Swedish press: Russia will not invade Ukraine because it fears Kiev's response


Russia cannot attack Ukraine because it fears the response of Kiev and the West, writes the Swedish newspaper Dagens Industri in its new article "Rysk svaghet och rädsla" ("Russian weakness and fear"). However, the publication acknowledges that sanctions can cost the West itself dearly.


At the beginning of the article, the opinion was voiced that although Moscow has everything ready for active action, the Russian Federation is in no hurry to attack the territory of its neighbor. There are several reasons for this.

First, the publication suggests that Russia is in awe of Ukraine's military might, which has now grown so strong that it is capable of threatening not only Donbass, but allegedly even the Crimean peninsula itself.

In particular, a sensational example is given of the use by Kiev of Turkish attack drones, which had previously shown themselves in Nagorno-Karabakh.

In addition, Dagens Industri recalls that the United States, NATO, as well as Sweden (not part of NATO), have provided comprehensive assistance to Ukraine all these years.

Even a small country can inflict a defeat on a big one, so sensitive that it affects Russian public opinion. An unsuccessful adventure or a war that will require a lot of time and heavy losses will cost the Putin regime dearly. Increasingly powerful defense of Ukraine is the factor that deters the war

- noted in the text.

Another limiting factor, as stated in the publication, are the possible economic restrictions and sanctions.

Russia has never been able to modernize its economy since the Cold War, especially when compared to China. The world does not know a single major Russian brand, not a single high-tech product manufactured in the Russian Federation. If the Russian economy collapses, the outside world will run out of natural gas, but only

– is noted with contempt in an article in a Swedish newspaper.

At the same time, it is noted that if Russian banks suddenly find themselves isolated from the SWIFT financial transfer system, then all trade in Russian oil and gas will be suspended, which will cause an even more acute crisis in energy prices in the EU. At least at the first stage.

Also, disconnecting Russia from SWIFT is fraught with an increase in the importance and status of the Chinese system of cross-border interbank payments.

The West will lose greatly if China is perceived as a more reliable and stable intermediary for international transactions. And dominance in international economic institutions will begin to shift towards the PRC.
  • Photos used: https://www.facebook.com/GeneralStaff.ua
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  1. Bulanov Offline Bulanov
    Bulanov (Vladimir) 18 January 2022 08: 36
    +2
    It hurts to talk about it, but Ukraine will be forced to buy flour not from Russia and Belarus, but from Turkey. It is Turkish flour, paradoxical as it sounds, that will be made from Ukrainian wheat, which was also exported there in 2021," the director general of Ukrkhlebprom notes.

    Maybe Russia is afraid that it will have to feed the people of Ukraine, because. her government sold all the grain abroad. And if the Russian Federation does not attack and, accordingly, does not feed the population of Ukraine, then it will be accused of organizing a famine in Ukraine. And what should Russia do now? To attack or not to attack? That's what they think.
    1. tagil Offline tagil
      tagil (Sergei) 18 January 2022 11: 58
      +1

      Send them to the owners, let the dads feed.
  2. Crunch Offline Crunch
    Crunch (Crunch) 18 January 2022 09: 29
    +1
    Quote: Bulanov
    It hurts to talk about it, but Ukraine will be forced to buy flour not from Russia and Belarus, but from Turkey. It is Turkish flour, paradoxical as it sounds, that will be made from Ukrainian wheat, which was also exported there in 2021," the director general of Ukrkhlebprom notes.

    Maybe Russia is afraid that it will have to feed the people of Ukraine, because. her government sold all the grain abroad. And if the Russian Federation does not attack and, accordingly, does not feed the population of Ukraine, then it will be accused of organizing a famine in Ukraine. And what should Russia do now? To attack or not to attack? That's what they think.

    Why are you talking so petty? Not only bread. But absolutely everything will have to be restored, starting from the Dneproges. Kharkov tractor, Dnepropetrovsk rocket production, shipbuilding .... Let the Ukrainians rejoice that we do not bill for the Crimea, which they polluted and ruined. But 2 million fellow citizens to support and 40 million are two big differences. We will wait until more people run away from Ukraine and it will be easier and cheaper to work with the rest.
  3. neri73-rs Offline neri73-rs
    neri73-rs (Sergei) 18 January 2022 09: 33
    +4
    The author from Sweden is a fabulous ram!
  4. Vladimir Golubenko (Vladimir Golubenko) 18 January 2022 10: 00
    +4
    Amazing ignorance of the Russian mentality. With such analysts, Europe will lose to Russia with a bang!
  5. was-witek Offline was-witek
    was-witek (Victor) 18 January 2022 11: 45
    +1
    How primitive they think! Lord ..... Are they all stupid, they can’t understand Russia in any way ... Russia, if necessary, will not even enter, everything will be finished in 2 days ...
  6. Siberian southerner (Sergey A) 18 January 2022 13: 36
    0
    repeat And what is Ukraine?
  7. Alexfly Offline Alexfly
    Alexfly (Alexander) 18 January 2022 19: 00
    +1
    Well, then the Swedish brand IKEA will most likely collapse as well, who will chop wood for them at the right prices?
  8. Astronaut Offline Astronaut
    Astronaut (San Sanych) 19 January 2022 01: 43
    +1
    At the mention of "Russian fear" I remembered Poltava ... laughing