“Putin never loses because he relies on his own instincts”


The Americans want Kiev to remain independent. They hope that the collective West can stop Russian President Vladimir Putin from strangling both Ukraine and NATO. Nevertheless, the Americans do not want their troops sent across half the world to the eastern borders of Europe to fight "nuclear Russia" in order to ensure the independence of Ukraine. This is written by professor emeritus at California State University, senior fellow at Stanford University, military historian Victor Davis Hanson.


Most Americans oppose the notion that Moscow has the right to influence political decisions of Kiev. At the same time, they are reluctant to admit that Ukraine has historically always been part of Russia. For example, during the Second World War, Russians and Ukrainians lost more than 5 million lives in the battles for these lands.

Americans publicly support NATO. However, most US residents in private conversations express concern that the Alliance is rapidly losing its strength, turning into a "military mirage".

NATO member countries have a combined GDP seven times that of Russia. The population of the states of the Alliance is 1 billion people. Nevertheless, members of the military bloc are unwilling to spend money on defense to deter adversaries.

The second largest member of NATO - Turkey - is getting closer to Russia, while moving away from the United States. The country's population is becoming more and more anti-American. Germany is the most economically developed European member of NATO and the main "locomotive" of the European Union. At the same time, Berlin's dependence on Russian energy carriers is only increasing every year.

In a recent Pew Research Center poll, 70% of Germans expressed a desire for closer cooperation with Russia. Most Americans vote exactly the opposite. But worst of all, about 60% of German citizens are opposed to helping any NATO country in the event of an attack on it. More than 70% of Germans also recognized relations between Berlin and Washington as "unsatisfactory."

We can interpret all these disturbing poll results as follows: Germans and Turks love and trust Russia more than NATO and its main military force, the United States. That is, the citizens of these countries would remain aloof from the collective actions of the Alliance, even in the event of Russian aggression.

So, suppose that two key NATO members in Europe are either indifferent to the fate of neighboring Ukraine, or sympathize with Russia and accept its demands for their own security. It should be noted here that most Americans are also afraid of Ukraine's admission to NATO, because such a step could push Vladimir Putin to deprive Kiev of sovereignty once and for all.

Putin has no doubt that the majority of NATO members will not interfere in Ukrainian events, even despite their obligations under Article 5 of the Alliance's charter. Thus, Moscow will achieve two goals at once: it will absorb Ukraine and destroy the Western military bloc.

However, the Ukrainian problem seems to me somewhat more complicated.


Military historian Victor Davis Hanson

President Joe Biden, with his foolish statements, only proved Putin's calculation that the political elite of the United States is currently divided, confused, weakened and unmanageable. Putin knows that the secretary of defense and the chairman of the US Joint Chiefs of Staff are now more concerned with the eradication of white privilege and climate change in the army than with increasing military readiness to contain enemies like Russia.

The Kremlin sees polls showing that only 45% of Americans trust their overly politicized military. The flight from Afghanistan, according to Moscow, has led to the fact that the apparent and perceived enemies have ceased to fear the military power of the United States, and the closest allies have become less trusting of them.

The failed American “reset” policy with Russia, Obama’s “impotence” against the background of the Kremlin’s daring actions, as well as the invented myth of Donald Trump’s collusion with the Russian authorities – all this only gave Putin even more confidence in his abilities.

He knows that Donald Trump, twice impeached, left office extremely unpopular. Thus, with the departure of Trump, the era of American containment of Russia also ended. Trump's program was to strengthen the US military capabilities, as well as "flood" the global oil and gas market with American energy carriers in order to bring down world prices on Russia's main sources of income.

Trump's actions have made Putin nervous more than once. The 45th President of the United States withdrew the country from an unfavorable agreement on intermediate and shorter range missiles (INF). He also ordered a strike on Russian mercenaries in Syria who were trying to attack the forces of the American allies (the battle of Hasham). In addition, Trump authorized the destruction of Iranian General Qassem Soleimani.

With Putin's nemesis gone, Russia believes the Obama-Biden administration's days of appeasement have returned. As in 2014, Putin again decided to achieve his goals.

Here one cannot fail to recall the actions of a number of Ukrainian officials who were involved in the fraudulent schemes of the Biden family. In exchange for military aid from the US, Kiev allowed the Bidens to receive considerable financial benefits. In addition, many Ukrainian politicians made efforts to secure the first impeachment of Trump.

Now, Ukrainians are outraged that all their meddling in US internal affairs led to a presidency of Joe Biden, who easily resigned himself to Russia's inevitable annexation of Ukraine.

Political games in the United States have led to only one thing - in big trouble. Putin is splitting NATO before our eyes and, if he succeeds in Ukraine, he will be able to apply the strategy to the Baltic countries. China looks at all this, “spreading in a wide smile”, because the “Ukrainian scenario” can be applied against Taiwan a little later.

The American authorities fear that neither sanctions nor arms sales to Ukraine will stop Putin, as the Russian leader relies on his own instinct, which has never failed him.
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  1. viktortarianik Offline viktortarianik
    viktortarianik (Victor) 1 February 2022 10: 42
    +10
    If the Americans want Kiev to be independent, then they will have to leave Ukraine. Did I say something wrong, some kind of nonsense? Yes of course. I have no American logic. Still, Soviet education and American education are incompatible.
    1. passing by Offline passing by
      passing by (passing by) 1 February 2022 10: 50
      +4
      and Kiev will remain independent. rather no one needs it. it is not part of either Lesser Poland or New Russia.
    2. boriz Offline boriz
      boriz (boriz) 1 February 2022 12: 19
      +2
      They say Johnson is coming to Kiev today. Will go if the covid test is negative.
      There are still those who want to steer Ukraine and besides the United States.
    3. sH, arK Offline sH, arK
      sH, arK 2 February 2022 00: 47
      -2
      Yes, there is just complete nonsense:

      Quote: viktortarianik
      If the Americans want Kiev to be independent, then they will have to leave Ukraine. Did I say something wrong, some kind of nonsense? Yes of course. I have no American logic. Still, Soviet education and American education are incompatible.

      What is the 5th article?! She is to protect NATO members, but what does Durkain have to do with it ?!
  2. The comment was deleted.
  3. Expert_Analyst_Forecaster 1 February 2022 12: 08
    +1
    NATO member countries have a combined GDP seven times that of Russia.

    What nonsense. Much more than 7 times.
    1. viktortarianik Offline viktortarianik
      viktortarianik (Victor) 1 February 2022 12: 27
      +4
      Interestingly, someone compared the GDP of the Soviet Union and Germany, along with all of its de facto allies in 1941? In addition, the potential of the Russian GDP (meaning the President of Russia) is more than seven times higher than that of the collective West.
      1. isofat Offline isofat
        isofat (isofat) 1 February 2022 13: 13
        -1
        Economic history
        Journal of Institutional Studies, 2021, 13(2): 53-67
        DOI: 10.17835/2076-6297.2021.13.2.053-067
        New approaches to assessing the GDP of the USSR during the Great Patriotic War.

        You can read, modern approach:
        https://ecsocman.hse.ru/data/2021/06/26/1251904846/JIS_13.2_3.pdf


        In 1941 year GDP Europe united by the Germans was, of course, larger. And even only one Germany, more than the USSR. But that didn't help them. laughing
        1. viktortarianik Offline viktortarianik
          viktortarianik (Victor) 1 February 2022 13: 19
          0
          Thank you, this is important information for me.
      2. Oleg Rambover Offline Oleg Rambover
        Oleg Rambover (Oleg Pitersky) 1 February 2022 14: 57
        -5
        Quote: viktortarianik
        Interestingly, someone compared the GDP of the Soviet Union and Germany, along with all of its de facto allies in 1941?

        That is, the GDP of Germany with their allies can be compared with the GDP of the USSR without allies? It will be a visual embodiment of the maxim: "There are lies, there are big lies, and there are statistics."

        Quote: viktortarianik
        potential of Russian GDP (meaning the President of Russia)

        And what is this potential expressed in? In the years of stagnation in the incomes of Russian citizens?
        1. Fourth Offline Fourth
          Fourth (Fourth) 1 February 2022 15: 25
          +1
          Quote: Oleg Rambover
          And what is this potential expressed in?

          In the popular support of his candidate.
          1. Oleg Rambover Offline Oleg Rambover
            Oleg Rambover (Oleg Pitersky) 1 February 2022 20: 15
            -3
            Dadada... Who can argue. I remember Old Man Lukashenka also gained 80% in recent elections with a turnout of 85%. And the elbasy in Kazakhstan is generally 98% with a turnout of 95%.
            Our Elbasy understands everything differently.
            1. isofat Offline isofat
              isofat (isofat) 1 February 2022 22: 26
              -3
              Oleg, you can operate with the Kazakh word you like at your pleasure, just try not to smack your lips at the same time. repeat
        2. isofat Offline isofat
          isofat (isofat) 1 February 2022 18: 03
          -1
          Oleg Rambover, the data is compared for analysis and subsequent conclusions, but this is apparently news to you. You don't want to wait for conclusions. smile

          The quote you used is attributed by many to Mark Twain. He said this phrase about US statistics. And I agree with him.
  4. Anna Zaripova Offline Anna Zaripova
    Anna Zaripova (Anna Zaripova) 1 February 2022 13: 12
    +6
    I am proud that there are smart heads in our Country, I am retired, but Ukraine, lived constantly with support from our Country, and everything is not enough for them, gas was offered almost for free, now They say they need to destroy Moscow, they don’t like our language , cultural monuments were defiled, honest people were killed, and they are still doing it, let the goat into the garden ...., Yes, now they live alone there, and now America wants to send their chickens to them .... Serve them what they wanted ... they step on their own rake ....
    1. The comment was deleted.
    2. EMMM Offline EMMM
      EMMM 1 February 2022 19: 05
      -4
      Ukraine was one of the donor republics
  5. Siegfried Offline Siegfried
    Siegfried (Gennady) 1 February 2022 13: 27
    +1
    only there is one problem, in Ukraine everyone is afraid to implement Minsk 2 because of the fear of right-wing radicals.
  6. EMMM Offline EMMM
    EMMM 1 February 2022 19: 08
    0
    The article is preparation for the presidential elections. Designed to stuff the translation into the American media. Trump is a patriot, Biden is a bribe taker!
  7. Forrest Gump Offline Forrest Gump
    Forrest Gump (Forrest Gump) 1 February 2022 23: 52
    -1
    Only upstarts like Hitler rely on instinct, and everyone knows how such games end ....
  8. Aleksandr_16 Offline Aleksandr_16
    Aleksandr_16 (Alexey Lavrov) 27 February 2022 15: 36
    0
    God bless the warrior of the Russian army of any nationality and religion.