When and why Belarus will join the special operation to liberate Ukraine


In the Western media, the topic of the possible entry of Belarus into a special operation on the side of Russia, the creation of a buffer zone in Western Ukraine, and even the capture of Kyiv by the Armed Forces of the Republic of Belarus has been actively dispersed lately. Knowing the caution of the Old Man, who himself will not climb into hell, and also given the retreat of Russian troops from the north of the Chernihiv and Kyiv regions, such insinuations seem like nonsense. But only at first glance.


From the very beginning of the NWO in Ukraine, neighboring Belarus has taken a very ambivalent position. On the one hand, the troops of the republic do not directly participate in the process of liberating the Square. On the other hand, Minsk provided Moscow with its territory for the transfer and deployment of huge contingents for their subsequent attack on Kyiv in February 2022. At the same time, the Belarusian army acts as a buffer to fend off a possible flank attack on the Russian one. In other words, Belarus is still participating in the special operation to demilitarize and denazify Ukraine, albeit indirectly, as our “Western partners” do not forget to regularly remind it of. But is it possible for Minsk to directly get involved in this proxy war with the NATO bloc on the territory of Nezalezhnaya?

Why is this Dad?


First you need to figure out why the cautious Alexander Grigorievich might need this at all. There are several reasons for this.

At first, let's not forget that what is happening in fraternal Ukraine cannot but affect normal Belarusians in the same way as Russians, and adequate Ukrainians. The Three Sisters monument recently demolished by Zelensky's criminal regime symbolized the commonality of all our Slavic countries. President Lukashenko, no matter how seasoned and practical he may be, is a Soviet person, like most citizens of Belarus, despite the numerous “zmagaria” and “liberda” that have bred there, who drown for Nazi Ukraine.

Secondly, it should be borne in mind that Belarus has already de facto opposed Nezalezhnaya, providing its territory for the deployment, supply and subsequent movements of Russian troops. Kyiv remembers this very well, and if the special operation through the efforts of the “collective Medinsky” ends with an unintelligible intermediate result, Minsk will receive a dangerous hostile neighbor on its southern border, which has a large and, as it turned out, very combat-ready army. A real military and terrorist threat will arise for peaceful Belarus.

Moreover, President Lukashenko should be alarmed by plans for the unification of Ukraine and Poland, which are increasingly beginning to be implemented. Thanks to a new bill initiated by the national traitor Zelensky, citizens of the Republic of Poland will be able to hold positions in the civil service, in the police and the army of Ukraine, even without having its citizenship. That is, in fact, there is a “soft annexation” of the former Square with the permission of its own authorities. Now Warsaw has come up with an initiative that the financial center, which will accumulate billions of dollars for the restoration of Ukraine, should be located not in Kyiv, but in Poland itself. Ukraine is losing the remnants of its sovereignty right before our eyes.

How does Minsk view the fact that Poland will de facto, and then de jure, increase at the expense of Ukrainian territory, reaching the border with Belarus not only from the west, but also from the south? They probably look bad, if, of course, there are people in power with statist thinking, defending the national interests of their country.

Thirdly, speaking about national interests, it should be remembered that Belarus itself can receive a certain “prize” for active participation in a special operation. While in Warsaw they are asking the price of the Eastern Crosses, and in Moscow - of the South-East of the Nezalezhnaya, Minsk could enter the territory of Volyn and, in the division of Ukraine, increase its territory at the expense of it.

How can this happen


Let's see what Belarus has already done in order to be able to join the hostilities.

The armed forces of the Republic of Belarus are small, but well trained and armed. As President Lukashenko stated, if necessary, up to half a million could be mobilized from the current 70 thousand people under arms. As we already told earlier, long before Ukraine and Poland, Belarus was the first to create its own Territorial Defense Forces (TerO), the number of which reaches 120 thousand people. On May 26, President Lukashenko announced the formation of a new southern operational command:

Unfortunately, a new direction has opened up, as we usually say, a new front. We cannot but pay attention to this. As far back as last year, the Minister of Defense suggested that we open another operational command in the southern direction of our country. Now, along with the west, the northwest will be the southern wing.

Southern is just the Ukrainian direction, if someone did not understand. A day later, on May 27, the question of creating some kind of "people's militia" was raised in Minsk, as stated by the country's defense minister Viktor Khrenin:

This question is really, we see, very necessary. The most important thing is that we have both people and weapons for this.

Why an additional "people's militia" is needed, when there is both the RF Armed Forces and the TerO for local defense, is not clear. Rather, everything falls into place if in this form Belarus intends to legalize its volunteers who are ready to go to fight for the liberation of Ukraine from the Nazi invaders. It is reported that a special regime has been introduced in the regions bordering with Northern Ukraine.

It is not difficult to imagine how Belarus can join the special operation. When it is considered in Minsk that the “soft Anschluss” of the former Independent from Warsaw goes too far, the RF Armed Forces and the “people’s militia” will go to Volhynia, cutting off the supply routes of the Armed Forces of Ukraine from the NATO bloc. At the same time, control will be taken over the Rovno nuclear power plant and, probably, the Chernobyl nuclear power plant. Naturally, the Belarusian troops will not storm Kyiv because of complete senselessness. The Ukrainian capital will surrender itself, finding itself in complete isolation.

All this will become possible after the defeat of the Donbass grouping of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, the capture of large cities in the South-East, from Kharkov to Odessa, by Russian troops into an operational encirclement with a gradual extrusion and forced surrender of the remnants of the garrisons.
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  1. Sergey Latyshev Offline Sergey Latyshev
    Sergey Latyshev (Serge) 31 May 2022 11: 22
    +1
    21st century in the yard, imperialism.

    As soon as the dad understands that he can grab something, and he will get nothing for it, he will grab it.
    1. berezinp Offline berezinp
      berezinp (Pavel Berezin) 31 May 2022 11: 44
      +1
      Wake up, we already live in the American empire ... A single issue, a single center of power and legislation ... They wanted to be removed from sports competitions, they wanted to make them guilty of any sins without trial, they wanted to deprive them of the opportunity to conduct trade relations, they wanted to attack, they hanged the leader of the country ... All this is an empire, and its name is the USA ... Now the empire is just falling apart, now there will be several empires in the world.
      1. igor.igorev Offline igor.igorev
        igor.igorev (Igor) 31 May 2022 12: 17
        -4
        Quite right. In the near future, the EU will disintegrate and then all countries will become negotiable. Everything is moving fast towards it.
      2. Sergey Latyshev Offline Sergey Latyshev
        Sergey Latyshev (Serge) 31 May 2022 20: 59
        0
        Heh ... remember the proverb: Something interferes with a bad dancer"
        So here. who does not succeed - they blame everything on the USA. Earlier on the Brits. even earlier on the Masons. Etc.

        Sports officials officially recognized doping then ... but the United States must be blamed ...
        So the EU is about to fall apart, and the dollar will fall, and the fat will end, and a civil war will begin in Omerik ... you just need to listen to "A Brief History of the Collapse of the Dollar"
  2. sgrabik Offline sgrabik
    sgrabik (Sergei) 31 May 2022 11: 41
    0
    Sooner or later, but Belarus will still have to make its clear choice, it is impossible to constantly talk about unity with Russia and at the same time distance itself from participation in our common strategically important interests, the military operation in Ukraine is primarily one of these common interests.
    1. k7k8 Offline k7k8
      k7k8 (vic) 31 May 2022 11: 54
      +3
      As I understand it, I didn’t read the article, but I condemn it.
      You obviously don't know that:
      - Belarus allowed to use its territory for the invasion;
      - Belarus allowed the use of its territory for the deployment of Russian airborne forces and tactical missile systems used to deliver strikes against Ukraine at the first stage of the NMD;
      - Belarus is doing everything possible and impossible for the treatment and rehabilitation of wounded Russian servicemen;
      - Belarus received a serious package of sanctions for this (however, we are no stranger to them), as a party to the conflict;
      - Belarus accepted Russian troops back into its territory after the so-called. "gesture of good will" (as you probably remember, which led to the Buchin provocation);
      - and as a result, they remained practically one on one in ensuring the security of their southern borders.
      1. igor.igorev Offline igor.igorev
        igor.igorev (Igor) 31 May 2022 12: 19
        -4
        The chairman of the collective farm would try not to provide his territory for the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation. It was only thanks to Russia that he remained chairman of his collective farm.
        1. AlexAfromBY Offline AlexAfromBY
          AlexAfromBY (Oleg) 31 May 2022 13: 41
          -3
          Small fix. He was the director of the state farm. The position is assigned. The chairman of the collective farm is elected. He was simply appointed, and sent down instructions on what to do. The chairman of the collective farm could decide something himself
          1. igor.igorev Offline igor.igorev
            igor.igorev (Igor) 31 May 2022 13: 47
            -4
            I know these nuances, but there is not much difference in them. The main difference between collective farms and state farms is that there was a salary on the state farm, and workdays on the collective farm. And neither the chairman of the collective farm nor the director of the state farm could decide anything. All of them were lowered by their district committees of the CPSU. Although the director of the state farm could fire the hard workers, but I don’t know how on the collective farm.
      2. wolf46 Offline wolf46
        wolf46 31 May 2022 12: 44
        -10
        And now Russian troops are on the territory of the Republic of Belarus? Perhaps the reason for the "goodwill gesture" is that the Old Man demanded to bring them back (to their places of permanent deployment) and blocked the supply routes for the northern group (Kyiv, Chernihiv, Sumy).
        1. k7k8 Offline k7k8
          k7k8 (vic) 31 May 2022 12: 56
          +3
          Quote: wolf46
          And now Russian troops are on the territory of the Republic of Belarus?

          At the moment, the units that participated in the hostilities from the territory of the Republic of Belarus are in the Donbass. In the photo from the battlefield, their equipment can be distinguished by the letter V on the sides.

          Quote: wolf46
          Perhaps the reason for the "goodwill gesture" is that the Old Man demanded to bring them back

          Here it is not necessary to shift from a sick head to a healthy one. It turns out that Lukashenka is to blame for the Bucha massacre? Enchanting!



          Quote: wolf46
          blocked the supply routes of the northern group (Kyiv, Chernihiv, Sumy)

          Truly, it is better for you to chew than to talk. Although no, it's better to speak, otherwise your Banderlog nature cannot be determined.
        2. igor.igorev Offline igor.igorev
          igor.igorev (Igor) 31 May 2022 13: 49
          -6
          The collective farm chairman may demand something from his mistress. And he can only ask Russia.
  3. igor.igorev Offline igor.igorev
    igor.igorev (Igor) 31 May 2022 12: 15
    -6
    Author, why did you get the idea that the Armed Forces of Belarus are well trained? Have they ever participated in hostilities in their history? And the chairman of the collective farm will not climb anywhere, the number of armed forces in the country is ridiculous, purely for parades.
  4. Expert_Analyst_Forecaster 31 May 2022 12: 26
    -2
    As I already wrote, Russia will not share the territory with anyone b. There will be no Ukraine, except maybe with Belarus. Well, in the event of a war with NATO, Belarus will get access to the sea, regaining the historically owned Lithuanian lands, and possibly a piece of used. Poland.
    It may well turn out to be a beautiful state. Having made Russian, Belarusian, Ukrainian and Lithuanian official languages, it will be able to become an analogue of Switzerland.
    1. igor.igorev Offline igor.igorev
      igor.igorev (Igor) 31 May 2022 13: 50
      -1
      God! Where did you study history? What are the historical lands of Belarus? You received statehood only in 1991. As I understand it, you also have a globe of Belarus?
      1. Expert_Analyst_Forecaster 31 May 2022 14: 56
        -2
        Belarus has the right to claim the territory of Lithuania, Latvia, Estonia, Poland and b. Ukraine. And the globes of Belarus have been on sale for a long time. We are pulling owls against them, which are against the restoration of the historical lands of Belarus from the Baltic to the Black Sea.
        1. igor.igorev Offline igor.igorev
          igor.igorev (Igor) 31 May 2022 15: 28
          -3
          I repeat once again that history does not know any Belarusian state until the end of 1991. If anyone will return these lands to themselves, it is Russia. Here she definitely has every right to both the Belarusian lands, and the Polish, and the Baltic. Sit quietly and quietly, otherwise you will lose everything.
          1. Expert_Analyst_Forecaster 31 May 2022 15: 55
            -3
            Belarus has been a member of the UN since its foundation. Learn materiel.
            The fact that the names of the states changed does not at all mean that the Belarusians did not have their own state. Otherwise, we will have to assume that Russia appeared only at the end of 1991.
            So quietly and meekly study history.
            1. igor.igorev Offline igor.igorev
              igor.igorev (Igor) 31 May 2022 16: 04
              0
              Yes, it was and is a member of the UN, and what follows from this? She and Ukraine were included there at the suggestion of the representatives of the USSR as the most affected peoples from the Nazis. But neither Belarus nor Ukraine had any statehood. Russia traces its history from very ancient times. You are trying to build the globes of Ukraine and Belarus. The Kazakhs are also trying. All great nations, though history begins in 1991. Instead of the history of Belarus in a modern edition, you would read the real story. Then I would know what Russia is.
              1. Expert_Analyst_Forecaster 31 May 2022 16: 18
                -2
                Quietly and quietly learn history.
                1. igor.igorev Offline igor.igorev
                  igor.igorev (Igor) 31 May 2022 16: 56
                  -2
                  So get on with it, great nations. And I know the history of the Russian Empire well.
  5. Rustem Offline Rustem
    Rustem (Rustem) 31 May 2022 12: 37
    +1
    the territory of Volyn and during the division of Ukraine is not the best prize for Belarus. If the Russian Federation independently, losing its soldiers, occupies the remaining left flank of the Black Sea, then deep continental Belarus will not receive its preference in access to maritime trade communications
  6. k7k8 Offline k7k8
    k7k8 (vic) 31 May 2022 12: 59
    +3
    Quote: igor.igorev
    The chairman of the collective farm would try

    As the late Borya Nemtsov used to say, "this collective farmer again fooled both of our clowns." This "collective farmer" on the most despicable piece of land that Belarus inherited during the collapse of the USSR, was able to save almost all of industry, agriculture, housing and communal services, etc. What are the words of Tkachev, one of the Ministers of Agriculture of the Russian Federation, that the Belarusian agricultural producer poses a real threat to Russian agriculture.
    1. igor.igorev Offline igor.igorev
      igor.igorev (Igor) 31 May 2022 13: 52
      -6
      This collective farmer received 100 billion dollars from Russia free of charge. If they were invested in the Smolensk region, there would now be communism. But in Belarus they live worse than in Russia. The food did not go to the horse.
      1. k7k8 Offline k7k8
        k7k8 (vic) 31 May 2022 15: 20
        +4
        Did Lyusya Arestovich tell you this?
  7. k7k8 Offline k7k8
    k7k8 (vic) 31 May 2022 13: 21
    +2
    After
    Belarusian KGB conducted a special operation in Ukraine https://lenta.ru/news/2022/05/31/lukashenko_kgb/
  8. Expert_Analyst_Forecaster 31 May 2022 15: 24
    +3
    Quote: igor.igorev
    This collective farmer received 100 billion dollars from Russia free of charge.

    Not a hundred, but three hundred. And not billions, but trillions. And not dollars, but pounds sterling.
    And not free of charge, but with a load - he was also given two hundred tons of gold.
    1. k7k8 Offline k7k8
      k7k8 (vic) 31 May 2022 16: 12
      +4
      Don't waste your time.on igor.igorev. This is one of those from whom the fat was taken away - the breadwinner and drinker of all Russia.
      1. Eduard Aplombov Offline Eduard Aplombov
        Eduard Aplombov (Eduard Aplombov) 31 May 2022 19: 35
        -7
        right, waste time on each other and pretend that the Russians don’t know that the tractor driver’s regime has been preserved thanks to the Kremlin and huge financial injections, you live sitting on the neck of Russia and make faces, make faces on the internet, yeah, a self-sufficient collective farm, somewhere I already I read and saw similar self-praise and beating in the chest
  9. Vladimir1155 Offline Vladimir1155
    Vladimir1155 (Vladimir) 31 May 2022 19: 40
    +2
    I support the respected Author, it is quite possible to attract Belarus to the NWO, with the issuance of Lutsk Rivne and possibly the Zhytomyr region
    1. The comment was deleted.
  10. k7k8 Offline k7k8
    k7k8 (vic) 1 June 2022 12: 22
    +4
    Details of the KGB special operation to rescue Belarusian truckers from Ukraine: intelligence officers created a volunteer structure and involved SBU employees, and Lukashenka said not to spare finances
    https://www.belarus.kp.ru/daily/27399/4595836/
  11. Ablet Offline Ablet
    Ablet (Ablet) 2 June 2022 19: 03
    0
    Rivne NPP is a very important element of the energy system of the outskirts. And it's only 80 km from the border. 99,9% that the Poles will not get it.