“The blow will be struck”: Ishchenko assessed the likelihood of using nuclear weapons in Ukraine

16 May 2022

A nuclear strike in Ukraine is quite possible, and the likelihood of a global war with the use of weapons of mass destruction is growing. This opinion was expressed by the president of the Center for System Analysis and Forecasting, expert of the International Review program Rostislav Ishchenko.

He noted that Putin, Lavrov and Shoigu unanimously declare that there is a danger of nuclear war, and it is growing. The expert said that he, in turn, also puts on a high probability of the use of weapons of mass destruction.

With a probability of 80%, I would bet that a nuclear strike on Ukraine would be inflicted. I don't know by whom, but

- noted the analyst.

Meanwhile, the head of US National Intelligence, Avril Haynes, at a congressional hearing, said that the Ukrainian events should not lead to a large-scale nuclear conflict.

We support Ukraine, but we do not want to end up in a situation of the Third World War

Haynes emphasized.

She believes that Moscow can use nuclear weapons if there is a danger to the existence of the Russian state. At the same time, the Kremlin, according to the head of the intelligence service, may consider the military fiasco in Ukraine or the entry into hostilities of NATO countries as such a danger.

At the same time, Washington does not allow the possibility of supplying nuclear weapons to Ukraine. At the same time, the Russian nuclear arsenal raises concerns in the United States, Pentagon chief Lloyd Austin said the day before.

35 comments

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Offline Observer2014

Observer2014 16 May 2022 14: 46

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A nuclear strike in Ukraine is quite possible, and the likelihood of a global war with the use of weapons of mass destruction is growing.

Well, since Ishchenko is already talking about this, then sorry. For example, I took a full vacation for the first time in twenty-five years. Suddenly like it I wish everyone the same. Finish my business. Maybe I don’t know how to confess my love. Everyone has their own business.
1. Offline Monster_Fat
  
  Monster_Fat (What's the difference) 17 May 2022 07: 49
  
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  Correctly. And I advise everyone to spit on everything and enjoy the LAST, peaceful summer.
Offline zzdimk

zzdimk 16 May 2022 14: 54

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The democrats of the West are just waiting for a nuclear strike, but not on their own territories. It would be possible to surprise everyone ... For some reason, I began to replay fallout, the third part ...
1. Offline Avarron
  
  Avarron (Sergei) 16 May 2022 15: 43
  
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  Metro Exodus is also good at this topic.
Offline Michael L.

Michael L. 16 May 2022 14: 57

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If, as we are assured, the operation in Ukraine is progressing according to plan, then why does the question of the use of weapons of mass destruction arise?
1. Offline 1_2
  
  1_2 (Ducks are flying) 16 May 2022 17: 01
  
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  if there is a NATO invasion
  1. Offline Michael L.
    
    Michael L. 17 May 2022 09: 33
    
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    On the territory of Ukraine?
Offline steelmaker

steelmaker 16 May 2022 15: 21

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A nuclear strike in Ukraine is quite possible

And why not hit Voronezh, as in a joke? It's only in the EU masochists. They do everything for the "evil grandmother" .. If it comes to a nuclear strike, then it must be inflicted on NATO and the USA!
You see, the longer the CBO goes on, the more such assumptions will be. And we left Chernobyl.
1. Offline Valentine
  
  Valentine (Valentin) 16 May 2022 15: 52
  
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  Quote: steel maker
  If it comes to a nuclear strike, then it must be applied to NATO and the United States!
  
  We don’t need to climb there yet, we have enemies and closer, and I’m more than sure that the first strike of tactical nuclear weapons will be carried out along the five hundred-kilometer border between Poland and Galicia, without crossing the borders of Poland by a meter, but it’s easier to make tactical nuclear explosions low power so-called. a "neutral nuclear trail" along this entire border in order to fence off from the EU-NATO, and stop the supply of weapons and mercenaries to the Galician Banderaites, and immediately warn, guys, you don’t need to joke with us, otherwise it will be worse, and with a guarantee of 101 % neither the United States, nor NATO, nor the rest of Europe will wilt, their shirt is closer to the body, and they all need in the silence that comes after this action of ours to think and analyze everything firmly, and there will be no response to our blow from the United States , neither from Great Britain, and even more so from France, because. they know perfectly well that after that there will be no flora, no fauna, no human life on Earth, and our planet will be covered with green nuclear glass with nuclear dust in the air.
  1. Offline Oleg Rambover
    
    Oleg Rambover (Oleg Pitersky) 16 May 2022 23: 58
    
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    I already told you that this is crazy.
    In the best case, you will go to the store with a dosimeter for groceries and be mortally afraid of getting caught in the rain. This is on condition that such an action will not lead to the third world.
2. Offline Oleg Rambover
  
  Oleg Rambover (Oleg Pitersky) 16 May 2022 23: 53
  
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  Quote: steel maker
  then it must be applied to NATO and the USA!
  
  Do you want to die?
Offline Sergey Latyshev

Sergey Latyshev (Serge) 16 May 2022 15: 41

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We've arrived.
Now ordinary experts have begun to refute Putin himself behind the scenes.
Like, they are in Paradise, and we ... .
1. Offline Valentine
  
  Valentine (Valentin) 16 May 2022 18: 44
  
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  Do you think that the Guarantor does not have the same understanding as those who know perfectly well that we, a hundred and forty-six millionth country, will not be able to withstand one and a half billion of the US population and its "accomplices", counting all of Europe, Japan, Turkey, Australia and so on and so forth, even with those "Daggers", "Caliber" and "Zircons" that we have - for them, we, Russia and the Russians, must disappear in the same way as 100 million North American Indians disappeared, and everything will come to this if we again wag our tail in front of them and squeal in gratitude after kissing Uncle Sam's hand. local tactical nuclear strike, which I wrote about above, so Ishchenko is right about this.
  1. Offline Sergey Latyshev
    
    Sergey Latyshev (Serge) 16 May 2022 21: 55
    
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    Yes, the number of disappeared Indians is growing year by year .....
    More recently, there were 30 million ...
    
    Except for propaganda, then no one has essentially disappeared, except for all sorts of Tasmanian cannibals ....
    And to wag is to Edru, the Kremlin and the Duma that she stood applauded to Amer’s senators in the midst of sanctions ....
    
    while Mykola Nikitas are shooting each other, the media are happily reporting how profitable the Oligarchs are selling oil, gas, Nickel, etc. to NATO ...
    1. Offline Valentine
      
      Valentine (Valentin) 17 May 2022 05: 58
      
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      Quote: Sergey Latyshev
      Yes, the number of disappeared Indians is growing year by year .....
      More recently, there were 30 million ...
      
      According to the latest data from American researchers, it was this figure that appeared in their reports.
Offline Chervony Biker

Chervony Biker (Red Biker) 16 May 2022 15: 53

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There are people of all ages here. But those who are over 50 should remember very well the 80s, and where there were anti-nuclear shelters at enterprises. And those who served in the SA - how quickly you need to pull on the OZK and turn on the anti-nuclear defense system in the tank. Those. my generation lived and worked with the understanding that "this moment" is quite real. And the adversary is restrained only by the fear of mutual destruction. Regarding Ukraine... As it will be, so it will be. I don't want to live in the world that "banderlogs" and their masters are trying to impose on me. And they, apparently, were not smart enough to consider in the burning "House of Trade Unions" of Odessa, the glow of a nuclear explosion in the vicinity of Lvov.
Offline zzdimk

zzdimk 16 May 2022 16: 07

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Quote: Avarron
Metro Exodus is also good at this topic.

There is a sad end. Yes, and the toy itself is gloomy, some kind of hopelessness ... But you want light ... in the ruins of the states, or what?
By the way, only the Russians were satisfied with these games.
Good always wins, even through sacrifice.
Offline Art Pilot

Art Pilot (pilot) 16 May 2022 16: 46

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It seems that Ukraine as a state will not just "not take place." It won't take place very loudly.
Offline 1_2

1_2 (Ducks are flying) 16 May 2022 17: 03

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it is possible to use hydrogen charges in the western Lviv region if there is a NATO invasion
1. Offline Oleg Rambover
  
  Oleg Rambover (Oleg Pitersky) 17 May 2022 00: 01
  
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  Quote: 1_2
  NATO invasion
  
  Invasion where?
Offline Colonel Kudasov

Colonel Kudasov (Leopold) 16 May 2022 17: 34

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In principle, everything is correct. Russia can't throw cards. And you need to double down. This should work. Trump zabzed a much weaker Korea, although before that he swaggered, boasted of a “big button”)
Offline Sergey Pavlenko

Sergey Pavlenko (Sergey Pavlenko) 16 May 2022 17: 39

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Russia is unlikely to be the first to use nuclear weapons, but since they began to prepare public opinion for this, it is quite possible to strike Kyiv, but not by Russia, but by someone from NATO, but everything will be attributed to Russia, but after that Russia will have its hands untied and then it will be possible to finish all this bodyaga with the west and the states ... . And what are they thinking about across the ocean, because they know that Russia has more nuclear weapons charges than in NATO, they are probably thinking of sitting out on doomsday planes. If there are no brains, then this is already a diagnosis ...
Offline vo2022smysl

vo2022smysl (Common sense) 16 May 2022 19: 31

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“The blow will be struck”: Ishchenko assessed the likelihood of using nuclear weapons in Ukraine

I perfectly remember the statements and "forecasts" of the past years by this "expert" propagandist on the development of the situation after the coup in Ukraine. From the very beginning, they did not inspire any confidence, which was confirmed time after time. As for the provocative statements about the use of nuclear weapons, it would be worthwhile to think a little before getting mad.
Offline Neville Stator

Neville Stator (Neville Stator) 16 May 2022 22: 58

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Either full mobilization, or the use of tactical nuclear weapons. There are few alternatives to massive NATO support for Ukraine. Russia cannot lose this war.
1. Offline Monster_Fat
  
  Monster_Fat (What's the difference) 17 May 2022 07: 59
  
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  She has already lost. As soon as she allowed herself to be pulled into it. Now the conversation can go only in the time of the beginning of the Third World War. Everything, gentlemen, jumped with their "brilliant" "multi-move". It seems to me that all this time they were building an underground "no one's" city of refuge "in Altai - so, in case you have to" die as heroes, and they (in the west) just die. "And I have bad news for you -you and your families in it (in the shelter), there will be no place ....
Offline GIS

GIS (Ildus) 17 May 2022 10: 53

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Quote: zzdimk
And I want light ... through the ruins of the states,

well said!
but nuclear strikes, even if they are local / tactical, will immediately open the "pandora's box" and the world will move to a new level of armed confrontation between states (of different sizes and calibers) ... then the risk of destroying the planet and you and me will increase many times
Offline k7k8

k7k8 (vic) 17 May 2022 13: 08

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Ishchenko is quoted here too? Has he already bothered everyone on alternatio.org with his predictions (of which, by the way, a little less than none came true)?
1. Offline Vox Populi
  
  Vox Populi (vox populi) 17 May 2022 17: 39
  
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  The peculiarity of this "analyst" (in fact - a propagandist) is self-confidence and peremptory statements!
Offline ivan2022

ivan2022 (ivan2022) 17 May 2022 18: 36

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The game of "Bug". Stop and wait, they'll hit you from behind. And then guess who.
Offline gorskova.ir

gorskova.ir (Irina Gorskova) 17 May 2022 21: 36

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The fact that Western stupid people are yelling about this is already familiar. I remember the test tube, and "Novichok" and "chemical attacks" in Syria, where chemical weapons were all destroyed under the supervision of those who then yelled .... But when ours start to agree, it's not very good.
Offline Michael

Michael (Micah) 18 May 2022 09: 58

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Moreover, it is necessary to inflict it and not be afraid, because no one in Europe will dare to go into conflict with a nuclear power capable of destroying life on the planet at least three times, and America will only benefit from it and will not stand up for Europe. Yes, and the Poles will have to think about all other Russophobes
Offline Khaertdinov Radik

Khaertdinov Radik (Radik Khaertdinov) 18 May 2022 11: 27

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Ukraine is far only from the United States, so only the States can be FOR the use of nuclear weapons! None of the neighbors of Ukraine needs nuclear explosions NEAR THE SIDE! The Russian Federation will cope with the European NATO and without nuclear weapons, and if the States still want to get into the conflict, then THEY (decision-making centers) will get the Sarmatians as "guests"! So, I believe - there will be NO nuclear war in Ukraine! After the failure of the "Ukraine" project, "projects" will appear - Poland or the Baltic states, because the Finns and kamikaze are incompatible ...)
Online Teacher

Teacher (Wise) 18 May 2022 12: 07

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The Russian Federation will cope with European NATO and without nuclear weapons, and if the States still want to get into the conflict, then THEY (decision-making centers) will receive Sarmatians as "guests".

Analyzing the course of the SVO in Ukraine, it is very difficult to believe in the above. To date, the RF Armed Forces have not been able to take the village of Novoselovka in the Donetsk steppe for the third month!
And only the lazy did not talk about strikes on decision-making centers in Kyiv (their absence).
Offline And W2

And W2 (And W2) 19 May 2022 14: 52

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One sergeant said - do you ... want to live forever?
If a person (country) is given small wounds, a scratch with a drop of blood, then he will inevitably weaken, fall ill and die, or he will be dumped and trampled. Look where the whole elite is, daughters, bitches, bugs, mice. Please note that the fleet consists of yachts at the price of aircraft carriers, submarines. We can sink submarines, flagships of the fleet with impunity and without reciprocity. During Chernobyl, SAS saboteurs were present. And in Kyiv, the State Department was frolicking with cookies and $ 5 billion. For the shtatovtsy, the use of nuclear weapons depends on any desire, but for us only during an attack. It's funny, our country was destroyed, and the long arm will ONLY work after 3 months (if it works).
Offline Edvid

Edvid 23 May 2022 00: 49

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Quote: Observer2014
A nuclear strike in Ukraine is quite possible, and the likelihood of a global war with the use of weapons of mass destruction is growing.

Well, since Ishchenko is already talking about this, then sorry. For example, I took a full vacation for the first time in twenty-five years. Suddenly like it I wish everyone the same. Finish my business. Maybe I don’t know how to confess my love. Everyone has their own business.

To begin with, the West needs to demonstrate the efficiency of Russian nuclear weapons with an open broadcast. For example, to blow up a nuclear warhead at the Novaya Zemlya test site. Even better, to undermine the hull of the cruiser "Moskva" with a nuclear charge, declaring this the destruction of secret equipment ...