SIPRI director: Russia may strike at Poland in case of further arms supplies to Kyiv

28 May 2022

Further arms supplies from the West to Kyiv are risky, especially for Warsaw. Moscow can strike at the Polish territories that have become logistics centers and supply lines. Neil Melvin, director of the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI), spoke about this in an interview with the British tabloid Daily Express.

The expert explained that the transfer of weapons by Western countries to Ukraine seriously worries Russia, causing growing irritation. This is due to the fact that the increase in the assistance provided has an impact on the timing of the special operation of the RF Armed Forces on Ukrainian soil, stretching over time.

Therefore, the patience of Russians may end, because it is not infinite. Poland will be the first to suffer, as it is most strongly involved in the process. But the problem is that not only Poles can suffer. He fears that as a result, the existing conflict will develop into something much more than a confrontation in Ukraine.

Russia may try to strike supply lines in NATO territory. For example, on bases in Poland. It's definitely a risk

– stressed the head of SIPRI.

The expert suggests that the longer the events last, the more likely it becomes even more negative development of events than is observed now, summed up the media.

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Offline Vnadn

Vnadn (Vlad) 28 May 2022 10: 29

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MLRS of the HIMARS type will most likely be delivered, but so far without tactical missiles, which Poland will purchase and keep under its control with a possible transfer to Ukraine only to hit agreed targets. I strongly doubt that the Kremlin will dare to attack Poland. Such a strike would mean using the entire military potential of NATO, including the deployment of NATO ground troops to Ukraine at the request of the Ukrainian government. And this is not a reason to use nuclear weapons. Both Poland and Ukraine have the right to defend themselves. In short, a blow to Poland means a very quick loss of the entire company. I think after reaching the borders of the LDNR, the Kremlin will try to conclude a certain Minsk 3. The position of France, Germany and Italy confirms this.
1. Offline ZnahWest
  
  ZnahWest (Ingvar b) 28 May 2022 10: 55
  
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  ... demi, dena leave the information field
  
  - Is it because the game is already open? Why hide behind terms, if the so-called. did they themselves deceive themselves with a special operation, and it spilled over into a full-scale war? Otherwise, by analogy with the English cruiser, as the military admitted, even if it had been sunk, the war would not have started because of this ...
2. Offline Valentine
  
  Valentine (Valentin) 28 May 2022 16: 38
  
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  If we have men with iron "Faberge" in power, then there will be no "Minsk-3", "Brussels-4" until we destroy and relocate to Poland the entire Catholic-Bandera Galicia. All the lands of the former Ukraine, except Western, should merge into Russia, as the legal successor of the USSR, in the form of federal districts, and all Galicians, without exception, will be taken by Poles, Hungarians and Romanians, for re-education and under the law of European restitution, all former Ukrainians from Galicia will remain naked and barefoot - this is it and there will be "Minsk-3" and "Warsaw-4", and we will be all hands in favor, but about future Nazi raids on our borders from Poland, as it was immediately after the civil war of 1918-1924, so this will already be an announcement us war with a NATO country, which is very, very fraught.
3. Offline alexander m_2
  
  alexander m_2 (Alexander) 29 May 2022 18: 40
  
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  Why do we need Minsk -3 now. To restore the Bandera army?
  they won't calm down. Stopping is beneficial only to the Ukrainian gang.
4. Offline Sapsan136
  
  Sapsan136 (Alexander) 30 May 2022 15: 28
  
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  And I doubt that the United States will defend Poland, because then the Russian missiles will fly to the United States, and the Yankees will most likely not substitute their own shirt for the Poles and their ass for the Poles. It's one thing to fight Moscow to the last Bandera, and it's quite another to meet Russian nuclear warheads in Washington ...
Offline Michael L.

Michael L. 28 May 2022 10: 39

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The director of SIPRI limited himself to speaking in an interview.
But to what extent do such deliveries (adding fuel to the fire!) comply with international law?
Shouldn't the UN Security Council intervene: given the danger of escalation with apocalyptic consequences for the entire planet?
1. Offline Vnadn
  
  Vnadn (Vlad) 28 May 2022 10: 53
  
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  Since when did international law prohibit the supply of weapons to a country that defends its territory? It is possible to condemn the supply of weapons to the attackers, but not to the defenders. Here the Kremlin has a big ideological and moral problem that has not yet resulted in a clear and understandable goal of this strange special operation similar to a war, but not called a war. Therefore, when a soldier of the Russian Federation is asked in captivity what he forgot here, he has nothing to answer, well, maybe the LDNR military can fend off they say I'm here because you've been shooting at my city for 8 years. At the same time, the captured Ukrainian soldier has a simple answer - I am fulfilling my oath, I am defending my home, city, country, and that is why there is such resistance. The fight against Nazism is certainly good, but the vast majority of soldiers of the Armed Forces of Ukraine are very far from Nazism. In general, there is no clarity of the goals of the operation, there is no ideology of going beyond the borders of the LDNR.
  1. Offline Michael L.
    
    Michael L. 28 May 2022 11: 27
    
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    "Many letters", instead of answering the question!
    If NATO intends to deploy missiles on the adjacent Ukrainian territory, and V. Zelensky proclaims his intention to acquire ... nuclear weapons - contrary to international law (!) - then: de jure - Ukraine is being protected, and de facto - the Russian Federation!
    To fully understand your demagogy is a lot of honor! ;-(
  2. Offline Valentine
    
    Valentine (Valentin) 28 May 2022 17: 13
    
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    Quote from Vnadn
    Since when did international law prohibit the supply of weapons to a country that defends its territory?
    
    It was in this war that the truth about the Ukrainian people was revealed, as NOT a single nation and ethnic group. Western Ukraine, but simply, if you do not go into the former political expediency, is the Galicia-Volyn principality, in which, through the vile efforts of the Austro-Hungarian Empire, they sowed hatred and discord precisely towards the Russian-Slavic roots, and the entire Russian Empire, and raised such evil jackals as Stepan Bandera, Shukhevych, Runner, Melnik, etc., etc., and they transmitted this malice of theirs from childhood mothers' milk of fierce hatred for the Russian Orthodox people to their current descendants, who are now fighting NOT ON THEIR LAND, but came with weapons in their hands to kill peaceful women, the elderly and children of the laboring Donbass. , then barricades appeared, burning tires and burning Khreshchatyk with burning Berkutovtsy, trains from Galicia with your "brothers", and on February 20, 2014, when Crimea was still yours, you seized power in Ukraine by force of arms That is, plundering all the arsenals of the Ministry of Internal Affairs and the army. Residents of Donbass stopped your tanks with their bare hands as much as they could, then you started shooting at them, and as a result, Donbass took up arms to protect their cities, villages and families, and now I ask you, pan Vlad, so who defended your territory when you, the Galicians, a nation alien to Ukraine, were the first to pin yourselves on the Donbass, and not the Donbass came to you with a civil war. Your relatives hate the Ukrainians themselves just as fiercely as the Russians and Belarusians , and you are here about some common territories. Galicia is your territory, live on it, and do not climb into foreign lands. And the NVO goes its own way, and will soon stop at the borders of 1939, the pans have been waiting for their slaves for more than 80 years .
    1. Offline artizan60
      
      artizan60 (Victor) 29 May 2022 08: 03
      
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      I’m still waiting for when they start to hammer Galicia, where the Austrians more than 100 years ago, Russians were killed only for a calendar card, a picture in a hut, a newspaper, a book or a letter in Russian, they were killed in completely sadistic ways ..
      Where only the Poles remained ...
      Who hate ukrov fiercely ..
2. Offline ZnahWest
  
  ZnahWest (Ingvar b) 28 May 2022 10: 56
  
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  What right??? ))) Wake up...
3. Offline Alena1770
  
  Alena1770 (Helena) 28 May 2022 15: 55
  
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  Unfortunately, no one has considered the UN for a long time.
Offline spectr

spectr (Dmitriy) 28 May 2022 11: 10

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A blow to Poland could be dealt if it officially enters into a conflict in Ukraine. Interestingly, in this case, the United States will rotate troops at Polish bases in order to expose European units to attack. They have an official excuse. They seem to be preparing their units for a conflict with China over Taiwan.
Offline Jacques sekavar

Jacques sekavar (Jacques Sekavar) 28 May 2022 11: 10

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Such "assumptions" by retired military men, "experts", politicians and hacks are intended to increase funding for NATO and rally the population in front of a "probable" and "possible" attack by the Russian Federation.
Offline Vnadn

Vnadn (Vlad) 28 May 2022 11: 21

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Quote: spectr
A blow to Poland could be dealt if it officially enters into a conflict in Ukraine....

Why can the Russian Federation enter the territory of Ukraine, but not Poland? Moreover, at the request of the government of Ukraine. Ukraine has the right to strike at the territory of the Russian Federation, what do you think?
1. Offline Michael L.
  
  Michael L. 28 May 2022 11: 52
  
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  Why is the substitution of concepts used as an "argument"?
  "Entering the territory" and "hitting the territory" - "two big differences"!
  
  Taki: "Ukraine has the right to strike at the territory of the Russian Federation."
  V. Gaft in the film Garage: "My gold, something, but you have the right"!
  1. Offline Izabel2102
    
    Izabel2102 (Olga) 28 May 2022 12: 06
    
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    Why are you reacting to brainwashed trolls? A complaint about anti-Russian statements, and all is short-lived. It's a lot of honor to throw pearls, don't you think? ))
    1. Offline Michael L.
      
      Michael L. 28 May 2022 12: 33
      
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      Administrative measures are a sign of weakness.
      Preferably: explain the "arguments" of trolls for ...thinking readers!
      1. Offline Izabel2102
        
        Izabel2102 (Olga) 28 May 2022 13: 09
        
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        Suum cuique. Explain. Until you are convinced that it is useless. They do not want to hear, and those who think already understand everything that is happening correctly.
Offline Sergey Pavlenko

Sergey Pavlenko (Sergey Pavlenko) 28 May 2022 12: 45

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We must take an example from Israel: they do not care about everything that will be said after they strike, because the main thing for them is the lives of their citizens. therefore, it is time to stop looking back at the UN and other organizations that sing to the tune of the states, to hit on all the points that we consider necessary without any looking back, only then can this war be ended. Well, if someone tries to respond to Russia on behalf of NATO, well, we have enough missiles for all these countries and there will still be. It's time to finish this bodyaga and put in place all the henchmen of the West and the states.
Offline Vnadn

Vnadn (Vlad) 28 May 2022 13: 58

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Quote from Mikhail L.
"A lot of letters", ...
To fully understand your demagogy is a lot of honor! ;-(

Uh-huh, it's because there is nothing to answer. That is why the Russian Federation lost the war for the minds in the 14th, and therefore it is losing now. And the war for minds in the information field will be more important than real battles.
1. Offline Michael L.
  
  Michael L. 28 May 2022 15: 09
  
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  Did he give himself an indulgence to evade: "War for the minds in the information field will be more important than real battles"?
  "Because" my answer to the demagogue: "Congratulations on the" victory "! ;-(
  1. Offline Vnadn
    
    Vnadn (Vlad) 28 May 2022 16: 27
    
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    Neither Ukraine nor Russia will win this war.
    1. Offline Michael L.
      
      Michael L. 28 May 2022 17: 10
      
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      To throw mud at the whole nation: ... "victorious" achievement in the "war for the minds in the information field" - from the mentor-representative of the "master race"! ;-(
2. Offline Valentine
  
  Valentine (Valentin) 28 May 2022 17: 22
  
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  Quote from Vnadn
  Potmu and lost the war for the minds of the Russian Federation in the 14th,
  
  Here I completely agree with you,
  
  Quote from Vnadn
  And the war for the minds in the information field will be more important than real battles.
  
  But with this you could argue with the notorious thugs from the national battalions of "Azov", who surrendered to our troops, and did not lay down their lives for the "Ridna Nenka" of Galicia.
Offline guest

guest 28 May 2022 18: 23

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Quote from Vnadn
Since when did international law prohibit the supply of weapons to a country that defends its territory?

Do you speak yours? First I propose to learn a little history, this is not their territory.
Offline NikolayN

NikolayN (Nikolai) 28 May 2022 18: 55

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What does can mean? For every dead Russian soldier on the territory of the former Ukraine, the countries that participated in the supply of weapons to the Kyiv regime will have to answer with the destruction of their citizens in the amount of 100 people. They should make such amendments to the legislation of their countries already now.
Offline steelmaker

steelmaker 28 May 2022 20: 22

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Russia may strike at Poland in case of further arms supplies to Kyiv

You first strike in Western Ukraine, airports, railway stations! Start small. Hit the decision-making centers, for a start in Ukraine! Or, what, will you say again that the General Staff knows better?

the longer the event lasts, the more likely it becomes even more negative development of events,

Yes, in general, I have such an idea that in the Kremlin, the NVO is generally ready to conduct at least 10 years.
Offline Kulikov Victor

Kulikov Victor (Victor) 28 May 2022 22: 15

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It is completely incomprehensible: why are strikes on Poland being discussed, and not strikes on the railway infrastructure of Ukraine, in order to stop the supply of weapons and fuel to Ukrainian troops by rail? It is obvious that it is much easier to disable a dozen railway bridges and a tunnel than to destroy weapons delivered by the West already on the battlefield with high-precision weapons, thereby the "fifth column" in the country brazenly and cynically supports the combat capability of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. Whatever anyone says, this is an outright betrayal, because without the supply of weapons and ammunition, and especially fuel and lubricants, the Ukrainian army could not hold the front everywhere and wage a maneuver war. As a result, the blood of Russian soldiers is shed, which is completely on the conscience of the "fifth column", if, of course, it has it. How long will this continue?
Offline cooper

cooper (Alexander) 29 May 2022 14: 22

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Wrong wording. Not "can inflict", but definitely inflict.
Offline Expert_Analyst_Forecaster

Expert_Analyst_Forecaster 30 May 2022 07: 11

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SIPRI Director: Russia may strike at Poland in case of further arms supplies to Kyiv.

I am calm. I know that already this year everyone who committed crimes against civilians will be punished. Including those who gave commands and those who carried out shelling of civilians in Donbass and Russia.
I hope they all hang.

And Poland and other enemies ... The turn before
Offline Luenkov

Luenkov (Arkady) 30 May 2022 21: 21

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We can already bill arms suppliers for our civilians killed and houses destroyed. We already morally have the right and opportunity to erase their cities, in their revenge paradigm.