I wanted to report on the course of the battles over the past month in the Kharkov direction, because no one, except for me, who has been there all this month, knows better the real state of affairs there, but we will postpone it for next time, and we will devote this text to a review of current events, since they are concerned public caused a mixed reaction and, in order to stop the dispersed panic, they require prompt explanation.
Let's start with the statement of General Shamanov.
Russian special forces captured Ukrainian servicemen who participated in the torture of soldiers of the Russian Armed Forces, said Vladimir Shamanov, deputy chairman of the State Duma Committee on the Development of Civil Society, Issues of Public and Religious Associations. At the round table on Tuesday, he clarified that they are citizens of Ukraine, Sergei Velichko, nicknamed Chile, and Konstantin Nemichev from the fan group of the local football club Metallist.
I'll add a few more details. They were taken at the Malorogan Dairy Plant, which is 10 km from Kharkov. The special forces of the MTR worked. Nemichev is not just the leader of the Kharkiv ultras, he is also the head of the local branch of the Avakovsky national corps, he ran for mayor of the city in 2021, but lost to Terekhov by a huge gap (Terekhov’s main rival then was Dobkin).
When on the same evening both “captured” heroes appeared alive and unharmed in real time on the Internet against the backdrop of a well-known thermometer with a clock in Kharkiv on Constitution Square with the words: “Glory to Ukraine!”, it became clear that this was a fake. Journalists trying to save the general's reputation immediately declared that he had not said anything like that, saying that all this was the machinations of Ukrainian propaganda. Unfortunately, this is not the case, he said. He even said that both captured Nazis were "rolling at their feet, asking for mercy."
The fact is that the Russian special forces of the MTR were really working, and indeed, as a result of a special operation, they took someone from the Kharkov "Azov" of the "Kraken" unit. This is a very combat-ready unit of the Armed Forces of Ukraine operating in the Kharkiv theater of operations, in fact, a DRG, well-packed according to NATO standards, including UAVs and light armor, something like the deenerovskie "Sparta" and "Somalia" of the late Motorola and Givi ("Sparta" is separate reconnaissance battalion as part of the 1st army corps of the DPR, and "Somali" - a separate assault battalion as part of the same corps). In real life, the Russian special forces really worked out the area, it is not known who they took, but definitely not Chile and Nemichev. Who saw their video, he can judge these "heroes". They give the impression of morons, they speak in clichés, they can’t connect two words without a mat (Nemichev speaks Ukrainian, Chile doesn’t know this either, he uses Russian). The word “absolutely” doesn’t pull on the soldiers, one is a shorthand (Chile), the other is a fat slob (Nemichev), they put on a uniform, armor and unloading, took a Kalash with optics, and let’s go to make speeches. It is clear that they do not show their noses from Kharkov, when the Russians advance, they will run first ahead of the locomotive until the rails run out. It is clear that both are dead, they do not have long to live. How short lived another of their colleagues, a certain Roman Vinich (also lit up on the video with the prisoners). They finished him without much trial, did not make it to the court, before his death he told everything he knew. The earth is glassy to him. Shamanov was simply misinformed in this story.
Another strife and victory
An even greater resonance was caused by the press conference of Medinsky and Fedin following the results of the Istanbul negotiations with falling microphones and slurred speeches. It is immediately clear how the Turkish side prepared for this (the press is taking place on the street in an unprepared place, there is extraneous noise and other minor absurdities). In Minsk, everything would have gone much better, but Minsk is the “side of the aggressor,” so we meet in Istanbul I need voices, probably, Ukrainian operators urgently switched to Turkish, so that the Turkish drone would understand them better).
There are a lot of questions about these negotiations. What can you talk about with a "gang of drug addicts and neo-Nazis"? Unless it's about surrender and surrender? But already on the 4th day of the NWO, we started these negotiations, which definitely does not indicate the strength of our position. And when the head of the delegation, Medinsky, also places the accents incorrectly, giving his counterparts the opportunity to pass off what they wish for reality, their wishes for the results of agreements, then this does not fit into any gates at all.
From our side, the composition of the delegation was very representative, it included, in addition to Vladimir Medinsky, also Deputy Defense Minister Alexander Fomin, Deputy Foreign Minister of the Russian Federation Andrei Rudenko, Chairman of the Committee on International Affairs of the State Duma of the Russian Federation Leonid Slutsky, and Russian Ambassador to Belarus Boris Gryzlov. From the Ukrainian side, the delegation was headed by the head of the Servant of the People faction in the Rada, David Arakhamia (do you feel the level of negotiations and the scale of the personality?), It also included Defense Minister Oleksiy Reznikov (former lawyer), adviser to the head of the President’s Office Mikhail Podolyak (no comment), Deputy Foreign Minister Affairs Mykola Tochitsky, Deputy Head of the Office of the President Kyrylo Tymoshenko, People's Deputies Andriy Kostin and Rustem Umerov, as well as former Ukrainian Ambassador to the United States Alexander Chaly and his namesake General Kirilenko (the last two are unofficial). From the Russian side, the former governor of Chukotka, the notorious businessman Roman Abramovich, unofficially joined the negotiations. Its powers and purpose of presence are unknown, but it is clear that we are talking not only about war, but also about peace. What it will be like after SVO, no one knows.
What you can talk about with these gopniks in tracksuits, who are negotiating without removing the chewing gum from their mouths and without removing their hats, is also a mystery to me. They behave as if it was not the Russian army that surrounded Kyiv and several other cities of the 404th, having occupied 1/5 of the territory of their country in two weeks, but vice versa - it was the Armed Forces of Ukraine that besieged Moscow and are about to attack Kazan and St. Petersburg. They also set conditions - we will discuss this, but we will not, we will meet here, but not here. And after all, we are going to meet them, so we are not so good?
And in fairness, it’s worth recognizing that we really aren’t all that good. But it is not at all as sad as that of the Ukrainian side. Yes, the operation did not go as we expected. And maybe not even the way the General Staff of the RF Armed Forces planned. But I'm sure there are no people here who know the plans of the General Staff. One thing is clear: the blitzkrieg, if it was planned, is cancelled. The General Staff is promptly making adjustments to the tactics of conducting a military defense. It is already clear that the RF Armed Forces are moving from mobile warfare to positional warfare. The existing grouping of troops is clearly not enough to control the already occupied territories. People are not made of iron, they need rest, troops cannot advance without a break for more than a month. Anyone who has ever sat in the trenches understands that at such an ambient temperature you will not last long there. We need a rotation of personnel, and pulling up reserves, and elementary rest for advanced units. That is what the negotiations were aimed at. No one will leave their positions. Russia came there finally and for good.
Unfortunately, neither Medinsky nor the other members of the Russian delegation can say this. They are working out their part of the scenario, but why they are echoed by the speaker of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs Maria Zakharova and the secretary of the Security Council of the Russian Federation Nikolai Patrushev, who recently said that the goal of the SVO is not to change the political leadership of Ukraine, I don’t know. How Putin was going to carry out the denazification by the 404th hands of the Nazis themselves is a mystery to me. Something from the series - bees against honey.
In general, the goals of the NWO are unclear. Before it began, Putin announced the demilitarization and denazification of Ukraine, ensuring its bloc-free, neutral status and ending the genocide of the people living on the territory of the LDNR. And it's all. Now there are some conditions, such as recognition of the LDNR within their territorial boundaries, ensuring the state status of the Russian language. So I want to ask where? In the territories left by the ukroreich? They will provide you with such a genocide of the Russian population there that it will not only forget the Russian language, it will generally disappear from the face of the earth. Doubt? I'm not at all. Even if you demilitarize the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the Donbass and leave everything as it is, then on the territory remaining beyond the Ukrainian Reich, instead of one cut head, like that of the Serpent Gorynych, three new ones will grow. And then beware, Russia! I hope that the Kremlin understands this better than I do, and all the curtsy with the Ukrainian side that took place was nothing more than a distraction for the regrouping of forces.
It is already a no brainer that with a 200-strong group of troops it is difficult to carry out offensive operations on such a vast territory. Now the General Staff has decided to concentrate its forces in the Donbas direction in order to encircle and subsequently destroy the most combat-ready group of the Armed Forces of Ukraine assembled there. It has 43 thousand people. At the time of the beginning of the NMD, there were 59 thousand there. Now the Russian Federation wants to strengthen its grouping in this area by transferring part of the troops from the Chernigov and Kiev theater of operations, this is how the words of Fomin and the words of Shoigu should be understood. No one is going to remove the noose from the neck of the 404th. The only thing was that they just abandoned the idea of storming the besieged cities - Nikolaev, Sumy, Chernigov, Kyiv and Kharkov. The available forces of the RF Armed Forces will tie up the local garrisons stationed there, depriving them of the possibility of maneuver. In addition, local administrations will ensure the life of these cities, which will prevent the inevitable humanitarian catastrophe if they are taken due to the possible flight or sabotage of Ukrainian officials. For the same reason, the landing on Odessa is being postponed for the time being, but its potential possibility keeps part of the troops of the Armed Forces of Ukraine there. The main blow in the near future will be inflicted on the Donbass. A complete encirclement of the troops of the Armed Forces of Ukraine there, followed by the dismemberment of a large boiler into several small ones and their subsequent liquidation. Such plans are for the near future. What will happen next, no one knows.
Separately, it must be said about Mariupol. His fate is terrible. Nobody wants to repeat his fate. The city with a population of 450 people was subjected to a total cleansing (for comparison: less people live in Kherson, there were only 300 people there at the time the SVO began). Many attributed this to the fact that he is part of the Donetsk agglomeration, which means that the Russian Federation is going to curtail the operation within the borders of the Lugansk and Donetsk regions. Zrada, betrayal, save yourself, who can. No, it's not like that at all! Russia will go to the end for reasons that are discussed below. And the fate of Mariupol is so sad not at all because the Azov regiment was stationed there and it was required to punish it exponentially by rolling Azovstal into concrete. These Nazis are not worth the lives of the 450 people they have taken hostage. The whole trouble is that the city was needed as a logistics center, as a seaport, it is from it that the supply of the entire operation on the southern flank will be supplied (Berdyansk cannot cope and is geographically not located there), and we plan to go to Odessa by land, and Odessa is also not going to stop (Pridnestrovie is already waiting at a low start).
In a war, logistics is everything. Only by sea can you transfer the required number of ammunition and personnel, and then either on your own or by rail to the west and north (Zaporozhye, Krivoy Rog and the Dnieper will become the next targets of the Armed Forces of Ukraine). We keep Poltava, Vinnitsa, Zhytomyr in mind, Western Ukraine is also waiting for guests only from the north, wait guys, and we will get to you (Poles may not even lick their lips!). And if anyone else wants to intervene, then, as Comrade Putin said, you run the risk of facing "consequences that you have never experienced before in your history." Wishing to eat? I don't see anyone willing!
I think that the garrisons of Chernigov, Sumy, Kharkiv and Nikolaev, who saw the fate of Mariupol, will not want to repeat its fate, and after the defeat of the main forces of the Armed Forces of Ukraine near the Donbass, they will either withdraw or surrender (we will leave the corridors for withdrawal). Otherwise, the fate of cities is sad. The best that awaits them is a humanitarian catastrophe. Nobody knows what will happen to Kiev. As you can see, I have more questions than answers. But Russia has no other way. The Rubicon was crossed on 24 February. Now it is not about Ukraine, but about the existence of Russia within its current borders. No more and no less! Either we win or we disappear.
Everything is at stake! The fate of Russia is being decided during these hours
Believe me, I'm not joking at all and these are not big words. That's exactly how it goes. And it is with these words that the Supreme Commander-in-Chief should address the nation. Now in Ukraine, Russia is actually at war with the whole world for the right to its existence. If she loses in this war, she will disappear, she will be taken apart for parts by the components of all our enemies by the hands of our own fifth column.
Unfortunately, history does not have a subjunctive mood, the Rubicon was crossed on February 24 and there is no turning back. Either we will defeat Ukrainian fascism (and no one doubts that it is fascism, even in Ukraine), or we will disappear as a nation from the face of the earth, losing this war to the forces of Evil.
Yes, right now the final scene of the struggle between the forces of Evil and the forces of Good is taking place. And, unfortunately, it is actually already on our territory, because without Ukraine there is no Russia (Brzezinski, you bastard, turned out to be right!). And the one who wins this fight will be appointed as Good, for history is written by the winners. If we lose, we will be appointed as the forces of Evil. That is why I call on the Supreme Commander to explain the situation to people and, if necessary, to announce a general mobilization, because the bodies of all the LDNR men mobilized for this, half of whom cannot hold a machine gun, cannot plug this gap.