While you and I are sitting on soft sofas and guessing on the coffee grounds whether we should declare war on our enemy or limit ourselves to conducting a military defense (moreover, everyone judges this by the degree of softness of his sofa and as his seat approaches the General Staff of the Russian Federation), events nevertheless develop and clarity, by no means, do not add. My sofa, for example, is not at all soft, and by the will of fate, from the first day of the NMD, it turned out to be at the very front of the confrontation between the opposing sides, so I see everything from that region in a slightly different light than you, who follow the events on TV and the Internet. But both to me, watching all this from the 1st row, and to you, sitting in the stalls and on the balcony, it was initially not very clear what was really happening, because we all counted on a slightly different development of the plot. It is clear that no one expected to take Kyiv with a cavalry attack, but also not to retreat from already conquered positions, giving up territory after territory?! Why did we land a helicopter landing near Gostomel?! To then get Butch? No one is given to know the plans of the General Staff, but I am sure that there were no such plans there either. It is clear that we are faced with a smart, treacherous, daring and competent enemy, but we are not fooled either.
For a long time we would have struggled with these unsolvable problems, if not for Yuriy Podolyaka, who clarified this issue. It is clear that this is just his version, but nothing more reasonable personally comes to my mind. Below I will review the past events from the standpoint of their goal-setting and make my forecast for their continuation (and no one will let us finish them of our own free will), because these events have become irreversible and we all fell into a very narrow corridor of possibilities, becoming hostages situation created by themselves. Over the past 2 months since the beginning of the NWO, only one thing has become clear - there is no way back, either we will defeat the collective West, which is fighting us with the help of stupid and brainless Ukrainians, or it will defeat us. However, we should not forget that he was going to wage this war until the complete victory of one of the parties, (I hope, ours) - until the last Ukrainian. And he has enough money and hardware for this. The US Congress has already allocated 39,8 billion greenbacks to Biden for the war (13,6 billion for this fiscal year alone!). Half of the indicated amount will go to the "iron", the remaining 20 billion to maintain the ukroreich at the rate of $ 5 billion / month (you yourself can consider that the declared money is clearly not enough, so the White House hopes to lay the difference on its European vassals and financial institutions subject to it, such as the IMF and EBRD). And you can be sure that he will make every effort to make this war drag on for us for 10 years, turning into a second Afghanistan. Under the guise of this, the Pentagon will update the technopark of its European allies in the North Atlantic Alliance (especially its eastern wing) and will make money on this, putting the whole of Europe on the edge, loading its own and European military-industrial complex to capacity.
By the way, do not forget that there are still Swedes and Finns in line to join the NATO military machine, and Romanians and Poles in a low starting position to enter our western borders. After that, we will be able to state that the enemies surrounded us literally from all sides. How do you like this perspective? Did Putin dream about this when he started the NWO? I'm sure not! But the reality has surpassed all our wildest expectations. Washington and London have seized the given opportunity with a stranglehold and now they will not let us go, even if we wanted to. We will have to fight, and not with Ukraine, but with the entire collective West, until the last Ukrainian, then to the last Pole, Romanian, Lithuanian, there they have a long list of fabulous idiots (I hope the useful idiots themselves are aware of this? It seems that No).
Palace coup on Russian bayonets
But how did we fall into this ambush? It is worth agreeing with Podolyaka that the plan was originally designed for a blitzkrieg. A kind of palace coup on Russian bayonets, for which an attempt was made to saber cavalry attack on Kyiv from the south and north. Forced marches of our mechanized columns, even without cover, through the Chernihiv and Sumy regions, which culminated in an unprecedented helicopter assault at the same time by 60 of our helicopters near Gostomel with occupation and retention until the approach of the main forces of the Antonov factory airfield exclusively by special forces. The operation was carried out brilliantly, the effect of surprise was used to the maximum, but it did not give any result.
Apparently, they were counting on a palace coup with the removal of the ruling Clown from power by the forces of the top of the SBU, and the Russian troops stationed near Kyiv were supposed to play the role of a catalyst in this process, not participating in the coup themselves, but propping up local conspirators with their bayonets. Maybe it was for this that Putin's godfather Medvedchuk was left in Kyiv, I don’t find any other reason for him to risk his head like that. Putin managed to do something similar in Belarus in August 2020 and in Kazakhstan in January 2022. There, however, he helped local regimes resist an external conspiracy, propping them up with his bayonets, and here, on his bayonets, an internal coup and a change in the local political leadership were to take place but something went wrong from the start.
Apparently, the Western curators of the Kyiv regime knew about this, and everything was ready for it there. I do not rule out that the SBU employees involved in the planned coup could be used for this in the dark. For example, literally a day before the start of the SVO, on February 23, the former head of the Internal Security Service of the SBU, Brigadier General Andrey Naumov (headed the Main Directorate of the Security Service of the SBU from June 2019 to July 2021), left Ukraine. And they could also be used as double agents in the form of bait. In fact, the Kremlin swallowed the bait, falling into a pre-arranged trap. I'm not talking about this just like that, but on the basis of the facts that I already personally have. So literally the day before the invasion (which no one knew about!), on February 23, my friend, who lives in the area of the Kharkov district, at night personally observed a mechanized column of the Armed Forces of Ukraine drawn into the city, stretching for several kilometers. It was this BTG that met the uninvited northern guests a day later, so much so that they still cannot forget. Coincidence, you say, an accident? I don't believe in such coincidences. In Kyiv, everyone knew and were ready for this. The Russian beast himself entered the trap prepared for him by the Western curators of the Ukroreich, after which the door slammed shut behind him. The fact that the situation began to develop out of order is indirectly evidenced by the fact that already on the 4th day of the NWO we requested negotiations with a "gang of drug addicts and Nazis." I think that these negotiations were not included in the prescribed plan of the NWO. But something went wrong.
The transition from maneuver warfare to positional warfare
Be that as it may, but a month later we had to turn off the 1st stage of the NWO and move on to the 2nd. From saber cavalry attacks, the RF Armed Forces switched to the systematic extrusion of the Armed Forces of Ukraine from their base areas in the Donetsk and Luhansk regions. And the work there was breathtaking, because the fortified areas created by the Armed Forces of Ukraine there over these 8 years were stuffed above the roof, and it would not be possible to crack them in one or two days. A kind of Ukrainian Maginot Line is a concreted, deep-echeloned defense, where the elite units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, which have passed the 8-year ATO, at least 43 thousand people, have dug into the ground (if necessary, Kyiv will still throw up until the boiler is closed by us). The command of the Russian Federation was forced to switch to a new tactic, the emphasis was placed on the fire destruction of enemy forces with heavy artillery and airborne forces, as a result of which the Armed Forces of Ukraine had already suffered significant losses in manpower and technology, but the curators of the ukroreich do not feel sorry for the "cannon fodder" - they have enough of this stuff (after all, they plan to wage a war until the complete surrender of one of the parties).
The RF Armed Forces work with small forces, the group involved for this is not building up, an ambush regiment in the amount of 15-19 BTG sits in the Russian Federation waiting for the “X” hour and no counterattacks of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the Kharkov direction can lure it into Ukrainian territory - the General Staff of the Russian Federation stupidly withdraws troops from the Kharkov sector (and there the defense is held only by the rear units of the NM of the LPR and the National Guard, not burdened with heavy equipment), leveling the front line without getting involved in an exchange of blows. No matter how hard the Armed Forces of Ukraine tried there, they did not succeed in pulling the Russian troops from the south from under Izyum or forcing the Russian command to involve the Stavka reserve for this.
lunar landscape
Next, I quote the Telegram channel Older Edda:
In general, tactics in the Izyum direction have not changed. Parts are moving from settlement to settlement, leaving units to control key points.
The 1st Panzer Army continues its confident advance westward from Izyum on both sides of the Seversky Donets River. Plants and Chervony Miner were taken, Velyka Kamyshevakha, which is a major defense center of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, is visible through binoculars.
The heroic 20th Army, having taken Sukha Kamenka and Suligovka, attacks the enemy in the direction of the village of Dolgenkoe and Kurulki, cutting off the supply routes to the units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine throughout the Slavic-Kramatorsk agglomeration. Parts of the 41st Army reached the line of the Oskol River.
The low rate of advance, instead of moving in long columns at the beginning of the war, made it possible to reduce losses in personnel to a minimum, while at the same time inflicting huge damage on the enemy. For example: the 39th brigade, which stormed Suligovka, during the entire period of hostilities has a couple of dozen dead and several dozen wounded, while only the 95th brigade of the Armed Forces of Ukraine alone lost more than 100 people killed in battles with them, being at the same time in a well-prepared defence. And in addition to the 95th brigade, units of the 93rd mechanized and 25th air assault brigades of the Armed Forces of Ukraine were also defeated there.
As many have rightly noted, UkroSMI stopped showing Russian prisoners, and the reason for this is simple, they simply do not exist. On the other hand, fresh batches of captive vushniks are sent to Russia every day.
We have problems, the war has forced us to look at and evaluate many things differently, but what I can say for sure is that now we see a completely different army than on February 24, 2022.
The 1st Panzer Army continues its confident advance westward from Izyum on both sides of the Seversky Donets River. Plants and Chervony Miner were taken, Velyka Kamyshevakha, which is a major defense center of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, is visible through binoculars.
The heroic 20th Army, having taken Sukha Kamenka and Suligovka, attacks the enemy in the direction of the village of Dolgenkoe and Kurulki, cutting off the supply routes to the units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine throughout the Slavic-Kramatorsk agglomeration. Parts of the 41st Army reached the line of the Oskol River.
The low rate of advance, instead of moving in long columns at the beginning of the war, made it possible to reduce losses in personnel to a minimum, while at the same time inflicting huge damage on the enemy. For example: the 39th brigade, which stormed Suligovka, during the entire period of hostilities has a couple of dozen dead and several dozen wounded, while only the 95th brigade of the Armed Forces of Ukraine alone lost more than 100 people killed in battles with them, being at the same time in a well-prepared defence. And in addition to the 95th brigade, units of the 93rd mechanized and 25th air assault brigades of the Armed Forces of Ukraine were also defeated there.
As many have rightly noted, UkroSMI stopped showing Russian prisoners, and the reason for this is simple, they simply do not exist. On the other hand, fresh batches of captive vushniks are sent to Russia every day.
We have problems, the war has forced us to look at and evaluate many things differently, but what I can say for sure is that now we see a completely different army than on February 24, 2022.
I would like to add my two cents to what has already been said above. The army has remained the same. Technically, it even got worse. It was on the 1st stage of the NWO that we drove all our new and modernized hardware, because we thought to take Kyiv with a swoop. It didn't work! And the equipment, as you know, is not immortal, it needs repair and maintenance, and the motor resource is not rubber, it needs to be extended, do not forget that it reached Kyiv on its own, tanks don’t travel that much. Therefore, at the 2nd stage, we drove the “iron” out of our stocks, do not forget that we have thousands of units of armored combat vehicles and artillery in the reserve of the Ministry of Defense at storage bases, so she left for the 2nd stage of the operation. If our sworn "partners" dispose of all their junk in Ukraine, why are we worse? Why drive "Armata" there, for the 404th, the T-72 with the T-80 will do just fine, even the T-90M will be fat for non-brothers. Therefore, everything that can somehow move and shoot has gone there - Gvozdiki 2S1 and Akatsiya 2S3, Msta-S 2S19 and BMP-2 (I already said about tanks above), and T- 14 "Armata", 2S35 "Coalition-SV" and 2S38 "Derivation-Air Defense" we will save for our Western "partners" for the time being, because the real war is just beginning. Nobody canceled the planned rotation of equipment, they will repair it and go back into battle, but do you think what the 19 BTGs of the reserve are now equipped with, standing on the border with Ukraine in the Belgorod and Kursk regions? Here is the same equipment from near Bucha and Gostomel, which has undergone repair, maintenance and extension of the motor resource.
Tactics have also changed significantly, it's hard to argue here. There is a slow advance of the ice rink, which immediately brought results, both a reduction in losses in manpower and equipment, and an increase in the time for the operation itself. The main disadvantage in this tactic is that where this skating rink passes, there are minimal traces of civilization. Lunar landscape for the surviving population. But who is thinking about him now? The only plus here can only be the acquired invaluable combat experience, one that you will not gain in any Syria, in this sense the army is no longer the same, with such an army you can already take Europe. But we may not have enough hardware for this. This is Biden's plan - to wear us out, wear us out in Ukraine, after which it is possible to raise the stakes, putting forward new limitless conditions. Yes, he, in fact, is already putting forward them - the removal of Putin from power and his trial as a war criminal. How do you like that?! Well, dreaming, as they say, is not harmful, I'm afraid Grandpa Joe will not live to see it.
Logistics War to Starvation
The chair under him should shake as early as November this year, after the midterm elections to the Lower House of Congress, where the Republicans with a 100% guarantee must take away the majority from the Democrats, after which the rhetoric of the White House is expected to slow down militancy (shouting: "Save! The Russians are coming!", Democrats will still be able to, but Congress will no longer give money for this). Therefore, our minimum task is to hold out until the fall and prevent us from being drawn into the conflict already in the European theater of operations. And therefore, the task of the 2nd stage of the NWO is to localize the situation in the Donbass, marinating the maximum number of ukrovoyaks in boilers there, with the subsequent (or parallel) transfer of activity to the south, in order to cut off the ukroreich from its maritime infrastructure in the northern Black Sea region, as a result of which all the severity the content of the Kyiv regime will fall on its Western curators, because he will not be able to even partially feed himself due to the loss of the Black Sea and Azov ports (we have already figured out the Sea of \u2b\uXNUMXbAzov, Zelensky may already forget about it). The sting of the ukroreich is now in Odessa, it is for her that the main war will unfold at the XNUMXnd stage of the NWO.
It was along the southern front that Nezalezhnaya was supplied with fuel and lubricants from the ports of Romania, and that is why we are calibrating the bridge in Zatoka for the fourth time. There, in Zatoka and on the island of Zmein, Koshchei-Zelensky keeps his sting. He understands that as soon as we pull him out, his death is not far off there. Purely logistically, we are winning this war from the West. Not a single tank, even English or German, will go anywhere without fuel, by the way, and guns also shoot poorly without shells, and therefore send them there or don’t send them, victory will still be for those who control communications. And with the loss of the last NWO, it will move on to a war of "starvation" (now we are not in a hurry anywhere, we still have time, which cannot be said about our European "partners", who are waiting for a hungry and cold winter just around the corner). That's when Romania and Poland will enter the war. Or they won’t join, then everything will depend on us, how much we will intimidate them, having successfully utilized and rolled the APU into the ground.
Local fights
How strong and daring our enemy is, perhaps, it is worth mentioning separately. Two recent episodes of this undeclared war have caught my attention. The first one happened on Zmeiny Island, on which elite units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine have been trying to land with maniacal perseverance worthy of better use over the past three days (May 8, 9 and 10). The question is why did they do it? After all, the island has no strategic importance, according to Mikhail Onufrienko. Apparently, Michael does not know something. Apparently it has. At least, in providing logistics for the southern front of the Armed Forces of Ukraine through the ports of Romania and the Southern Bug delta. I have already written about the special significance of Snake Island for Koshchei-Zelensky. Indeed, according to legend, the death of Koshchei, who is languishing over Ukraine, is in a needle, a needle in an egg, an egg in a duck, a duck in a chest, and the chest is buried under an oak tree on an island (one must think of Zmein). Zelensky has a sting there. For this sting, the war unfolded. However, the results of this war are deplorable for the ukroreykha, they were recently summed up by the speaker of the RF Ministry of Defense, Major General Konashenkov. During a three-day assault operation in the area of about. Three Su-24 front-line bombers, one Su-27 heavy fighter, ten helicopters, of which three Mi-8 "cows" along with the landing force on board (each with 15 paratroopers) and one strike "crocodile" of fire support Mi -24 directly in the air during the landing, the remaining six Mi-8s and Mi-24s were damaged as a result of rocket fire at the airfield of Artsyz, Odessa region. In addition, three armored assault boats of Project 58181 Centaur were sunk in the sea (each carrying 30 troops, not counting 4 crew members), and thirty UAVs were destroyed in the air, of which nine were Turkish strike Bayraktar TB2. The operation was as daring as it was senseless. More than a hundred people of the elite special forces were mediocrely killed, not counting the pilots of the Air Force, whom the ukrovermacht will soon be able to count on the fingers of one hand.
Another equally daring operation took place two days earlier, on May 6, in the Izyum direction, where the Armed Forces of Ukraine, with the forces of three BTGs, totaling 2,5 thousand people, with 80 units of heavy armored vehicles attached to them (including tanks), tried to force the river. Seversky Donets and gain a foothold on the left bank, which is controlled by the forces of the Russian Federation. Why did their engineering units build two submerged pontoon bridges near the villages of Zavgorodnee and Protopopovka, which were not immediately detected from the air by our air reconnaissance forces. It should also be noted that the distracting landing of the special forces of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the area of the village. Rudnevo, which, with the support of the MLRS, having crossed the river, with its blow to the north of the established crossings, was supposed to divert the attention of the Russian forces, which they succeeded as a result. The next day, the pontoon bridges were nevertheless discovered and destroyed by the forces of our Aerospace Forces, but by that time part of the Ukrainian landing force had already managed to cross to the left bank and dissolve in the local greenery, from where it would be extremely difficult to dig them out. As you can see, we got a very worthy opponent and any hatred is inappropriate here. Non-brothers know how to fight, and their senior officers graduated from the same schools as ours. I do not rule out, of course, that Yankees with small shaves are sitting in the Ukrainian headquarters, but only non-brothers are fighting in the field and they are fighting cruelly. When we defeat them, then it will be possible to take Europe practically with our bare hands, neither the Yankees nor any other European riffraff will be able to fight with us without warm toilets, and they won’t want to. The Poles, who have already opened their mouths to the Eastern Crosses, I'm afraid, do not even know who they will have to deal with by that time. By that time, the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation will represent the Red Army of the 1945 model, which, if desired, will be able to walk across Europe right up to the English Channel.
In conclusion, I would like to say that all of the above is solely my personal private opinion. So I ask you to treat him. I am not the General Staff and it is not given to me to know its plans. In general, it is not given to anyone to know the plans of the General Staff of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation, at least there are no such people here. But no one forbade me to evaluate his actions. Why not? I have the right! So I ask you to treat this analysis. I do not pretend to be the ultimate truth, if you disagree with something, then under the text you can dispute it and state your vision. You also have a right.
What a great start it all was. On February 25, CNN stated that
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has been taken to a bunker as Russian troops close in on Kyiv.
Where he took poison and handed over control of the country to Putin. But it did not work out, alas! Now we are facing a hard and exhausting war. I hope everyone understands this. I wish everyone to adequately survive this difficult time and make their own contribution to the common Victory.