The valve is closing: Why Kyiv itself went to limit the supply of Russian gas to Europe


The day before, something happened that was bound to happen. The uninterrupted transit of gas through the Ukrainian GTS, which continued despite active hostilities, was disrupted for the first time. Moreover, it was not Moscow that did this, but Kyiv itself, leaving Europe without a significant part of the daily supplies of blue fuel. What are the Anglo-Saxons behind the Zelensky regime trying to achieve, and how should Russia react?


valve closes


On May 10, 2022, the Gas Transportation System Operator of Ukraine (OGTSU) reported that the day before, on May 9, an unauthorized gas withdrawal from the Soyuz main pipeline allegedly occurred on the territory of the Lugansk People's Republic. According to the Ukrainian side, someone there opened the jumper valve 17u, stealing part of the gas destined for European consumers. Since the Armed Forces of Ukraine had already lost control over the Sokhranovka gas measuring station (GIS) in the “occupied” LPR, where everything allegedly happened, Kyiv said that they could no longer ensure the safe transit of gas. Having announced force majeure on May 11, OGTSU stopped accepting Russian blue fuel through the mentioned GIS.

Since it is impossible to continue pumping gas through the blocked pipeline, because this will lead to its rupture, Gazprom was forced to stop pumping through Sokhranovka. Now export flows go through the GIS "Sudzha" (the entry point to Ukraine from Russia of the MGP "Urengoy - Pomary - Uzhgorod"), which is still located on the territory controlled by the Armed Forces of Ukraine. In Kyiv, they demand to transfer all its volumes from Sokhranivka to Sudzha, but the Russian state corporation explains that this is impossible for a number of reasons.

At first, according to the current transit agreement, Gazprom is obliged to pump through the Ukrainian GTS until 2024 at 40 billion cubic meters per year, or about 159,59 million cubic meters of gas per day. Of these, the share of "Sudzha" accounts for 77 million cubic meters daily, the GIS "Sokhranovka" - 32,6 million. It is simply technologically impossible to just take and rebuild the supply structure at once.

Secondly, on the part of Kyiv, the requirement to move the entry point of gas transit is a direct violation of the agreement concluded in 2019 between Gazprom and Naftogaz.

The official representative of the state corporation Sergey Kupriyanov commented on the situation as follows:

Gazprom fully fulfills all its obligations to European consumers, supplies gas for transit in accordance with the contract and operator agreement, transit services are fully paid. The transfer of volumes to GIS "Sudzha", based on the Russian flow scheme, is technologically impossible, the distribution of volumes is clearly spelled out in the cooperation agreement, and the Ukrainian side is well aware of this.

The reduction in supply volumes caused by the unilateral actions of the OGTSU led to the fact that European consumers immediately received less than 34% of the capacity booked and paid for by Gazprom. Germany, one of the sponsors and patrons of the Kyiv regime, received 25% less gas than expected. Why is Ukraine shooting itself in the foot, or rather, what are the puppeteers who control it trying to achieve?

The destructive actions of Kyiv may seem strange, but only at first glance. In fact, there is a rational grain in them.

First of all, it should be taken into account that, in accordance with the 5-year agreement signed between Gazprom and Naftogaz, the Russian state corporation must pay for transit services through the Ukrainian GTS, regardless of whether transit is actually carried out or not. In any case, until 2024, Gazprom will have to “unfasten” a lot of money to OGTSU.

Partial restriction of the transit of Russian gas to Europe fits well into the scheme to oust Gazprom from the European energy market. Literally from the first day, when the United States began to actively “clear the clearing” for expensive American LNG, it was clear that sooner or later, Kyiv, under a plausible pretext, would turn off the valve on its GTS for blue fuel from Gazprom. A convenient pretext in the form of “Russian occupation” has now been found, an artificial energy shortage has immediately formed in the Old World, the prices for which will again begin to set record after record, LNG tankers will change course. All this will inevitably end in the collapse of European industry, where the "saviors" - the Anglo-Saxons with the new "Marshall Plan" will come later. Nothing personal just business.

Finally, it is worth mentioning that in parallel, Zelensky's puppeteers are solving another important task. Through the Soyuz pipeline, its continuation - the Trans-Balkan gas pipeline - gas was supplied to the countries of South-Eastern Europe, including Moldova, Romania, Bulgaria and Turkey. The Turkish Stream was built to replace this southern route. Its continuation, the Balkan Stream, goes through Bulgaria and Serbia to Hungary. Part of the infrastructure of the old Trans-Balkan gas pipeline in Turkey and Bulgaria is included in the alternative "Balkan gas pipeline". It was possible to reconnect to Russian gas, bypassing Ukraine, all the countries of South-East Europe, with the exception of Moldova.

And God bless her, with Moldova, which does not like to pay for the supplied gas, but Transnistria also depends on it. The blocking of the valve by Kyiv on the GIS "Sokhanovka" at the same time hits not only Western Europe, but also the most pro-Russian enclave, sandwiched between Moldova and Ukraine. That is, the Anglo-Saxons continue to actively raise the stakes in the game.

What should Moscow do?


It is possible to load the Nord Stream and the Yamal-Europe pipeline with the volumes that have fallen due to the actions of the OGTSU, which will solve the problems of Western European consumers, but not Transnistria. And you can use the current situation in order to refuse to fulfill the humiliating transit agreement with Ukraine. Violations of its conditions by Kyiv are obvious, and these are sufficient grounds for Gazprom itself to declare force majeure.

Suspension for an indefinite period of gas supplies to Europe, which has de facto declared war on Russia and is waging it through the hands of the Kyiv regime, will be an adequate economic response, since now there is an excellent reason.

As for the future fate of Transnistria, the solution to this problem is possible, alas, only by force and will be the result of the military defeat of Ukraine.
43 comments
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  1. Michael L. Offline Michael L.
    Michael L. 12 May 2022 14: 28
    +1
    Is it possible to trade with the enemy?
    Russia may "refuse to fulfill the humiliating transit agreement with Ukraine," although "violations of its terms by Kyiv are obvious."
    But it is also obvious that Ukraine will turn to "independent" Arbitration - the head of "Naftogaz" Vitrenko has already threatened this - and the Russian Federation will be forced to pay for the missing transit and penalties.
    1. guest Offline guest
      guest 12 May 2022 14: 35
      0
      Russia will not be forced to pay anything, it is necessary to send this pseudo-court further.
      1. Michael L. Offline Michael L.
        Michael L. 12 May 2022 14: 37
        0
        Second, I agree. With the first one, unfortunately not!
        1. guest Offline guest
          guest 12 May 2022 14: 42
          0
          And who can force Russia to pay?
          1. Michael L. Offline Michael L.
            Michael L. 12 May 2022 14: 46
            0
            I believe that the corresponding threat of the head of Naftogaz Yury Vitrenko is not unfounded!
            1. Bakht Offline Bakht
              Bakht (Bakhtiyar) 12 May 2022 15: 01
              +7
              Vitrenko's threat is groundless.
              First. The transit contract clearly states that it is Ukraine that should pay for any problems with gas transit on the territory of Ukraine.
              Second. Vitrenko refers to force majeure. Therefore, the contract should not be executed precisely because of force majeure. By all parties.

              And... icing on the cake

              Since the Armed Forces of Ukraine had already lost control over the Sokhranovka gas measuring station (GIS) in the “occupied” LPR, where everything allegedly happened, Kyiv said that they could no longer ensure the safe transit of gas.

              Specifically for Vitrenko. Neither Ukraine nor the Armed Forces of Ukraine have ever had control over the gas fields from which gas is supplied. As well as over that part of the gas pipelines that pass through the territory of the Russian Federation. Consequently, Ukraine has never been able to ensure the safe transit of gas.

              The most advantageous option for Russia is not to increase the flow of gas through the Sunja, to compensate for the missing volumes on the principle of "pump or pay" and wait for tomorrow's trading at the gas hub in Holland. I think that the difference in price will be three or four times higher than the payment of money to Kyiv.


              According to this schedule, it is already 1211 dollars
              1. Michael L. Offline Michael L.
                Michael L. 12 May 2022 15: 08
                +3
                Under what "contracts" did the West freeze the gold and foreign exchange reserves of the Russian Federation?
                Does this precedent mean anything?
                1. Bakht Offline Bakht
                  Bakht (Bakhtiyar) 12 May 2022 18: 56
                  +2
                  Vitrenko refers specifically to the "contract". The fact that no contracts are being fulfilled, I said a long time ago. But in order to file a complaint (and not to Stockholm under the contract), you need to substantiate it. Even if it's on paper. When they substantiate and if the court accepts this justification, then something can be discussed.
                  1. Michael L. Offline Michael L.
                    Michael L. 12 May 2022 20: 39
                    0
                    Then it will be too late to discuss.
              2. Peace Peace. Offline Peace Peace.
                Peace Peace. (Tumar Tumar) 12 May 2022 23: 01
                0
                At least one is adequate.
            2. guest Offline guest
              guest 12 May 2022 15: 04
              +1
              They have already threatened a lot, the Crimean bridge has promised to destroy it many times, but the bridge still exists.
          2. Colonel Kudasov Offline Colonel Kudasov
            Colonel Kudasov (Boris) 12 May 2022 17: 31
            +1
            Well, here the West has a “solution” prepared, don’t go to a fortune teller. If Russia refuses to pay under the “pump or pay” scheme for an empty gas pipeline, the money will be withdrawn from the frozen Russian gold reserves. A kind of quasi European legality.
            1. guest Offline guest
              guest 12 May 2022 20: 46
              0
              Not frozen Russian gold reserves, but stolen ones.
            2. Dima Offline Dima
              Dima (Dmitriy) 12 May 2022 21: 12
              0
              Perhaps, but there is one "But". And then what?
              The West and Russia, will they then end up in different worlds? Or they will have to somehow coexist. The war will end and the issue of the return of gold reserves will become a barrier to any attempt by the Americans to negotiate with the Russian Federation on neutrality in the conflict with China. To solve problems in Africa and the Middle East. In addition, hundreds of billions of Western assets have been frozen in Russia. The planes alone are valued at about $15 billion.

              The problem of the French debt echoed around the USSR in relations with France for almost 70 years. There will be a mirror situation here. With the possibility of arrests of property.
              1. guest Offline guest
                guest 12 May 2022 21: 26
                +2
                Well, the West believes that there will be no Russia soon, which means that there is no need to return the money.
                1. Peace Peace. Offline Peace Peace.
                  Peace Peace. (Tumar Tumar) 12 May 2022 23: 02
                  0
                  Jackals are so bold that they think so.
                2. Dima Offline Dima
                  Dima (Dmitriy) 13 May 2022 22: 12
                  +1
                  And where will she go, to the moon?
                  Russia outlived Napoleon, Hitler, Gorbachev, and will outlive Ukraine.
                  1. guest Offline guest
                    guest 14 May 2022 00: 53
                    0
                    Quote: Dima
                    And where will she go, to the moon?

                    Are you asking me a question? Then to the wrong address, ask the West. True, in their case, medicine is powerless.
              2. Rumen5252 Offline Rumen5252
                Rumen5252 (Rumen) 13 May 2022 01: 05
                0
                any attempt by the Americans to negotiate with the Russian Federation on neutrality in the conflict with China.

                Pardon the simple question: do you really think the US and the West will go to war with China until they defeat Russia? Blessed are the believers, Sancta simplicitas!!! After the defeat of Russia in this war, no one will be interested in the opinion of Russia.
                1. Muscool Offline Muscool
                  Muscool (Glory) 13 May 2022 08: 28
                  0
                  I think they want to make Russia the same disposable dog to fight the Chinese as Ukraine is to fight us.
                2. Dima Offline Dima
                  Dima (Dmitriy) 13 May 2022 22: 10
                  +1
                  After the defeat of Russia in this war, no one will be interested in the opinion of Russia

                  - And if there is no defeat?
                  So far, it appears that without the active intervention of NATO troops, Russia is clearly winning the company. As a result of which Ukraine as a state may well disappear from the world map.
                  Transferring the company to the stage of direct war will lead the United States to huge losses, as a result of which they will surrender their positions to the Chinese. And possibly disappearing from the world map. Personally, I think that serious people should consider such options, have an exit plan accordingly.
      2. Rusa Offline Rusa
        Rusa 13 May 2022 13: 16
        +2
        Correctly, the author said that the sooner the Russian Federation liberates Odessa, the faster gas and oil will go to Transnistria and Moldova.
        Therefore, it is necessary not to argue, but to act.
        1. guest Offline guest
          guest 13 May 2022 13: 48
          +2
          Gas and oil will go to Transnistria, which is certainly correct, but it is not necessary to Moldova. There is nothing to help the Chisinau regime.
          1. Rusa Offline Rusa
            Rusa 13 May 2022 14: 04
            -1
            Today the regime, but tomorrow it may be different, the people are the source of power, not pro-Western puppets.
            1. guest Offline guest
              guest 14 May 2022 13: 53
              0
              Are you really that naive? Although if the SVO is expanded to Moldova, then the people will indeed become a source of power.
    2. Akuzenka Offline Akuzenka
      Akuzenka (Alexander) 12 May 2022 15: 32
      +3
      Is it possible to trade with the enemy?

      Under capitalism, not such goodies are possible!
  2. yo yo Offline yo yo
    yo yo (Vasya Vasin) 12 May 2022 14: 44
    +4
    Faster Europe will allow the launch of Nord Stream 2, bypassing Ukraine.
    1. Michael L. Offline Michael L.
      Michael L. 12 May 2022 14: 55
      +2
      The author rightly pointed out that Europe is acting in the interests of the United States, which imposes its LNG, contrary to its own interests.
      1. Cherry Offline Cherry
        Cherry (Kuzmina Tatyana) 12 May 2022 17: 37
        0
        What does it mean "in the interests of the United States, imposing its own LNG" The US country does not trade LNG, but manufacturers and intermediaries trade it, which no president decrees, but demand and price decree. Even with the increased price, none of them rushed to send ships to Europe, because there is no certainty that this price is forever. Yes, and where to moor with this gas, for example, in Germany? She doesn't have a single liquefaction plant!
        1. Michael L. Offline Michael L.
          Michael L. 12 May 2022 19: 04
          +1
          No need to cast a shadow on the wattle fence.
          (no president is a decree, but a decree of demand and price (?) - demand and price force Western businesses to leave the Russian Federation or sanctions imposed at the interstate level?)
          You are a "perfect" theorist, but in practice: the EU countries are refusing Russian gas under pressure from the US authorities, who are pushing their own LNG to the European market to replace the competing Russian one!
          The technical side of LNG reception is another issue to be resolved."
    2. Akuzenka Offline Akuzenka
      Akuzenka (Alexander) 12 May 2022 15: 33
      +3
      Most likely forced to strike at Odessa. To resolve this situation.
  3. Oleg_5 Offline Oleg_5
    Oleg_5 (Oleg) 12 May 2022 14: 51
    +1
    Generally speaking, all transit should have been stopped yesterday.
    And for a completely different reason.
    Here's this one: http://publication.pravo.gov.ru/File/GetFile/0001202205110017?type=pdf
    1. boriz Offline boriz
      boriz (boriz) 13 May 2022 00: 08
      0
      There is nothing about Naftogaz here.
      1. Oleg_5 Offline Oleg_5
        Oleg_5 (Oleg) 13 May 2022 08: 44
        0
        but there is about the continuation of their pipes in Europe
  4. Human_79 Offline Human_79
    Human_79 (Andrei) 12 May 2022 14: 59
    +1
    Russia will not cut off gas. After short-term negotiations with Western "partners", the missing gas will go through another branch.
    When and for what - we will not know about it!
  5. Bulanov Offline Bulanov
    Bulanov (Vladimir) 12 May 2022 15: 16
    +2
    The destructive actions of Kyiv may seem strange, but only at first glance. In fact, there is a rational grain in them.

    And very rational. As a result, gas in the EU will rise in price by $300-400 and Gazprom will cover these losses. And the saved gas can be redirected to consumers in Russia. Yes, at least make greenhouses. And then in the south, tomatoes cost more than 200 rubles in mid-May.
  6. Kofesan Offline Kofesan
    Kofesan (Valery) 12 May 2022 16: 54
    +2
    To begin with, Kyiv is a doll on strings. Completely and absolutely.

    The United States did not have unanimity with the Geyropians on gas. Immediately the team - "FAS", crested mongrels on leashes. The Ukrainians themselves compete with each other only in zeal before the Saxons. Here's the slave tribe...
  7. gorenina91 Offline gorenina91
    gorenina91 (Irina) 12 May 2022 18: 45
    0
    The valve is closing: Why Kyiv itself went to limit the supply of Russian gas to Europe

    - Personally, I don’t know - did Biden manage to "get into co-owners" (or even "into the place of the owner") of Ukrainian gas and the entire Ukrainian gas pipeline" ???
    - If this happened (and if you can still add to this a lot of any Ukrainian real estate, and simply Ukrainian land-territory, WHICH THE Americans and other "owners" MANAGED TO PURCHASE - then why would they today - "not close-block" all kinds of "Ukrainian valves" (including gas pipelines)! - And "on the side" for them - all there are "naftogaz" and "Gazproms" - with their various agreements! - Especially stupid Gazprom (with a whole bunch of its obligations and concluded agreements) - " let him do what he wants now - and get out (and pay penalties) "- this is how the Americans now decide and dispose of (they can do this if they bought this Ukrainian property)!
    1. Bakht Offline Bakht
      Bakht (Bakhtiyar) 12 May 2022 18: 59
      +1
      I remember that it was you who once wrote that Gazprom should conclude a transit contract as soon as possible. What has changed that Gazprom has become "stupid"?
      Well, he will pay for transit without gas supplies. Hundred million. A couple of billions will earn on price increase.
  8. Peace Peace. Offline Peace Peace.
    Peace Peace. (Tumar Tumar) 12 May 2022 23: 04
    +2
    Why is the topic not being discussed in the media that Ukraine is led by a person of Jewish nationality, moreover, a little inadequate for a couple with the same Jewish oligarch who a priori do not have spiritual closeness and fraternal feelings for the long-suffering Ukrainian people (God did not give). Because of these reasons, they (Jews) do not have a feeling of pity for the Ukrainians, and will be driven like cattle to the slaughter to the last Ukrainian, because for them they are goyim, that is, subhuman. And when it smells of fried, they will dump them in Israel and they will remember Ukraine as a well-played game, where people mixed horses, the Slavs beat the Slavs, but the loot also came up well. If the president had been one of his own - Ukrainians, the negotiations would have gone differently, God would have whispered in his ear who is the brother and who is the enemy.
  9. boriz Offline boriz
    boriz (boriz) 12 May 2022 23: 59
    0
    First of all, it should be taken into account that, in accordance with the 5-year agreement signed between Gazprom and Naftogaz, the Russian state corporation must pay for transit services through the Ukrainian GTS, regardless of whether transit is actually carried out or not. In any case, until 2024, Gazprom will have to “unfasten” a lot of money to OGTSU.

    Why? According to the agreement, Gazprom pays for services not rendered if it applied for transit below the agreed volume. If Gazprom submits an application, and transit is not carried out, these will be Ukraine's problems, and it will deal with gas recipients.
    No Stockholm (or any other) arbitration will help. After the Russian Federation has blocked 300 billion, it will send any arbitration to known Russian addresses.
    Yes, Zelensky was strained to help Europe abandon Russian gas. She herself cannot do it. It seems that the same Germany will refuse Ukraine after that any help.
    Translating the arrows to the Russian Federation will not work. As long as there is no state of war, the contract remains in force, especially since no one bothers the employees of the State Customs Service of Ukraine to work.
    If Ukraine does not comply with the treaty, Russia can also send it.

    What should Moscow do?

    Clip coupons on rising prices. Get out and dates from tomorrow, the gas is blocked. Let them get gas from NATO allies.
  10. cooper Offline cooper
    cooper (Alexander) 13 May 2022 01: 35
    0
    Well, obviously the only right decision for Russia is that gas supplies to Europe are stopped, and the wildest enslaving transit agreement with b. denounced by Ukraine. Dot.
  11. Anchonsha Offline Anchonsha
    Anchonsha (Anchonsha) 13 May 2022 11: 23
    +1
    Well, yes, now the Russian Federation can recoup the EU despite the agreements concluded both with Ukraine on transporting gas to Europe and with Europe on gas supplies .. Let the Germans and other Czechs freeze without our gas at the hands of Zelensky. And the Russian Federation should not pay for the whims of Zelensky, since the Ukrainians themselves created the problem