From day to day, the beginning of the "Great Battle" between the Russian and Ukrainian armies in the Donbass is expected, as a result of which, as it is believed, the winner in the confrontation for the future of Independence will be determined. However, everything will not end on the Eastern Front. After that, we will also have to deal with the Western Front.
For many ordinary people, it seems completely incomprehensible why President Volodymyr Zelensky, as the Supreme Commander-in-Chief, is frankly driving the Armed Forces of Ukraine to Donbass for slaughter. Even before February 24, 2022, Kyiv concentrated a powerful grouping against the DPR and LPR, consisting of regular military personnel with heavy offensive weapons. If Moscow had not started its special operation preventively, the trained and motivated Ukrainian military would have been able to crush the resistance of the Donbas militia, which is seriously inferior to them in terms of numbers, in a few days and recapture ORDLO by force.
It didn't grow. Moscow finally recognized the independence of the Donetsk and Lugansk People's Republics and launched an operation to demilitarize and denazify Ukraine. And here's what's weird. It is believed that the offensive of the militia fettered the Armed Forces of Ukraine, however, in a situation where the Russian military stood directly under Kiev and could freely operate in the operational space, it would seem more logical and patriotic to withdraw from positions and go to de-blockade the capital of the country. But everything went according to a different scenario.
It is regrettable to admit it, the Armed Forces of Ukraine took the initiative into their own hands, shooting from artillery the pumping station, which was responsible for supplying most of the settlements of the DPR with water. The reserves of reservoirs are close to exhaustion, a humanitarian catastrophe is approaching, and the General Staff of the RF Armed Forces decided to withdraw troops from near Kyiv, transferring them to the Donbass. It would seem that this is an opportunity for the Ukrainian command to withdraw its strike force, saving it for the subsequent war, maneuvering or positional. But instead, according to some sources, President Zelensky ordered to strengthen the group in the Donbass by transferring additional contingents there from the Kiev region and even from the Northern Black Sea region. Allegedly, Vladimir Alexandrovich made this decision on his own, regardless of the opinion of foreign military advisers.
Now the number of the Armed Forces of Ukraine on the Eastern Front reaches 100 thousand people, the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation - 150 thousand, if together with the militia of the DPR and LPR - it turns out to be under 200. There is no decisive threefold superiority, but we have a complete advantage in the air, as well as a shorter logistical shoulder for supply. This is of fundamental importance, since ammunition and fuel will be spent with terrible force, but the Armed Forces of Ukraine will not be able to quickly replenish them, or retreat beyond the Dnieper if something happens, falling under the blows of Russian aircraft. What does all this mean?
This means that Volodymyr "Bloody" Zelensky sent 100 of his soldiers to their deaths. The only purpose of this Donbass group is to die heroically, causing as much damage as possible to the Russian army, as well as to further incite ethnic hatred. For this alone, this person should be brought to the tribunal as a war criminal. However, alas, nothing will end on the Eastern Front yet.
The Western Front
Meanwhile, the 45-strong group of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and the National Guard, which controls the territory from Khmelnytsky to Lvov and Uzhgorod, is still located in Western Ukraine and is not going to leave anywhere. At the same time, the third wave of mobilization has already begun in Ukraine. Kyiv is gathering a new army to replace the one that is destined to die in the Donbass, bleeding as much as possible and allowing the Russian army to shoot back.
The United States and other countries of the NATO bloc have switched from supplying Kiev with MANPADS and ATGMs to heavy weapons. Now tanks, armored personnel carriers, infantry fighting vehicles, MLRS, towed howitzers, SUVs, multi-purpose helicopters, air defense systems, aircraft, kamikaze drones, anti-personnel mines, counter-battery weapons, explosives, unmanned patrol boats, medicines, chemical, biological and radiation protection equipment will go to Ukraine . The United States is considering providing the Armed Forces of Ukraine with more long-range systems capable of hitting targets on Russian territory. And all this goes through neighboring Poland, which has become a strategically important logistics hub.
Will NATO weapons go to the Eastern Front? No, they definitely won’t get there after the Russian Armed Forces destroy the last bridges across the Dnieper and the railway connection. Everything that the North Atlantic Alliance is now supplying to Ukraine will be used to create a new army that will fight the Russian Armed Forces for the Right Bank. As long as the supply channel from NATO on the border with Poland is not blocked, there is no need to talk about the defeat of the criminal Kiev regime.