Sivkov explained why the invasion of the Russian army into Ukraine from Belarus is impossible


The US State Department and Ukrainian military intelligence are very preoccupied regular Russian-Belarusian exercises. They suggest that, under the pretext of maneuvers, Russia may launch an “attack” on Ukraine from the north, i.e. from the territory of Belarus. Neighboring Poland also expressed duty anxiety, linking what is happening with the migration crisis.


Russian military expert Konstantin Sivkov commented for the newspaper "Sight" the aforementioned fears of Russophobes. He noted that during the period of the Allied Resolve-2022 exercises, a maximum of 13 Russian servicemen and a limited number of weapons systems could hypothetically be on Belarusian soil. These are relatively small defensive maneuvers that do not pose any danger to neighboring countries at all.

It is impossible to carry out a serious invasion of Ukraine from the territory of Belarus with forces not exceeding 13 thousand people, so the statement of the US State Department is incompetent

- says the doctor of military sciences.

The expert clarified that from an operational point of view, it makes sense to launch an auxiliary strike from Belarus only if the main forces of the Ukrainian army begin active hostilities in the Donbas and get bogged down there.

Then it is quite reasonable to strike from the north in order to cut off the grouping of the armed forces of Ukraine in this direction from the main part of the army in order to further eliminate it

- he added.

Therefore, if Kiev does not start attacking the LPR and DPR, nothing will threaten it from the north. Moreover, all Russian units in Belarus are scattered (dispersed) over five training grounds and four airfields. Thus, it is impossible in principle to talk about an "offensive", since all these forces and means must first be collected, i.e. to carry out the concentration of troops, ensuring the compactness of deployment and the required density of fire in the intended direction. All this is not observed.

Sivkov stressed that the statements of the US State Department and the Main Intelligence Directorate of the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine are exclusively informational and propaganda in nature. Probably, the West itself is preparing to start a conflict with the Russian Federation and is engaged in "justification" of its future actions.
  • Photos used: TV Day/YouTube
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  1. gorenina91 Offline gorenina91
    gorenina91 (Irina) 20 January 2022 14: 33
    -4
    Sivkov explained why the invasion of the Russian army into Ukraine from Belarus is impossible

    - Of course, it is impossible ... - But not because of the small number of Russian troops on the territory of Belarus ...
    - But because ... that ... that Belarus loves Ukraine more than Russia (if there is love for Russia at all) ...
    - Now, if a Russian shock mobile military "contingent" was located on the territory of Belarus; which could act independently, without any "local approvals" and so on ... - then any invasion would be possible ...
    - And so (in today's scenario) - everything looks quite ridiculous ... - Yes, and there is a "probability" of that; that Belarus can "share plans" of Russia with beloved Ukraine ...
  2. boriz Offline boriz
    boriz (boriz) 20 January 2022 14: 51
    -1
    Not a single sober person would think of attacking Ukraine through Belarus, as it is drawn on the maps of Western "experts".
    These two countries are separated from each other by Polissya. In the summer of 1941 The 5th army of General Potapov drank a lot of blood from the Germans, acting from Polesie. And the Germans could not do anything with them. At the same time, Potapov was not at all bothered by the fact that to the north of him was Belarus, which the Germans had long passed, reaching the Bryansk region. Potapov was not afraid of a German attack from the rear. Polissya is impassable for large quantities of military equipment.
    The same is true now. Of course, the roads are paved, but they are easy to take control or just blow up the bridges.
    The Germans practically did not look in Polesie throughout the war. The width of Polissya from north to south is up to 300 km. People lived their lives there, partisans took refuge there.
    1. The comment was deleted.
  3. steelmaker Offline steelmaker
    steelmaker 20 January 2022 16: 19
    -3
    These are extracts from an order to issue more than 1000 military dry rations for 11 days to "complete a combat mission." A natural question arises - what kind of combat mission are almost 1100 people going to perform, 202 of whom are in the special forces battalion? Russia did not seem to be at war with anyone in March 2014, at least according to Russia itself. Nevertheless, both intervals fit perfectly into the dates of the operation to seize the Crimea,”

    https://ru.krymr.com/a/291
    Russia only needs to start, and all of Ukraine will be at the feet of Russia, without resistance!!!!! Ukraine is a "tidbit" - only mediocrity can refuse it!!!
    1. passing by Offline passing by
      passing by (passing by) 21 January 2022 09: 00
      -1
      go and get your urkaina. You can even become the head cook there. Russia does not need it.
  4. AND Offline AND
    AND 20 January 2022 16: 52
    -2
    Quote: steel maker
    “These are extracts from an order to issue more than 1000 military dry rations for 11 days to “perform a combat mission.” A natural question arises – what combat mission are almost 1100 people going to perform, 202 of whom are in a special forces battalion? Russia seems to be with no one did not fight in March 2014, at least according to Russia itself. Nevertheless, both intervals fit perfectly into the dates of the operation to seize the Crimea, "https://ru.krymr.com/a/291
    Russia only needs to start, and all of Ukraine will be at the feet of Russia, without resistance!!!!! Ukraine is a "tidbit" - only mediocrity can refuse it!!!

    Wow, how strong and patriotic, as if in the ranks of the first you will go to take Kiev ..
    1. steelmaker Offline steelmaker
      steelmaker 20 January 2022 17: 16
      -2
      Here is the purchased education and the huckster is immediately visible. How to trade the Motherland, so we ourselves with a mustache! And how to build something and take Kiev, so Steelworkers are needed. Who is in charge of our army? Shoigu or Steelworker? Can you guess three times?
  5. AND Offline AND
    AND 20 January 2022 19: 10
    -4
    Quote: steel maker
    Here is the purchased education and the huckster is immediately visible. How to trade the Motherland, so we ourselves with a mustache! And how to build something and take Kiev, so Steelworkers are needed. Who is in charge of our army? Shoigu or Steelworker? Can you guess three times?

    Your glory!!!
    Russia only needs to start, and all of Ukraine will be at the feet of Russia, without resistance!!!!! Ukraine is a "tidbit" - only mediocrity can refuse it!!!

    Forward and with a song, no one pulled you by the tongue. If such a patriot of the Russian Federation, write personally to Shoigu, I am sure you will be taken to the forefront in Kiev.