Expert: In the near future, Moscow may issue an ultimatum on Ukraine


In recent days, events around Ukraine have been developing not just dynamically, but rapidly. According to the Ukrainian-Russian political and military expert Yuri Podolyaka, on February 21-22, the climax will come. Moreover, this culmination, most likely, will not mean the mandatory start of the war - he thinks in a slightly different plane. It is after its passage that a variety of scenarios will be possible.


The expert is sure that the situation in Ukraine has heated up to the point where the plans have already been launched and they can no longer be interrupted.

There always comes a moment when a running plan can no longer be stopped. To date, we have already passed the line before which it was still possible to roll back. Moreover, it is obvious that each of the parties has an action plan, with the exception of Ukraine, which continues to play the “local fool”

- says Podolya.

He has no doubt that Moscow has a definite and well-calculated plan, definite plans for Berlin and Paris, which will play one of the most important roles in the impending crisis. Of course, there are plans in Washington and London, which do not hide their interest in Russia's occupation of the territory of Ukraine, after which a broad campaign will be launched to economic and military neutralization of the Russian Federation. And its success is in question.

Vladimir Putin will not act as linearly as expected of him in the West. Over the next day or two, some events should take place, after which Moscow, having shown the seriousness of its intentions, will put forward a certain ultimatum. This is the first option. The second is that some of the Western leaders will put forward a proposal, after which Kiev will have a “fork” of decisions: either resolve this conflict peacefully and make very serious concessions, or reject this proposal and get a war

Podolya believes.

By “some events”, the expert means, for example, a loud provocation of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the Donbass, which will result in a belli case, a situation where Russia’s military intervention can only be stopped by specific and voluminous proposals from the West, which will not only bring the Kiev authorities to their senses, but also will at least partially satisfy the Kremlin's demands for security guarantees.

Podolyaka is sure that there is practically no time left to resolve the conflict peacefully. If this is not achieved in the next 1-2 days, the Kremlin will be forced to move to the next step in its plan.
23 comments
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  1. Roma Phil Offline Roma Phil
    Roma Phil (Roma) 20 February 2022 19: 31
    -2
    Vanga said (and there is recorded evidence of this) that the decisive day for Russia will come on the day of six deuces. And this is February 22 -. 22. 02..
    1. Alexander K_2 Offline Alexander K_2
      Alexander K_2 (Alexander K) 20 February 2022 20: 08
      -8
      Keene have seen enough, even Nostradamus will need to be remembered!
    2. gunnerminer Offline gunnerminer
      gunnerminer (gunner miner) 20 February 2022 20: 42
      -9
      And what did the gopher Fedka say?
      1. Eduard Aplombov Offline Eduard Aplombov
        Eduard Aplombov (Eduard Aplombov) 20 February 2022 21: 26
        +4
        are you about yourself?
        need to be more modest, more modest
        1. gunnerminer Offline gunnerminer
          gunnerminer (gunner miner) 20 February 2022 22: 43
          -11
          Certainly! After all, I collected BTG from all districts, hoping to intimidate the Armed Forces of Ukraine and NATO.
    3. Dust Offline Dust
      Dust (Sergei) 21 February 2022 01: 40
      +4
      Dunno how Vanga predicted there! But now another predictor is in fashion, the whole world listens to him! Mr Biden!
    4. greenchelman Online greenchelman
      greenchelman (Grigory Tarasenko) 21 February 2022 12: 20
      +2
      Stop inventing nonsense on behalf of Vanga. Every time they compose for some event. Don't be embarrassed.
    5. innuendo.od Offline innuendo.od
      innuendo.od (Slav Slavych) 21 February 2022 19: 11
      +1
      22.02.2022/XNUMX/XNUMX. Probably something like that.
  2. Alexander K_2 Offline Alexander K_2
    Alexander K_2 (Alexander K) 20 February 2022 20: 10
    -7
    In the near future, other tasks will be: how and where to put the troops!
    1. gunnerminer Offline gunnerminer
      gunnerminer (gunner miner) 20 February 2022 20: 42
      -11
      We were soldiers, and now to the hut.
      1. Alexander K_2 Offline Alexander K_2
        Alexander K_2 (Alexander K) 20 February 2022 21: 11
        -5
        So it’s necessary to “turn your back” and everyone will see that the pants have burst down below the back!
  3. Teacher Online Teacher
    Teacher (Wise) 20 February 2022 20: 53
    -19
    Putin, in the matter of recognizing the DPR-LPR, chose shame. Get both shame and war. And do not think that everything will go smoothly. It was in 2014 that it was possible to take Ukraine with models of machine guns. Now many Russian men will die.
    But it gets even worse!
    Is there really no one with eggs in the power of the Russian Federation? Remove the coward, close it in the bunker. Do everything properly (proclaim Novorossiya). Then you can release and retire. It can be judged for the betrayal of Donbass, the death and suffering of Russian people.
    It will depend on the severity of the fighting for Novorossiya.
    So far so bad. Shame on all of Russia!
    1. gunnerminer Offline gunnerminer
      gunnerminer (gunner miner) 20 February 2022 22: 39
      -11
      If the Russian troops retreat, no one will believe in the success of the military reform of 2008-2012.
    2. Moray Boreas Offline Moray Boreas
      Moray Boreas (Morey Borey) 21 February 2022 01: 53
      +3
      I think that in 2014 our army was not yet ready for a global confrontation, and most importantly, a guaranteed victory in it. And now the situation is certainly more difficult than then. Therefore, decisions are made in such a balanced way so as not to suddenly slide into a global nuclear war. But you know that in any case, Victory will be ours, and the enemy will be defeated.
      1. The comment was deleted.
    3. Bulanov Offline Bulanov
      Bulanov (Vladimir) 21 February 2022 13: 24
      +1
      For the Teacher: - I remember that in 1914, too, many in Russia demanded that Nicholas II start a war with the German ...
    4. Hot Dyusha Offline Hot Dyusha
      Hot Dyusha (Dyusha) 21 February 2022 20: 22
      0
      From what hole such degenerates climb out? Caulk this nest
  4. Alsur Offline Alsur
    Alsur (Alexey) 20 February 2022 21: 13
    +1
    Quote: Teacher
    Putin, in the matter of recognizing the DPR-LPR, chose shame. Get both shame and war. And do not think that everything will go smoothly. It was in 2014 that it was possible to take Ukraine with models of machine guns. Now many Russian men will die.
    But it gets even worse!
    Is there really no one with eggs in the power of the Russian Federation? Remove the coward, close it in the bunker. Do everything properly (proclaim Novorossiya). Then you can release and retire. It can be judged for the betrayal of Donbass, the death and suffering of Russian people.
    It will depend on the severity of the fighting for Novorossiya.
    So far so bad. Shame on all of Russia!

    The great dream of Ukrainians is that Putin would disappear, leave, be removed. Mriya, however!
  5. Valera75 Offline Valera75
    Valera75 (Valery) 20 February 2022 22: 14
    +3
    Quote: Roma Phil
    that the decisive day for Russia will come on the day of six deuces. And this is February 22 -. 22. 02..

    It turns out you have 7 deuces, the year is already 22000)))
  6. Expert_Analyst_Forecaster 21 February 2022 05: 12
    +7
    Of course, there are plans for Washington and London, which do not hide their interest in Russia's occupation of the territory of Ukraine, after which the broadest campaign will be launched for the economic and military neutralization of the Russian Federation.

    The writers of the texts are trying to get us into the head that the neutralization of Russia will only start if the territory of the former Ukraine is occupied. It's a lie.
    Washington and London have long been engaged in the destruction of Russia. And the reason for this undeclared war is not at all Kiev. Kiev is just an excuse. The reason is that Russia is potentially dangerous to the Anglo-Saxons.
    Dangerous by the presence of nuclear weapons, a strong army, a large population, territory and resources.
    That is - a real competitor on the world stage.

    Another lie is that an occupation is planned. This is liberation. Something that has happened many times in our history. And it’s very strange for me to hear that they say someone will need to be fed.

    This is approximately the same as during the Second World War - the USSR would have decided NOT to go west, not to liberate Ukraine, Belarus on the grounds that they would have to fight the Nazis, that they would have to feed the liberated and restore the economy. They say this is unprofitable, and it is better for the USSR to lick its wounds in the territory that is available.
    Yeah, but let the Nazis suffer - they are fixing the bombed-out economy of Ukraine and Belarus.
    1. tulip Offline tulip
      tulip 21 February 2022 09: 54
      +4
      very well said. What the hell is the occupation and who to feed?))) Russia will liberate Novorossia, and feed Novorossia itself, and even then it will send money to the Russian budget. Russia has money for 1000 Crimeas and Novorossiya, and there will still be money left for the citizens of Russia to live very well. Here the question is not about reuniting with someone - the question is how the money is spent. And money in Russia is simply stolen by bureaucrats - that's why we live like that. Russia is a rich country and its inhabitants can live with dignity - the main problem of Russia is corruption
  7. Expert_Analyst_Forecaster 21 February 2022 12: 00
    0
    Quote: Teacher
    Do everything properly (proclaim Novorossiya).

    Well yes. Well yes.
    First year student proposals. And it even looks like a pedagogical university, a faculty of primary school teachers. Aha, wise, wise gudgeon.
  8. Art Pilot Offline Art Pilot
    Art Pilot (pilot) 21 February 2022 18: 48
    +1
    Today, the LDNR will be recognized within their administrative boundaries.
    This means that the Armed Forces of Ukraine will either leave the territory of the regions themselves, or they will be destroyed.
    Definitely war. Short, but war.
  9. Siegfried Offline Siegfried
    Siegfried (Gennady) 21 February 2022 18: 55
    +1
    as the president just said - the decision will be made today. Well, of course, that recognition. After recognition, it will be necessary to obtain from Ukraine the withdrawal of troops from the territory of Donbass, controlled by Kiev. Difficulties may arise here.

    The point here, of course, is not in the Donbass, but in the fact that Europe has chosen the US course to contain Russia through sanctions and other pressure. Of course they would never go to the loss of hundreds of billions for the sake of Ukraine! Ukraine has been and is a tool for putting pressure on Russia. Pressure is not to force you to do something. And pressure to destabilize the country, undermine its economy and social stability. Now Europe has finally confirmed that it is committed to these goals (which was to be proved). Not a wise choice. They still believe that Russia will swallow their sanctions, silently chewing on them, and continue to talk about partners and such nonsense.

    Perhaps the EU will shout very loudly, but the sanctions will be "coordinated" with Moscow. However, this theory is opposed by the fact that the case will not end with recognition. Part of the Donbass has yet to be liberated. Other regions of Ukraine are still questionable. Unfortunately, rapprochement with Europe did not work out.

    Europe fears a strong Russia more than the consequences of opposing it. Let's hope that they will be able to realize this mistake in time.