The second can be called political, and it covers issues of global politics, the fight against global and regional competitors - the EU, China, Russia, Iran, North Korea and others. Ultimately, the strategy is also based on monetary interests, but they are realized through the creation of favorable conditions for American business as a whole. For example, the collapse of Russia and China will create excellent ground for the redistribution of property in these countries and destroy competition in the world markets for American goods. Or, say, the provocation of a military conflict in Ukraine depletes the military, and hence the political potential of Russia, makes Europe dependent on the United States, etc. All these seemingly purely political moments will eventually be “digitized” into concrete profits for specific American monopolies.

There is also an ideological moment in the area of ​​the strategy of the US political line - the implementation of the struggle for the superiority and non-alternativeness of the Western economic and political model of social order. American bigwigs and politicians are afraid of any "autocratic", "socialist" systems, because all their economic and political successes threaten the internal stability of the US itself and its satellites. The loss of power by the American tycoons will lead to catastrophe for them in the form of loss of property. The loss from the sphere of influence of a country is also painful, as it will lead to the disappearance of cheap resources and markets.

Thirdly, the line of conduct of the American state cannot but reckon with the opinion of the people, because a deceived voter, driven to despair, can suddenly be organized to storm the White House and the Capitol. And no PMCs and National Guards will save America from civil war and collapse, which is tantamount to a complete and final loss of world hegemony. That is why the American authorities and business are pumping the people so hard with propaganda not only through the media and Hollywood, but also through school, university, psychotherapy, PR and fashion for the "American way of life."

Fourthly, the American political headquarters missed the rise of the Chinese economy, the change in the vector of globalization, and over the past 30 years the American bigwigs have played the "information economy" to the deindustrialization of the United States. These mistakes brought to life the decision to curtail globalization and unleash a new cold war against, first of all, the Chinese state, which has accumulated huge capital in its hands and is pursuing a socialist policy threatening by its example (in China every year the people live better, and in America every year worse).

US goals and objectives in Ukraine


Based on the foregoing, it can be assumed that specifically in the Ukrainian conflict, the United States expected to unleash hostilities, fan the fire of the conflict as much as possible and thereby make Europe dependent and weaken Russia. Actually, all these tasks, except for the last one, have been completely fulfilled, in connection with this, the weakening of aggression in rhetoric followed. Therefore, it is wrong to consider the US course as a complete failure. In our country, they often focus on the US desire to defeat, weaken or even collapse the Russian Federation, but it seems that such prospects were initially assessed by the Americans as the least likely, despite all the loud statements about “tearing the Russian economy to shreds.” Still, do not underestimate the enemy.

Another thing is that this US line leads to uncontrollable consequences of reformatting the entire world trade. But here, too, it seems that American business, highly appreciating its economic potential, expects to get out of the situation with fewer losses than Russia and China. It is possible that this is a presumptuous delusion. Time will tell.

The goal of American policy in Europe is to approach China through Russia. Here, obviously, there are no visible successes for the United States, and only the future will show whether the Russian Federation has weakened or strengthened after the end of the civil war in Ukraine. But so far, in this part, those who speak of the failure of the American course are right, because today the role of the Russian Federation in the international arena has increased dramatically, the battle for Donbass is steadily ending on the battlefields, and nothing but half-branded arrest officers and Gordons speaks of a turning point.
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  1. Akuzenka Offline Akuzenka
    Akuzenka (Alexander) 28 June 2022 16: 53
    +2
    Respect to the author. One of the few intelligible articles!
  2. Colonel Kudasov Offline Colonel Kudasov
    Colonel Kudasov (Boris) 28 June 2022 17: 38
    0
    The author is right in the sense that power in the United States currently belongs to several groups of influence. But this is a huge plus for Russia, the United States cannot prioritize foreign policy and involuntarily became involved in a war that is disastrous for them on two fronts, with Russia and China at the same time. Although I could have acted more effectively, dealing with opponents in turn
  3. Jacques sekavar Offline Jacques sekavar
    Jacques sekavar (Jacques Sekavar) 28 June 2022 20: 02
    +2
    It is no secret that, in fact, US presidents, and not only presidents, are elected by the sponsors of the election campaigns of candidates, which are certain monopolistic associations through various funds and donations.
    As Vladimir Putin said, Biden has been in politics all his life, he was Obama's vice president, and therefore it is naive to consider him a puppet of the political behind the scenes.
    In Western political circles, the topic of reforming the UN as a whole and the Security Council in particular, where the PRC and the Russian Federation have the right to "veto", has long been discussed. One summit of “democracies” is worth something.
    Unlike Trump, who acted like an elephant in a china shop, Biden is pursuing a well-thought-out course in relation to the UN, and in relation to China, and in relation to the Russian Federation. The question is, will he have enough time to bring his political strategy to some signs of success, or will Trump come in and start waving his saber right and left again, destroying everything around. The EU, and above all Britain, would very much not want this.
    How tightly Britain is assimilated with the United States can be seen with the naked eye, but which of them “leads” whom remains in question.
    As the political and economic potential of the PRC and the independent policy of V.V. Putin grow, world domination and income of transnational associations automatically decrease, which is proclaimed a threat to US national security, and where there is a threat to national security, there is the Pentagon and related structures, including the media.
    The military potential directly depends on economic power, and an example of this is the transition to a military footing and the scale of production of weapons after the US entered World War II. Today, the economic and military potential of the United States is growing by its allies - the EU-NATO, QUAD, AUKUS, Japan, Australia, possibly India, Indonesia, etc.
    US goals and objectives in Ukraine:
    1. Undermine the economy of the Russian Federation with exorbitant military costs for conducting NWO
    2. Stimulate US economic growth through military orders
    3. To rally the EU and NATO, shifting to them part of their costs for their “protection”
    Goals and objectives of the EU-NATO:
    1. Undermine the economy of the Russian Federation with exorbitant military costs for conducting NWO
    2. Accession of new territories under the Eastern Partnership program
    3. The weakening of the US global influence makes it possible for the EU-NATO to promote its interests, that is, it increases independence, and therefore it is the EU that initiates more and more new sanctions against the Russian Federation.
    4. The war in Ukraine keeps the Russian Federation in suspense and allows the EU-NATO to “manage” the process “from the outside”, set conditions and negotiate
    5. If possible, “defragment” the Russian Federation into dependent state formations and capture their productive forces - scientific personnel, natural resources, tools, technologies, etc.
  4. Vox Populi Offline Vox Populi
    Vox Populi (vox populi) 28 June 2022 20: 16
    0
    Based on the foregoing, it can be assumed that specifically in the Ukrainian conflict, the United States expected to unleash hostilities, fan the fire of the conflict as much as possible and thereby make Europe dependent and weaken Russia.
    ...
    The goal of American policy in Europe is to approach China through Russia.

    Controversial assertion. Much more plausible is the version that the United States (and the collective West as a whole) "simply" continued the tactics of ever closer involvement of the former republics of the USSR in its economic and military zones of influence, which at the same time narrowed the corresponding capabilities of Russia and its security. The goal of American policy towards China does not seem to be so closely related to Russia, and vice versa (so far, anyway) ...
  5. 1_2 Offline 1_2
    1_2 (Ducks are flying) 29 June 2022 00: 44
    -3
    of course it failed, for 30 years they spudded clowns coming out from Kravchuk to the clown Zelensky, spent huge money and now, before their eyes, all this is covered with a copper basin thanks to the SVO and the Russian army))
  6. Moray Boreas Offline Moray Boreas
    Moray Boreas (Morey Borey) 29 June 2022 02: 02
    -1
    Great article. Everything is logical. She's like the edge of a diamond! But diamonds have many facets! However, this is the limit! This is in reality. And the assumptions are as close as possible to the real Truth.
  7. Siegfried Offline Siegfried
    Siegfried (Gennady) 29 June 2022 14: 21
    -2
    how the course is a failure depends, perhaps, on the goals that the United States set for itself when it decided to bring the provocations against Russia in Ukraine to the NWO. Obviously, these goals were the rapid collapse of the Russian economy, the stock and other panic, the indignation of the population and the complete demoralization of the army, which, according to them (perhaps by design), was supposed to control vast Ukrainian territories just at the time of all these unpleasant consequences. An army that cannot control the situation, a hostile population around, masses on the streets in the homeland, the economy flies into the abyss - this is the scenario that the United States might have imagined. This is in fact the rapid removal of Russia from the board of geopolitics, which leaves China alone against the West. Other countries, seeing such an alignment, would be forced to submit to the dictates of the West.

    And everything happened exactly the same way. The Russian economy demonstrates to the whole world that the omnipotence of the West is very conditional.

    The consolidation of Russian society has fundamentally destroyed the entire structure of Western influence, and hopes for an internal explosion have faded even more. Although of course in this struggle everything is just beginning. There are certain expectations of changes in society, such as the fight against corruption, economic growth, the growth of prosperity ...

    On the battlefield, the RF Armed Forces quickly adapted to the situation. Now Russia is comfortably conducting a long-term military conflict, destroying enemy equipment and manpower, mainly remotely.

    All this is combined with economic and political crises in the West, thus inspiring other countries to end the hegemony of the Western world.

    The fact that the United States was not able to quickly eliminate Russia, but instead got a cold war, where their allies (the EU) are already at the limit of their capabilities (and everything is just beginning). How the United States now thinks to solve its "main" task - China, is a very big question. The US lost Europe as an ally in the Cold War against China. Even if the NATO summit somehow designates China, it is already very clear to everyone that Europe will not be able to stand up to China either.

    Therefore, it can be assumed that the United States made a fatal mistake. Instead of bringing Russia closer to the West, or at least having normal relations with it, they created an enemy for themselves that inspired the whole world to overthrow the United States from the world throne. Everyone wants to see the US fall from this throne and this is Russia's achievement.
  8. Sergey Latyshev Offline Sergey Latyshev
    Sergey Latyshev (Serge) 29 June 2022 22: 58
    +2
    The goal of American policy in Europe is to approach China through Russia.

    Thing. Like tonsils through the ass. delete.
    1. Expert_Analyst_Forecaster 30 June 2022 06: 39
      +1
      I agree. Phrase in the piggy bank of absurdities.
  9. Expert_Analyst_Forecaster 30 June 2022 06: 46
    0
    Has the US course really failed in Ukraine?

    Well, who in the US is interested in b. Ukraine? There was a course to weaken Europe and Russia. These goals have been successfully achieved. You need to study, and not think about some kind of Ukrainians. When we build a house, we don't think about the role of the hammer in the design of the building, do we? Just use a hammer as needed.
  10. zenion Offline zenion
    zenion (zinovy) 6 July 2022 14: 44
    0
    Very much in Russia are worried about the United States. Still, they made money on their banknotes. There will be no USA, everything will be like with that alarmist - the boss, everything is gone, the plaster is being removed from the client. That is, the Russian greyhounds, who did everything there, will have papers for pasting the toilet. You don’t have to worry about it if you didn’t invest in it, but think about how to continue milking these now, let them compensate for the damage. Since they promise a bright future at the end of the tunnel, let them work hard and save money by tightening their shorts and everything that can be tightened. We'll have to build yachts, palaces and other rubbish to which we are accustomed in a new way. And America, if God needs it, he will turn on whirlwinds for them there, and of course the fact that they boast of the world's largest volcano, along with an earthquake and other misfortunes, as it was in Egypt. There is a Ukrainian solution to the name of cigarettes KAZBEK in relation to America. Koly Amerika Zagyne Bude United Communism. They decoded it themselves. Russia has nothing to do with this. When she is gone, the sharovarniks will fall to their knees before Russia.
  11. opportunist Offline opportunist
    opportunist (dim) 6 July 2022 23: 30
    0
    one of the few articles with class content and Marxist terminology. I would just like to add the following, it would be a mistake to identify the current geopolitical situation with the Cold War situation. The Soviet Union was never an economic and commercial competitor of the Western capitalist powers. The Soviet Union was rather a geopolitical and ideological competitor of the West. In the economic sphere, the closed economy of the Soviet state did not compete with the monopolies of American imperialism. today the situation is completely different, the US competition with Russia and China is more trade and economic competition, for the first time in the history of capitalism, China threatens to take over the leadership of the world economy, overtaking the US in terms of GDP