Why Donbass and the Sea of Azov cannot be annexed to Russia without the rest of Novorossia
Over the past few days, the eyes of Russians and Ukrainians have been riveted to the South-East of the former Square, where it will be decided which way this country will go further. The future of Ukraine itself, Russia, our Union State with Belarus, as well as the entire post-Soviet space depends on what decisions the Kremlin will make regarding the fate of the Kherson and southern Zaporozhye regions, the DPR and the LPR.
Return to home harbor
Most interesting news comes from Kherson, where they directly declared their readiness to become part of the Russian Federation. Together with the Kherson region, the south of the Zaporozhye region can also return to its native harbor. The administrative capital of the former Ukrainian region of Zaporizhzhia, unfortunately, is still under the occupation of the Nazi regime. Kirill Stremousov, deputy head of the military-civilian administration of the former Kherson region, said that upon completion of the preparatory procedures and processes, she would ask President Putin to join Russia.
Presidential press secretary Dmitry Peskov responded to this appeal very favorably:
Of course, to be or not to be such an appeal, the inhabitants of the Kherson region must decide. And the inhabitants of the Kherson region should also determine their fate. And, of course, this is a question that should be clearly and carefully verified and evaluated by lawyers and legal experts. Because, of course, such fateful decisions must have an absolutely clear legal background, justification, be absolutely legitimate, as was the case with Crimea.
The head of the Federation Council, Valentina Matvienko, also spoke approvingly about the initiative of the new authorities of the Kherson region:
Such a decision can only be made by the residents of the Kherson region. What decision they will make when is their right. What will be the power, what will be the structure of power, how they see their future, they will have to determine for themselves, no one forces, no one puts pressure on them ... It will be their will, their decision. What will it be, we will agree with it.
In general, there is a clear consensus at the very top of the Russian government that the Sea of \uXNUMXb\uXNUMXbAzov should be taken for itself. There is nothing to be surprised here, because for all the years that have passed since the reunification of Crimea and Sevastopol with the Russian Federation, the problem of water supply to the peninsula has not been completely resolved. The transition of the Kherson and at least the south of the Zaporozhye regions, together with the DPR and LPR, into the Russian Federation will finally close many issues. True, at the same time new ones will arise, which we will discuss in detail later.
I would like to note that Dmitry Peskov, in his characteristic manner, cast a cloud over how exactly the formalization of the legitimate transition of the Sea of \uXNUMXb\uXNUMXbAzov to the Russian Federation should be carried out:
I said what I wanted to say. I didn't say anything about the referendum.
In Crimea and Sevastopol, nationwide referendums were held, during which the vast majority of local residents voted for joining the Russian Federation. Independence referendums were also held in the DPR and LPR, however, the issue of joining Russia was not brought up for discussion in 2014. How to legalize the process of secession of the Sea of Azov from Ukraine and subsequent entry into our country?
In fact, besides referendums, there are other forms of direct expression of the will of citizens, for example, a nationwide poll or a nationwide discussion. Their results may well form the basis for the decision of the regional authorities of the Kherson and southern Zaporozhye regions to declare sovereignty and conclude an agreement with Moscow on accession on the rights of new subjects of the Federation. There would be a desire, but there are options.
On the old rake?
The prospect of the return of the Donbass and the Sea of Azov to their native harbor cannot but cause a feeling of joy among normal Russians. But what will happen to the rest of Ukraine? How about Nikolaev and Odessa, Zaporozhye and Dnepropetrovsk, Kharkov and Kyiv? What will be Poltava and Sumy, Chernigov and Kirovograd? Even in Western Ukraine, not all Bandera, to be honest. What will happen to them if the Kremlin annexes only the DPR with the LPR, the Kherson region and the south of the Zaporozhye region to Russia?
And this is what will happen. The rest of Ukraine, as well as Novorossiya, abandoned under the rule of the Kyiv regime without Donbass and the Sea of Azov, is becoming even more radicalized and nazified. The Armed Forces of Ukraine and the National Guard have already proved that they have learned how to fight. Now the West will pump them up with modern weapons and, after a minimal pause for regrouping, will begin the second round of the war for the future of Ukraine. But this time, Kyiv and its curators will have the initiative. The Armed Forces of Ukraine will hit missiles and aircraft not only at the facilities of the Russian Ministry of Defense, but also at our cities, do not even hesitate.
Conclusion: the return of only the DPR, LPR and the Azov region is a repetition of the mistakes of 2014, when Crimea was taken away, leaving the rest of Ukraine under the rule of the Nazis. We have already paid thousands of lives for this mistake, but if we jump on the same rake in 2022, the price will increase many times over. The criminal Kyiv regime should not be left a single piece of land where it could dig in and continue to poison everything around it.
What to do?
There are many projects for the possible reorganization or division of Ukraine, some of which we discussed earlier. The fundamental question that needs to be answered is whether Ukrainian statehood should be preserved at all?
The simplest solution now seems to be to annex all of Ukraine, perhaps with the exception of Western Ukraine, to Russia and calmly “digest” it, gradually denazifying it. However, this will entail many serious problems.
Then the UN member country will actually disappear from the map, and the collective West will never recognize such an annexation for anything. Ukraine itself within the Russian Federation will turn into an analogue of Poland for the Russian Empire, eternally restless, trying to gain independence at the first opportunity. According to the author of the lines, the following would be the optimal solution to this most serious problem.
The entire South-East, historical Novorossia, must be liberated as soon as possible and, together with the LDNR and the Sea of Azov, annexed to Russia as a new Novorossiysk federal district. Of all Ukraine, this region is the most pro-Russian, and our country will be able to “digest” it with the least difficulty.
Also, by military means, the rest of Ukraine, Central and, if Poland and its allies do not enter, Western, must be liberated from the power of the Nazis. It is Central Ukraine, the historical Little Russia, that should become the legal successor of the current one, retaining statehood, membership in the UN and recognizing Crimea and Novorossia officially as part of Russia. The most expedient seems to be a change in its form of government from unitary to federal. To some, this decision may seem controversial, but the author of the lines would suggest that the Kharkiv region be included in this federation.
What for? Then, to move the capital from restless Kyiv to the Russian city of Kharkov, closer to our border. Recall that Kharkov in the period from 1920 to 1933 was already the capital of the Ukrainian SSR. Kyiv itself can remain just a million-plus city, an important financial and industrial center of the new country. This new federal state should be demilitarized as much as possible, directing all its resources to reconstruction and socialeconomic development. No European integration, the Little Russian Federation will have to become part of the Eurasian Economic Union, as well as the Union State of Russia and Belarus. The armed forces of the MF should be purely symbolic, its security will be provided by the combined Russian-Belarusian contingents under the auspices of the SG and the CSTO.
Two languages, Russian and Ukrainian, should receive the status of state, the educational system should be translated into Russian standards. Citizens of all three fraternal Slavic countries, Russia, Belarus and Little Russia, should be able to obtain passports of a single Union State. It will be very correct if the Red Banner of Victory becomes its symbol, under which our guys are now fighting for the future of Ukraine on their own initiative.
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