Three steps by Russia in response to NATO expansion on the northern borders

Three steps by Russia in response to NATO expansion on the northern borders

To all appearances, the North Atlantic Alliance will soon be replenished with two new members, Finland and Sweden. This event will be extremely unpleasant, since it will create a lot of new problems for Russia in addition to the existing ones. How should Moscow react to the decision of Helsinki and Stockholm?

If you look at the domestic press on this issue, it is noticeable that the comments of numerous military experts are aimed at trying to calm the worried public. Say, the devil is not so terrible as he is painted. Only two more potential targets for the RF Ministry of Defense. However, it's really not funny at all.

Threat from the North

Formally, this threat is not so great. The Finnish Self-Defense Forces have only 12 regular soldiers and 22 conscripts. The ground forces are armed with a hundred German Leopard tanks, the same number are in storage, the Air Force is armed with American F-18 / A fighter-bombers and British-made Hawker Siddeley Hawk attack aircraft. The Finnish Navy is small and is represented mainly by minelayers, minesweepers, patrol ships and boats. In Sweden, the Armed Forces collectively number 30 people. The ground forces are armed with 120 German Leopard tanks, 340 Strf 9040 infantry fighting vehicles, 48 ​​Archer self-propelled 155-mm howitzers, the Air Force - Swedish-made JAS 39 Gripen fighter-bombers, as well as Italian Austra Westland AW109 attack helicopters. The Royal Navy is represented by 9 corvettes and 6 diesel-electric submarines.

At first glance, the power is not so great, but this is only at first. It is Finland that poses the greatest threat to Russia, due to the presence of a common border with a length of 1271,8 km, proximity to the second largest Russian metropolis of St. Petersburg, and the ability to block the exit from the Gulf of Finland for ships of the Baltic Fleet. And this is a very serious challenge for our country.

At first, do not forget that the Finnish Self-Defense Forces are small only in peacetime. Helsinki built its army to NATO standards, and with a population of less than 5,5 million people, 80% of men served in it. For evading military or alternative service in Finland, you can really "sit down" for six months. In the event of war, the strength of the Armed Forces can easily be increased to 280.

For comparison, this figure exactly corresponds to the number of all the Ground Forces of the Russian Federation, which is also 280 thousand (as of 2021). And this is of great importance, since almost all of the Russian Ground Forces, contract soldiers, are now involved in a special operation in Ukraine, which is unknown when it will end.

Secondly, Helsinki ordered 64 F-35A fifth-generation fighter jets from the United States, as well as a batch of 120 AGM-158 JASSM air-to-ground missiles designed to destroy high-value, mobile and stationary targets. Thanks to this, the Finnish Air Force will be able to pose a real danger to the entire North-West of Russia: St. Petersburg and the Kaliningrad region with our Baltic Fleet and even the Northern Fleet of the Russian Federation. By the way, the F-35A "stealth" fighters are potentially carriers of nuclear weapons. After Finland joins the NATO bloc, this will acquire a completely new strategic significance for the security of the entire region.

Thirdly, despite the small number and "mosquito", the Finnish Navy poses a real threat to the Baltic Fleet of the Russian Federation. How we detail told Previously, 6 minelayers and 13 minesweepers, as well as 8 high-speed missile boats performing fire support functions, could easily block the exit from the Gulf of Finland for Russian ships. If before our problem was only Estonia, armed with sea mines and anti-ship missiles, located on its other side, now Finland will be added to it. The ships of the Baltic Fleet of the Russian Federation in the event of a conflict with NATO will be forced to remain at the pier, unable to safely leave the base. In fact, they are now turning into "rocket gunboats".

And these are just the problems that only Finland can create for us by itself. In addition to what has already been said, strike weapons from the NATO bloc will soon be able to be placed on its territory: aviation, long-range MLRS, OTRK, missile defense systems, etc. As Cold War II escalates, American tactical nuclear weapons may also appear on Russia's northern borders.

What to do?

The response to the anti-Russian militarization of Finland and Sweden must be complex. Our northern neighbor Finland needs to immediately cut off the supply of gas, coal, electricity and wood. Let them feel on their shoulders all the costs of the Russophobic policy, as it has already happened with the Baltic States.

Militarily, unfortunately, Russia will have to spend a lot of money to rebuild the entire security system in the North-West of the country. We will have to significantly strengthen the air defense / missile defense system, covering St. Petersburg and its entire industrial cluster. The course of the special operation in Ukraine has clearly shown that the current strength of the RF Armed Forces is clearly not enough to stop the current threats. It is definitely impossible to do without an increase in the number of Ground Forces, and, perhaps, the issue of the security of the border regions should be resolved through the creation of territorial defense units.
If something bad happens now in the North-West, are we really going to withdraw troops from Ukraine, where every single soldier is needed, fighting against a numerically superior enemy? The same can be said about the regions bordering with other countries unfriendly to Russia.

At the same time, one must be aware that the total military power of the NATO bloc is objectively superior to that of Russia. Therefore, as a deterrent measure, it would be advisable to arm the ships of the Baltic and Northern fleets of the Russian Federation with Kalibr missiles with nuclear warheads. Also, TNW carriers should be the Iskander-M OTRK. Our northern neighbors, who have decided to join the anti-Russian military bloc, must clearly understand that they will now become priority targets for a nuclear strike. The jokes are over.
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  1. Jacques sekavar Offline Jacques sekavar
    Jacques sekavar (Jacques Sekavar) 14 May 2022 17: 50
    The most effective would be the conclusion of a political economy and military treaty with the PRC, but this is from the realm of fantasy.
    A good answer would be integration within the CSTO or the EAEU, which is also unlikely.
    Only a transition to a mobilization economy is real, but this is also not easy to do.
  2. akm8226 Offline akm8226
    akm8226 14 May 2022 18: 07
    Today Russia is dying especially hard!
    As the first commandment of a Soviet engineer says:
    - If you want to test an idea, take it to the point of absurdity.
    Let's put the question - what does NATO want to achieve by accepting the Finns and Swedes. clearly understanding that in which case a wet spot will remain from them in 10 minutes? And what it wants to achieve is that we panic and put ourselves in a state of emergency! Does anyone really believe that the Finns and Swedes will climb into a land attack?)))))))))) In total, there is no need to take a steam bath - the whole task is solved by two Sarmatians.
    1. Vyacheslav 64 Offline Vyacheslav 64
      Vyacheslav 64 (Vyacheslav) 15 May 2022 19: 11
      They may not climb, but they give NATO very convenient positions to strike at us. And when their territory is saturated with military bases, no one will ask them about anything! And the Sarmatians? Yes, you already forget about them, this is just the last step, a pin torn from a grenade in the hands of a dying soldier !!!
  3. Evdokimov Sergey Yurievich 14 May 2022 18: 18
    We need to start with good training of conscripts. That is, increase the service life, but not for free. It's time to learn to pay everyone for work. It turns out dishonestly that some shirk by pull, others study, and the third Ivans are fools pulling the service strap. Particularly distinguished soldiers and sergeants will be able to enter military institutes (schools) without competition. It's time to create secondary schools, 3 years of training, platoon commanders, companies. There are always an excess of generals. schools - it is necessary that cadets do practice in units for at least three months a year, I know that current graduates know a lot of unnecessary theory, but they are re-trained in units. This is how training in Soviet vocational schools took place, and good specialists were obtained. Medvedev's schools. In Tambov, there was the best school in Russia (communications) - the school was closed by Serdyukov. And of course, the simplest contract soldier should receive no me it is 60-70 thousand rubles. Accordingly, increase the payment to officers. Otherwise, untrained boys will die again. Eliminate the status of ensigns, incomprehensible education in the army .. It is clear that for the current salary we will soon have no soldiers and officers at all, there will be many generals. When we demand that we increase the grouping in Ukraine, we must understand that half of the contract soldiers are already fighting, and there is nowhere to take others ..
    1. ksa Offline ksa
      ksa 15 May 2022 17: 32
      What's wrong with officer salaries? I was here recently with a retired military man in the ward, so his pension is 6 times more than that of my wife. An acquaintance recently stood at a bus stop (Perevalnoe-Alushta) and asked the voting lieutenant: why, they say, are you voting? The trolleybus runs every 10 minutes. And he told him - And what to do with the money?
  4. Michael L. Offline Michael L.
    Michael L. 14 May 2022 18: 33
    As information, it should be noted that the issue of Finland and Sweden joining NATO is in limbo, because ... Turkey is against it.
    If R. Erdogan succeeds in blocking the admission of new candidates: he will atone for his guilt before the Russian Federation!
    1. Lev Rudey Offline Lev Rudey
      Lev Rudey (Lev Rudey) 14 May 2022 18: 57
      First of all, American nuclear weapons will appear on the territory of Finland, which will naturally be brought closer to the borders of Russia. Secondly, the Gulf of Finland will be INSTANTLY blocked for the passage of ALL ships under the Russian flag. The reason is any.
      Thirdly, Russia will not be able to influence ABSOLUTELY ANYTHING. Well, only. if tactical nuclear strikes on the same Finnish airfields and command posts, of course, before Finland joins NATO.
      But - alas. The gut is thin.

      1. Michael L. Offline Michael L.
        Michael L. 14 May 2022 20: 47
        Found a replacement for Ukraine!
        But where is V. Putin's "loss" here?
    2. Lev Rudey Offline Lev Rudey
      Lev Rudey (Lev Rudey) 14 May 2022 18: 59
      Erdogan's office has already refuted this passage.
      1. Michael L. Offline Michael L.
        Michael L. 14 May 2022 20: 44
        The office and R. Erdogan are two big differences.
        Is it possible to link to the "refutation"?
    3. guest Offline guest
      guest 14 May 2022 19: 02
      It would be nice, and with all my personal dislike for Erdogan, if he blocked the entry of Finland and Sweden into NATO, I would give him the title of Hero of Russia, but this is unlikely to happen.
    4. Roma Phil Offline Roma Phil
      Roma Phil (Roma) 14 May 2022 19: 23
      It seems like according to the latest data, Turkey said that they would not interfere with NATO membership of Finland and Sweden.
      1. Michael L. Offline Michael L.
        Michael L. 14 May 2022 20: 45
        This statement: exactly what "sort of"!
        1. Roma Phil Offline Roma Phil
          Roma Phil (Roma) 14 May 2022 22: 31
          Turkey requires the Finns and Swedes to "stop terrorist activities."
          "We are not closing the door [to NATO]. But we are generally raising this issue as a matter of Turkish national security," said Ibrahim Kalin, an adviser to Erdogan.

          1. Michael L. Offline Michael L.
            Michael L. 15 May 2022 05: 22
            Advisor (!) R. Erdogan made an ambiguous statement ...
            1. YES UZH Offline YES UZH
              YES UZH (YES) 15 May 2022 11: 30
              The Turks habitually trade in their own interests, well done, what can I say. I think it's bent.
  5. the war with Otan will immediately become nuclear, so there is no need to fuss!
  6. Roma Phil Offline Roma Phil
    Roma Phil (Roma) 14 May 2022 19: 18
    Of course, I am not a strategist, not a military analyst and not a political scientist, but from my amateurish point of view I mean this: What difference does it make how many ground forces, German Leopard tanks, fighter-bombers, howitzers and even submarines are in Finland?
    If Finland is in NATO, then with it, as with all NATO countries, there will only be a nuclear war. And for the whole of Finland, two missiles with nuclear warheads will be enough.
    Russia will not have a war with non-nuclear weapons with any NATO country, as it is now with Ukraine.
  7. AICO Offline AICO
    AICO (Vyacheslav) 14 May 2022 19: 34
    Quote: Evdokimov Sergey Yurievich
    There are always too many generals

    - to demote to warrant officers, they don’t do a damn thing !!!
  8. Teacher Offline Teacher
    Teacher (Wise) 14 May 2022 19: 56
    War with any NATO country as with Ukraine is impossible! The forces of the current Russian Federation are not enough to take control of the village of Novoselovka in the steppe of Ukraine.
    Therefore, make 2-3 more missiles with nuclear charges, demonstrate to the inhabitants and rulers of Finland, and say: "This is for you."
    Everything else is nonsense (tanks, guns, etc.).
  9. Spasatel Offline Spasatel
    Spasatel 14 May 2022 20: 44
    Glory to Putin! Glory to the Rotenberg brothers! Glory to Kabaeva! Glory to the Russian oligarchs!!!
    1. Michael L. Offline Michael L.
      Michael L. 14 May 2022 20: 57
      Dear Spasatel`,
      Saving sarcasm is good.
      But is there any suggestion for an alternative?
      "Who's new?"?
      1. Spasatel Offline Spasatel
        Spasatel 15 May 2022 08: 38
        And we still have a lot of honest people, not all of them were imprisoned and shot. If there are fair elections, and not elections of oligarchs, there will be such people.
        Do not doubt!!
        1. guest Offline guest
          guest 15 May 2022 17: 31
          You propose to give power to the fifth column?
          1. Spasatel Offline Spasatel
            Spasatel 15 May 2022 22: 29
            Well, if for you honest people are the fifth column, then I feel sorry for you ...
    2. The comment was deleted.
  10. Enoch Offline Enoch
    Enoch (Enoch) 14 May 2022 21: 56
    On the upper deck they want "Eat in the east, spend the night in the west."
  11. Storm_2022 Offline Storm_2022
    Storm_2022 (Storm _2022) 15 May 2022 05: 04
    In response to the entry of Sweden and Finland into NATO, it is certainly not worth flogging a fever, it is necessary to deploy two S-400 regiments, two brigades of the Iskander-M OTRK and two motorized rifle divisions in the North-West.
    This will suffice for the first answer.
    If Finland and Sweden confirm their non-nuclear status within NATO, then we should not rush to deploy tactical nuclear weapons near St. Petersburg, but we will have to strengthen the air defense / missile defense of the Northern Fleet bases on the Kola Peninsula.
    The nuclear submarines of the Northern Fleet, reliably covered from the air, can shoot back from the pier and "fry" the entire EuroNATO so that from Poland to Portugal (including small-shaven ones) there will be a lifeless desert.

    At the Baltic Fleet, there will soon be 6 RTOs pr. 20800 and three RTOs Buyan-M.
    To save them from the first strike, it may be worthwhile to transfer all new RTOs with Caliber to Ladoga and form the Ladoga-White Sea Flotilla.
    The salvo of 9 RTOs is 72 KR Caliber, which, in case of danger, will not leave a living place from the Finnish fleet and its military bases.
    If we add the DBK BAL brigade, then this is another 32 Uran-U missiles.
  12. steelmaker Offline steelmaker
    steelmaker 15 May 2022 08: 53
    I have already said that Putin and Lavrov are weak politicians. And it was their actions that led the country to war and heavy economic losses. But weak politicians do not solve problems and cannot solve them, they only create them. As in the saying:

    The farther into the forest, the more firewood.
    1. VlVl Offline VlVl
      VlVl (VladVlad) 15 May 2022 12: 08
      Have metallurgists already retrained as political scientists? Reduced at the metallurgical plant?
      1. Storm_2022 Offline Storm_2022
        Storm_2022 (Storm _2022) 15 May 2022 21: 27
        They tryndyat a lot, but the steel is worthless :))
  13. antibi0tikk Offline antibi0tikk
    antibi0tikk (Sergei) 15 May 2022 09: 14
    Frankly speaking, I don't think that something will change STRONGLY from the accession of Finland and Sweden to NATO. So we didn’t really consider them friends anyway. The worst thing is that the Americans will get in there and start muddying the waters. Only such a feeling that it will only be worse for the Swedes and the Finns themselves.
    Almost 1300 km of the common border is, of course, a lot. But the fact that 300-400 km north of St. Petersburg is sparsely populated areas, there are not enough roads, forests, lakes ..... The border with the Finns is already well equipped: outposts, towers, communications, communications. In general, everything you need is already there, maybe something will be added additionally, but it will not be a huge investment.
    In the case of a universal mover and muddled with NATO, the Baltic Fleet will not be alone in trouble, if anything, it will not necessarily be supplied by sea, but, for example, through the Vilnius region of the Russian Federation. Yes, and the guys in that fleet are not made with a finger, they can hit the face with an oar or some kind of Caliber.
    Looking at the NMD in Ukraine, at the military operations in Syria and other military conflicts, you understand that the methods of warfare have changed a lot. Now you need to know not HOW MANY tanks and infantry (although this is also important), but WHERE these tanks and infantry are. And then hit them from Msta, Iskander, Caliber or something else vigorous.
  14. Ingvar7 Offline Ingvar7
    Ingvar7 (Ingvar Miller) 15 May 2022 09: 45
    Did Putin read this?
  15. Andrey Andreev_2 (Andrey Andreev) 15 May 2022 09: 53
    It's all the dollar's fault! As a means of pressure on any country in the world ... Only the United States and Britain are doing this gradually, and we should learn from this! Today they "explained" to the Finns and Swedes that if they do not support sanctions and do not join NATO, they will be reduced to zero aid, and their financial assets abroad will be blocked. Our neighbors broke down... Erdogan yelped and fell silent, because they would break him in the same way... And then the turn of the Indians will come, they also want to live and eat, the Brazilians, the Chinese... I would very much like to change one feature of the United States, which is strategically still nothing and no one lost. So far, we are only doing the right thing tactically, and we are weaklings in strategy! We are constantly hitting "on the tails", but we must look for the basis of what is happening - this is the DOLLAR! By destroying the financial dominance of the United States, the current financial system of the United States, one can make all their henchmen think, who sell everything for cut green paper: the lives of people, and the wealth of their countries, and the future of their future generations. Ours, unfortunately, are also susceptible to this disease (((
    1. VlVl Offline VlVl
      VlVl (VladVlad) 15 May 2022 12: 10
      There are no dollars in Britain. They use the old pound sterling.
  16. kot711 Offline kot711
    kot711 (vov) 15 May 2022 10: 30
    almost all the Russian Ground Forces, contract soldiers, are now involved in a special operation in Ukraine, which is unknown when it will end.
    Did they report this to the author from the General Staff or did he come up with it himself?
    1. VlVl Offline VlVl
      VlVl (VladVlad) 15 May 2022 12: 11
      Gerasimov calls after dinner and reports the news. In the expanses of fisbuk they huddled together.
  17. kriten Offline kriten
    kriten (Vladimir) 15 May 2022 11: 10
    What are the dreams of the author of the post. Russia will not be able to do anything except to wipe itself, i.e. aim at them some kind of terrible weapon.
  18. Art Pilot Offline Art Pilot
    Art Pilot (pilot) 15 May 2022 14: 35
    ... it is necessary to immediately cut off Finland's gas, coal, electricity and timber supplies.

    I would also add - to refuse all Finnish imports (with the exception of equipment important for industrial use, if any). That is, to nullify for Finland all the opportunities to make money on Russia. It is fashionable to sell everything to the Finns, except for raw materials and energy.
  19. Aa Bb Offline Aa Bb
    Aa Bb (Aa Bb) 15 May 2022 16: 58
    So the jokes are over. Now gotta hurt
  20. Vladimir Orlov Offline Vladimir Orlov
    Vladimir Orlov (Vladimir) 15 May 2022 18: 59
    Our General Staff will plan to strengthen the defense of the northwest even without an article. To the detriment of pensioners and teachers.
    We do not need this, but more kindergartens, schools and hospitals. Otherwise, there will soon be no one to serve, immigrants do not come to us as to us or to Europe.
  21. Demonlivi Offline Demonlivi
    Demonlivi (Dima) 15 May 2022 20: 50
    Three steps !1. Recall diplomats. 2. Call the UN Security Council and threaten it with gas and forests! 3. In no case should the army be sent into this territory! So that young boys are not smashed on the march! Because of stupid politicians! (we just threaten to cut off gas, oil and coal and FSE!)
    FGJCNJK (Nikolai) 15 May 2022 21: 09
    Quote: akm8226
    the whole task is solved by two Sarmatians.

    Well, maybe three - for the "softness" of resolving the issue.
  23. Omas Bioladen Offline Omas Bioladen
    Omas Bioladen 16 May 2022 07: 26
    Finnland sollte sofot angegriffen und Helsinki sofort besetzt werden. Die Absicht der NATO ist klar die Einäscherung von Sankt Petersburg und Moskau. Den Ländern der EU sollte klar gemacht werden, daß es sich nicht lohnt Rußland zu bedrängen.
  24. Poligraf Poligrafovich (Vadim Vorobyov) 17 May 2022 21: 21
    ... Cluster-...&ster... When will we start speaking Russian? Where is Medynsky and Ivanov, that they opened the board to Mannerheim in Leningrad? The backs are not quite cramped from deflections?
  25. svetlanavradiy Offline svetlanavradiy
    svetlanavradiy (Svetlana Vradiy) 3 July 2022 08: 09
    Very correct thoughts of the author in terms of the economic punishment of Finland. If it starts to make a real threat in the military aspect, then launch Sarmat missiles.