The further fate of Ukraine will be decided on the Western Front


In the fourth month of the special military operation to liberate Donbass from the Ukrainian occupiers, there has been noticeable progress. The new tactics of “methodical combat” (Bataille conduite), which was chosen by the commander of the NMD, General Alexander Dvornikov, is yielding results: the front built over the years is gradually gnawed through, the Armed Forces of Ukraine are forced to retreat, their commander-in-chief Zaluzhny scribbles panic reports to Kyiv. Soon the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation and the People's Militia of the LDNR will take up together for the liberation of the Slavic-Kramatorsk agglomeration, which is of great symbolic and strategic importance, since the water supply of Donetsk is tied to it. But what will happen next?


Eastern front


The question of what will happen next, after the final liberation of the territory of the DPR and LPR, is now being asked in Russia, and in the Donbass, and on the territory of the former Square. Everyone is wondering whether the Allies will stop, limiting themselves to “a tit in their hands”, and where the demarcation line will then pass, or whether they will go further. Once again, the Minister of Foreign Affairs of the Russian Federation Sergey Lavrov made me think about this, who stated verbatim the following:

We are engaged in the implementation of the goals that were announced publicly - to rid the East of Ukraine from the pressure of the neo-Nazi regime, that's what we are doing.

East of Ukraine? And what about its South, Center and West? If the neo-Nazi regime, supported by the NATO bloc, remains there, will this be considered an acceptable result?

I would also like to draw attention to the recent video of the popular Ukrainian-Russian blogger Yuriy Podolyaka, who has become the new “ruler of thoughts”, who talked about how Nezalezhnaya will go through next winter. Its main message is as follows: Russia will bite off bit by bit from Ukraine those territories that it can digest (Donbass and the Sea of ​​\uXNUMXb\uXNUMXbAzov, possibly the Black Sea region and Kharkov), the rest will “hang up” for the maintenance of Kyiv. They say that before winter we will take the South-East, leaving the rest of Ukraine to freeze (again!), And in the spring we will see what is left of it there, and the special operation will resume.

In his reasoning, Podoliaka quite rightly points out that Kyiv, or rather, its Western curators, have chosen a "scorched earth" strategy. Supreme Commander-in-Chief Zelensky ordered to hold the cities of Donbass to the last, seeking their maximum destruction, and, leaving, the Armed Forces of Ukraine destroy the entire socialeconomic infrastructure that they can. All in order to hang the maintenance of a huge destroyed region with millions of disadvantaged people on the Russian Federation. Alas, with the current trend, there is little that can be done about it. The liberating army, in a certain sense, became a hostage to its tactics, which were imposed on it by the enemy. It is necessary, in the style of the First World War, to smash the fortified areas created by Ukrainian terrorists right in the cities with heavy artillery in order to hide behind civilians.

A fair question arises, how far into the depths of Ukraine can one go in this way?

It turns out very unfair that the country should be destroyed from the South-East in the direction of the Center and the West, from where all the main Russophobia and Bandera ideology came from, which poisoned the life of Nezalezhnaya. And it’s good that now is the beginning of summer, but what will happen by winter, when the problem becomes acute, how can hundreds of thousands, if not millions of inhabitants of the territories liberated from the power of the Nazi regime, spend the winter on the ruins of their cities? After all, this will be a real humanitarian catastrophe, which Russia will have to solve somehow. The problem is great, and it must be solved as quickly as possible, without delaying the special operation for a long time. But what if the Zelensky regime cannot be demolished before the onset of cold weather? Leave Central and Western Ukraine under the rule of the Nazis for another half a year, until the spring of 2023?

No, it’s impossible to just stop halfway, letting the situation take its course. Having received half a year of respite, Kyiv uses this time to prepare for a new stage of the war. The NATO bloc will supply even heavier and longer-range weapons, Western instructors will prepare mobilized recruits for their use. The backbone of the Armed Forces of Ukraine will be veterans who have gained experience in the hardest battles on the Eastern Front. It is possible that in Dnepropetrovsk, Yuzhmash specialists will during this time hastily concoct a launch vehicle for a warhead stuffed with radioactive rubbish from Ukrainian nuclear power plants and from the exclusion zone at the Chernobyl nuclear power plant. The population of Nezalezhnaya will finally be “burned out” by Russophobic propaganda, and no cold winter will be able to “repair” them back.

Then what to do?

Cold winter 2022-2023


For example, in the summer-autumn of 2022, the RF Armed Forces, with the support of the People’s Militia of the DPR and LPR, were able to completely clear the territory of Donbass from Ukrainian invaders, liberated Kharkiv and Zaporozhye, blocked and squeezed out the Armed Forces of Ukraine from Nikolaev and Odessa. This is something that is quite realistic to do with the relatively modest forces that Moscow has allocated for the special operation. A new government came to the liberated regions in historical Novorossia, socio-economic integration into the Russian Federation began. Let's hope it happens and political accession in the format of, say, the Novorossiysk Federal District. It will be big and good, but an intermediate result.

Intermediate because the processes of militarization and nazification will take place at an accelerated pace in the unliberated territory, for the sake of combating which the special operation was launched on February 24, 2022. The Armed Forces of Ukraine will continue to rearm and prepare for a new round of war. Long-range American missiles will fly into Russian regions. The Black Sea will become a dangerous place for our fleet, since Ukraine has already received Harpoon anti-ship missiles. If, or rather, when the Air Force of the Independent will also receive American aircraft as carriers for long-range missile weapons, everything will become very bad. The question is what can we really do to break this objective and negative trend?

If we take the militarily meaningless “camp on Kyiv-2” out of brackets, then the only rational solution is to transfer hostilities to Western Ukraine. As long as Nezalezhnaya receives new weapons, ammunition, fuel and fuel through the border with Poland, Romania and Moldova, there can be no strategic victory over the Kyiv regime. Having closed the front with Transnistria, the RF Armed Forces will have to liberate the Odessa region before winter and carry out an offensive operation to cut off Central Ukraine from Western Ukraine, cutting all supply channels. If at this stage the Belarusian army joins, entering Volyn from the North, everything will go much easier and faster. For the wintering of 2022-2023, historical Little Russia should leave in complete encirclement, which will mean the inevitable collapse of the Nazi regime.

Will it be necessary then to storm the cities of Central Ukraine? Not the fact that it will even be needed, with the exception of some cases with the most “stubborn defenders”. At this final stage of the special operation, it is imperative to form a “transitional government” alternative to the Kyiv regime, which will announce a program for reforming and restoring the country that was not part of the Russian Federation and its reintegration into the Union State. On his behalf, negotiations on surrender should be conducted with the garrisons of cities, mayors and governors.

With this approach, it will be possible to complete the liberation of Central Ukraine without large-scale hostilities, which are uncontested in the Donbass.
  • Author:
  • Photos used: Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation
25 comments
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  1. Jacques sekavar Offline Jacques sekavar
    Jacques sekavar (Jacques Sekavar) 10 June 2022 17: 31
    -4
    The fate of Ukraine is decided by the NWO, an agreement with Poland, and through it with NATO.
    The East of Ukraine is interpreted in different ways - from the LPR-DPR to the entire left-bank Ukraine and the Odessa province. As shown by four months of the NWO, it is not possible to demilitarize-denazify the whole of Ukraine.
    Therefore, the fate of Ukraine, with a high degree of probability, will be decided during negotiations - an agreement with Poland, and in its person with the EU-NATO, and, of course, by the course of the NMD of the Russian Federation.
    The budget surplus allows the denazification of the left-bank territory, it is up to the Moscow Region and the diplomatic corps of the Russian Federation.
    1. Alexey Davydov (Alexey) 14 June 2022 16: 09
      +1
      It is interesting that in all the comments, the owner of Ukraine himself, the Hegemon, with his interests and plans regarding Russia, remains outside the brackets.
      Our operation is still taking place in line with his interests - it does not threaten him in any way, but it loads his military-industrial complex perfectly. What more could he want? Therefore, he is still standing in the cold and resting.
      But that doesn't mean he's gone somewhere.

      Therefore, the fate of Ukraine, with a high degree of probability, will be decided during negotiations - an agreement with Poland, and in its person with the EU-NATO, and, of course, by the course of the NMD of the Russian Federation.

      Will the Hegemon SUDDENLY at this point in the process say goodbye to the future profits of its military-industrial complex and plans for Russia? I think it's naive to think so. To put it mildly.
      He probably has new "entertainments" ready for us: Kaliningrad? Kuriles? St. Petersburg?...
      And if this is so, why do we so enthusiastically play the bloody toy that the "good" hands of Uncle Sam slipped to us, and accepted by his "partners" at our place?
      Why did they stop thinking about stopping HIM?
  2. steelmaker Online steelmaker
    steelmaker 10 June 2022 19: 27
    +9
    It turns out very unfair that the country should be destroyed from the South-East

    And who forbids us to destroy Western Ukraine? They, in all seriousness, believe that the SVO does not concern them. And the fact that the war should end on the western borders is unequivocal. Any other outcome will be considered a defeat for Russia.
    1. Oleg Rambover Offline Oleg Rambover
      Oleg Rambover (Oleg Pitersky) 10 June 2022 21: 26
      -7
      Quote: steel maker
      And who forbids us to destroy Western Ukraine?

      In fact, to destroy both the trap and eastern Ukraine and any other country should be prohibited by conscience.
      1. isofat Offline isofat
        isofat (isofat) 10 June 2022 21: 53
        -2
        Oleg RamboverHave steelmaker no conscience. And that's not all it lacks. laughing
      2. 1_2 Offline 1_2
        1_2 (Ducks are flying) 11 June 2022 00: 57
        +3
        conscience? where was she when Yugoslavia, Iraq, Libya, Syria, etc. were bombed?
        Ukraine is Russian land and the Russian Federation has every right to liberate it from the occupation by the West, as in the distant 1943-44, otherwise you will have to strike at NATO now in order to avoid a NATO strike from Ukraine in the future
        1. Oleg Rambover Offline Oleg Rambover
          Oleg Rambover (Oleg Pitersky) 11 June 2022 09: 05
          -2
          Quote: 1_2
          conscience? where was she when Yugoslavia, Iraq, Libya, Syria, etc. were bombed?

          That is, if someone somewhere committed an unscrupulous act, then, in your opinion, does this free your conscience? In my opinion, this is not so.

          Quote: 1_2
          Ukraine is Russian land and the Russian Federation has every right to free it from occupation by the West

          Ukraine is the land of the people who live on it. Why does the Russian Federation have more rights than these people?

          Quote: 1_2
          as in the distant 1943-44, otherwise you will have to strike at NATO now in order to avoid a NATO strike from Ukraine in the future

          Aloisovich in June 41 said that the USSR was about to attack and Germany was simply obliged to prevent this by attacking first.
      3. guest Offline guest
        guest 11 June 2022 01: 24
        0
        Well, you're not childish. 1_2 got ahead of me, you can read everything in his comment.
    2. guest Offline guest
      guest 11 June 2022 01: 25
      +1
      Yes, they live on the principle of "what for us."
  3. zenion Offline zenion
    zenion (zinovy) 10 June 2022 20: 16
    -4
    Nobody understands why it started.
    1. ocean969 Offline ocean969
      ocean969 (Leonid) 13 June 2022 09: 09
      +1
      If you don't understand why "it" started, don't speak for others.
  4. Storm_2022 Offline Storm_2022
    Storm_2022 (Storm _2022) 10 June 2022 20: 22
    +5
    At the very beginning of the operation, the country's leadership scared us with American missiles near Kharkov, which have a 5-minute flight time to Moscow.
    What has changed now?
    Anti-ship Harpoons have already arrived in Ukraine, on the approach of MLRS with guided missiles that can reach Kaluga or Tula from Kharkov, what prevents long-range missile systems from arriving?

    For some reason, the threats of the Ministry of Defense to destroy the transport infrastructure of Ukraine were quickly "blown away" and Western military equipment with military mercenaries and instructors freely travels to the Donbass ...

    At the same time, having occupied the northern regions of Ukraine at the beginning of the special operation (Kyiv Chernihiv, Sumy, Kharkiv ..), bordering Russia and therefore the most dangerous in terms of attacks on Russian territory, after a month of fighting, the Russian military suddenly left the occupied territories and massively moved to the Donbas and the South.
    Are we no longer in danger?
    But periodic raids and shelling of the territory of Russia indicate the opposite ...

    Where is the logic?
  5. Vladimir1155 Offline Vladimir1155
    Vladimir1155 (Vladimir) 10 June 2022 22: 28
    +5
    I fully support the author, it is necessary to beat to Transnistria, taking the entire Black Sea region and in parallel to the lions from Belarus or through the winery, then the Nazis will be in the bank, and it is not necessary to take cities
  6. Stanislav Bykov Offline Stanislav Bykov
    Stanislav Bykov (Stanislav) 10 June 2022 22: 39
    +4
    The further fate of Ukraine will be decided on the Western Front

    Ukraine is a country without a future and with a self-broken destiny, so to speak. When the remaining, most combat-ready grouping of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the Donbass is ground, Ukraine will "crumble", both militarily, economically, politically, and in propaganda terms. The hangover will be very bitter
  7. 1_2 Offline 1_2
    1_2 (Ducks are flying) 11 June 2022 01: 07
    +3
    Ukraine as a NATO foothold should not exist, which means the NWO should stop on the border with Poland, and you can quickly resolve the Russophobic Western population - give 24 hours for them to leave, this is exactly what the Poles will do to them if Galicia is given to them, and then all Russophobic cattle will run in ... the Russian Federation, and we have enough of our kosher Russophobic Sobchacheks (Shevchukov, Chulpan Zuleikha, Venediktov, Posners, Urgants, laughter, Yaromolnikov, etc.) - the Tsar is kind, he all hopes that she (them) can be recoded from the Zion Russophobic code to code of the Russian people
  8. Sydor Kovpak Offline Sydor Kovpak
    Sydor Kovpak 11 June 2022 07: 13
    0
    In theory, everything that was built under the "DAMNED COMUNIAKS", especially in Western Ukraine, Russia has the moral right to decommunize to the very foundation ... Including the housing stock, apartments received by the ancestors for free from the "DAMNED COMUNIAKS" ... Let them rebuild or go to Europe is their business. Also, set up an invoice for decommunization. For the destruction of "RUSSIAN" cities by the Ukrainians, ask them to the fullest !!!
    They just learned to break and rename !!!!
  9. k7k8 Offline k7k8
    k7k8 (vic) 11 June 2022 09: 40
    +1
    If the Belarusian army joins at this stage

    I wonder how the ENTIRE Belarusian army, numbering 70000 people from the last cook to the Minister of Defense, can influence the course of this war? Here, God forbid, close the southern border.
  10. maiman61 Offline maiman61
    maiman61 (Yuri) 11 June 2022 10: 28
    -1
    The success of the war depends on how the western part of the kradina is destroyed! Every day, beat the western part of the steal into an agrarian superpower! What you planted in the ground, so live!
  11. Oleg Dmitriev Offline Oleg Dmitriev
    Oleg Dmitriev (Oleg Dmitriev) 11 June 2022 11: 25
    -1
    I absolutely do not understand what is preventing us from blowing the infrastructure of the western regions of Ukraine to dust. Plow up roads, railway stations, bridges, pipelines, power plants, etc. with bombing strikes. What difference does it make to us how much fauna will remain there to survive and how it will do it? And in the spring of next year, it is "noble" to give those who survive to the Poles. I vouch that in a couple of months they will clearly explain to the locals what their place is in the European food chain.
    1. Alexey Lan Offline Alexey Lan
      Alexey Lan (Alexey Lantukh) 11 June 2022 11: 43
      0
      In order to destroy the infrastructure, it is necessary to strike ten times at the same places periodically. In addition, long-range missiles are expensive, their number is limited, and they are also needed for direct confrontation with the NATO bloc. It seems to me that tactical nuclear weapons are indispensable.
  12. vlad127490 Offline vlad127490
    vlad127490 (Vlad Gor) 11 June 2022 16: 30
    0
    The fate of Ukraine will be decided by the Kremlin. What will the Kremlin choose victory or capitulation???
    1. Alexey Lan Offline Alexey Lan
      Alexey Lan (Alexey Lantukh) 11 June 2022 18: 30
      0
      Something in between. Minimum - Donbass Kherson Zaporozhye without Zaporozhye-city. Maximum plus to this Odessa Nikolaev, Kharkov.
    2. Serzh Offline Serzh
      Serzh (Sergey Ilyich) 11 June 2022 18: 41
      0
      The Kremlin does not decide anything here! Everything was predetermined a long time ago. In this operation, everything is decided by money and power. As the ordinary ordinary citizen will always suffer,
      and no matter whose country. What is called: they cut down the forest, the chips fly. How many more destitute and impoverished people will this war create. There are no winners in this war, only losers on all sides. Propaganda on each side is doing its job. While high goals are instilled in us, the ruling elite is profiting from the population!
  13. vo2022smysl Offline vo2022smysl
    vo2022smysl (Common sense) 13 June 2022 19: 46
    +1
    Quote: maiman61
    The success of the war depends on how the western part of the kradina is destroyed! Every day, beat the western part of the steal into an agrarian superpower! What you planted in the ground, so live!

    Quote: Oleg Dmitriev
    I absolutely do not understand what is preventing us from blowing the infrastructure of the western regions of Ukraine to dust. Plow up roads, railway stations, bridges, pipelines, power plants, etc. with bombing strikes. What difference does it make to us how much fauna will remain there to survive and how it will do it? And in the spring of next year, it is "noble" to give those who survive to the Poles. I vouch that in a couple of months they will clearly explain to the locals what their place is in the European food chain.

    Scene 1001:
    "The Liberators or the circus left, but the evil clowns remained..." winked
  14. Ingvar7 Offline Ingvar7
    Ingvar7 (Ingvar Miller) 15 June 2022 10: 47
    0
    Armchair strategist.