Consortium News: Conflict with Russia will not be like anything NATO forces have been preparing for

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Russia completed negotiations with NATO without apparent success, and some experts consider it possible to use force to resolve the contradictions that have arisen between the Russian Federation and the West. At the same time, according to experts from the Consortium News resource, the war could go according to a scenario unexpected for the Pentagon.

For now, time is on the side of the Western bloc as sanctions ease Russia and NATO builds up more and more strength. Therefore, if Moscow decides to take drastic measures, it will act clearly and quickly. The Russian Federation will not get involved in a long military adventure, as the United States did in Iraq and Afghanistan, and everything will be decided within a few days.



What will the conflict between Russia and NATO look like? It will be something unlike anything that NATO has been preparing for. Time is NATO's ally in any such conflict: time allows sanctions to weaken Russia's the economy. It also allows NATO to build up enough military power to match Russia's military power.

Russia knows this, and therefore any Russian step will be swift and decisive.

First of all, when Russia decides to move into Ukraine, it will do so on the basis of a well-thought-out plan of action, for the successful implementation of which sufficient resources will be allocated. Russia will not engage in a military adventure in Ukraine that could drag on for years, like the US invasion of Afghanistan or Iraq.

You do not need to occupy the territory of the enemy in order to destroy it. A strategic air campaign aimed at negating certain capabilities of the enemy army, combined with a fast-paced ground campaign, is the likely course of action.

Given Russia's overwhelming air superiority backed up by precision-guided missile strikes, a strategic air campaign against Ukraine would accomplish in a few days what it took the US over a month against Iraq in 1991.

The destruction of the Ukrainian army on earth is practically guaranteed.

If the US tries to build up NATO forces on Russia's western borders, Moscow will threaten that the "Ukrainian model" will be applied to the Baltic states, Poland and even Finland if they are stupid enough to participate in this American provocation.

At the same time, Russia will not wait until the United States concentrates sufficient military power. It will simply destroy the enemy through a combination of air and ground campaigns in order to deprive the enemy country of the opportunity to wage war. Russia does not need to occupy the territory of the NATO countries for any long period at all - it is enough just to destroy the enemy military forces near its borders.

And here's the thing: except for the use of nuclear weapons, there is nothing NATO can do to prevent this outcome. Militarily, NATO is only a shadow of itself. The once great armies of Europe had to disband their battle formations in order to assemble battalion "task forces" in the Baltics and Poland. Russia, on the other hand, has recreated two very large formations - the 1st Guards Tank Army and the 20th Combined Arms Army, which specialize in offensive military operations in the depths of enemy defenses.
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  1. Blast
    Blast
    +4
    17 January 2022 17: 01
    Ukraine is generally a "bargaining chip", the fight is for the European Union. Common Economic Space from Lisbon to Vladivostok... forgotten? Russia can appoint Day H with the announcement of a strike on NATO facilities that, in its opinion, pose a danger and NATO will not respond with anything ... And if it does, then the army is already standing there. There are plenty of precedents, Israel strikes Iranian targets in Syria, for example, and nothing, no one is "buzzing".
    1. Valera75
      Valera75
      +6
      17 January 2022 18: 20
      I also have a suspicion that Russia can destroy with pinpoint strikes the places where the launchers are located in the countries of Europe, and after this I think the rollback to the borders of 97 will begin instantly. But if this happens, it will be as an extreme option, this is my opinion. the author writes:-

      Time is NATO's ally in any such conflict: time allows sanctions to weaken the Russian economy. It also allows NATO to build up enough military power to match Russia's military power.

      Only America can build up strength, since Europe, in principle, does not have its own armed forces, and sanctions, as we are told, are no longer in effect.
  2. Denis radish
    Denis radish
    0
    17 January 2022 21: 14
    it's all so obvious, but does anyone really think that the GDP will act obviously?
  3. Jacques sekavar
    Jacques sekavar
    -4
    17 January 2022 23: 40
    A small war can escalate into a big one and even a global one, and who needs it, no one, but the benefits of escalating psychosis are obvious.
    After the formidable statements of the Russian Federation, the refusal of Georgia and Ukraine to be admitted to NATO will be a formal victory for the Russian Federation.
    In fact, Georgia and Ukraine are associate members of NATO and this “association” will only deepen. Therefore, their official admission to NATO changes little in principle.
    Negotiations should resolve two issues - the PMR and the DPR-LPR.
    If the Russian Federation tries to restore the radar station in Cuba (Venezuela or Nicaragua), the Navy in Cam Ranh, or create something on the African continent, NATO has a wide choice of responses.
    Most likely, everyone will remain in their own interests in anticipation of 2024.
  4. shinobi
    shinobi
    +2
    18 January 2022 09: 52
    Funny reading. Without the USA, NATO, the choir of church boys. The USA clearly, clearly and unequivocally made it clear to everyone that they are not ready to fight with Russia and will not be in principle. The question arises about the adequacy of all the hacks on the topic.
  5. Pishenkov
    Pishenkov
    +3
    18 January 2022 16: 39
    Have you woken up? Did you finally understand that there would be no tank wedges with infantry chains and, accordingly, the thousands of Russian coffins that some people expected so much? Can the entire Ukrainian Hitler Youth with their Faust Javelins wash their faces? Commendable. The level of understanding has risen slightly. But that's not quite the same... wink
    Everything will be even tougher. wink And no one will touch Estonia and Finland. And from US facilities in Europe, they may even be asked to withdraw personnel ... 5 minutes before the explosion ... Humanitarian bombing, as the GDP promised to act in an American way ... laughing
  6. Vasya Bayan
    Vasya Bayan
    +2
    19 January 2022 00: 37
    Everything will be, but not as the author and his Western masters would like. Another such trick, as Europe arranged for itself with gas, and there will be nothing to eat, and not only to accumulate forces against Russia.
  7. Krasstar
    Krasstar
    -1
    20 January 2022 09: 47
    There remains one question for the President, the heads of the Foreign Ministry and the Defense Ministry - what kind of damage to Russia they consider acceptable even if we use the designated toys locally. The answer is sure to come. So the US decision can be very simple - this was still taught in the USSR Armed Forces - if a soldier does not know what to do, then he should indicate a step on the spot. Here, NATO cannot be moved away from its threshold with SUMO-bellies, but if we state the views of our acceptable losses in a different way.
  8. Moray Boreas
    Moray Boreas
    0
    22 January 2022 23: 31
    USA IS CRUSHING. ®️2014.