Expert: If the US and Russia do not agree in the coming days, Ukraine will face a war

February 18 2022

A sharp aggravation of the situation began on the line of contact in the Donbass. Political scientist and journalist Yuri Podolyaka is sure that this indicates a possible imminent start of active hostilities.

The Ukrainian side is spreading data about shelling by "separatists" of kindergartens, wanting to show the DPR and LPR as "aggressors" shelling civilians. It is likely that such disinformation will appear in the Western media in the near future.

According to the expert, such events around Ukraine show that the start of a big war in Donbass is not excluded. Political the conflict is not yet resolved, and there are many indications that the parties are preparing for the coming war.

Those markers that are available today, both from Ukraine and from Russia, speak of the preparation of a real fight. And it's a hot fight. This does not mean that a 100% war will begin, but such an option is currently considered both in the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation and in the Armed Forces of Ukraine, according to the markers that I have, more than likely. If in the very next few days the parties, primarily Moscow and Washington, do not agree, war will await Ukraine.

- fears Yuri Podolyaka.

The expert also believes that those military units that Russia is withdrawing from the border today are already based on the western borders of the country, not far from Ukraine. For example, if part of the troops is withdrawn from Crimea somewhere in the Rostov region, they can again be anywhere within just a day or two, starting from the borders with Donbass and ending with their return to Crimea. The same applies to the troops of the Western Military District.

One of the main striking forces of the 20th Army, the 3rd motorized rifle division, is stationed on the border with Ukraine. This is her permanent home. Literally one forced march, and they are again on the Ukrainian border. And here, events in neighboring Belarus will be very important, even a marker moment, because units that are assigned to the Eastern Military District are deployed there. And just today they are not relegated anywhere. The next days will be very, very important. And if by the end of February the troops of the Air Defense Forces find a reason to stay in Belarus, then this will be a very alarming bell

Podolya believes.

25 comments

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Offline Expert_Analyst_Forecaster

Expert_Analyst_Forecaster 18 February 2022 09: 15

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Political scientist and journalist Yuri Podolyaka is sure that this indicates a possible imminent start of active hostilities.

Really?! After all, peace and silence have always reigned in the Donbass.
Never was, and here again (c)
You can immediately see a real political scientist. Only political scientists can see the truth in a dirty toilet.
Offline Bulanov

Bulanov (Vladimir) 18 February 2022 09: 48

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The Ukrainian side is spreading data about shelling by "separatists" of kindergartens, wanting to show the DPR and LPR as "aggressors" shelling civilians.

And what prevents Russia from showing the children's cemeteries in the LDNR to the whole world?
And whose fuel do the tanks shelling the LDNR use?
1. Offline Just a cat
  
  Just a cat (Bayun) 18 February 2022 09: 58
  
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  they drive on Belarusian fuel. Belarusians won the tender for the supply of fuel to the APU. so all questions to the owner of the khokhlyatsky ending of the surname in Belarus.
  1. Offline Bulanov
    
    Bulanov (Vladimir) 18 February 2022 10: 00
    
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    And where, let me ask, do Belarusians get their fuel? And they drive potatoes? Or does Poland and Lithuania supply oil to them?
    1. Offline Just a cat
      
      Just a cat (Bayun) 18 February 2022 10: 02
      
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      Belarusians have their own refinery. or is it a revelation?
      1. Offline Bulanov
        
        Bulanov (Vladimir) 18 February 2022 10: 05
        
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        Where does the raw material come from? From Russia. And why is it allowed at such a turn of events?
        And if the Belarusians win the tender for the supply of cartridges to the Armed Forces of Ukraine, then they should also receive raw materials from Russia?
        
        Offline Just a cat
        
        Just a cat (Bayun) 18 February 2022 10: 07
        
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        maybe we will stop the export of oil, gas, metals, etc. altogether. absolutely and all? otherwise they will suddenly make diesel from Russian fuel oil in the USA for Ukrainians ...
2. Offline Expert_Analyst_Forecaster
  
  Expert_Analyst_Forecaster 18 February 2022 10: 12
  
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  And whose fuel do the tanks shelling the LDNR use?
  
  Looks like they're firing mortars. I don’t remember about tank shelling.
Offline Expert_Analyst_Forecaster

Expert_Analyst_Forecaster 18 February 2022 10: 15

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Quote: Bulanov
And what prevents Russia from showing the children's cemeteries in the LDNR to the whole world?

Are there any?
Offline Expert_Analyst_Forecaster

Expert_Analyst_Forecaster 18 February 2022 10: 16

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Quote: Bulanov
Where does the raw material come from? From Russia. And why is it allowed at such a turn of events?

Do you propose not to supply oil to Belarus?

By the way, is it for sure that the Belarusians won the tender of the Armed Forces of Ukraine? Not desa?
1. Offline Just a cat
  
  Just a cat (Bayun) 18 February 2022 10: 19
  
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  no not desa. there was information, but I will not specifically look for it
  1. Offline Expert_Analyst_Forecaster
    
    Expert_Analyst_Forecaster 18 February 2022 10: 20
    
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    A source of information?
2. Offline Just a cat
  
  Just a cat (Bayun) 18 February 2022 10: 20
  
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  https://www.politnavigator.net/truslivaya-i-prokhindejjskaya-poziciya-belorussiya-uvelichila-postavki-topliva-dlya-vsu.html вот про топливо... нашел
  1. Offline Expert_Analyst_Forecaster
    
    Expert_Analyst_Forecaster 18 February 2022 10: 21
    
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    Thank you. I'll go take a look.
  2. Offline Expert_Analyst_Forecaster
    
    Expert_Analyst_Forecaster 18 February 2022 10: 25
    
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    Normal article. Very similar to the truth. Well, here Putin / Lavrov is clearly not being finalized.
    1. Offline Just a cat
      
      Just a cat (Bayun) 18 February 2022 10: 33
      
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      I'm not an advisor here. Belarusians' sense of their own greatness will suffer and a howl about a union state with Belarus will begin. a double-assed bow will lie, get out and be insolent to the last.
      1. Offline Expert_Analyst_Forecaster
        
        Expert_Analyst_Forecaster 18 February 2022 10: 37
        
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        With such "friends" as Belarus, enemies are not needed.
Offline Marciz

Marciz (Stas) 18 February 2022 12: 20

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This is what low self-esteem you need to have, having Vanguard Daggers and other super-missiles, so that you would dictate conditions, bargain, threaten, impose sanctions and other diplomatic dirty tricks, make you first withdraw troops to positions and then, under a general op, again move to places of deployment !! !????
1. Offline alexxnumx
  
  alexxnumx (Alexander) 20 February 2022 00: 58
  
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  I answer _ self-esteem has nothing to do with it at all. Enough to be smarter than the townsfolk-Putin is smarter. He understands perfectly well that this Ukraine is an asshole for us and we will not get anything good from this.
  Yeah, of course, we can easily scatter their army - and then what - do you have smart thoughts?
Offline Yuri Neupokoev

Yuri Neupokoev (Yuri Neupokoev) 18 February 2022 12: 30

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There is a constant increase in rates. Judging by Putin's nervousness at press conferences, they did not agree and are unlikely to agree. These provocations will continue to intensify. In full Ukrainians will not go yet. Well, we will wait until the Ukrainians completely swallow the bait for us from the "partners". It is a pity for the people on the LDNR line, but there are no casualties here. But I liked the plot with the "shelling" of a kindergarten in the controlled). They hammered with jackhammers for a long time, apparently) And the bricks were scattered very beautifully. Where is the rest of the projectile? And the window did not even crack nearby (probably, it could not have done without white helmets))
Offline opportunist

opportunist (dim) 18 February 2022 22: 09

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if Putin does not wash away the shame of 2014 this time, it is better to resign
1. Offline silver169
  
  silver169 (Aristarkh Feliksovich) 19 February 2022 08: 43
  
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  Putin's entire rule, from the very beginning, is some kind of shame, but he is not going to resign.
2. Offline alexxnumx
  
  alexxnumx (Alexander) 20 February 2022 00: 54
  
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  what are you talking about?
Offline Vladimir Petroff

Vladimir Petroff (Vladimir Petroff) 18 February 2022 22: 42

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I hope this time the king will finally be advised to go on vacation after the start of the hot phase of the conflict? So that he would no longer stop the soldiers of the LDNR when they chase Ukrainians.
Offline alexxnumx

alexxnumx (Alexander) 20 February 2022 00: 53

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Can someone explain to me- Why would Russia be at war with Ukraine? What is our benefit?
No, I understand what is the benefit of the United States, for example, but we don’t care about their benefit!
They took Ukraine, well, now you keep it
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