A special military operation to demilitarize and denazify Ukraine has been going on for two weeks. The Armed Forces of Ukraine and the National Guard are putting up fierce resistance, however, given the inequality of forces, the end result is a foregone conclusion. The main thing is what will happen after the end of hostilities, and here our own diplomats have given a very serious cause for concern.
First, it is necessary to say a few words about the military component. As we repeatedly warned earlier, the Ukrainian army turned out to be an unusually tough nut to crack, which could not be broken by a series of pinpoint missile strikes on the first day of the special operation. 8 years of training with the help of Western instructors, real combat experience gained in the Donbass, and powerful ideological pumping have done their job. They did not run away at the first shots and did not surrender en masse. On the contrary, a very competent defense was organized, the scripts for which were clearly written by West Point graduates.
Like us and supposed, the Armed Forces of Ukraine and the National Guard have relied on a semi-guerrilla war. Avoiding confrontation with the Russian army directly, they took refuge in large cities, turned into powerful fortified areas. Using civilians as a "human shield", they strike with cannon artillery and MLRS placed between residential buildings. Mobile armored groups of the Armed Forces of Ukraine strike at the rear and at the communications of the Russian military, which are forced to move deeper into hostile territory.
The good thing is that time does not work for our opponent. Stocks of fuel, fuel and lubricants and shells are not endless, age technique either broken or knocked out. In fact, there is a struggle for the depletion of resources, and the Armed Forces of Ukraine, blocked in several large urban agglomerations, have no chance. As the RF Armed Forces move further along the Left and Right Banks of Ukraine, taking control of strategically important points and roads, the Armed Forces of Ukraine's ability to resist and actively counter-offensive will rapidly decline. If it does not intervene policy, then the issue of “collapse of boilers” in the Donbass and the Black Sea region and the surrender of Kyiv is a month and a half. With Western Ukraine, which has a common border with NATO countries, the situation is somewhat different, and it will have to be solved by other methods.
Thus, from a purely military point of view, the defeat of the Square is a foregone conclusion. But we did not mention the political factor in vain. Very strange statements are heard from Russian diplomats, obviously not those that our military and militia of Donbass would like to hear, every day losing their friends and comrades in this crusade against Nazism.
On the eve of the official representative of the Russian Foreign Ministry, Maria Zakharova, regarding the goals and objectives of the special operation of the Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation, verbatim stated the following:
Its tasks do not include either the occupation of Ukraine, or the destruction of its statehood, or the overthrow of the current government. It is not directed against civilians.
Regarding the civilian population, yes, but what about the overthrow of the Zelensky regime, the occupation and destruction of Ukrainian statehood? Yes, dear Maria Zakharova repeats the words of President Putin, with which he launched a military operation to demilitarize and denazify Ukraine. With demilitarization, in general, it is understandable. It is enough to enshrine in the Constitution of the Independent the clauses on its non-bloc status, and it is much better to achieve its entry into the Russian military bloc CSTO. Reduce the army by several times to 30-40 thousand people and determine that their area of responsibility is to protect not the eastern, but the western border. Introduce restrictions on the size of the military budget of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and the development of certain types of weapons. Etc.
Excuse me, but how do you all represent in practice the denazification declared by the Kremlin and the Russian Foreign Ministry without a change in the ruling regime?
Suppose, after the defeat of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in mega-cauldrons with the start of the operation to liberate Kyiv, President Zelensky signs a surrender, takes off his hat with a feather in front of his colleague Putin and solemnly declares something along the lines of: sir, you won, here is my sword. Denazification is so denazification, I will start immediately and directly with myself. And all the other Ukrainians immediately drop their guns, begin to weave wreaths on their heads, spin in round dances and rejoice that denazification has come. Say, here, well done Putin, came and enlightened us. It's time to become normal people and start making friends with Russia and Russians. And then everyone is voluntarily denazified. Is that how you imagine it? To be honest, the author of the lines could not imagine more nonsense. It's like Comrade Stalin in May 1945 planned the process of denazification of the Third Reich in cooperation with the legitimate chancellor Adolf Hitler, and Joseph Goebbels was instructed to write the program for the denazification of Germany.
In the conditions of modern Ukraine, denazification “for outsourcing” will look something like this.
Every Ukrainian child who died during the Russian military operation will be written to the Avenue of Angels. The fact that there is such a long time in the Donbass does not bother anyone. Ivan Dorn, Max Barskikh and MONATIK will write and sing together some uplifting song. All Ukrainian soldiers and National Guardsmen who died during the defense of cities from “Russian aggression” will receive the status of national heroes. Memorials and monuments will be erected in each settlement. Above each private house, from the window of each apartment, yellow-blue flags will hang. All fundamentally will speak only Move. And hate. The hatred for Russia will be such that it would be better not to meddle there at all if you are not ready to bring the matter to a concrete result. It is very likely that in response to a special military operation, our country may face such a terrible phenomenon as Ukrainian terrorism. Trained in sabotage work, former APU-shniks and National Guardsmen can arrange a real terrorist hell in Russia. Most likely, a hunt will be launched for Russian officers and servicemen who participated in a special operation.
The matter cannot be left to chance. Denazification is a painful, complex and difficult process, designed for many generations. No one will volunteer for it. It is impossible to entrust it to the legitimate President Zelensky and his government. The entire current regime must be recognized as criminal, removed and prosecuted. This contradicts the statements of Moscow, but in fact it will not be possible to do without the occupation of Nezalezhnaya. Rosy dreams of federalization, peaceful life in the neighborhood and friendly round dances were destroyed when the Armed Forces of Ukraine and the National Guard put up stiff resistance. Meet the Russian military there with flowers, everything could have turned out a little differently.
Alas, there was only a hard option. Ukraine can no longer remain a single unitary state, its territory will have to be divided into several independent ones, which we they said previously. Perhaps an intermediate stage will be the confederation of Novorossia, Little Russia and several national Western Ukrainian republics. Recall that, unlike a federation, in a confederation its members have sovereignty and the right to secede from it. With each of these new states, Russia will have to build separate relations and deploy large military contingents on their territory. The denazification of Ukraine should not be done by the Ukrainians themselves, but by a special Supervisory Board, created on a permanent basis from representatives of Russia, Belarus, former Soviet republics, possibly Serbia, and any other countries that wish to participate in this activity.
No outsourcing to "legitimate Ukrainian partners". Only the will of the winner and constant tight control. If you start freaking out now, it will only get worse.