Is the revival of Greater Russia coming in 2022?


We live in "interesting" times. The ones from the ancient Chinese curse. Looking at recent years, hardly anyone will dare to argue with this. Nevertheless, even in an era of general chaos and the collapse of foundations, it is important to “see the forest for the trees” and distinguish the situational aspects of geopolitics from the strategic ones.


It is already clear that 2022 will be a special year for the world. And the point here is not so much in the consequences of the pandemic and international tension, but in that ever-growing hum of the wheel of history, which is already simply physically felt in the air. Too many events occur almost simultaneously in the geopolitical arena, international circumstances change too quickly, and the cost of a mistake becomes too high.

The division of the world into camps and the threat of a new world war


The geopolitical "chessboard" that had been lying in the far drawer of the table during the last decade of the 2.0th century and the first decade of the XNUMXst, is now on the table again. And the figures on it are almost arranged. China, with a confident gait, moving towards occupying a place in the world that befits its development. The United States, clinging to the illusions of the past and uniting around itself the Anglo-Saxons and "nuclear" satellites of the present, desperately not wanting to lose its hegemonic status. The old world, once again assembling another pan-European Tower of Babel - European Union XNUMX, which may not have a human face, but is ready to be strengthened by a single army and navy. And even Turkey, despite catastrophic inflation and problems in the economy, is already openly dreaming of the ideas of Pan-Turkism, striving to unite the Turkic-speaking states under his leadership and questioning even the principles of the UN, in the Security Council of which she so wants to get. Moreover, Azerbaijan's support in the recent Karabakh war and the announced plans to create a unified Turkish-Azerbaijani army clearly signal that Ankara's intentions are extremely serious.

One way or another, but all are integrated. Divided into camps: friends and foes. And if we ignore the details, then in terms of the general mood, the situation is now extremely reminiscent of the beginning of the last century and the eve of the First World War. The tension between the parties has escalated so much that it becomes almost impossible to determine at what point a new clash will occur. All signs indicate that the world is facing another big "mess" and a new global redistribution. With the only amendment that the factor of nuclear weapons makes a direct military conflict between the countries that possess them a suicide, so that there will most likely not be a "hot" world war. Well, or at least the parties will try very hard to prevent this from happening. It is no coincidence that in the first week of the new year the leaders of Russia, China, Great Britain, the United States and France issued a joint statement on the inadmissibility of the use of nuclear weapons. In fact, it was a clear signal to the world: do not be afraid, even if something starts, no one will try to bring it to mutual annihilation.

Geopolitical "matryoshka" in the post-Soviet space


The threat of a collision at all times required a clear understanding of who your friend is and from whom you can expect help. If you look at the current arrangement of numerous interstate unions and agreements on political the map of the world, the situation in the post-Soviet space immediately catches the eye. The catastrophe of 1991 drove through the territory of the USSR as an asphalt roller, quarreling a number of Union republics and destroying the ties formed for centuries in numerous wars and conflicts. Nevertheless, the established structures of the CIS, the EAEU, and in particular the CSTO, nevertheless played their stabilizing role, which was proved by the recent events in Kazakhstan. However, if their member countries existed within the framework of closer integration, it is obvious that such a situation could in principle be avoided.

Speaking about the new post-Soviet integration, the first thing that comes to mind is the situation around the unification of Russia and Belarus. The union state of the two countries will soon turn 23 years old, and the agreement on its creation was signed in the last century - on December 8, 1999. Over the past decades, the integration process has either stopped or resumed with renewed vigor. And yet the final formation of a unified country today looks more like a matter of time. Although, of course, an extremely curious dual situation arises here. On the one hand, Russia and Belarus are integrating into a single Union State. On the other hand, there are Armenia, Kazakhstan and Kyrgyzstan, which, together with Russia and Belarus, are members of the EAEU. On the third hand, there is also the CSTO, which, in addition to all the EAEU members, also includes Tajikistan. At the same time, at the same time, all of the above countries are also active members of the CIS. At first glance, this whole geopolitical "nesting doll" is certainly extremely difficult to perceive. However, objectively, it is precisely this that should become the structural "framework" on which further integration ideas will be built up. After all, having full-fledged mutual integration at the political (CIS), economic (EAEU) and military (CSTO) levels, the only thing that remains is to re-sew all these countries into a single space, finally securing the union at the state level. At least within the framework of soft integration, following the example of the EU.

After all, the unification of the post-Soviet republics is in one way or another beneficial to all our countries. In conditions when the big players around are accelerating the integration processes, to remain disconnected means to doom oneself to a knowingly losing position. The EU today is actually building its neo-European empire on the bones of the social bloc and the USSR. The US is expanding its military presence as much as possible through NATO and new military alliances in the Pacific. Turkey is openly destabilizing the situation in the Middle East and the post-Soviet space, supporting the outbreak of new conflicts. And none of these players has the slightest warm feelings for Russia. All only want to snatch and destroy, sow discord and ignite a fire. Someone using methods of hybrid warfare, while others are quite real. It is important for them that it rattles anywhere, but not at their place. Protests and color revolutions, riots and outright violence: robberies and murders - all the tools are used. In such a situation, Russia and the countries around it need consolidation and unification more than ever. It can be called both the Russian and the Eurasian Union, the name and symbols are a secondary issue. It is important that there is a new union. Important to all of us. So that the hostile forces clearly understand that they have nothing to catch here and the trend for disintegration, which emerged in the early 1990s, is finally broken. Today, everything seems to indicate that the historic Greater Russia must be reborn again. Not because it supports the imperial idea, but because going through difficult times together will be much easier than separately.

Yet there is a certain symbolism in that, on December 30 of this year, it will be 100 years since the founding of the USSR - the world's greatest and the only socialist superpower of its kind. By common sense, the anniversary is too loud to pass by. As you know, history always moves in a spiral, and today external circumstances themselves are pushing Russia and the countries of the former Soviet Union to show that together we are still strong. It is not for nothing that American diplomats in recent months, at every opportunity, have spoken out about the threat of the revival of the USSR. Fear. Remember. So we are doing everything right.
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  1. alzash Offline alzash
    alzash (Alexander) 13 January 2022 19: 31
    +4
    It would be great...
    1. Rusa Offline Rusa
      Rusa 14 January 2022 16: 41
      0
      Yes, good analysis. I support the author.
  2. Captain stoner Offline Captain stoner
    Captain stoner (Captain Stoner) 13 January 2022 20: 20
    -8
    I did not read.
    The range of fluctuations in the dollar rate for today is from 74.31 to 76.60. The Mosbirzh index fell by more than 2% per day ...
    This is a much more accurate indicator of the "health of Putinomics" than arguments about the inevitability of the victory of the world revolution.
    1. 123 Offline 123
      123 (123) 13 January 2022 21: 13
      +5
      Inflation in Russia is 8,39%, in the USA -7%, it looks like Bidenomics or Trumponomics has not gone far.
      With indicators ... they are yes Follow the link below winked
      https://twitter.com/search?q=%23BareShelvesBiden

      1. alexneg13 Offline alexneg13
        alexneg13 (Alexander) 13 January 2022 22: 39
        -1
        Inflation in the USA (shakalonomics) 7%. And then, this is only for consumer goods, and for industrial goods it has already exceeded the 20% barrier, and they cannot and will not be able to do anything with this until May.
    2. Captain stoner Offline Captain stoner
      Captain stoner (Captain Stoner) 13 January 2022 21: 35
      -11
      The Moscow Exchange index fell by more than 2% amid statements about negotiations with NATO. The Russian stock market is losing more than 2% against the backdrop of statements by diplomats and politicians about the results of the Russia-NATO Council talks. The Moscow Exchange index during trading on January 13 is reduced by more than 2%, according to the data of the site.
      1. alexneg13 Offline alexneg13
        alexneg13 (Alexander) 13 January 2022 22: 44
        -1
        And the Crimeans fled from you and soon the Donbass.
        1. Energetik42 Offline Energetik42
          Energetik42 (Energetik42) 30 January 2022 21: 45
          -1
          Until 2013, the bulk of the Donbass residents went to work in the Russian Federation, now even from the territory of ORDLO they are trying to go to the EU, to the same Poland ... So your attempt to hook Ukraine looks rather pathetic laughing
    3. Captain stoner Offline Captain stoner
      Captain stoner (Captain Stoner) 13 January 2022 21: 41
      -8
      What kind of inflation to expect by the end of 2021 - according to Rosstat forecasts and in fact.

      It is also very curious that the prices from checks today differ from last year's much more than in the reports officially cited by Rosstat. And in different versions real inflation on food products varies in the range of 9,6-20%. And this is despite the drop in the incomes of Russians to a new historical minimum over the past decade and all the attempts of the authorities to restrain the internal rise in prices. It turns out, that real inflation exceeds actual inflation by more than 2,5 times, which is also supported by numerous polls of citizens... At the same time, a clear inconsistency is also observed in the official statements of representatives of the Central Bank of the Russian Federation, according to which Russians' expenses for food amount to about 37%.

      However, according to the assurances of almost a third of the respondents, they only have enough for food, while 10% admitted that they do not even have enough for food.

      In general, it will not be so easy to understand these Augean stables in the world of finance, especially if you take into account the opinion of authoritative experts who believe that real inflation has long been out of control of the regulator, being unpredictable and difficult to predict.
      1. passing by Offline passing by
        passing by (passing by) 13 January 2022 22: 03
        -1
        Russian President Vladimir Putin is smarter than most politicians in the world. This was stated by the former senior assistant to US Presidents John F. Kennedy and Richard Nixon Harald Malmgren to the British portal Unherd.

        As Malmgren, who once personally met with Putin, noted, the head of the Russian state seemed to him a smarter person than most of the world's political figures whom he had met during his long years in the US administration. According to Malmgren, Putin came to power just at a time when Russia most needed a strong leader.

        Malmgren stressed that the Russian president has "something that is not visible at first glance." According to the Kennedy adviser, the West misunderstands Putin.
        1. Captain stoner Offline Captain stoner
          Captain stoner (Captain Stoner) 13 January 2022 22: 34
          -3
          This Malmgren simply does not live in Russia.
          And who knows who said what? Many Ukrainians or Moldovans also believe that Putin is much better than Zelensky or Sandu, but this does not mean that Putin is a great ruler.
          1. boriz Offline boriz
            boriz (boriz) 14 January 2022 00: 51
            +1
            Amazing unanimity. I live in Russia and I consider Putin the strongest politician of our time.
            And in order to compare the situation in Russia and the United States, it is better to ask those who live in the United States and feel this situation on their own skin. https://t.me/sanya_florida/1852 this is Sanya in Florida. You can listen to "Law & Order" by Steve Dudnik.
            US industrial inflation has exceeded 25% since October. Consumer inflation 7% - drawn. Moreover, this inflation is not only structural, but also monetary in nature. Therefore, a simple infusion of drawn money (in any amount) cannot correct the situation.
            1. boriz Offline boriz
              boriz (boriz) 14 January 2022 01: 41
              -1
              Moreover, this inflation is not only structural, but also monetary in nature.

              I'm sorry. That's right: "not only monetary, but also structural."
            2. Captain stoner Offline Captain stoner
              Captain stoner (Captain Stoner) 14 January 2022 09: 06
              0
              And what do you pristebatsya to those USA? Teams are thrown off you from above, whom to pour mud on? Whom to praise, you know for sure.

              But for some reason, everyone from Russia is trying to leave for the same USA. And in reverse order - this one, damn it, how is it? - Snowden. Shout louder how bad it is there, the more people will leave Russia there. And first of all, your former and current ministers like Lesin.
              1. Bulanov Offline Bulanov
                Bulanov (Vladimir) 14 January 2022 09: 31
                -2
                But for some reason, everyone from Russia is trying to leave for the same USA

                Already many who have moved to America are fusing their children back to Russia so that they can finish school here.
                1. Captain stoner Offline Captain stoner
                  Captain stoner (Captain Stoner) 14 January 2022 18: 34
                  -1
                  Tell these tales to your grandchildren, maybe they will believe.
              2. boriz Offline boriz
                boriz (boriz) 14 January 2022 13: 57
                -2
                And what do you pristebatsya to those USA?

                And who likes those who rob him?
                1. Captain stoner Offline Captain stoner
                  Captain stoner (Captain Stoner) 14 January 2022 18: 38
                  0
                  Who personally robbed you? Biden?
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              3. Ulysses Online Ulysses
                Ulysses (Alexey) 14 January 2022 22: 04
                +2
                But for some reason, everyone from Russia is trying to leave for the same USA.

                After this phrase, you usually understand that in front of you is either a brainwashed Russophobe, or another "fighter of the invisible front"
              4. Energetik42 Offline Energetik42
                Energetik42 (Energetik42) 30 January 2022 21: 48
                -1
                Dear Captain, such comrades have such a job to tell the population how bad it is in the USA, but they prefer to receive their salary in these vile, damned, dirty green pieces of paper with portraits of dead American presidents
      2. 123 Offline 123
        123 (123) 14 January 2022 00: 10
        0
        Housing, water, electricity, gas and other fuels in Europe. As it is not difficult to see, growth is above the rate of inflation (in brackets)

        Latvia - 14,8% (7,4%)
        Greece - 18,1% (4,0%)
        Italy - 20,6% (3,9%)
        Belgium - 26,5% (7,1%)
        Spain - 16,6% (5,5%)
        Lithuania - 19,5% (9,3%)
        Estonia - 21,4% (8,6%)

        https://www.euro-area-statistics.org/digital-publication/statistics-insights-inflation/bloc-1b.html?lang=en

        Energy poverty in Europe is a serious problem: the proportion of people who said they cannot afford to heat their home sufficiently is high in many EU countries, including Bulgaria (30,1%), Lithuania (26,7%), Cyprus ( 21,0%). , Portugal (18,9%), Greece (17,9%) and Italy (11,1%). This price increase will have social and economic consequences.

        https://www.bruegel.org/2021/09/is-europes-gas-and-electricity-price-surge-a-one-off/
  3. AND Offline AND
    AND 13 January 2022 22: 01
    -2
    Quote: Captain Stoner
    What kind of inflation to expect by the end of 2021 - according to Rosstat forecasts and in fact.

    It is also very curious that the prices from checks today differ from last year's much more than in the reports officially cited by Rosstat. And in different versions real inflation on food products varies in the range of 9,6-20%. And this is despite the drop in the incomes of Russians to a new historical minimum over the past decade and all the attempts of the authorities to restrain the internal rise in prices. It turns out, that real inflation exceeds actual inflation by more than 2,5 times, which is also supported by numerous polls of citizens... At the same time, a clear inconsistency is also observed in the official statements of representatives of the Central Bank of the Russian Federation, according to which Russians' expenses for food amount to about 37%.

    However, according to the assurances of almost a third of the respondents, they only have enough for food, while 10% admitted that they do not even have enough for food.

    In general, it will not be so easy to understand these Augean stables in the world of finance, especially if you take into account the opinion of authoritative experts who believe that real inflation has long been out of control of the regulator, being unpredictable and difficult to predict.

    They are so smart and free. Urgently go home to America, they are waiting. You speak well, only here you always have one topic here - a euro-propagandist.
    1. isofat Offline isofat
      isofat (isofat) 13 January 2022 22: 25
      -3
      Let them be around, so calm. laughing
    2. Captain stoner Offline Captain stoner
      Captain stoner (Captain Stoner) 13 January 2022 22: 36
      -5
      You better blurt something out on the topic, for example, try to refute the given figures. Not sure it's going to happen.
  4. Mikhail L. Offline Mikhail L.
    Mikhail L. 13 January 2022 22: 05
    +1
    In 2022, the revival of Greater Russia will not follow!
    If, with all the efforts: it is not possible to marry "non-oligarchic" Russia with almost socialist Belarus into the Union State, then how can the Family of "former" ... reaching out to rich China and the West be added to them?
    Without accelerated economic development: the Russian Federation has no chance of becoming a center of gravity for the post-Soviet republics!
  5. Sergey Latyshev Offline Sergey Latyshev
    Sergey Latyshev (Serge) 13 January 2022 22: 31
    +1
    Lots of smart words. What did the humpbacked man suffer so much?

    Kazakhstan - the poor are robbing stores. Neighbors also froze in readiness ..
    Belarus - Old Man attributed to himself% and sits on bayonets.
    Russia - money is pumped from the population and withdrawn abroad. Like gold, etc.

    With this, empty promises, and halo-like ramblings in the style of Surkov, "Greater Russia" cannot be raised.
  6. boriz Offline boriz
    boriz (boriz) 14 January 2022 00: 57
    +1
    In fact, everything is simple. Currency zones are being formed. The borders have already been roughly cut and even recognized... This is clearly seen in the actions of the CSTO in Kazakhstan and the reaction to them in the world. And earlier - on the actions of the Russian Federation in Karabakh.
    It does not mean at all that all these countries will be included in the SG. I admit that, except for Belarus and some parts of other states, no one else will enter there. It's just that Russia doesn't need it. Considering the experience of the USSR.
    1. Captain stoner Offline Captain stoner
      Captain stoner (Captain Stoner) 14 January 2022 18: 56
      -1
      I admit that, except for Belarus and some parts of other states, no one else will enter there. It's just that Russia doesn't need it.

      This is just a wonderful phrase. Whatever the word, then nonsense:

      1) You don’t want to ask the inhabitants of Belarus (that’s how it is in Russian), or the inhabitants of “some parts of other states”, but do they want to enter somewhere? But now you will be yelling here that they are sleeping and see how to stick to Russia, signing for them all, "according to their wishes."

      2) The most important Russian has not been able to say for sure for 22 years, but what does Russia need? Even he can't articulate it. And a certain Kaluga nugget, a beacon, a giant of thought, knows what Russia needs and what will be superfluous for it.

      3) "I admit ...", - boriz utters, wrinkling his forehead and modestly averting his eyes to the side.
      1. boriz Offline boriz
        boriz (boriz) 14 January 2022 21: 05
        -2
        I'm sorry to upset you, but Belarus has long been in the SG. Since the last millennium. It's just that now this association is moving forward.
        When there is nothing to eat, many will ask not only for the SG, at least for the zone.

        The main Russian for the time being cannot say much about anything. Work is like that.
        There are many people smarter than me who predicted many things 20 years ago. Even 2 years ago, they laughed at this here. Now it's obvious.

        In general, here people express their opinions. And discusses them. Yes, I really hope that the Baltic states will remain superfluous in the Russian zone. That Ukraine, that the Baltic states - plundered and destroyed territories. Russia definitely does not need to restore industry there and feed the pensioners there. You don't need to be very smart here. If your mind is not enough for this - your problems.

        If in your country a free exchange of opinions is not accepted, well, then don’t meddle here, boil in your ...
        No need to splash around with saliva and bile.
    2. EMMM Offline EMMM
      EMMM 15 January 2022 19: 50
      0
      Yes, Russia will no longer be economically sustainable.
  7. Siegfried Offline Siegfried
    Siegfried (Gennady) 14 January 2022 02: 24
    +3
    don't underestimate enemies. First of all, Russia needs to overcome its ever-growing technological backwardness. This is the only way we can stay afloat. The lag is so critical that it is already a matter of national security. Most of all worried about the VKS (radars, electronic warfare, missile seeker), the level of electronic warfare in general (no illusions are needed from that number of systems in the army. In reality, our electronic warfare has not yet familiarized itself with the western one), the ability to conduct network-centric operations in the face of enemy opposition and the ability to influence, too. most of the enemies. There are brains in Russia, but in key segments (microelectronics, for example) there is no environment for them to work and develop. Therefore, brains float to the west. It seems that Russia should set a condition to China - a substantial transfer of technologies in exchange for guarantees of the priority of energy supplies and everything that Russia can offer to China. China is the only country that can offer Russia technologies that, more precisely, cannot be banned. It is in China's interest. If Russia cannot withstand the pressure of the West due to its technological lag, the country will simply be forced to become part of the West on their terms. China will lose such an important, strong, independent friend and ally.
    1. EMMM Offline EMMM
      EMMM 15 January 2022 19: 53
      +1
      In reality, our electronic warfare has not yet met with Western

      And why did our "partners" complain about the failure of the avionics when approaching the Kerch bridge?
  8. AND Offline AND
    AND 14 January 2022 12: 05
    -3
    Quote: Siegfried
    don't underestimate enemies. First of all, Russia needs to overcome its ever-growing technological backwardness. This is the only way we can stay afloat. The lag is so critical that it is already a matter of national security. Most of all worried about the VKS (radars, electronic warfare, missile seeker), the level of electronic warfare in general (no illusions are needed from that number of systems in the army. In reality, our electronic warfare has not yet familiarized itself with the western one), the ability to conduct network-centric operations in the face of enemy opposition and the ability to influence, too. most of the enemies. There are brains in Russia, but in key segments (microelectronics, for example) there is no environment for them to work and develop. Therefore, brains float to the west. It seems that Russia should set a condition to China - a substantial transfer of technologies in exchange for guarantees of the priority of energy supplies and everything that Russia can offer to China. China is the only country that can offer Russia technologies that, more precisely, cannot be banned. It is in China's interest. If Russia cannot withstand the pressure of the West due to its technological lag, the country will simply be forced to become part of the West on their terms. China will lose such an important, strong, independent friend and ally.

    Russia will be able to resist the pressure of the West only together with China, in this alliance there will be no technological backwardness of Russia. Europe and America themselves are pushing them towards each other, there are no other options yet.
  9. Ivanov Victor Offline Ivanov Victor
    Ivanov Victor (Victor) 15 January 2022 06: 15
    0
    Everything goes to the USSR 2.0
    MOST will take it with enthusiasm.
    Will the 100th anniversary be celebrated this way? It would be beautiful and symbolic. The chance for this is high.
    And besides Belarus, the presence of the more disastrous territories of Ukraine and Kazakhstan suggests itself.
    Such a union will no longer be just symbolic, but a qualitative leap towards the restoration of space.
    Much has been said that the USSR should not be restored, but it collapsed.
    What is not worth it is to make mistakes that led to this. Today, it is quite capable of understanding this and bypassing the rake placed.
    Everything is ripe for this action, including the west.
    As for spirals and analogies, they are not just there, but today it is possible to mathematically calculate and explain all cycles and their phases and everything connected with them.
    Proceeding from this approach (the theory of social development of the TOP), the period of the collapse of the current world order continues, making room for a new system of relations.
    The phases are determined in time: the rupture of macropolitical ties and the dismantling of international institutions since 2013 / since 1916 / since 1759 / since ... dismantling of monetary, financial and economic ties and relations since 2021 / since 1929 / since the 1770s / ... dismantling social relations since 2024 / since 1934 / since 1788 / ... completion of the change in the management functionality, model and ruling class since 2026 / since 1937 / since 1793 / ... redistribution of the world by new formations in the hot phase from 2026 to 2031 / from 1937 to 1945 / from 1788 to 1806/...
    Isn't it true that there are so many familiar dates, but among these laziness, one can legitimately draw another 1776 ... 1922 ... (?) 2022
    From this approach, this series of events is no longer random, since it is precisely the weakening of political ties, against the backdrop of increased economic pressure, that lead to the possibility of colonies step by step to increase the movement towards independence and the formation of a new state on this basis in difficult conditions, which at the same time serve as protection from the attack of the metropolis.
    So, whether the reunion will take place exactly on December 30, 2022 is not yet completely clear. But it is finally clear that independence has been established and the union state will soon be!
    This will not free us from the onset of the crisis and from hot redistribution a little later. However, the intensity and losses are likely to be significantly lower.
    As for the fear of the concept of Soviet and socialist, history has a clear sequence that claims that this path is the main one, and we are approaching another important milestone.
    So we will build the Russian macro-region within the framework of the new sociality.
    A little earlier, a little later.