Why the sudden withdrawal of CSTO troops from Kazakhstan should not disappoint


The sudden statement made yesterday by Kazakh leader Kasym Tokayev about the imminent withdrawal of the CSTO peacekeeping contingent from the country, judging by a number of comments made about this news in the Russian segment of the Internet, seriously disappointed some of our compatriots. “But how? After all, everything was spinning so dashingly! And now it will end like this - right away and nothing ?! " I hasten to console those who, it seems, did not understand the main point. First, it is far from "nothing." And secondly - nothing just ends. In fact, the real “big game” in the entire “post-Soviet space”, which was launched by the events in Kazakhstan, is only now starting in earnest.


The peacekeeping operation carried out at lightning speed, which led to the frustration of the West's plans to destabilize not even one country, but the entire Central Asian region, and designed to completely frustrate the plans and intentions of Russia is, no doubt, wonderful. However, no one doubts that a brilliantly won battle for Kazakhstan, alas, does not mean a victorious end to the war that is being waged against our Motherland? How to prevent this success from turning into a bitter defeat? How can Russia and its allies act and build their own policies further so that the military argument is used as rarely as possible? What lessons today, at a turning point in history, should we draw from our own past, and what mistakes from it should in no case be repeated? Let's try to figure it out.

Victories shouldn't be fruitless


The expression "amazingly fruitless victories" belongs to the pen of the great Tolkien, author of The Lord of the Rings. It is quite applicable to our world, inhabited not by fairy-tale characters, but by real people. Including, alas, the history of the Russian State, no matter how it was called at different periods of time. God only knows why, but it just so happened that we always knew how to come to the rescue, save and deliver. But to benefit from this is by no means. Yes, this was not the case in all cases. The campaigns of Peter I or Catherine II not only expanded the country's territory, but brought it quite specific benefits - which was the cost of Russia's access to the Baltic and Black Seas and the development of Novorossiya.

However, what was the result of the liberation of Bulgaria from the Ottoman yoke for our country? Were the opportunities that opened up after the defeat of Napoleon been fully exploited? And the attempt to stand up for yet another "brotherly" people in the Balkans in 1914 ended in a national disaster (by which I mean not the Revolution, but the Civil War, which lasted for years, with all its terrible consequences). Europe liberated in 1945? By and large, as a result, the USSR received not very reliable military and political "allies" who needed permanent "admonitions" and quite specific parasites, who made full use of our resources and generosity, and in 1991 appeared for debts. And this is not to mention the African "fighters against imperialism" who, with grief in half learned to distinguish between portraits of Marx and Engels and memorized a quote or two from Lenin's complete works, rushed to the Kremlin for loans and weapons. And they did get it, you bastards! Often even beyond what was expected. That is why we forgive their debts to this day ...

Whether this was due to the "breadth of the Russian soul" known to the whole world, or was it that specific material interests were put into nothing in comparison with the "triumph of the ideas of Marskism-Leninism" and "proletarian internationalism" - the tenth thing. Communism (good or bad) has not been the state ideology of our country for a long time. However, he does not in the least interfere with the Chinese comrades to be concerned about their own benefit. One way or another, but Russia must once and for all put an end to the vicious practice of committing self-sacrifice, saving someone in the name of high ideals, and then proudly retire from the place of achievement, pretending not to notice the spitting and curses of the saved flying in her back. This is not about compatriots, not about Russian people, the protection and preservation of which is an unconditional imperative. In this case, I mean those who are usually called allies and associates.

And just this very "co" in both words just means the indispensable reciprocity of actions aimed at the common good, and not in any way for the benefit of one or the other. It was unambiguously necessary to extinguish the infernal flame of rebellion and turmoil in Kazakhstan that flared up before our very eyes - after all, the blow was directed against our country as well. It would be unnecessary and unreasonable to remain on Kazakh territory beyond the time it took to put things in order. However, now we are faced with the question: what next? The point is not that the wildest things like “language patrols”, the oppression of Russian-speaking and other nationalist antics should sink into oblivion. This is not at all subject to discussion. As well as the fact that the “Tokayev era”, in contrast to the “Nazarbayev era” that ended before our eyes, should be marked by a decisive ridding of the country from Western NGOs and other “agent networks” of the enemy. But what exactly should be a clear and unequivocal victory for Russia in this game?

"Post-Soviet reformatting" - two ways


By the way, the question here, again, is not in purely mercantile moments, but in big politics. There is a very real likelihood that in the end it will turn out: by participating as the "main player" in suppressing the attempted violent coup d'etat, Russia ultimately defended not so much its own geopolitical interests as the profits of transnational corporations, many of which are headquartered in countries that are far from friendly to us. Don't believe me? Well, well, let's get down to boring, but necessary in this case mathematics.

It's no secret that it was precisely Kazakhstan after the collapse of the USSR that managed to become one of the leaders in attracting the economy foreign investments - such in this country for the period from 1991 to 2021, "entered" more than 365 billion dollars. Sounds good, but where did it end up? To the fact that almost all of the mining and processing sectors, on which this very economy, in fact, is held, belongs to foreign companies. Oil? 70% of its production and processing is controlled by foreigners. At the same time, the ratio is completely not in our favor - almost 30% of the production of "black gold" is in the hands of the Americans. About 18% are controlled by Chinese comrades, very little by European firms. Share of Russia? Let's take a look at the example of the largest company Tengizchevroil. ExxonMobil owns exactly half of its shares, ExxonMobil owns a quarter, Kazakh KazMunayGas owns 20%. The share of "LukArko" ("daughter" of our "Lukoil") accounts for only 5%. In other industries, the ratio may be slightly different. Among the owners of 11 out of 13 Kazakh enterprises for the extraction and processing of uranium are Russian companies. And at the same time - Chinese, Canadian, Japanese, French ... I alone did not notice in the recent fateful days in this country peacekeepers from Japan or France?

Nobody, of course, calls for an ultimatum to demand from Tokayev to "show the door" to Western investors in order to immediately take their place. We are not Americans, after all, but people ... However, there are still options for a solution. The President of Kazakhstan himself admits: an abnormal situation has developed in the country under the previous government, in which "the growth of the total national income coexisted with its unfair distribution." At the same time, Tokayev speaks without any bluntness about some "incredibly profitable companies and super-rich people" that appeared in Kazakhstan "thanks to Elbasy." So far, he is only talking about the fact that these fast-riches (and, in particular, the leaders and members of the leading financial-oligarchic groups) will have to "actively share with the people." However, most likely the process of "dispossession" of the nouveau riche, who have warmed themselves in the shadow of the Nazarbayev clan, will not stop there. And who, if not Russia, which supported Kasym Tokayev at the decisive moments, should be presented with the rights to certain shares of the "pieces" of the economic "pie" belonging to them? It is clear not about any "gifts", but about the opportunity for our companies to enter the Kazakh economy in a much larger volume than now.

Among other things, this would mean for Tokayev additional guarantees that Moscow will continue to be just as attentive to his requests for help - if there are any. It is quite natural that in such a “situation” the provision by local authorities of the “maximum favored nation regime” for domestic business would also look. For a start, that would be enough. Well, and then - how it goes. In any case, the benefit that Russia has gained from the events of the beginning of this year should be intelligible and visible to everyone - thus, future contenders for patronage and protection of Moscow will understand that they will not get off with only sentimental talks about the “brotherhood” that has long gone into the past.

Frankly speaking, the Kazakh events cannot be called the start of a "reformatting" or, if you like, a "reset" of what is called the "post-Soviet space". The current process began, rather, with Belarus. Rather, with the help of Moscow in overcoming the local "Maidan" crisis and real steps to create the Union State. And this is one of the ways of transformation. But not every former republic will want to follow it. And, besides, the conclusion of a union on the model of the Belarusian one will not be beneficial to our country with any of them. Well, here's the second option for you: maximum partnership in all areas - from militarytechnical to economic. An unconditional refusal to cultivate any ultranationalist sentiments and movements (invariably “implicated” in extreme forms and manifestations of Russophobia). A certain distance from too close "friendship" with the West, implying, first of all, a complete ban on the deployment of military facilities of NATO or any of the members of this bloc. Time will tell which of these areas will be more attractive for our "old-new" allies and partners, and, first of all, for Russia. Oh, yes, there is also China ... Well, with it we will somehow have to distribute both roles and shares in the “post-Soviet space”. It is quite possible to start with Kazakhstan.

In any case, the withdrawal of the CSTO peacekeepers from this country should mark not the end, but, on the contrary, the beginning of the practical implementation of those geopolitical goals of Russia, which underlie the concept of a new world put forward by our country, which shocked and discouraged the West.
27 comments
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  1. kriten Offline kriten
    kriten (Vladimir) 12 January 2022 10: 51
    +2
    Our government would have had enough decisiveness. And then again they can release everything on the brakes for the sake of not being strongly accused in the West.
  2. steelmaker Offline steelmaker
    steelmaker 12 January 2022 11: 37
    -1
    This summer, our Russian Kazakhs were not even allowed to visit the graves of their parents. Everyone! No one. No explanation. Wild Russophobia, even in kindergarten. Do you need to remind it? How can you withdraw troops without eliminating this? Don't even try to negotiate? Silence was also mentioned once about the military base. If Tokayev was seriously suggesting why then the troops should be withdrawn, so that later they would be brought in again? Putin would immediately agree on the place of deployment. Here is Putin's mediocrity and manifested itself in all its glory! Constantly forgets about Russian interests and citizens to please the United States! In the Donbass, an OSCE representative was kidnapped - they forgot, in Armenia the Azerbaijanis shot down our helicopter - they forgot. List more things that Putin has not forgotten? Hey, zaputintsy remind that Putin did it !! Journalists, political analysts, deputies all say what to do, since they are head over heels, and Putin is cunning, he does everything the other way around. If only to please the United States and not to upset.

    The sovereign is weak and crafty,
    bald dandy, enemy of labor,
    accidentally warmed by glory,
    reigned over us then.

    (Pushkin A.S.)
    1. Dart2027 Offline Dart2027
      Dart2027 12 January 2022 19: 26
      -3
      Quote: steel maker
      He constantly forgets about Russian interests and citizens to please the United States!

      Remind me who created Kazakhstan there?
      1. steelmaker Offline steelmaker
        steelmaker 12 January 2022 20: 35
        -3
        Are you also with a purchased education? This is the type of Putin created, and I do not know?
        1. Astronaut Offline Astronaut
          Astronaut (San Sanych) 12 January 2022 23: 19
          -1
          Yes, you generally work according to the training manual, not a single fresh thought!
        2. Dart2027 Offline Dart2027
          Dart2027 13 January 2022 19: 41
          -4
          Quote: steel maker
          This is the type Putin created, but I don’t know?

          He was not in the world then. So who?
    2. goncharov.62 Offline goncharov.62
      goncharov.62 (Andrei) 12 January 2022 19: 47
      0
      The USA is the second thing here. But the rest has a place to be. To my great regret I can only hope for a multi-pass ... By the way, in March I am going to Kazakhstan to visit the graves of my father and mother. Let's see. This is in Ust_Kamenogorsk.
  3. Alexey Davydov Offline Alexey Davydov
    Alexey Davydov (Alexey) 12 January 2022 12: 22
    +1
    He should not disappoint us because he brings us important information about our partner.
    To get rid of illusions and "rose-colored glasses" - the sooner the better.
    Firstly, why do we think that Kazakhstan (or any other partner of ours) should definitely be with us along the way? For this they still need to be interested in joint prospects, to form the personal interests of their leadership.
    Secondly, Kazakhstan is forming its statehood. The presence of the troops of another state in the country deforms its own, natural processes.
    Thirdly, perhaps Kazakhstan wants to have in its hands (and has the right to do so) to choose, initially, all the options for its geopolitical orientation.
    Finally, perhaps the Americans have prepared their notorious "button" in the state apparatus, and not just one, and this is also important information for us.
    Full-fledged friendship and cooperation are possible only if each of the partners takes into account the interests and goals of the other, and is ready to "enter into his position."
    It is necessary to form a system of common goals and prospects, and not stupidly, "tie" a partner to yourself. Seeking to make things easier for yourself destroys trust
    1. steelmaker Offline steelmaker
      steelmaker 12 January 2022 20: 43
      -3
      why do we think that Kazakhstan (or any other of our partners) must be with us along the way?

      It's like, Europe and the US are on the way, that's why they "lay down" under the US? And Russia should also ask: "Do you respect me?"
      In politics, it's like with small children. First the power, then the carrot. Or do you think that children should twirl their parents like a dog's tail?
      1. Astronaut Offline Astronaut
        Astronaut (San Sanych) 12 January 2022 23: 21
        -3
        You wouldn't be carrying such nonsense if you knew at least a little about geopolitics!
  4. Forrest Gump Offline Forrest Gump
    Forrest Gump (Forrest Gump) 12 January 2022 12: 31
    +4
    What concept of a new world that has discouraged the West are you talking about? They don't even understand that we need to be respected!
    And what brilliantly won battle for Kazakhstan did you mention? Entering and withdrawing troops is not a battle! The article is like the complacency of a political neurasthenic ...
    Russia, even in Donbass, is not able to openly enter troops, but here is an Asian country with its own specifics ...
    chewing peas and shaking snot on a fist, comrade
    1. Nadezhda Clothes Yalutorovsk (Nadezhda Clothes Yalutorovsk) 12 January 2022 18: 23
      -2
      Yes, Russia can do anything! But in Russia, can everyone tighten their belts even tighter in the event of a military conflict in Donbass or elsewhere, and with a further embargo? Will you volunteer? Putin and his team are balancing by a thread over an abyss. Sofa politicians cannot understand this.
      1. steelmaker Offline steelmaker
        steelmaker 12 January 2022 18: 36
        -5
        Sofa politicians do not understand this

        And you might think that you are not a sofa politician with us? Well, in what rank, where did you serve? If they had served, they would have known that this abyss, Putin and his team, have been digging for 20 years and cannot stop everything!
      2. goncharov.62 Offline goncharov.62
        goncharov.62 (Andrei) 12 January 2022 19: 49
        -2
        Pick up your fat first, before you cry! You are our big ones, you are starving, ...
        1. steelmaker Offline steelmaker
          steelmaker 12 January 2022 20: 49
          -2
          Yes, it looks like you, and your brains are swollen with fat. And I’m on my pension of 12 rubles, and all that remains is to fatten. I have lived my life, but I haven’t made my mind.
  5. Alexey Davydov Offline Alexey Davydov
    Alexey Davydov (Alexey) 12 January 2022 12: 58
    +5
    Add more:
    In working with Kazakhstan, I think we are faced with our old "gap" - the absence of a system of geopolitical goals of Russia that are understandable to us and our environment.
    Where is Russia going? First of all, this is a question our potential partners ask themselves. And they do not find an answer to it. We ourselves do not know him. Not formulated. We are afraid to miscalculate.
    However, the long absence of an answer to this question is already really hurting us!
    And how can one count without it on the involvement of partner states in their orbit?
    Other centers of geopolitical orientation, unlike us, have done this long ago.
    Results? For example, Azerbaijan now clearly knows who it is with and why.
  6. 123 Offline 123
    123 (123) 12 January 2022 13: 34
    +1
    In general, it is still quite adequate. In Kazakhstan, they really thwarted the exacerbation and did not allow a radical development of events (approximately according to the Ukrainian scenario). Everything is just beginning there.
    The temperature was brought down, now there is a long and difficult treatment.
    That's what I didn't understand so ...

    And the attempt to stand up for yet another "brotherly" people in the Balkans in 2014 ended in a national disaster (by which I mean not the Revolution, but the Civil War, which lasted for years, with all its terrible consequences).

    What kind of civil war are we talking about? What "national catastrophe" occurred as a result of an attempt to stand up for another "brotherly" people?
    1. Nadezhda Clothes Yalutorovsk (Nadezhda Clothes Yalutorovsk) 12 January 2022 18: 27
      +1
      Here, I believe, the author of the date confused, referring to the 1914 incident on the Balans.
    2. Dart2027 Offline Dart2027
      Dart2027 12 January 2022 19: 27
      -1
      Quote: 123
      What kind of civil war are we talking about? What "national catastrophe" occurred as a result of an attempt to stand up for another "brotherly" people?

      Obviously, this is a typo - 1914.
      1. 123 Offline 123
        123 (123) 12 January 2022 19: 59
        0
        Obviously, this is a typo - 1914.

        Maybe you are right. A typo is usually 1 letter or number, another century is indicated here. As an option, I considered that we were talking about Ukraine (in any case, I don’t remember anything else this year).
        1. Dart2027 Offline Dart2027
          Dart2027 13 January 2022 19: 39
          0
          Quote: 123
          As an option, I considered that we were talking about Ukraine (in any case, I don’t remember anything else this year

          Quote: 123
          Revolution, but the Civil War stretching for years

          This clearly indicates the beginning of the last century, and in the text the author changed it to 1914.
          1. 123 Offline 123
            123 (123) 13 January 2022 20: 05
            0
            Thanks for the clarification, I guess I didn't read carefully. hi
    3. The comment was deleted.
  7. Alexey Davydov Offline Alexey Davydov
    Alexey Davydov (Alexey) 12 January 2022 16: 26
    +6
    I just read in RT a message about the refusal of the head of Rossotrudnichestvo, Yevgeny Primakov, to work with the new Minister of Information of Kazakhstan Umarov - "Russophobic rubbish," according to Primakov's definition.
    The quotes cited by Primakov fully support this definition.
    I recalled the formation of the new government of Ukraine after the flight of Yanukovych and the subsequent bewilderment (quiet horror) at his actions.
    It is clear that the formation of a new cabinet in Kazakhstan is taking place in conditions of a compromise with external forces.
    Is Russia taking part in shaping this compromise?
  8. Ksv Offline Ksv
    Ksv (Sergei) 12 January 2022 19: 53
    0
    The Turkish leader was also helped in the attempt to overthrow him, how did it end in the end? As a result, he took from us everything he needed and is still working against us, not at all embarrassed about it. We need a tough, long-term framework through which Asians will not be able to cross !!!
  9. S WITH Offline S WITH
    S WITH (N S) 12 January 2022 21: 08
    0
    since ancient times, whoever is strong is right, enemies respect only strength, and the United States (inflated debt ball) with and without reason has shown its strength in every possible way (thanks to the FRS machine), without ceremony intimidating the leaders of the aborigines, and even the powers of the Russian Federation and the PRC (here it is enough to frighten them only with financial sanctions), using for this all the tools and means of the state machine, even Hollywood (Rambo and other mutta)))

    and the Russian Federation should take an example from amers in this, it is impossible to carry out a pacified policy with the Papuans, Russophobes, they perceive it as weakness, but for the animals in the forest everything is simple - who is stronger before that and we will cave in. I am sure the babai in the KZ coast were beguiled (and were stunned by the stolen capital), they consider the Russian Federation to be weak and the United States to be strong, and they wanted to spit on all the good that the Russians did and do to them (they protected them from extermination, created a state, taught them to stand and read to write , opened their own market, launched crowds of their gaster, etc.) they don't care about all this)) they believe that the Russian Federation is doing all this because of weakness! and if so, babai and other Lukashenkos of the CIS believe that these Ross nishtyaks will be forever and you don't have to pay for them, even more - you can offend Russia, as Luka did, because the Russian Federation is weak and will not dare to displace the kings of auls and collective farms.
    so wooden Tokayev considers the Russian Federation weak and stupid, otherwise he would not have dared to leave the pro-Turkish jackals and haters of the Russian Federation in the new government. he also did not even hint about the closure of the Pentagon laboratories, the main thing for him is that he, with the help of the Russian Federation, removed the Nazarbayev security forces and can now personally enrich himself by taking the Nazarbayevskys' share in the KZ economy.
    and what will the Russian Federation have from this? - nothing, the Russian Federation reels its fishing rods and obediently leaves (even bankrupt Luka does not allow the Russian base to be placed), because
    Putin imagines himself that he is now a righteous man, a believer and must apparently live the rest of his life according to the precepts of Christ (after filling his pockets with his friends with tens of billions), and if they ask him to come, he comes, and if they ask him to dump, he should dump and not to contradict in anything, even if he is asked about it by someone whom the crowd of vagabonds could have burned like trash yesterday. and now this rubbish is again appointing Russophobes to the government, because Putin did not dare to order the Russian special forces to intimidate the rubbish with a cruel death, if he does not obey the Kremlin's orders, at least agree on candidates for the government (for the West, this is a norm and a trifle how to pour) , which means that the West and the Turks for the heads of the KZ garbage will continue to remain the masters of the planet, whom he must obey

    https://www.politnavigator.net/tokaev-otodvinul-semyu-nazarbaeva-no-sokhranil-vneshnijj-i-vnutrennijj-antirossijjskijj-kurs.html.
  10. Tokayev appointed the Russophobe A. Umarov as the Minister of Information of Kazakhstan. Is this a mistake in a hurry or the beginning of gratitude to Russia?
  11. Vladimir Daetoya (Vladimir Daetoya) 13 January 2022 19: 45
    0
    The author does not seem to understand that there is a big difference between sharing the pie and investing