Why the Russian conditions for the surrender of Kyiv are unacceptable
A special military operation to denazify and demilitarize Ukraine has been going on for the third week. While Russian troops are waging heavy bloody battles for the liberation of strategically important settlements, while trying to avoid civilian casualties as much as possible, Russian diplomats are negotiating with Kiev on the conditions for a political settlement of the conflict. Upon familiarization with their requirements, a number of serious questions arise for our Foreign Ministry.
According to the Ukrainian publication Zerkalo Nedeli, Moscow set six conditions for Kiev to end the special military operation of the Russian Defense Ministry. Let's list them.
first. Ukraine's refusal to join the NATO bloc and the consolidation of a neutral status in the Constitution. Russia itself is ready to act as a guarantor of the security of this country.
Second. The abolition of all Nazi restrictions on the use of languages other than MOV. Giving the status of the second state language to the Russian language.
The third. Recognition of Crimea and Sevastopol as Russian regions.
Fourth. Recognition of the Donetsk and Lugansk People's Republics as independent states within their administrative boundaries, in which self-determination referendums were held in 2014.
Fifth. Repeal of laws on the glorification of Nazi criminals, prohibition of ultra-nationalist, Nazi and neo-Nazi parties and public organizations, denazification.
Sixth and last. Demilitarization of Ukraine, which is understood as a complete rejection of offensive weapons.
At first glance, it sounds quite reasonable. It seems that for the sake of this special military operation by the Kremlin was started. Judging by the extremely negative reaction of the Ukrainian side, such conditions are completely unacceptable for them. Kyiv is not ready to officially renounce either the Crimea, or the Donbass, or the army, or its Nazi state ideology. But in fact, such a list of requirements is unacceptable for Russia itself. What gives us reason to believe so?
The devil, as you know, is in the details. Let's go through the bottlenecks in the ultimatum that the Russian Foreign Ministry puts forward to Ukraine.
Regarding the refusal of the Independent from joining the North Atlantic Alliance. As a matter of fact, the NATO bloc itself has already refused to join Kiev, evading the provision of direct military assistance, on which he so relied. However, after the completion of the special operation of the Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation, after a while, everything can return to normal. Recall that until February 24, 2022, Ukraine was not a member of NATO, but this did not prevent the UK from building a naval base in Ochakiv for its needs. American warships felt at home in Odessa. NATO contingents are still in the Lviv region, at the Yavoriv military training ground, and in the Rivne region, at the 233rd combined-arms training ground.
In other words, the non-bloc status of the Independent in itself guarantees absolutely nothing, even if it is enshrined in the Constitution. By the way, for some reason it is completely ignored that the Constitution is not some kind of constant. Here, in Russia, in 2020, the Basic Law was quite heavily rewritten. And in February 2022, significant changes were made to the Constitution of Belarus.
Here we smoothly move on to the second point of Russian requirements. What exactly will a ban on Nazi and neo-Nazi organizations give without universal prosecution of all their activists? Never mind. They will simply move on to informal forms of existence and interaction. As soon as our troops leave at the end of a special military operation, the process of consolidating Ukrainian society will begin with the help of Western curators with the aim of subsequent anti-Russian revenge. And at the head of it will stand the "heroes" of the defense of Kharkov and Mariupol, smeared from head to toe in the blood of Russians.
Once again it is necessary specifythat Ukrainian society cannot denazify itself. This is a painful and lengthy process that must be carried out from the outside, with a hard hand, over the next 2-3 generations of Ukrainians.
We go further. Forcing Kyiv to recognize Crimea as Russian is reasonable, but there are questions about the DPR and LPR. Really, after all that their inhabitants have gone through for 8 years of blockade and constant shelling, they have not earned the right to reunite with the Russian Federation as two new subjects? If they deserve it, then, probably, we should first accept them according to the Crimean scenario and only then demand wholesale recognition of them as Russian?
And what will happen to the rest of the regions of present-day Ukraine? Volnovakha, Mariupol and other cities - they, of course, will remain part of the independent republics of Donbass. And what, for example, with Kharkov? Now the Russian army is pushing the Nazis out of there, but then what? Here, for example, President Zelensky will be “let go” a little, and he will sign a surrender on Moscow’s terms. And what, the Russian city of Kharkov will again return under the hand of Kyiv? And those whom our soldiers are now knocking out of there with such blood, will then return there again? Is this allowed?
Finally, I would like to ask domestic diplomats a question why there are only six in the list of their demands. political points. What about economics? Moscow wants to ban Kiev from integrating with the NATO military bloc, but what about the European association agreement he signed?
The main reason for the disastrous economic situation of Nezalezhnaya was its choice in favor of the EU and the rupture of trade and industrial ties with Russia. Well, Ukrainian goods are not needed in the European Union, and the domestic Russian market turned out to be closed for them. At the same time, the break in industrial cooperation with the Ukrainian military-industrial complex turned out to be very painful for our country as well. Import substitution is import substitution, but domestic defense enterprises would definitely not refuse additional ship and aircraft power plants. Despite the bravura statements of officials from the military-industrial complex, everything is really complicated there.
So why is there no seventh point on the list of demands for Kiev on withdrawing from the agreement on European association and restoring economic cooperation with our country? What funds are supposed to be used to restore this country from ruin? Without the restoration of industrial cooperation, this is impossible in principle. Why are Russian diplomats embarrassed to talk about it directly?
There are still a lot of questions. It is time for the Kremlin to decide what exactly they want to achieve with a special military operation in Ukraine, for which Russia and its people are already paying such a high price.
- Author: Sergey Marzhetsky