“Freedom convoy” to Washington: truckers’ protests spread to the USA

The situation in North America fits well into the meme launched by Kiselyov “Coincidence? I do not think!"

It will be about an incendiary show of Canadian truckers, accompanied by the flight of Prime Minister Trudeau in an "unknown" direction. After that, Trudeau contracted covid in a very timely manner (so that he could sit motivated in this “unknown direction”).



So far, few people pay attention to the fact that protests are taking place on the border with the United States. And US truckers, being proletarians of logistical labor, are going to provide international support to their "class brothers". Moreover, American truckers are not going to be limited to supporting Canadian ones only at the border. Announced "Freedom Convoy" to Washington. A fundraiser has been announced to support this "good" undertaking.

In the younger generation, this hype does not cause any associations. But older people have something to remember. The coming year is the year of the half-century anniversary of a novelty forgotten by the general public political of technologies.

Truck drivers strike

It was in 1972 that the CNDC (National Association of Truck Owners) in Chile went on strike. The result was the overthrow of the government of Chile, legally elected in 1970, the death (with a Kalashnikov gun, donated by Fidel Castro, in the hands) of President Salvador Allende, a concentration camp at the Chile stadium in Santiago, the murder at the same stadium (after four days of beatings and torture ) popularly beloved singer, poet, artist, dancer Victor Hara.

In general, this strike was remembered.

Her economic the results were no better. Features of the geography and landscape of Chile make the country's logistics heavily dependent on road transport. So the economy was paralyzed.

American corporations controlled a significant part of the Chilean economy (only the copper-smelting industry, which brought 4/5 of foreign trade revenue, they controlled by 80%). In addition, Allende was a Marxist and pursued a corresponding policy. Well, it is clear that the United States could not stay away from such a "disgrace".

Since 1964, the CIA has actively interfered in the internal affairs of Chile. The CIA spent up to $ 8 million to support the strike of cargo carriers (these are “those still” dollars, according to officially declassified data). For Chile, the amount is quite decent.

Qui prodest?

Let's go back to today. Who could need this mess? How can it end? Who sent a belated boomerang to the North of America?

There are enough people who want to. And, oddly enough, Russia and China have nothing to do with it. Russia and China are the last ones who need chaos in the north of the American continent. Right now they need a sane, stable, predictable partner for negotiations on the development of the rules of the new world order.

Of the influential players, exactly one country is interested in chaos for North America. This is, highly likely, Great Britain. Moreover, both powerful elite groups may be interested.

The rise to power in the UK of Boris Johnson marked a change in the ruling elite group. Right-wing conservatives came to power, who were removed in 1936 with the abdication of King Edward VIII of the WB. Then the global financiers came to power, the liberals (analogous to the Democrats in the US), who merged the British Empire in August 1941 in favor of the US global financiers. Those who have replaced them now are an analogue of the Trumpists. Therefore, Trump supported Johnson, and Biden last summer appointed Angela Merkel (Germany) to look after Europe from the United States.

The fact that the World Bank is trying to chaoticize the situation around Russia is no longer a secret to anyone. This is the Second Karabakh War, and a strange rebellion in Kazakhstan (obviously not aimed at bringing any particular group to power), and other, more local incidents.

Just the other day, Johnson has already completely deciphered, having begun to put together an anti-Russian alliance WB/Poland/Ukraine. On top of everything, he personally appeared in Kiev, causing euphoria (from his own importance) in Zelensky.

Russia will deal with this very simply. Literally the next day after Johnson's visit to Kiev (right from February 02.02.2022, XNUMX), a two-month ban on the export of ammonium nitrate from Russia was announced. Just in time for sowing. And fertilizer factories in Europe began to close in the fall. Due to rising gas prices.

Very soon Europe (and especially the World Bank) will bow to Russia, Turkey and Belarus. And in autumn/winter Europe will want food. Preferably at a reasonable price. And it won't be enough for everyone.

The essence of the claims of the WB (a group of right-wing conservatives) is that it wants to achieve for itself the role of the leader of the currency zone in the new world order. She doesn't have the capacity to do so. There are no resources. But subjective factors also play a role. Over the past 500 years, WB has faithfully earned worldwide "love". Not a single state (based on national interests, and not the interests of comprador groups) is interested in its continued existence.

The Russian trend “Englishwoman shits” appeared much earlier than the phrase itself, since the time of Ivan the Terrible.

China will never forget a century and a half of opium pumping (through two Opium Wars) until 1950 (when Mao Zedong ended the opium trade). During this period, the UK played the role of a world-class drug pusher at the state level. If someone is not in the know, look at Wiki, where George Orwell's dad worked. China's losses in deaths amount to many tens of millions, crippled destinies - hundreds of millions. The economic losses are incalculable.

And the US has its own claims to the former mother country. Including the current situation.

Biden faces the so-called midterm elections in the fall. According to the observations of knowledgeable political scientists, the psychology of the American electorate is such that when they go to the polls, they see the economic picture that has developed six months before the elections. The later one no longer affects his decision.

Therefore, Biden is faced with the most important task: by April - early May, to reduce inflation to those limits when its visible size can be hidden from the electorate. Well, or reduce to tolerable limits. He partially succeeded. The growth in food prices by the end of the year was reduced from 40% to 20%. Things are worse for other consumer goods. And industrial inflation remained at the level of 26%.

A misunderstanding of the economics of the situation and internal squabbles among Democrats cast doubt on Biden's "success of a hopeless enterprise."

Democrat internal squabbles

The contradictions within the Biden team did not allow the electoral law to be passed, which made it possible to count the votes the way Biden needed. The law is disgusting, but at the moment it would be better if they passed it. Better Biden as a negotiator than 2+ years of goofy running a state like the US. Yes, even at such a crucial moment.

Economics of the situation

The head of the IMF, Kristalina Georgieva, is trying to explain the economy of the situation to the Democrats. She critically, with difficulty keeping within the framework of the normative vocabulary, spreads the intention of the head of the Fed, Powell, to raise rates. In her opinion, raising the Fed's rates will lead to the collapse of the US economy and the dollar system. At the same time, she is not at all concerned about the increase in rates of the Central Bank of Russia. This gives reason to think about in whose interests the Central Bank of the Russian Federation works.

The question is whether Powell will understand her reasoning. Georgieva was educated during the Soviet era. She graduated from a university called the Karl Marx Institute. In 1986 she defended her doctoral dissertation on "Environmental Policy and Economic Growth in the United States". Therefore, unlike Powell, she knows firsthand what “structural inflation” is. Western "economics" (in which Powell studied and worked) does not consider the concept of "structural inflation" at all. And Georgieva understands that, unlike monetary inflation, it is useless to fight structural inflation by raising rates.

In the current situation (when the existing model of the economy reaches the limits of development, that is, the boundaries of the globe), raising rates will not give positive results in relation to monetary inflation. The result of the increase in rates will be massive bankruptcies of households, a rapid increase in the number of unemployed and homeless, riots, civil war.

The essence of both inflations and the difference between them cannot be explained in this post. In short, structural inflation is most dependent on logistical failures. The development of the economy in the existing model is aimed at extracting maximum profit. Nobody thinks about the security of the state. Therefore, logistics costs (both transport and storage) are being tried in every possible way to reduce. As long as everything goes smoothly, everyone rejoices and counts the profits. But when systemic failures begin (like covid quarantines and lockdowns), disaster begins.

The classic of this model is the work of retail chains. Shop without a warehouse. The role of the warehouse is performed by shelves in the trading floor. There is only a small room that accommodates the tall carts of goods brought in by the unloading machine and the empty carts brought in by the previous machine. They will be picked up by a newly arrived car. Most of the goods are stored in a large, highly efficient warehouse serving many (dozens) stores. This warehouse is located far from the city center, where land rent is several times cheaper. But even in this warehouse, the area is strictly rationed. Interruptions in the supply of goods will immediately result in empty store shelves and a decrease in sales and profits from trade. This is what you can now see in many US supermarkets.

But this is the simplest model. In production, things are much more complicated. The US economy is now on the verge of a rapid collapse. The situation when the buyer pays money for a refrigerator that will arrive in three months (if you're lucky) has long become the norm. And each failure of logistics responds with financial losses of the entrepreneur, which can no longer be compensated.

The blocking of the US/Canada border is another massive failure of logistics, which, to put it mildly, will not reduce structural inflation in the US (and in Canada). And the situation threatens to spread to the United States like covid. I repeat, the “Freedom Convoy” was announced across the United States not only to the Canadian border, but also to Washington.

Interestingly, the randomization of the situation in the United States can be beneficial to both groups in the UK.

A group of right-wing conservatives can blackmail the United States and Russia in order to assert the right to their currency zone.

A group of liberal financiers (having removed conservatives from power, which is quite likely) may be trying to chaos the United States in order to seize power there. It is not the first time for them. The current liberal financiers are descended from the banking houses of northern Italy in the Middle Ages. Which moved: Northern Italy - Spain / Switzerland - the Netherlands (from Spain) - England (during the "Glorious Revolution") - partly to North America, the USA.

So for them there will be nothing new, just another change of base. Both groups will more than have enough money to maintain the long-range "Convoy of Freedom" until the bitter end, until complete chaos. This is not a world war.

The source of this infection is quite well visible.

The Prime Minister of Canada takes an oath of allegiance to the Queen of the WB. Currently, Elizabeth II. From the point of view of national interests (and with an understanding of the current situation), Trudeau should take the most severe measures against the Protestants. And cancel covid passports.

If he received a signal not to cancel COVID-XNUMX passports, put the brakes on opposition to the protests and allow them to spread to the United States, then this is a deliberate undermining of the US economy (and at the same time Canada) on a signal from the UK. Information has just emerged that Canadian farmers have joined the protests.

For Russia (and for the whole world) it is not very important which of the WB groups is trying to break through to power. Both are unacceptable.

In addition to the WB groups, Trump is working against Biden. He is fighting for a personal breakthrough to power. Not so much a politician and statesman as a showman, he does not understand what his political ambitions will cost the US state. He has already expressed (at the same time as Elon Musk) support for the protests of Canadian truckers. A little later, the Protestants were supported by the very popular Florida Governor DeSantis.

What to do?

In the current situation, everything depends on the political will of Biden (collective, of course), the power, economic and political resources remaining at his disposal. He must abolish covid passports in the United States and convince Trudeau to abolish them in Canada, in the most severe way to stop protests, attempts by WB groups to break into power. These WB attempts are already the last, there will be no time for others, so they will fight hard.

Otherwise, these logistical failures could be fatal to the US economy and send it down in a crash scenario.