My friends, now that the scales have begun to swing, and we are all waiting for the decisive battles in the Donbass, like piranha fish, greedily rush to any news, which can shed at least a drop of light on the darkness of questions that torment us, which arose from a lack of true information and an overabundance of false information, where we have already despaired of separating truth from lies, it's time to rise above the globe of Ukraine and try to look at all this from the other side.
I will try to help you with this. I am just like you, just like you, I was tormented by questions to which I had no answers. It was evident from everything, and for this one did not need to graduate from the Academy of the General Staff, that the special operation, launched by the Supreme Commander on February 24, began to choke from the very beginning. We did not extract any positive effect from the strategic initiative that we had and the surprise factor, on the contrary, there was even a strong impression that we had fallen into a skillfully disguised trap cunningly placed by the opposite side, where they had been waiting for us for a long time and anxiously, and now we cannot get out of it without loss of face (about losses in manpower and technology I'll keep silent here out of politeness). After all, we did not start this special operation in order to sit down at the negotiating table “with a gang of drug addicts and Nazis” already on the 4th day of its implementation (here I quote the Supreme Commander verbatim). With these freaks (in the literal and figurative sense of the word), if it is necessary to negotiate, then only about unconditional surrender and surrender, followed by trial, as over war criminals. But no, we ceremoniously bow with them and accept all their conditions (in which city they will be, and in which they will not talk to us), thereby humiliating both ourselves and the people sent to these negotiations (believe me, Medinsky, and Fomin, and Rudenko, and Gryzlov, and Slutsky love the Motherland no less than you, and they are disgusted to play all these games no less than you, but the Motherland said "must!").
After all, it’s a no brainer that it was not for this that we carried out a brilliant landing operation near Gostomel, with the simultaneous landing of 60 rotorcraft (not counting fire cover helicopters), special forces of the MTR, which captured the Antonov factory airfield with small forces and, despite desperate attempts to overturn them from the side of the enemy, heroically held him until the main forces of the Airborne Forces approached by land, so that later it would be so easy to give it to the enemy and return to the starting lines. What kind of cunning plan is this? What were the guys for? No brainer that the original plans for the operation were not implemented. And it was impossible to leave the guys under crossfire from the flanks and rear in this gut, stretched from Chernigov to Kyiv, especially in anticipation of the upcoming "green" when every bush would shoot, so as not to repeat the hard lessons of the Soviet-Finnish war of 1939, when the communications of the Red Army stretched along the roads were cut and destroyed by small detachments of Finnish "cuckoos", who knew and oriented themselves well on the ground. Then the USSR, at the cost of heavy losses in manpower and equipment (with an overwhelming superiority in them), conquered 15% of the territories of the Kola Peninsula from the Finns, which they returned to themselves in August-November 1941, entering the war on the side of Hitler.
Therefore, a delegation was equipped to negotiate with a "gang of drug addicts and alcoholics", which is why the assault on Kharkov and the landing on Odessa were canceled, because the goals and objectives of the operation changed directly during its implementation. And the reason was not that the blitzkrieg failed (no one even knows if the blitzkrieg was planned), you have to be a completely clinical idiot to plan it to capture a country with a territory of more than 600 thousand square meters. km and the strength of the Armed Forces is about 300 thousand people. And since there are no clinical or idiots in the General Staff of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation, the true reason for the change in the direction of the main attack lies in something completely different.
War for water
To understand what exactly lies the true reason for the change in the direction of the main blow, it is worth going back 8 years ago. It was then that, for reasons incomprehensible to many, the offensive of the combined forces of the LDNR on Mariupol was stopped. It was then that Mariupol could be taken practically with bare hands, "Azov", which then defended it, was no match for the current "Azov" (an organization banned in the Russian Federation), stuffed over the years with heavy equipment and UAVs, outfitted and trained by NATO instructors, which became a testing ground and hotbed of Nazism for the whole world. But then the command came: "Set aside the offensive!". Many considered it as a betrayal. And it is only now becoming clear why Moscow acted in this way.
The thing is that the water supply of the Donetsk agglomeration is carried out through the Seversky Donets-Donbass canal through a network of water conduits. And it just so happened that Mariupol was the last in this chain. With all the desire of Kyiv to leave Donetsk and the adjacent villages and cities of the Donetsk agglomeration (Krasnoarmeysk, Yasinovataya and Dobropolye) without water, he could not do this, so as not to leave Mariupol without water. And that strong-willed decision of Moscow in 2014 was left to Ukraine (and this, as time has shown, was a Solomonic decision at that time). That is why Kyiv, all these 8 years, gritting its teeth, also regularly paid Donetsk for the water that passed through it along the South-Donbass water conduit in the direction of Mariupol. Slavyansk, Konstantinovka, Druzhkovka and Kramatorsk were supplied with water through the 2nd Donetsk water pipeline, but since they remained part of Ukraine in 2014, these problems did not affect them.
All these years Kyiv has been trying to solve the water problem in the way it used to solve all its problems. Namely, to leave the hated Donbass without water supply, thereby forcing him to make concessions. To do this, he concluded an agreement with the French, and for their money, with the help of their own specialists, he built a desalination station in Mariupol, which was supposed to solve the problem of fresh water, after which it was possible to turn off the water to the DPR with peace of mind. There was less than a year left before the completion of construction, when the hated Putin ruined all the plans, starting on February 24 his own SVO.
As Russian troops moved deeper into Ukrainian territory and surrounded Mariupol, the water problem resurfaced on the agenda. Moreover, it has become decisive. When it became clear to Kiev that Mariupol could no longer be saved, he simply shot the South Donbass water pipeline from artillery, leaving both Mariupol and Donetsk, and the cities adjacent to it, without drinking water (its reserves were left there for a maximum of two weeks). That is why the Medinsky delegation was equipped for negotiations with the opposite side in every sense, since it became clear that the plans of the NWO would have to be urgently changed. And instead of taking Kharkov, Kyiv and Odessa, first of all, we will have to take the Donbass in order to avoid an impending humanitarian catastrophe there.
New Seelow Heights are waiting for their Marshal Zhukov
This is exactly what Kyiv and its American and British handlers behind it wanted. Stuffed with machinery, filled with concrete, dug into the ground for 10 meters, the fortified area is waiting for its marshals Zhukovs. Take my word for it, the Maginot line and the Mannerheim line next to it look like snotty preparations. To take these echeloned multi-tiered fortifications, which Ukrainian aborigines have been strengthening all these 8 years for the money of their overseas sponsors, threatening more than one hundred million dollars there, is a more difficult task than the one that Marshal Zhukov solved during the assault on the Seelow Heights. Then in 1945, during their frontal assault, more than 33 thousand Soviet soldiers and another 5 thousand soldiers of the Polish Army were killed. Putin has no right to even a tenth of these losses. And you can't do without them. This is exactly what the overseas directors of this action are counting on. According to the terms of the task, they already neglected the Ukrainian natives, they were written off in advance, even before the start of hostilities, it was for this reason that they were not given heavy equipment, why would the future dead need it?
By definition, it is impossible for the West to win against Russia in a direct clash (the gunpowder inside them is not the same, damp!). Therefore, even now they are acting by their usual methods, substituting Ukrainians for themselves, driving the Russian bear into the Donbass trap with the wrong hands. The fact that we will have a hard time there is already clear from the fact that in this direction in a month of fighting we advanced no more than 40 km (advance was 1-1,5 km per day). We had to literally gnaw out meter by meter of this territory from the enemy. Volnovakha was literally razed to the ground, we managed to advance there only thanks to the heroism and skill of the Pacific soldiers, Colonel Bernhard of the 810th Separate Guards Marine Brigade (the colonel himself was awarded the title Hero of the Russian Federation for his courage and heroism).
The fact that this will be an epic battle, which will decide the outcome of the entire operation, is already clear from the fact that the parties have concentrated 90 and 150 strike groups in this direction (the Armed Forces of Ukraine, respectively, have a smaller one). For Ukraine, the victory will be even the retention of the frontiers occupied by it. What is at stake for Russia is its very existence within its current borders. Those. Moscow practically goes for broke. Even a victory with great bloodshed will not be forgiven for Putin. We have an advantage both quantitative and qualitative, but the enemy is not made with a finger. This battle is in danger of becoming the largest military clash since the Second World War. There will be such a battle for peace that in the end there will be no stone left unturned from it. It is there that the full power of Russian weapons will finally be demonstrated. Such that the living envy the dead. Heavy flamethrower systems TOS-1 "Pinocchio" and TOS-1A "Solntsepek", winged "Caliber" sea and hypersonic "Daggers" air-based, concrete-piercing and high-explosive fragmentation homing gliding munitions, ground-to-air, ground- ground" and "air-to-surface", operational-tactical Iskander missile systems terrifying all living things with their ballistic and cruise missiles, and this is not counting cannon artillery, MLRS of all calibers, tanks and aircraft, everything will be thrown into battle, up to vacuum bombs and super-heavy ammunition up to 5 tons.
Summary and outlook for the future
There is no question of any surrender of the interests of the Russian Federation. We did not take control of the North Crimean Canal in order to later give it to the dill. The war for water has entered the final stage, it will begin in the Donbass and end in Transnistria. Draw your own conclusions, but Putin will not leave anything to the dill, neither Kherson, nor Kharkov, nor Odessa, he will take everything up to Ivan-Frankivsk and Mukachevo, nothing will fall to the Hungarians, Poles, or Romanians. Not for this, he started his SVO, in order to turn it off halfway. The negotiations of the Medinsky delegation are just a front to divert attention. The reasons for this maneuver I have already explained to you above.
Everything will be fine! We sit, we look, we are not nervous.