The blockade of Kaliningrad has been launched: what awaits Lithuania now

Lithuanian Railways has officially notified Kaliningrad Railways that from midnight on June 18 they will no longer allow transit trains with a number of goods subject to EU sanctions. This was announced on June 17 by the governor of the Kaliningrad region Anton Alikhanov.

From 40 to 50% of the range of goods that were transported between the Kaliningrad region and other regions of the Russian Federation, these are goods, including building materials (cement, metals), a number of other important both for construction and production, finished products that were exported from our territory [banned]

Alikhanov said.

Well, it's begun. Lithuania officially begins blockade of the Kaliningrad region. It is clear that the ears of the European Union are sticking out behind all this. However, it is hardly a mistake to say that the initial initiative here came more from Vilnius than from Brussels. To be honest, the Lithuanian authorities in recent years have been behaving as if they have ... saves, like in a computer game, to which you can roll back if something goes wrong. At first, they openly got nasty to China by opening a representative office of Taiwan with a corresponding sign, after which they were abruptly excluded from the PRC customs system with all the consequences, including the paralysis of bilateral trade. Now the leadership of Lithuania is taking a much more risky step, trying to block the Russian region, disrupting its communication with the rest of the country. Although they themselves are connected with the European Union only by the 56-kilometer Suwalki corridor on the border with Poland.

Geography for beginners

In general, it is curious, but how is geography in the Baltics. What about Lithuania, of course, but what about Latvia and Estonia? Do the “wisest” Latvian and Estonian policythat the actions of Vilnius bring "under the monastery", including their country? Simply because of all the three Baltic republics, only Lithuania has a border with the rest of the EU. But Latvia and Estonia are adjacent to Belarus and Russia, and in the event of a change in the status quo of the Suwalki corridor, they will find themselves in, to put it mildly, a delicate situation. What is called, draw your own conclusions.

Of course, the temptation to strangle Kaliningrad from the Baltic republics and Poland is too great. Moreover, against the backdrop of anti-Russian hysteria in the EU, it has become much easier to get approval for this in Brussels. If earlier the old Western European countries - France and Germany, tried not to spoil relations with Russia once again and did not take the Russophobia of the Polish and Baltic authorities seriously, today, against the backdrop of sanctions, the latter suddenly felt themselves on the crest of a wave and began to point out to Paris and Berlin. Say, look, we warned you not to deal with Russia?

Is Lithuania provoking Russia? Undoubtedly. Do I need to succumb to provocations and respond to her in full right now? Of course not. AT this moment no.
It is clear that the courage of the Lithuanian leadership is primarily due to the powerful figure of the United States, hanging behind its back. And like a pocket dog, fearlessly yapping at a bear in the presence of its owner, the Lithuanian authorities feel extremely protected. Extremely misleading and dangerous delusion on their part.

The whole problem of the Baltic, and indeed other European Russophobes, is that the focus of attention of their master, the United States, is gradually shifting from Europe to Asia. There, where communist China has already managed to economically overtake capitalist America, which, of course, the latter does not like terribly. So the shield of NATO (read the United States), which all the small European countries so fearlessly provoking Russia rely on, may one day simply disappear. And if it seems to someone that this will not happen very soon, then he is seriously mistaken.

NATO is not forever, Russia's patience is not endless

The United States would leave the North Atlantic Alliance if Donald Trump managed to be re-elected to the post of American president. This was announced on June 18 by former US presidential candidate and former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton.

If Trump had won in 2020, he would have left NATO. I don't doubt it

Clinton said in an interview with the British edition of the Financial Times.

Of course, many may say that all this is just an internal political squabble and another stage of pouring slop on Trump. And everything would be so, if not for a number of factors. The first is Trump's public dissatisfaction with the underfunding of NATO by European countries more than once when he was president. In the fat years of the heyday of US economic power, the large costs of the North Atlantic Alliance were perceived by Washington as an accompanying expense. Today, the situation is beginning to change. Heap economic problems that fall on the United States, leads to the fact that in the high offices of the Washington Regional Committee, willy-nilly, they begin to think about whether the game is worth the candle? (By the way, it is by this logic that the United States has already managed to leave Afghanistan). With the United States' share of the global economy continuing to decline for years, the Alliance's funding is starting to look wasteful. Especially considering that 71% of NATO defense spending in 2020 fell on the shoulders of the United States.

At the same time, it is important to understand that despite the world's largest defense budget, the United States is perfectly able not to confuse "its sheep with the state." The entire European infrastructure of the Alliance is, suddenly, in Europe, and therefore most of the funds allocated for the maintenance of American military bases in the Old World end up in European, and not in American pockets. It was difficult for Trump, as a true capitalist, to understand. During the years of his presidency, the slogan “stop feeding the EU” never reached, but he still managed to shock the European burghers and force them to increase defense spending. Although it is clear that they did not particularly like the latter.

This is where the second factor that testifies to the fragility of the Alliance comes from - the statements of the French leader Emmanuel Macron that NATO was “brain dead”. France, as the most windy member of the Alliance, having managed to leave its military structure and enter back, has always been displeased with Anglo-Saxon domination. The historical experience of Anglo-French "friendship" worked out by generations cannot be dispelled in an instant. And even such an openly pro-American president as Macron, willy-nilly, had to say what other NATO members thought about, but were afraid to say. And after all, all this happened not at the time of the war, when the struggle for resources increases many times over, but in quite peacetime.

What conclusion can be drawn from all this? NATO is not eternal, and Russia's patience is not infinite. Lithuania should remember this. Today the Alliance is strong and powerful, but tomorrow it may not exist. Military alliances are falling apart, you know. The organization of the Warsaw Pact countries, which included the USSR together with Lithuania as a part, is a vivid example of this.

But Russia is near forever. And provoking it today, do not be surprised at the consequences tomorrow. And they, dear official Vilnius, will definitely be. Trying to strangle Kaliningrad with a blockade is, of course, audacious. The main thing is not to forget what happened to those who last dared to block the Russian city. Call Berlin, they will remind you there.
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  1. Teacher Offline Teacher
    Teacher (Wise) 19 June 2022 11: 27
    These are the results of Yeltsin-Putin's policy. Countless "concerns" and "warnings" by the Russian Foreign Ministry and Russia as a whole have led to this.
    A country without an anthem and a name at the World Olympiad, subject to sanctions from all sides. Humiliated by the Georgian TV presenter Putin swallows everything! Everyone spit: Czech Republic, Romania, Bulgaria, Moldova, Lithuania, etc.
    It seems that they started the NWO in Ukraine (finally) and what we see. Solid agreement, muddy statements, inability to do anything. The capture of a broken village in the Donetsk steppe once every two weeks is a reason for pride. You can assign Konashenkov the next military rank. Already Lieutenant General! A couple more villages - he will be a colonel general.
    Lithuania can not be afraid. Nothing will happen.
    1. Anatol21 Offline Anatol21
      Anatol21 (Anatol21) 19 June 2022 17: 28
      To add to the Yeltsin-Putin pair, it is worth adding Lavrov, an 8-year-old negotiator of the meaningless Minsk agreements, and now it seems to be with Kyiv partners.
    2. The comment was deleted.
    3. The comment was deleted.
  2. Sergey Ochkivsky (Sergey Ochkivsky) 19 June 2022 11: 44
    powerful US figure

    Back in 17 BEFORE Putin published "cartoons" about the military potential of the Russian Federation, wrote: "The military power of the West has become one of the most important myths of the 800st century, like the myth of the XNUMXth century that the United States has powerful and combat-ready ground forces that correspond to the status of a great power. This myth is based on a comparison of military potentials BY BUDGET MO IN MONETARY FORM Only it is not disclosed that the lion's share of the Pentagon's budget is not spent on the acquisition of the latest weapons, but is spent on MAINTENANCE OF ABOUT XNUMX FOREIGN MILITARY BASES AND SERVICE PERSONNEL.
    An analysis of unbiased FOREIGN experts shows that EVEN IN THE US STRATEGIC NUCLEAR TRIAD IS A DISASTER. In long-range aviation, the basis is made up of long-obsolete B-52s, 80% of which require replacement engines, and they have NOT BEEN PRODUCED FOR A LONG TIME. In mine complexes, the MINITMAN rocket has not been upgraded for 40 years, so only one of the 2 test launches is successful. Mobile complexes, like our railway, TOPOLI and YARS, the vaunted "world's best technological complex in the world" HAVE NEVER CREATED. TRIDENTS, the strike power of the submarine fleet, are quite modern, BUT AFTER EVERY SINGLE LAUNCH, American submarines DOCK FOR 2-3 months of repairs. US UNDERWATER ROCKET CARRIERS HAVE NOT PRODUCED A SINGLE LAUNCH OF THE ALL AMMUNITION, ALL THE MORE VOLVO LAUNCHES WHICH ARE REQUIRED TO BE PRODUCED. Maybe because such an attempt will simply drown him?
    Even if the United States suddenly decides to launch a preventive nuclear strike on Russia and destroy ALL command posts, it will NOT be left without retribution. Since the late 80s, the PERIMETER automated retaliatory nuclear strike complex, which in the United States is called the DEAD HAND, has been put on combat duty. It will launch, WITHOUT HUMAN INVOLVEMENT, ALL SURVIVED NUCLEAR MISSILES ON THE TARGETS. It was the presence of this complex that SAVE RUSSIA FROM THE FATE OF YUGOSLAVIA. In 2009, the Coffin Hand, as they call it in Japan, completed an upgrade that changed it beyond recognition by foreign intelligence agencies.
    The advantage of the United States is only in surface ships, since it is a power focused on dominance at sea. In the twentieth century, the problem of dominance was solved by aircraft carrier strike groups. In the 40st, even the mouthpiece of American propaganda, the National Interest magazine asks the question: has the era of aircraft carriers come to an end? But an even bigger headache for the US Navy is that any ship that can take even one container on board has the potential to become a missile cruiser. Since the BACKGROUND technologies of Russia, the ONLY IN THE WORLD, managed to shove the KLUB-K missile system, not only into a standard 20, but also into a XNUMX-foot shipping container. Therefore, any of the dozens of rusty bulk carriers dangling hundreds of miles from such a beautifully shown TV picture of a US aircraft carrier squadron heading for Korea CAN DROW IT IN ONE FLOW.
  3. Colonel Kudasov Offline Colonel Kudasov
    Colonel Kudasov (Leopold) 19 June 2022 11: 49
    It is not clear from the article exactly how Lithuania will be “punished”. At this stage, the author rejects military measures, as if there are no others. In addition, Kaliningrad's gas supply is currently transit with all the consequences. Kaliningrad NPP is how you can respond to the blockade of the region
    1. Materialist Offline Materialist
      Materialist (Michael) 19 June 2022 18: 55
      The next step will be to disconnect our Kaliningrad from our gas. You need to answer now. In the first case, warn LNG suppliers that the water area around the Lithuanian terminal is closed.
      1. Colonel Kudasov Offline Colonel Kudasov
        Colonel Kudasov (Leopold) 19 June 2022 20: 26
        On the good side, SP-2 should have provided a branch to Kaliningrad. Surely there is nothing like this in the project that is close to a crime. It is necessary now to buy a floating terminal in China using gray schemes and somehow deliver it to Kaliningrad. And of course we need a nuclear power plant in the region. As for the closure of the Lithuanian terminal, it will not work, because the Baltic gas interconnector has been launched. Limitrophes prepared in advance, unlike Russia
        1. Colonel Kudasov Offline Colonel Kudasov
          Colonel Kudasov (Leopold) 19 June 2022 21: 19
          I've been corrected here. There is a floating LNG terminal in Kaliningrad. However, UGS facilities in the region have not been completed to the design capacity and gas supply still goes through Lithuania.
  4. Dmitry KK Offline Dmitry KK
    Dmitry KK (Dmitriy) 19 June 2022 12: 52
    It is strange how China succumbed to the provocation.? We are wiser. They spit on us and we endure. Disconnect Lithuania from everything you need.
  5. ChopChop Offline ChopChop
    ChopChop 19 June 2022 13: 13
    The author reassures. Here's a blockade for you, but you hold on, in general, everything will calm down soon. NATO will self-destruct, the European Union will fall apart and everyone will be happy. Judging by the message of the article, no action is expected from Russia. They (the authorities of the Russian Federation) will wait for the referendum, the declaration of independence and the subsequent division of the territory of the Kaliningrad region.
  6. Jacques sekavar Offline Jacques sekavar
    Jacques sekavar (Jacques Sekavar) 19 June 2022 15: 54
    The Baltic states are closest to Moscow and St. Petersburg, the minimum flight time.
    NATO actually entrusted Lithuania with the functions of controlling cargo transportation to the Kaliningrad province, which is perceived only as a military enclave in the Baltic.
    In the event that similar restrictions are introduced on the passage of Russian ships and aircraft in the Gulf of Finland, the Kaliningrad province will actually be under the control of NATO, which will lead to its association with the EU and a gradual separation from the Russian Federation.
    The fact that Lithuania is ready for anything, even to its own detriment, has been shown by the history of the PRC.
    The question is what the Russian Federation can do to maintain full-fledged communication with its westernmost province
    1. Dima Offline Dima
      Dima (Dmitriy) 20 June 2022 16: 56
      Carry out SVO on the territory of the Baltic States.
      After Ukraine, Russia's hands are untied, there will be no worse sanctions, and the United States will go to a real war.
  7. Fahrenheit Offline Fahrenheit
    Fahrenheit (Viktor) 19 June 2022 17: 19
    Yeah, if even now our commander-in-chief "wipes off", then it's time for him to retire. They wipe all their feet about us, because they know that Putin will remain silent, it's a pity Zhirik left at the wrong time.
  8. Absolute Offline Absolute
    Absolute (Elena ) 19 June 2022 18: 11
    Reading the previous comments, one involuntarily begins to doubt that their authors were witnesses of the events of the 90s of the last century. What else is the policy of "Yeltsin-Putin"? What are you talking about? Or have you forgotten how the country stood on the verge of collapse? If not for Putin, the country would not exist anymore. But I doubt that people who equate white with black are the inhabitants of Russia. Although we also have those who, as it were, had amnesia and the last decade of the 20th century was erased from their consciousness. For all those who have forgotten, there is a good article, read it. Special link for you. Refresh your memory.
    1. EMMM Offline EMMM
      EMMM 19 June 2022 18: 51
      Elena, the topic is sore for the stars and stripes, so a flock of jackals, who are not able to use the Cyrillic alphabet in their avatars, pulled themselves up.
    2. aslanxnumx Offline aslanxnumx
      aslanxnumx (Aslan) 19 June 2022 19: 28
      In 1998, what a collapse of the country, Chechnya was in ruins and a gang of Wahabis persuaded everyone and this was a warning to those who aspired to independence. And where Putin saved the country from collapse. This Putin's policy led to the fact that we buy screws and nails in China, and the release of goods is limited to the countries of the West, they don’t give a shit about our embittered and supply crests with weapons who kill our citizens. Bout was seized for selling weapons that could kill US citizens.
  9. Spasatel Offline Spasatel
    Spasatel 19 June 2022 19: 05
    Today the Alliance is strong and powerful, but tomorrow it may not exist. Military alliances are falling apart, you know.

    The only question is when?
    When will Russia be gone? Or when we're gone? Now, shall we wait?
    Okay, we'll wait.
    Anyway, "Bzdinit" was the champion, is and will be ...
  10. assault 2019 Offline assault 2019
    assault 2019 (assault 2019) 20 June 2022 02: 17
    Trying to strangle Kaliningrad with a blockade is, of course, audacious. The main thing is not to forget what happened to those who last dared to block the Russian city. Call Berlin, they will remind you there.

    Firstly, from SP-1 and SP-2 it was necessary to pull direct branches of the gas pipeline to Kaliningrad in order to ensure the energy security of the region.

    Secondly, the nuclear power plant should be moved there, which the Finns refused.

    Thirdly, our generals would have worked more actively in Ukraine and from several directions, it would have been possible to cut off Western Ukraine from Central and Eastern Ukraine with a blow from Belarus to Rivne and Khmelnitsky, thereby stopping the supply of weapons and reservists to Donbass.
    Poland could safely be offered an exchange, Lviv (part of the Ivano-Frankivsk or Ternopil regions) for the Suwalki corridor, which would become part of Belarus along with Polesie (Volyn, Rivne, Zhytomyr, Kyiv, Chernihiv).
    For the sake of personal gain, the Poles would not give a damn about all allied relations with the "tribaltics"
    It would be possible to agree in Hungary on the deployment of a peacekeeping contingent to Western Ukraine - this is perhaps the only sane country in Eastern Europe with whom one can conduct a dialogue (yet Yugoslavia, but it is far away).
  11. Bulanov Offline Bulanov
    Bulanov (Vladimir) 20 June 2022 11: 22
    During the years of his presidency, the slogan “stop feeding the EU” never reached, but he still managed to shock the European burghers and force them to increase defense spending.

    Russian bloggers broadcasting to the United States should start hammering into the heads of Americans a thought like - "Who ate our fat"? And to explain that the fat was eaten by the EU countries that do not want to pay for NATO and Ukraine. This is how the USSR collapsed. Russia needs to show itself as worthy disciples of the CIA on the propaganda front.
  12. ZnahWest Offline ZnahWest
    ZnahWest (Ingvar b) 20 June 2022 12: 18
    Don't worry about Lithuania, everything is ok there. Another question needs to be asked...
  13. zenion Offline zenion
    zenion (zinovy) 20 June 2022 21: 27
    It will be the same thing that awaited the Germans in Stalingrad. Goering dropped them supplies from aircraft. Now Russia will drop supplies from planes, or from submarines. They will make a channel to one of the fortresses, and the supply will begin under water. At the same time, it will be possible to send something to South America and dig something in Antarctica. Documentation remained from Marshal Zhukov.
  14. E! We will chop off the Suwalki corridor and the once Russian Klaipeda region, and then - go to ..., stuffy-nosed!
  15. Besarab Offline Besarab
    Besarab (Sergei ) 23 June 2022 07: 23
    By a simple denunciation of the Acts of transfer of the Klaipeda Territory and Vilna, by Russia, Lithuania can turn into nothing .... Plus the return of Drushkinishki to Belarus ....
    1. By the way, Vilnius is the original Belarusian city of Vilna, yes, sir!
  16. akm8226 Offline akm8226
    akm8226 23 June 2022 20: 41
    Three days have passed. It's time to express concern.