Roberts: Kremlin makes one last attempt at a good deal with the United States


The situation in relations with Russia is much more dangerous than it seems at first glance. The reason is that the US-Russian conflict, revived in the 21st century by neoconservatives and the US military power bloc, is much more serious than the Cold War of the 20th century.


I was sort of a Cold War veteran as a member of The Committee on the Present Danger (CPD). The real danger was the Soviet Union, and the members of the committee made sure that the situation did not get out of control. We pursued specific goals. One was that the Soviets should not gain military superiority over the United States. The second goal is that tensions between the nuclear powers should not imply a sharp escalation.

During the Cold War, there was a heated debate in the foreign policy community. There were competent analysts, such as Stephen Cohen, who also reminded us of the existence of the Soviet point of view, not just the American one. Even our committee, being inherently anti-Soviet, included experts who considered this or that issue from different angles.

There is no debate today. There is no foreign policy community. There is only a bunch of Russophobes who see nothing but malicious intent in the actions of the Kremlin, and nothing but good in the actions of Washington. The likes of Stephen Cohen and others like him helped maintain a balance of opinion. Now these people are dead.

Consequently, Washington is unable to understand Russia's fears. As Scott Ritter (a former UN weapons of mass destruction inspector in Iraq who opposed the coalition invasion) recently wrote: "It seems that both Biden and Blinken are deaf, dumb and blind when it comes to discussing Russia."

You can see how deaf, dumb and blind Washington is just by looking at who Biden's national security adviser turned to for advice on organizing talks with Moscow about its concerns. Let me remind you that the negotiations are being conducted because Russia feels a threat to its security due to the emerging ring of American bases near its borders. So what did Biden's advisor do? He turned to Michael McFaul, a notorious Russophobe, former ambassador of President Obama to Russia. McFaul's advice was to raise the stakes by sending more weapons to Ukraine. In other words, to make the Kremlin feel even more in danger. Brilliant advice.

The Kremlin has been trying to get Washington to heed Russia's opinion for years. The current negotiations, I believe, are Moscow's last attempt. At the same time, I believe that the Kremlin does not believe in the success of these meetings, and simply intends to receive more confirmation that Washington absolutely does not care about Russia's fears about its security.

In other words, when one side is not listening, the other side simply has no one to talk to. This disappointment has been building up in the Kremlin for years. All that Moscow has heard from Washington is: "You are wrong, and we are right."

The situation among the US elites is such that anyone who tries to consider the Russian point of view is considered an "agent of the Kremlin." President Trump has come under investigation as a Russian agent for wanting to normalize relations with Moscow. By the beginning of the Trump presidency, all arms control agreements reached in previous decades had been eliminated by Washington, and the American president could no longer work to reduce tensions with Russia. The desire to have good relations with Moscow was called a betrayal of American interests.

This is a tribute to the patience and hope of Russians, who continue to insist on a peaceful solution to pressing issues, despite the abundance of evidence that this is unlikely to be achieved.

This leaves Russia with only two options: either surrender and accept American hegemony, or push NATO back from its borders by force. The situation is dangerous because the Kremlin has come to the obvious conclusion that the likelihood of a nuclear war is much higher than it was in 1997, when NATO had not yet come close to Russia's borders.
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  1. Alexey Davydov (Alexey) 13 January 2022 13: 17
    +10
    Paul Craig's words are corroborated by the latest reports from the States.
    Nuland recently invited Finland and Sweden to join NATO as well.
    NATO is actually ready to respond to our ultimatum, or is already responding with its own ultimatum.
    Why is this happening?
    Our confrontation with the States (including their instrument - NATO) is expressed by the following scheme:
    1. Until our ultimatum:
    - The states are gradually tightening the "noose" around our neck
    - We declare our concerns and "red lines"
    The States were fine with this situation.
    2. After our ultimatum, the situation looks like this:
    - The states continue to gradually tighten the "noose" around our neck
    - We declare our demands and military-technical threats
    3. After the transition to military-technical threats, the situation will look like this:
    - The States will accelerate the tightening of the "stranglehold" around our neck, accept new NATO members on an accelerated basis, and take part in the arms race and the creation of military-technical threats, their military-industrial complex will gladly capitalize on this
    - We will try our best to withstand the confrontation in the creation of military-technical threats
    “The world at this time will become more and more dangerous and unpredictable. As danger and unpredictability increase, the world as a state will rapidly depreciate.
    - The side that fails the race first will be forced to surrender, or go to the "hot" phase, i.e. to war. In a world in which the world will already be devalued, this will happen easily and imperceptibly.
    Thus, this is the path of sliding towards a GUARANTEED global war.
    What is the "root" of this situation?
    It lies in the fact that both sides, and above all, the Americans, in this version "to the last" can live in the old, peaceful reality. This allows them, to the last, not to take seriously the price that will have to be paid in the war.
    It is not for nothing that the Americans, as a mantra, mainly for themselves, are repeating the threat of our offensive in Ukraine, and not a blow to them. This is also facilitated by the joint statement of the "nuclear five" on the prevention of nuclear war.
    We need ANOTHER ANOTHER from the Americans.
    We need them NOW to realize the price they will have to pay.
    Therefore, you need a DIFFERENT OPTION.
    It is necessary to declare our withdrawal from the joint statement of the "nuclear five" (regardless of China's opinion).
    Declare readiness to start a nuclear war against the United States and its NATO allies.
    It is necessary to make one, go several warning shots with nuclear weapons at our ranges. You may need a warning shot at a deserted island, or at a training ground in Nevada.
    The states must move to another reality, understand that these are no longer threats. This is the war itself. But there is still a possibility to stop it.
    If they do not need a nuclear war on their territory, they will stop it.
    1. Valentine Offline Valentine
      Valentine (Valentin) 13 January 2022 14: 34
      -1
      Quote: Alexey Davydov
      Declare readiness to start a nuclear war against the United States and its NATO allies.
      It is necessary to make one, go several warning shots with nuclear weapons at our ranges. You may need a warning shot at a deserted island, or at a training ground in Nevada.

      And for this, we have very close by the former "sister" Ukraine, completely crazy and insane from Russophobia, with which we need to start, otherwise it will only go wild and go wild, claiming our lands, and this is already a direct and obvious threat to security of our state, and other lisping and "ultimatums" are deeply on the drum, but for now we will wait for an answer to this very "ultimatum", which ends on January 14, i.e. tomorrow, another 20-30 years .... "If there is a fight, then you have to hit first," and we, without even waving, do not know what to do next.
      1. Alexey Davydov (Alexey) 13 January 2022 14: 39
        +4
        No, Valentine, you should not "dodge" the point. Let's go to Ukraine now - get bogged down in it, and give a reprieve to the States. What they want.
        It is necessary to solve the problem of Ukraine by "bending" its owner. Let's bend the States - Ukraine will lose its meaning for the West.
        1. Valentine Offline Valentine
          Valentine (Valentin) 13 January 2022 14: 50
          -2
          The states with their pack, and together with Japan and Turkey, it is about one and a half billion people, we with our one hundred and fifty-six million population, together with Belarus, will not be able to "bend" them in any way - the potentials are too different, and not in our favor, so from This state can only come out when Chubais is our president, or when "the whole world is in dust" - who is in hell and who is in paradise.
          1. Alexey Davydov (Alexey) 13 January 2022 15: 01
            +5
            We will bend down, if life is dear to them, if not, we will destroy, we will do a godly deed. The Lord did not leave us any other way. His choice must be justified
      2. Alexey Davydov (Alexey) 13 January 2022 14: 58
        +2
        The Americans with their "threat of Russia's invasion of Ukraine" sometimes remind me of brother Rabbit from the Tales of Grandpa Remus - "Just don't throw me into this thorny bush!"
      3. Irina_Mimokhodova (Irina) 15 January 2022 16: 45
        +1
        In my opinion, we should not immediately resort to nuclear weapons. If suddenly our EW troops have the ability to burn out enemy electronics to a great depth of enemy defenses, then why not take advantage of this? And for the slow-witted, say: "Go back to the borders of 1997."
    2. Volkonsky Online Volkonsky
      Volkonsky (Vladimir) 13 January 2022 21: 13
      +2
      I agree, it is impossible to take Ukraine now - the states want to hang it on us and so that we get bogged down in a guerrilla war, they cannot wage real wars, only terrorist ones, the bandit underground in Ukraine has long been formed, caches with weapons have been created and the commanders are appointed, everyone is waiting for the hour X
    3. Submariner971 Offline Submariner971
      Submariner971 (Sergei) 14 January 2022 03: 39
      +1
      Tempting but not realistic. "Military-technical", as stated, but in fact the geopolitical answer, I see one - in the creation of a military alliance with China. Very soon V.V. will fly to the Olympics, there will be time to "create a canvas." Obviously, this is what led to negotiations with the West, in the timid hope that they would try to keep us... They probably expected the process to drag out, but not a counter-ultimatum with pushing us to Beijing. But there aren't many other options...
    4. Moray Boreas Offline Moray Boreas
      Moray Boreas (Morey Borey) 28 January 2022 09: 13
      0
      Excellent layout. Thanks to! I support!
  2. Yuri Bryanskiy Offline Yuri Bryanskiy
    Yuri Bryanskiy (Yuri Bryansky) 13 January 2022 15: 38
    0
    It's time to point the AI ​​to its place near the bucket
  3. AND Offline AND
    AND 13 January 2022 21: 08
    0
    V.V.P has a lot of options even without Ukraine. Only the blind cannot see them. Open the map and look... The most important thing is cold calculation. One Sarmat rocket to Poland and silence... What should Europe do with refugees? There will be no war against Russia on the charged territory of Poland. There are two mini flanks left, Ukraine with a small hole (passage) to Europe to the left, Lithuania, Latvia, Estonia to the right without a passage. Where should Ukrainians go to work and live? Lithuanians, Latvians, Estonians? What scares the US is that the Sarmat missile can carry ten nuclear warheads with a payload capacity of 750 kilotons each, which is the equivalent of 800 atomic bombs. It goes without saying that Washington does not have such weapons. Sanctions on submarine cables of the Internet and swift, tear them to shreds, stock exchanges and the dollar-euro will immediately grunt and silence, and at this moment cut off gas, oil and .....
  4. The comment was deleted.
  5. AND Offline AND
    AND 14 January 2022 08: 25
    0
    Nord Stream 2 has already been written about 100 times, it is not profitable at the moment for Russia with such prices. Putin is smart enough, it was a very good move, distracting and taking away the attention and strength of Europe and the United States. V.V.P has more important goals. This year everyone will see the skill and strength of the Grandmaster.
  6. Alexey Davydov (Alexey) 14 January 2022 09: 39
    0
    I will add one more, very important factor.
    When we analyze the processes taking place in the political and economic sphere, we often miss the factor of initiative of the elements of the analyzed object, which is inherent in any living system. A trend that has just appeared is beginning to attract supporters who see their interest in it and support its further consolidation and development.
    This process often occurs hidden from an uninvolved observer. It seems to him unexpected and spontaneous subsequent change of the whole system.
    In application to the problem of sliding into a global war, and the need to achieve adequacy from the Americans in any case, the consideration of this factor, in my opinion, should be as follows:
    We need to move as quickly as possible to the final phase of threats - the threat of nuclear war, ahead of the restructuring of processes in the world for war, the formation of forces interested in it.
    We cannot gradually slide into war. It is better to get ahead of events so that you can get out of this state.
    This is all we can REALLY do to avoid global nuclear war.
    1. Valentine Offline Valentine
      Valentine (Valentin) 14 January 2022 11: 46
      +1
      Quote: Alexey Davydov
      This is all we can REALLY do to avoid global nuclear war.

      With such an ultimatum that Putin gave to the collective EuroUSA, he must have some kind of powerful trump card up his sleeve, because. we can’t compete with conventional weapons, but they won’t fall for some kind of “gop-stop”, and we really need to convince them that if something happens, we will immediately use nuclear weapons, right up to America, and the lives of millions of people are already now they are worth nothing, and this is only for the "seed", so that the whole world "freezes" for 30-50 years, and digests what they have done - how to live on, if only this "further" comes, because oddly enough, the Yankees even after the bombing Hiroshima and Nagasaki are the best friends of the Japanese.
  7. AND Offline AND
    AND 14 January 2022 10: 48
    -1
    Quote: Alexey Davydov
    I will add one more, very important factor.
    When we analyze the processes taking place in the political and economic sphere, we often miss the factor of initiative of the elements of the analyzed object, which is inherent in any living system. A trend that has just appeared is beginning to attract supporters who see their interest in it and support its further consolidation and development.
    This process often occurs hidden from an uninvolved observer. It seems to him unexpected and spontaneous subsequent change of the whole system.
    In application to the problem of sliding into a global war, and the need to achieve adequacy from the Americans in any case, the consideration of this factor, in my opinion, should be as follows:
    We need to move as quickly as possible to the final phase of threats - the threat of nuclear war, ahead of the restructuring of processes in the world for war, the formation of forces interested in it.
    We cannot gradually slide into war. It is better to get ahead of events so that you can get out of this state.
    This is all we can REALLY do to avoid global nuclear war.

    Thank God, great experience in the KGB and political experience in office allows Putin to fully analyze very important factors and objects.
    1. Alexey Davydov (Alexey) 14 January 2022 12: 13
      0
      Reinforced concrete
  8. The comment was deleted.
  9. Alexey Davydov (Alexey) 17 January 2022 01: 32
    -1
    Trying to use the experience of the Caribbean crisis in the current, difficult situation, we must be clearly aware of what REALLY happened then.
    The small number of missiles deployed by the Americans (there were 15 in Turkey) and their short flight time (10 minutes) speaks of their purpose. These were the missiles of the first, "decapitating" strike, opening the way for the main nuclear strike against the USSR.
    Nowhere in the description of the Caribbean Crisis, neither in our country nor in the West, are the Tulip teachings mentioned.
    Meanwhile, according to the plan of these exercises, on September 8, 1962, two launches of R-14U ballistic missiles were carried out. One of them - with a nuclear warhead and an explosion of the warhead. The launch was carried out by the R-14U rocket at a distance of 3748 km from the Aginsky test site to the experimental field of the test site on Novaya Zemlya, across the whole country.
    Information about these teachings is available on the Internet in the public domain. There is also a declassified educational film about these exercises.
    It is noteworthy that it was on September 8, 1962 that the unloading of the first batch of missiles in Cuba began.
    This, of course, is not a coincidence. In fact, it was the world's first "warning shot" of a nuclear weapon.
    Our success in the Caribbean crisis was not obtained simply by the successful creation of a military-technical threat.
    We really and consciously threatened the Americans with nuclear war, death, and EXACTLY THIS WORKS.