Russia will have to create a security belt in Northern and Eastern Ukraine


At the end of March 2022, the Russian authorities announced the withdrawal of troops from the previously occupied regions of Northern Ukraine. This was done against the backdrop of "breakthrough" talks in Istanbul led by presidential aide Vladimir Medinsky, ostensibly as a gesture of goodwill. Now for this militarypolitical the decision, perceived by the Kiev regime as a weakness, will have to pay with new big problems.


Recall that a special military operation to demilitarize and denazify Ukraine began with the simultaneous deployment of Russian troops in several strategically important directions at once - from the north, east and south. Thanks to the heroic landing near Gostomel and the subsequent forced march from the territory of Belarus, the General Staff of the RF Armed Forces managed to create a threat to Kiev, forcing it to transfer the Armed Forces of Ukraine to protect the capital. Apparently, no one was going to take the gigantic metropolis by storm in principle.

After the start of a large-scale offensive by the Russian Armed Forces and the People's Militia of the DPR and LPR, the most combat-ready units of the Ukrainian army were tied up in the Donbass. It’s impossible for them to just leave there now across the steppe because of the complete dominance of the Russian Aerospace Forces in the air. At the same time, we note that the transfer of additional forces of the Armed Forces of Ukraine to the Eastern Front is almost not hindered. Perhaps this is done in order to take as many cadre units as warm as possible in order to bleed the enemy as much as possible, depriving him of the most combat-ready formations at once. According to some reports, about 100 Ukrainian troops have already been deployed to the Donbass. It is reported that the Russian group now has at least 150 troops. From day to day, the start of a general battle is expected, the largest since the end of the Second World War, which in many respects should decide the outcome of the struggle for the future of Ukraine.

It is not surprising that it has already received the unspoken name "Great Battle". For the General Staff of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation to utterly smash the Armed Forces of Ukraine, which have been ridiculed in the domestic press and the blogosphere for the past 8 years, is now a matter of honor. For Kyiv, it will be quite enough to give battle and prevent a total defeat, which will be interpreted by Ukrainian and Western propaganda as weakness and defeat of Russia. We do not have the threefold numerical superiority that is due in such cases, and the tactics of the Armed Forces of Ukraine based on cities as fortified areas gives them hope to hold out for a long time, which we have already seen in the unfortunate Mariupol. Victory will be ours, but there is no need for unnecessary illusions: the “Great Battle” will be quite long, difficult and bloody for both sides.

It should be noted that military advisers from the NATO bloc, who are now de facto in charge of all the actions of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, are taking measures to weaken the Russian grouping in Donbas. So, a few days ago, a video appeared on the Web, in which an order was read out to transfer the hostilities of the Ukrainian army to Russian territory, allegedly given by President Vladimir Zelensky. At the same time, no such document was found on the official website of the Supreme Commander-in-Chief of the Independent. It is possible that this is a fake concocted by specialists in the information war. However, they clearly know their business well.

It is reported that a significant grouping of the Armed Forces of Ukraine is concentrated in the north of Ukraine, not far from our border. At any moment, it can go on the offensive, hitting the nearby Russian settlements. This threat forces the General Staff of the RF Armed Forces to keep an equally large grouping in the region in order to be able to stop the enemy offensive. In all Russian regions bordering Ukraine, an increased level of terrorist threat has been introduced. On the territory of the Belgorod region, damage to the railway tracks was recorded, which may well be the result of sabotage. The formation of volunteer people's squads has begun, designed to keep order and assist law enforcement agencies. There is literally one step left before the formation in Russia of its analogue of "terodefense".

What intermediate conclusion can be drawn from what is happening?

It is clear that the decision to withdraw troops from Northern Ukraine was dictated mainly not by “good will”, but by severe vital necessity. The military contingent involved in the special military operation is clearly not enough to solve problems in all directions at once. The formations withdrawn from the Kiev and Chernigov regions were hastily transferred to the Eastern Front to participate in the "Great Battle". It is simply impossible to pull rubber, since the Armed Forces of Ukraine deliberately destroyed the infrastructure necessary for the water supply of the DPR. The reserves available there in the reservoirs are close to complete exhaustion. A real humanitarian catastrophe could begin in the region any day now. The problem with the displacement and destruction of the group of Ukrainian occupiers must be resolved as quickly as possible.

Yes, the transfer of the RF Armed Forces to the Donbass is a forced decision. However, the events that followed showed that it was impossible to completely withdraw them from the north of Nezalezhnaya. It was necessary to leave at least a buffer security belt along the entire Ukrainian border - not only in Sumy, but also in Chernihiv and Kiev regions. If we had our powerful strongholds in the cities, the RF Armed Forces would continue to create a threat of a counteroffensive and could grind the Armed Forces of Ukraine with artillery and aviation, try to go on the offensive. But now these Armed Forces of Ukraine, by the mere fact of their presence near the Russian border, pose a threat to our cities, forcing them to keep a blocking group there, dispersing their forces along a wide front.

And we are talking about actions against the regular army. But what if Ukraine really moves to a large-scale sabotage and terrorist war? What will prevent some stubborn “Azovites” (“Azov” is an extremist organization banned in the Russian Federation) to change into Russian military uniforms, sit on armored vehicles painted with appropriate symbols, drive into some border town and set up “Beslan-2” there? ? Sorry, but no volunteer squads with whistles will help here. The best way to deal with such a threat is to prevent it.

It makes no sense to return to Kyiv now, but it is necessary to create a security belt on the territory of Northern and Eastern Ukraine, de facto tearing them away, and a system of cordons.
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  1. Krapilin Offline Krapilin
    Krapilin (Victor) April 13 2022 11: 49
    +2
    Dear Sergey Marzhetsky!

    It is not surprising that it has already received the unspoken name "Great Battle".

    The surprising thing is that if the name is "tacit", then how did you hear about it, and even with such a pathos "great battle"?
    It first.
    Secondly, what does it mean that every Ukrainian is strongly motivated to become an anti-Russian kamikaze?
    Rather, the majority is motivated in the paradigm "my hut is on the edge" and it is desirable that this hut be "in Canada".

    Thirdly - what PRACTICALLY in your understanding means "buffer security belt"? On points and with the logistics of their implementation "on the ground" - can you explain?
    Fourthly, why in Russia is the formation of some kind of "territorial defense" of people completely untrained in military affairs? What, in Russia, the "special" units have ended and all the "training" for their training have closed?

    And so on and so forth - you have some kind of "analytical" overexcitation ...
    1. Marzhecki Offline Marzhecki
      Marzhecki (Sergei) April 13 2022 11: 54
      -1
      The surprising thing is that if the name is "tacit", then how did you hear about it, and even with such a pathos "great battle"?

      Aren't you tired of your dull demagoguery?

      Secondly, what does it mean that every Ukrainian is strongly motivated to become an anti-Russian kamikaze?

      It was written about the "Azov". learn to perceive the text, and not to think it out on your own, struggling with your own statements.

      Thirdly - what PRACTICALLY in your understanding means "buffer security belt"? On points and with the logistics of their implementation "on the ground" - can you explain?

      Look what Turkey has done in northern Idlib and Afrin.

      And so on and so forth - you have some kind of "analytical" overexcitation ...

      There is a category of people who are not able to adequately perceive the thoughts of more intelligent people, causing them to feel a sense of aggression. I think it's about you.
      With disrespect. hi
  2. Afinogen Offline Afinogen
    Afinogen (Afinogen) April 13 2022 11: 56
    +1
    It makes no sense to return to Kyiv now, but it is necessary to create a security belt on the territory of Northern and Eastern Ukraine

    Yes, this Kyiv is not needed at all, I don’t understand why they went there at all? With losses, they took a bridgehead and then retreated, giving everything. And besides, they have already given a reason for provocation, Bucha. I think if you have already taken a city or a settlement, then do not leave (so that civilians do not suffer later) This is the main mistake of our command, I think so. Later they seemed to understand this and said we pulled the forces of the Nazis there from the Donbass. And what and why? Communications have not been destroyed (bridges, junction stations) and offensives have not started in the Donbass .. So they again transferred everything and continue to transfer reinforcements and weapons (fortunately, there are many wealthy benefactors).
    With regards to the purpose of the operation. It is necessary to liberate everything up to the Dnieper and in the south of the Nikolaev and Odessa regions. And that's it. With the end of the operation, the end of Ukraine will come. There is no more money, from the word at all. Western benefactors (who are fighting to the last Ukrainian now) give money strictly for the war. With the end of the war, not only will there be no money of attention, there will only be a reminder of large debts. And now Ukraine was breathing its last breath before (before the operation) it would simply fall apart. There is no money, nowhere to work, no electricity, no gas, no fat (also bread), nothing. Such a buzz will begin (everyone has weapons on their hands). The rest will also begin to divide like uranium atoms into states. Well, of course, Poland, Hungary, Romania will take theirs, in principle, let them.
    1. 1_2 Offline 1_2
      1_2 (Ducks are flying) April 13 2022 12: 13
      +2
      Kyiv must be taken, this is the capital of the enemy, like Berlin back in 1945. just surround like Mariupol and launch special forces at night in civilian clothes, which will play off (and then leave)) separate groups of Nazis among themselves with crossfire, and then they will be each other shoot, at night you can’t make out who is yours)
      1. Afinogen Offline Afinogen
        Afinogen (Afinogen) April 13 2022 12: 41
        +1
        What for??? Put our guys down, destroy the city. Operation Kyiv will end, and so it will return to us, there is nowhere to go.
      2. Sidor Bodrov Offline Sidor Bodrov
        Sidor Bodrov April 13 2022 13: 52
        +1
        Take, and not only Kyiv. It is necessary to occupy all of Ukraine. It's only the beginning.
        https://ria.ru/20220403/ukraina-1781469605.html
    2. KLV Offline KLV
      KLV (Konstantin) April 13 2022 14: 18
      +1
      ... I don’t understand why they went there at all?

      Marzhetsky wrote (and many others wrote):

      Thanks to the heroic landing near Gostomel and the subsequent forced march from the territory of Belarus, the General Staff of the RF Armed Forces managed to create a threat to Kiev, forcing it to transfer the Armed Forces of Ukraine to protect the capital.

      I will add: to facilitate our troops in the Donbass.

      Afinogen and others like him, why don't you read what is written for you? Why don't you work on other sources of information? Why?

      Why are you not shy about showing everyone your ignorance by entering into a discussion? what
      1. Afinogen Offline Afinogen
        Afinogen (Afinogen) April 13 2022 18: 41
        0
        Quote: KLV
        I will add: to facilitate our troops in the Donbass.

        For what relief? It's been two weeks since we left. Not only did they return everything back to the Donbass during this time, but three more times they pulled that much.
        If when ours fought off attacks near Kiev, an offensive began in the Donbass at the same time, then yes.
  3. 1_2 Offline 1_2
    1_2 (Ducks are flying) April 13 2022 12: 05
    +1
    Bislan 2 will not be arranged if the traffic cops do not take money and let the convoy through
  4. Krapilin Offline Krapilin
    Krapilin (Victor) April 13 2022 12: 07
    +3
    Dear Sergey Marzhetsky!

    From day to day, the start of a general battle is expected, the largest since the end of World War II, which in many respects should decide the outcome of the struggle for the future of Ukraine.

    Firstly, for us there was the Great Patriotic War, but the Second World War, and with great oddities, was “with them”.
    Are you with us or with them?

    Secondly, from what does it follow that the "largest battle" will repeat the episodes of the "Kursk Bulge with a tank battle near Prokhorovka"?
    Are these your guesses?
    So they are wrong.
    Other times, other weapons systems, other approaches to the operational planning of military operations.
  5. Krapilin Offline Krapilin
    Krapilin (Victor) April 13 2022 12: 17
    +2
    Dear Sergey Marzhetsky!

    For the General Staff of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation to utterly smash the Armed Forces of Ukraine, which have been ridiculed in the domestic press and the blogosphere for the past 8 years, is now a matter of honor.

    The General Staff of the RF Armed Forces is not a blogosphere. Which considers itself "smarter" than the General Staff ...
    In addition to the General Staff, there are also "politicians".
    And decisions are made not by the military - about the conduct of this or that operation - but by politicians.

    And where does the "honor" of the General Staff?

    It is not the General Staff that breaks the enemy, but specific fighters on the battlefield, risking their lives.
  6. Sergey Latyshev Offline Sergey Latyshev
    Sergey Latyshev (Serge) April 13 2022 17: 30
    0
    Wah! Everywhere there is a lot of news about surrendering APU officers, and the media is looking forward to everything:
    "The beginning of a general battle, the largest since the end of World War II, is expected to begin day by day, which in many respects should decide the outcome of the struggle for the future of Ukraine."

    They were looking forward to it near Kiev, it didn’t work out, now somewhere there, in the Donbas, "it has already received the unspoken name "Great Battle""

    In general, the division of the skins of unkilled bears and explanations "why everything went wrong, as they wrote before"

    Let's wait and see.
    usually "security belt \uXNUMXd buffer zone \uXNUMXd "free lands" \uXNUMXd LDNR stretched with might and main"
  7. Vladimir Petroff (Vladimir Petroff) April 13 2022 21: 19
    0
    Now such a moment of the war has come when it is no longer possible to stand on ceremony with the enemy. No green lanes. No prisoners. A certain number of civilians will suffer, but this already applies to the statistics of the war itself. The choice is not great. Either we slam out as quickly as possible, or out of habit we selectively beat and stretch this out for weeks or months. And then we really get a series of terrorist attacks on our land.
  8. Storm_2022 Offline Storm_2022
    Storm_2022 (Storm _2022) April 15 2022 12: 28
    0
    All the actions of Russia indicate that our troops are not going to go beyond the Dnieper ....
    To destroy the growing grouping of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the Donbass, it will be necessary to raze more than one city to the ground, and what will such a "Pyrrhic" victory lead to?
    The impoverished embittered population, the destroyed cities, the destruction of industry and agriculture, that's what Novorossiya will be like.
    Its restoration will be a heavy burden on the Russian budget.

    On the other hand, the "hotbed of fascism" in western Ukraine will remain safe and sound, will live on European and American loans, mock the ruined East of Ukraine and arrange constant provocations and sabotage.
    NATO troops with position areas for medium-range missiles will be stationed there on a permanent basis.

    God forbid I'm wrong....
  9. Observer2014 Offline Observer2014
    Observer2014 April 16 2022 12: 03
    0
    Russia will have to create a security belt in Northern and Eastern Ukraine

    Well, how else? Now yes. This is at least a buffer zone where, by definition, there should not be a single ukrovoyak. Thanks to the planners of the special operation. So I want to ask them. Do you realize that you're not just screwed? You should make yourself a seppuka quietly at home. yes Least.