The effect of sanctions: how Western aviation will have to fly around Russia

February 27 2022

After Russia launched a special military operation to denazify and demilitarize Ukraine, many Western countries decided to close their airspace to Russian airlines. The initiator was the UK, which has already been joined by Poland, the Czech Republic, Slovenia, Slovakia, Bulgaria, Romania, Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania and Finland. Germany and a number of other EU states are thinking about it.

In response to anti-Russian sanctions, the Federal Air Transport Agency announced mirror measures - the closure of the skies of the Russian Federation for air carriers from those countries that have introduced restrictions. After that, for most European airlines, the duration of flights to Asia, as well as the cost of tickets for passengers, increased significantly.

So, from London to Tokyo it will now be possible to get in 17 hours and with a change in Alaska. Previously, this direct flight took 9,5 hours. This applies in principle to all flights to Asia, to such financial and tourist centers as Shanghai, Bangkok, Taiwan, Seoul, etc.

You only need to look at the map to understand what the effect of this will be. The aviation of the countries that supported the sanctions will have to fly around Russia, which occupies half of the Eurasian continent. Naturally, flights through Europe will also become more difficult for Russia. For example, to get from Moscow to Kaliningrad, now you have to make a significant detour, flying through St. Petersburg, the Gulf of Finland and the Baltic Sea. However, this is not so serious for the Russian Federation.

Another, more serious problem for Moscow has arisen in the field of air transportation. The EU decided to ban the leasing of aircraft for Russia and demanded that the aircraft be returned to their owners. This applies to Airbus products. At the same time, the United States has not yet introduced a similar measure, so this does not concern Boeing. It should be noted that 2/3 of the entire fleet of Russian air carriers is the leasing of aircraft manufactured in the US and the EU, as well as in Canada and Brazil.

However, leased aircraft can be bought out by Russian companies. In addition, if the Americans do not join the Europeans, then the Russian market will simply go to Boeing. Information noise from this will be significant, but consumers and air carriers will suffer minimally.

Photos used: Flightradar24.com

34 comments

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Offline Oleg_5

Oleg_5 (Oleg) 27 February 2022 10: 19

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With Airbus, everything is much sadder than leasing.
Prohibited service, supply of spare parts, insurance.
And without this, the plane does not fly, alas. Doesn't fly at all.
Regardless of ownership and country of registration.
1. Offline Ulysses
  
  Ulysses (Alexey) 27 February 2022 20: 01
  
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  With Airbus, everything is much sadder than leasing.
  Prohibited service, supply of spare parts, insurance.
  And without this, the plane does not fly, alas. Doesn't fly at all.
  Regardless of ownership and country of registration.
  
  I wouldn't be surprised if Boeing takes over the aircraft leasing market from Airbus.
  This is not the first time Americans have been scammed by hapless Europe.
  "Business, nothing personal"
  
  PS Coronovirus has severely undermined air travel and many aircraft are idle, this is not a joy for the aviation industry.
  1. Offline Oleg_5
    
    Oleg_5 (Oleg) 27 February 2022 20: 55
    
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    Yes, that's how it is ..... (news from RBC)
    
    On Sunday, February 27, an Irish lessor arrested a Boeing 737 of the Pobeda airline in Istanbul and prevented it from flying to Russia, a source in one of the Russian airlines told RBC.
    .In total, this lessor is recalling three Boeing Pobeda aircraft (including the aircraft that arrived from the Mineralnye Vody), added a source in the Aeroflot group.
    
    Also on Sunday, a Nordwind Airlines Boeing 777-300ER operating a cargo flight from Khabarovsk to Mexico City was detained in Mexico. His insurance was canceled due to sanctions.
2. Offline Sergeyjluf
  
  Sergeyjluf (Sergei) 28 February 2022 09: 43
  
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  Kaliningrad Airport, link: https://kgd.aero/passengers/information/timetable/
  Flights that are delayed fly around the Tribalts. If you look at what flies, then the airbus flies!
Offline Sergey Latyshev

Sergey Latyshev (Serge) 27 February 2022 10: 52

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All right. The Kremlin and Medvedev love Boeing much more.
The news used to be about government guarantees and procurement, mostly about Boeing.
Offline Alexfly

Alexfly (Alexander) 27 February 2022 12: 04

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Shoot down transport planes that deliver weapons, ammunition, fuel ..
1. Offline Oleg_5
  
  Oleg_5 (Oleg) 27 February 2022 18: 47
  
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  Sort them how?!
  Which ones and which ones?
Offline Pandiurin

Pandiurin (Pandiurin) 27 February 2022 12: 14

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Lithuania especially begs for some specific answer. If other EU countries have announced a ban on overflight over their territory, then from Lithuania it can be regarded as a partial blockade of our enclave of Kaliningrad. They create problems not only in the airspace, but also on railways, for example, a ban on the transit of goods from Belarus to Kaliningrad.
1. Offline Bulanov
  
  Bulanov (Vladimir) 28 February 2022 09: 13
  
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  Greece and Oceania use sea transport and everything is fine! And it will be possible to go to Kaliningrad by sea ferry. Let them try to arrest you.
Offline consultant

consultant 27 February 2022 12: 33

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This is all the goals and objectives of everything that is happening - to replace Airbuses with Boeing in Europe, Russian gas with American LNG, etc. If you want to find a criminal, look for a beneficiary, and here you don’t have to look for everything, obviously, it would seem.
1. Offline Sergey Pavlenko
  
  Sergey Pavlenko (Sergey Pavlenko) 27 February 2022 12: 48
  
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  They put pressure on Europe from across the ocean, and they fell for it, they closed the air and the planes were taken away ... you have to be a complete fool to fall for this, and what prevented Europe from answering America: - we are not against it, but only after you. .., that's all. And European pride clouded their brains and they no longer know what to do, if only to annoy Russia .... They still cannot understand one thing, that we are far from being fools sitting in the Kremlin and they calculated all this and now there will be a colossal imbalance in relations with America !!! And nothing needs to be done, and the relationship will fall apart ....
Offline Alexey Davydov

Alexey Davydov (Alexey) 27 February 2022 13: 27

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America buys titanium from us for its aviation industry. It is necessary to sell titanium to it, only in the case of maintaining the functioning of its aircraft under leasing and the leasing itself.
No brainer
1. Offline Oleg_5
  
  Oleg_5 (Oleg) 27 February 2022 18: 46
  
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  Titanium is titanium, but......
  firstly, not all titanium comes from us
  secondly, with the appearance on the market of several hundred few used airbuses that were in our use, the Boeing can simply stop production. Their new planes will be many times more expensive and the demand for them will rush to zero.
Offline Jacques sekavar

Jacques sekavar (Jacques Sekavar) 27 February 2022 13: 38

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The effect of sanctions on air travel will hit both Western airlines and Russian airlines and airports - payments by foreign airlines for the maintenance of their aircraft.
But these are all trifles compared to the threat of arrest of the gold reserves, the ban on settlements in dollars-euro-pounds-anes and disconnection from Swift (the Russian analogue of SPFS for internal use and is not able to replace Swift), which will make it extremely difficult to maintain the ruble exchange rate through foreign exchange interventions of the Central Bank, will block foreign investments, and the less they are, the stronger the ruble exchange rate will fall and inflation will increase, which leads to an increase in the key rate, an increase in the cost of loans, a recession in the economy, falling incomes and rising unemployment, and social unrest.
There is only one hope for the support of the PRC, but the PRC has its own interests and, under the threat of falling under similar sanctions, with a high degree of probability, will prefer to limit itself to moral support.
1. Offline Monster_Fat
  
  Monster_Fat (What's the difference) 27 February 2022 19: 36
  
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  Which China? Yesterday it was already written that the largest Chinese banks are joining the sanctions against the Russian banking system and against Russian companies. Taiwan did the same, moreover, Taiwan stopped the production of even products manufactured for Russia, allegedly developed in Russia, for example, the Elbrus processor, etc. In addition, China announced the cessation of purchases of oil products in Russia in advance, while the US and the EU decide on sanctions against Russia and said that he would fully comply with them. "Friend" China, yeah. Well, in addition, Intel and AMD announced the termination of shipment of their products to Russia. And this is just the beginning.
  1. Offline Ulysses
    
    Ulysses (Alexey) 27 February 2022 19: 43
    
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    Which China? Yesterday it was already written that the largest Chinese banks are joining the sanctions against the Russian banking system and against Russian companies.
    
    Where was it written, in Ukrainian garbage dumps?
    1. Offline Monster_Fat
      
      Monster_Fat (What's the difference) 27 February 2022 19: 58
      
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      Already banned from Google? I sincerely sympathize. Try Yandex.
      1. Offline Ulysses
        
        Ulysses (Alexey) 27 February 2022 20: 05
        
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        The usual excuse when no proof.
        More Yahoo! suggest..
        
        Offline Monster_Fat
        
        Monster_Fat (What's the difference) 27 February 2022 20: 13
        
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        Since your hands hurt or you don’t know how to use search engines: https://www.finanz.ru/novosti/birzhevyye-tovary/kitayskie-banki-prisoedinilis-k-sankciyam-protiv-rossii-1031233100
        You will find the rest of the "news about blocking and bans" yourself. Of course, I understand that it is comfortable to live in the illusory world of Russian propaganda, but now you still have to open your eyes to reality. The jokes are over. The tough days have begun.
        
        Offline Ruriks127
        
        Ruriks127 (Ivan) 1 March 2022 10: 03
        
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        No need to poke into the German Russophobic garbage dump. And yes, we weren’t joking, in the end everyone will sob (if you’re lucky, of course, get off so easily)
Offline Alex Orlov

Alex Orlov (Alex) 27 February 2022 16: 23

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Quote: Jacques Sekavar
But these are all trifles compared to the threat of arrest of gold reserves

Did you understand what you wrote? We are not Germany, we keep our own gold reserves. It's like you put a lien on my stash. I would just spit on you and laugh at the idiocy of the situation :))) As for everything else, there are nuances. However, as always and everywhere. Bad for us, I do not argue. But not fatal, thank God. So let's find options. I don’t think that all this was not calculated at the top, even if we saw it all from the beginning.
1. Offline Jacques sekavar
  
  Jacques sekavar (Jacques Sekavar) 27 February 2022 18: 18
  
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  Did you understand what you wrote? We are not Germany, we keep our gold reserves
  
  To begin with, it would be necessary to conduct a small educational program and explain what a gold reserves are, but you can do it yourself.
  Today, the RF gold reserves are about 640 billion of which there are about 135 billion of physical gold, which still needs to be sold - where, if access to world currency exchanges is closed?
  About 30 billion more are special drawing rights in the accounts of the IMF, where the United States has a controlling stake with all the ensuing opportunities.
  About 100 billion in Renminbi, and the rest in other reserve currencies - dollars, euros, pounds, yens, francs, which can simply be blocked as the reserves of Iran, Afghanistan, Venezuela and other state entities were blocked.
  As for the PRC and the Renminbi, under the threat of imposing similar sanctions, the PRC can simply make a “compromise” and, as it happened in the recent past, without abandoning its obligations to conduct currency transactions with the Russian Federation “nishatko-nivalko”.
  Well, the possible consequences are extremely concisely described above.
  1. Offline Monster_Fat
    
    Monster_Fat (What's the difference) 27 February 2022 19: 45
    
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    And they already wrote that all of the above reserves of the Russian Central Bank (about two-thirds of their total amount - everything that is in Western banks and funds and in Western currencies and securities) will be blocked - it seems that the decision has already been made. As they write, there has never been such a blocking of assets of such a large Central Bank in the history of banking. Well, disconnection from SWIFT is almost already decided. Instead of investing in the Russian economy, the Central Bank took money out of the country for many years and stuffed it in the West, keeping the Russian economy on a starvation diet. Now this money will be requisitioned and will be used to cover the losses of Western countries from the sanctions they impose. Normal yes? However, a cunning outlet was left for Russia, as for Iran - it will be allowed to sell the natural resources necessary for the West, however, the money for them will be stored in special escrow accounts, and with this money Russia will be able to buy only essential products, some medicines and those permitted by a special commission. goods, again, only from those suppliers that Russia will indicate. The result of "multi-move".
    1. Offline Monster_Fat
      
      Monster_Fat (What's the difference) 27 February 2022 20: 39
      
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      Here, by the way, is a link to this news about the blocking of the accounts of the Central Bank (otherwise, some itching, "proofs are needed":
      
      https://www.rbc.ru/economics/27/02/2022/621a5d149a7947339ae7351c
      1. Offline Miffer
        
        Miffer (Sam Miffers) 27 February 2022 21: 09
        
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        On February 25, after the imposition of US sanctions against VTB and Sberbank, the Bank of Russia said that it had enough foreign currency funds to support sanctioned banks. At the end of 2018, the regulator disclosed that it had accumulated $31 billion in foreign currency (it could be not only dollars, but also euros), after which it stopped publishing this data, turning it into the aggregated category “foreign currency and deposits”. Dollar cash cannot be blocked.
        
        https://www.rbc.ru/economics/27/02/2022/621a5d149a7947339ae7351c
    2. Offline magma
      
      magma (Tatyana) 28 February 2022 09: 42
      
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      Quote: Monster_Fat
      However, a cunning outlet was left for Russia, as for Iran - it will be allowed to sell the natural resources necessary for the West, however, the money for them will be stored in special escrow accounts, and with this money Russia will be able to buy only essential products, some medicines and those permitted by a special commission. goods, again, only from those suppliers that Russia will indicate.
      
      Well, you are a visionary!
Offline Shelest2000

Shelest2000 27 February 2022 17: 20

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The result of world championships, olympiads, world cups, crazy yachts, football clubs and water discos, with many tens of billions of dollars and rubles spent on them, instead of developing their own industry and electronics. (crossed out obscene ...)
1. Offline Monster_Fat
  
  Monster_Fat (What's the difference) 27 February 2022 20: 06
  
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  But the Russians have nothing to worry about sanctions and blocking, just now the Leader spoke from the TV screens, convinced that all Russians need to unite around a government that has everything calculated in advance and everything is under control, they say the government will help everyone, especially entrepreneurs. Obviously, it will help in the way it "helped" during the notorious pandemic.
Offline bonifacius

bonifacius (Alex) 27 February 2022 20: 45

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For the United States, the closure of airspace over Russia does not concern at all, due to its geographical location. All the main, and not the main airlines for the aircraft of American airlines lie far from the territory of Russia. But absolutely all airlines in Europe use the airspace for flights to the Far East, Japan and South-East Asia. Uncle Sam is true to himself.
Offline Poligraf Poligrafovich

Poligraf Poligrafovich (Vadim Vorobyov) 28 February 2022 08: 15

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... Well, now it's time to revive our aviation industry ... How did the bad guy-gaidar mutter "we'll buy it"? Bought? Damn liberals!!!
Offline Put_NIK

Put_NIK (Andrey) 28 February 2022 20: 15

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A clever trick from the USA. Europe in the mud and themselves in chocolate, becoming the only ones in the sky with Boeings. Well, they won’t demand Boeings, since they are from Russia’s titanium. If they demand, then titanium will not be supplied to them, and these are millions of unemployed at Boeing factories.
Offline Siegfried

Siegfried (Gennady) 28 February 2022 22: 12

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to what extent could Russia solve the problem of Ukraine in a different way? Let's say instead of pulling troops, collect only a powerful fist near the Donbass for cover. And so to demand from NATO and Ukraine the implementation of Minsk 2 and non-bloc status. After the refusal to impose sanctions against Ukraine? No way. In such cases, Ukraine could quickly be accepted into NATO (in the absence of all those Russian troops that it had gathered in the west).
Offline Denis radish

Denis radish (Denis Moroz) 1 March 2022 03: 40

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Are you really going to fly these Airbuses and Boeings after that? I'm not talking about what you, my compatriots, haven't had for a long time - national pride, I'm talking about something else. Aren't you afraid that they will suddenly start to fall? well, there, some specially trained Russophobe won’t trust two nuts ... and that’s it? no, I'm not sure)
Offline Eduard Aplombov

Eduard Aplombov (Eduard Aplombov) 1 March 2022 09: 17

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and in my opinion, it would be possible to ban the most rabid Russophobes from flying over Russia, and for some simply to raise prices for the flight, so that it would be both expensive and cheaper than flying around ..
we still need currency, as well as jobs for everyone involved in servicing airports and technical staff, selling kerosene, etc.
rich bourgeois and we shoot ourselves in the foot, all this is not thought out