The "green" energy revolution does not let the West go: what should Russia prepare for


It has long been known that only the smartest representatives of the human race can learn exclusively from other people's mistakes, not allowing their own. The vast majority of people stubbornly "stuff the bumps" in order to comprehend even seemingly quite obvious truths. However, there are those among us who are unable to draw conclusions even from their most deafening failures. Previously, such characters were bluntly called fools, and now they are tolerantly referred to as "alternatively gifted individuals." And it looks very much like that in the leadership of the Western countries, it is precisely those who belong to this very third category that have taken the upper hand.


Indeed, it is quite difficult to explain in some other way the intentions, stubbornly declared by Western leaders and public figures, not only to continue the "green revolution", but also to increase its pace and volume. Following such dubious ideas has already led many countries to extremely sad consequences in the form of an energy crisis, entailing a number of additional disasters (at least in the form of very real prospects for the emergence of global problems with industry and agriculture). However, to all appearances, the “collective West” does not intend to change the chosen course. Let's try to figure out what this can lead to in the future, and what consequences it will have for our country.

Lesson for the future?


The business publication Bloomberg frankly declares: eight or even tenfold growth in prices for "blue fuel", the rise in the price of electricity fivefold literally "bring to its knees" the European industry. One by one, the largest metallurgical enterprises reduce their production volumes, while the production of aluminum, zinc and steel is falling. Losses incurred by companies in just a couple of recent months are in the tens, if not hundreds of millions of dollars. The next step is the final "fall" of the chemical industry, which is now desperately trying to fight the disaster, and is also stopping plant after plant. Expensive gas is an unprofitable product, a huge part of which is made up of agricultural fertilizers. There will be no them (or they will skyrocket in price), and the energy crisis will be followed by a food crisis. It would seem that the situation is completely unambiguous.

The authors of Bloomberg bitterly state that if the new year, 2022, begins with a fair amount of cold weather, the Old World will face a dilemma: save its own industry, or provide heat and light to its citizens. Its capacity is simply not enough for both at once. But the European Union has so far taken only the first, rather timid and cautious steps towards “decarbonization”. What will happen if he "rushes" in this direction, as they say, headlong? Contrary to logic and common sense, the voices of those who urge not to stop, carefully weigh the pros and cons of the forced “green transition”, think, and possibly revise the priorities, and, on the contrary, accelerate it even more, are heard louder and louder. In particular, the world's most famous billionaire Bill Gates came out with just such a "manifesto".

In his "programming" article on Wired, the Microsoft founder talks about the need for a "new, clean industrial revolution." How to listen to him, just business: "create new ways of generating electricity, making things, growing food, moving around, cooling and heating homes." And all this - "without the slightest emission of greenhouse gases." The billionaire admits that such a goal is "incredibly ambitious" and "extremely costly." But it doesn't matter! In his opinion, in order to achieve it, it is only necessary that "corporations and governments" drive all their funds to the cent, to the penny, into "creating a new, environmentally friendly market." Cars? Only on electric traction! Do not offer or buy others! Literally everything should be “green” - from electricity to cement and steel “used for construction projects”. What about the proposal of less environmentally friendly, but much cheaper alternatives, produced by those who did not move their minds on the ideas of decarbonization?

Gates is silent about this, but we know how they are already planning to resolve such issues. Old Billy, disguised as a kind-hearted "egg-headed" philanthropist, only vaguely hints that "investors should refuse to invest in Technologycausing climate change ”and“ encouraging financially ambitious projects to achieve a great environmental goal ”. Tellingly, specifically among those he names new ways of storing electricity, the development of "environmentally friendly" aviation fuel and work in the field of "pure hydrogen". Hydrogen is a separate topic, but on the first two points, it can be noted that research in these areas is incredibly expensive and has not yet yielded any intelligible results. But you need to invest more!

Will we pay for other people's mistakes?


Interestingly, it is in no way possible to write off such ideas, relayed by one of the most successful businessmen in the world, who has long since passed because of his wealth and influence into a completely different league than even the business elite, to naivety, fanaticism or, forgive, ordinary nonsense. Old Billy has in his language what other "best people" of our planet have on their minds, who, alas, have more than real capabilities to decide the fate of its population. By the way, as I wrote earlier, in another recent interview, the same character frightened humanity with the soon-to-come "waves of bioterrorism", for which you need to prepare, sparing no expense. In any case, the ideas voiced by persons of this rank are definitely not an empty sound.

There is enough evidence of this literally at every step. In the same United States, "green" psychosis continues to rage with no less force than in Europe, if not more. The current head of the White House has already given an official order to all state bodies of the country to prepare for a complete and completely total "greening", and within the shortest possible time. To begin with, all US federal authorities and their local divisions, without exception, are obliged to completely stop the criminal acquisition of "dirty" cars with internal combustion engines by 2027, and by 2035 to get rid of them completely. To better understand the essence and scope of the issue, you should know that the car fleet of the American authorities includes 650 thousand cars and is replenished with 50 thousand more cars annually. At the same time, in 2020, federal garages of electric cars had ... half a percent of the total number of all cars on the balance sheet. At that time, the government spent more than $ 4 billion on its transport, of which $ 730 million was spent on fuel purchases. Big Savings Coming?

No matter how it is! According to representatives of the same auto industry, such projects, as well as the prospect of transferring at least half of American vehicles in general to the category of "environmentally friendly" (at worst - "hybrid"), voiced by Biden personally, will require investments from the state budget for many billions of dollars. Does the navel come loose? But this is just the beginning ... According to the same Biden initiative, the US government by 2030 should generally "consume electricity exclusively from carbon-free sources", and by 2050, in general, achieve "complete carbon neutrality." Again, here it is necessary to understand this: in this case, we are not talking about only government buildings, "public places" and the like.

In the United States, it is the federal government that is the largest employer, landowner and, by extension, energy consumer. The White House expects precisely because of these factors to achieve success in its irrepressible desire to "completely change the principles of obtaining and using energy, the functioning of vehicles and buildings." It seems that the American the economy and the infrastructure is going to, as they say, "break on the knee" for the sake of "lofty ideas" and "principles" of Mr. Biden, Mr. Gates and other like-minded people. Back in late October of this year, Washington announced plans to allocate at least half a trillion dollars for the "fight against climate change". Perhaps more than 500 billion. For a country that has recently been dangerously balancing on the brink of default and forced to stretch the limits of its own national debt, like the notorious shagreen skin, it sounds pretty bold. Or just crazy.

All this could be just a reason for abstract reflections (after all, the Americans themselves defend the right of everyone to "go to hell on their own road"), if not for the firm intentions of the "green revolutionaries" to drive the whole world under their banners without the slightest exception. The truly wicked irony here lies in the fact that the United States itself admits that the main blame for the current climate change lies precisely with their country. According to a study published not so long ago in the American journal World Political Review (WPR), it was the United States that, starting in 1850, which dates the conditional beginning of "global industrialization", has emitted 509 gigatons of carbon into the Earth's atmosphere. And this is at least a fifth of the total volume of this gas that has got there so far. In fact, the whole world is being asked today to pay in full for the sins of the Americans, Britons and other "flagships" and leaders of the "industrial revolutions" that preceded the one that Bill Gates is now calling for.

What should Russia do about this? Yes, actually, nothing special. Little by little, little by little, it will not be superfluous to transfer our own industry to more environmentally friendly technologies. However, by no means at an emergency pace, not to the detriment of their economic and political interests. Both the leaders of different levels and ordinary citizens are less likely to listen to the "all-panic" and alarmists, broadcasting about the "end of the era of oil and gas" - 2021 has very convincingly shown how it really "ends". Well, and be ready to defend your interests in the most decisive and tough ways, among which "screwing the valve" on the main pipelines is still the most humane. However, as recent events show, this is exactly what our country is doing in perfect order.
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  1. sH, arK Offline sH, arK
    sH, arK 29 December 2021 10: 11
    -2
    Well, judging by the fact that Trump is backed by completely different people with different ideas, the "green madness" there will still be subject to restriction :-) And do not forget that each state largely determines the requirements on its territory. For example, the requirements for California are many times more stringent, higher than EURO-5, and in other states, the maximum is similar to EURO-3.

    But in the EU this is not to be expected. The nonsense will not pass there.
  2. Bulanov Offline Bulanov
    Bulanov (Vladimir) 29 December 2021 11: 02
    -2
    Let's try to figure out what this can lead to in the future, and what consequences it will have for our country.

    In the Russian Federation, due to the closure of energy-intensive production in the West, these plants and factories from the EU countries may appear. It is more profitable than closing them. You can even take part of the engineering staff. The Russian Federation can become an assembly plant in Europe and it will be beneficial to everyone.
    And Biden, instead of signing a military budget of almost 800 yards, should have funneled this money into world science so that scientists can find new sources of energy. And Gates has to spend part of his money on this, too. Then everyone will see that they are not only talking, but also trying to do decbonization.
  3. Yuri Palaznik Offline Yuri Palaznik
    Yuri Palaznik (Yuri Palaznik) 29 December 2021 11: 27
    +3
    They are not that stupid. The production, operation and disposal of electric vehicles is much dirtier than cars with internal combustion engines. Lithium for batteries is mined in third world countries. And where this happens, all living things have disappeared. And the golden billion is clean, the birds are singing. Dirty industries in other countries will still pay them a carbon tax.
  4. kriten Offline kriten
    kriten (Vladimir) 29 December 2021 12: 22
    +2
    The United States is dragging all vassals into spending today, so that tomorrow, as a result of the decline of their economy, come to their aid, seizing their economy and outweighing the main burden of their debts on them. Flag in their hands and a drum around their neck. We do not need to get up in this system at all.
    1. gunnerminer Offline gunnerminer
      gunnerminer (gunner miner) 29 December 2021 20: 15
      -5
      Accurate and concise. good
  5. Tourist Offline Tourist
    Tourist (tourist) 29 December 2021 13: 08
    -5
    Green energy is a cool mega-project for the development of science, industry, job creation, and at the same time putting pressure on the backward geopolitical competitors of the so-called "West". I don't say a word about ecology here. And with tz. precisely technology - an excellent idea. Instead of feeding other countries-suppliers of hydrocarbons, it was thought up to create their own energy, albeit expensive (dollars, euros - money, who prints this?;) Now even paper is not needed on them - zeroes in the computer) All these stories, articles for internal use - like all good marquise. In reality, the energy sector has already changed a lot, and it will change even more. Already now in Germany the share of renewable energy sources reaches 50%. They will make more opportunities for the flow of energy between regions, complete the technologies for storing and transporting energy and impose on everyone the purchase of their advanced technologies. And you don't have to think that we will serve out here. Look at the streets of Moscow, St. Petersburg - imported cars. If they are electric, we will buy what they give, and for them chargers, spare parts, services - all imports. Do you think it is only Europe or the United States that will change something at home? No - the same China has already adopted the program, the info is easy to find - by 2035, sales of new cars with internal combustion engines (with the exception of hybrid ones) will be banned in China.
    1. Bakht Offline Bakht
      Bakht (Bakhtiyar) 29 December 2021 13: 22
      +3
      at temperatures below –7 ° C, the vehicle can travel 41% less distance than under normal conditions.

      https://toka.energy/blog/ispolzovanie-elektromobilya-zimoj/

      BMW CEO Oliver Zipse believes that we should not abandon the production of internal combustion engines too quickly. And even if competitors, such as Audi, declare that they will release the last "harmful" engine by the middle of this decade. But BMW is advocating a slow phase-out of classic motors.

      https://aussiedlerbote.de/2021/06/bmw-ne-hochet-speshit-s-otkazom-ot-dvigatelej-vnutrennego-sgoraniya/
      1. Tourist Offline Tourist
        Tourist (tourist) 29 December 2021 14: 52
        0
        undoubtedly. problems are and will be, but the mainstream does not cancel, but only slows down. steam engines also had problems, but in the end they were introduced everywhere, then ICEs also came, and they laughed at the first machines, and now the era of renewable energy is already underway. and all the while, the catch-up paid the leaders for their technology, and the leaders lured in brains from all over the world.
        1. Bakht Offline Bakht
          Bakht (Bakhtiyar) 29 December 2021 15: 36
          +3
          Have you ever worked with lithium batteries? I have a lot of experience. Not with rechargeable batteries, however, but with batteries.

          http://img.hqew.com/file/Others/130000-139999/137267/Electronic/201271514113367373.pdf

          At a temperature of 0 (zero) degrees Celsius, they massively failed.
          Yes, progress does not stand still. But before practical use, at this stage, the distance is enormous. The ICE rejection program assumes their complete rejection within 15 years. Imagine a car in Siberia, or in the Urals, or even in the Krasnodar Territory in winter with a frost of -25 and with a range of 100 km. Have a nice trip.
          By the way, recycling will not seem like sugar. You can't just throw them away. We were not allowed to transport them by air, even when we were discharged. Due to the threat of an explosion. They are all explosive materials. A special fire extinguisher (lithium) is required. The cost of one seems to be 25 thousand dollars. There were only 2 (two) of them for the whole ship. Does Tesla have such a fire extinguisher?

          And the electricity itself is not taken from the outlet, but from the power plant. Windmills at -25 degrees are great. And solar panels with a daylight hours of 6-7 hours. And the consumption of rare earth elements, which for some reason on the planet is much less than hydrocarbons.

          PS In Houston we were shown solar panels that can replace batteries on buoys. Back in 1997. Very impressive. But in production, I never saw them. But almost 25 years have passed. I still don't see it.

          PPS Very impressed by the courses in Norway. Training center near Oslo. It dawns at 10 am, at 4 pm it is already dark. Somehow the sun came out and the teacher interrupted classes: "Let's go outside and look at the sun. It does not appear so often." And this is the month of November.
          1. Tourist Offline Tourist
            Tourist (tourist) 29 December 2021 20: 02
            -1
            I understand your arguments, but ... unfortunately from your innocence it is worse only for us and maybe for the Norwegians, Finans, Canadians. By the way, the Finns have solved the problem with warm places for cars. how much is it% of the world population (market)? the rest of the world lives in noticeably warmer regions. won't we switch to electric cars? and x with us. just those cars that we previously bought from large manufacturers, we will have to either buy more expensive as a limited northern special series, or make them ourselves - again to our limited market, while bearing all the capital and operating costs.
            1. Bakht Offline Bakht
              Bakht (Bakhtiyar) 29 December 2021 21: 32
              +4
              I advise you (not only you. I advise everyone quite often) the book by Eric Reinert "How Rich Countries Got Rich and Why Poor Countries Remain Poor"
              This is a slightly different view of the country's economy and development. If you don’t find it, then type Reinert's "Other Canon" into the search engine.
              The main idea "It is better to have a non-competitive industry than not to have any." Do you know many brands of the Australian industry? Nevertheless, it produces almost everything the country needs (up to cars).
              It is under the influence of his ideas that I always have great skepticism about the "great agrarian powers." This is the path to poverty. This is production with diminishing returns. And for the same reason, I have always been against joining the WTO and opening markets. This is a straight path to poverty.
              1. Tourist Offline Tourist
                Tourist (tourist) 30 December 2021 00: 26
                0
                thanks, read the short description. the idea is clear, I will consider it, I will study it.

                about Australia

                Do you know many brands of the Australian industry? Nevertheless, it produces almost everything the country needs (up to cars).

                - let me disagree.

                offhand like this:

                The main items for import into the state are: computer equipment, transport, airplanes, TV equipment, medicines, clothing, paper products and food.

                https://i-avstraliya.ru/ekonomika-avstralii/eksport-i-import-avstralii.html

                here is the official info in English:
                https://www.dfat.gov.au/publications/trade-and-investment/trade-and-investment-glance-2020#imports
                2020 GDP: 1.331 trillion USD (2020). Imports are more than 10% of GDP.
                1. Bakht Offline Bakht
                  Bakht (Bakhtiyar) 30 December 2021 01: 04
                  +1
                  Australia was given as an example. An isolated market, small enough. There are no well-defined global brands. But the industry is still needed.
                  As they say, this high-tech is wonderful. For example, "green energy". But basic industry is indispensable. And this is not only windmills or fusion. Sometimes galoshes are also needed.
            2. Bakht Offline Bakht
              Bakht (Bakhtiyar) 30 December 2021 00: 08
              +1
              By the way, it seems to me that the Russian Skolkovo project is too “high-tech” in the sense that there are still too few connections between what is happening in Skolkovo and real industrial production. Of course, high-tech is important, but today you also need something in between, more applied, so to speak..

              And the good news is that you have every chance rebuild your industry... Today Russia is not rich enough to be completely taken over by the service sector. You still need industrial production - from pens and confectionery to machine tools and machinery. I believe you need reasonable protectionism, not neoliberalism..

              http://tppinform.tpprf.ru/vedomosti/ekonomika/30569/
  6. Jacques sekavar Offline Jacques sekavar
    Jacques sekavar (Jacques Sekavar) 29 December 2021 13: 35
    +2
    Energy, agriculture, climate change, finance, etc. are all separate puzzles from which the general trend of transition from the state structure of the world to a transnational monopoly is formed.
    1. Bulanov Offline Bulanov
      Bulanov (Vladimir) 29 December 2021 14: 02
      +1
      Agricultural without gas anywhere. Fertilizers! And without fertilizers - hunger.
  7. Valera75 Offline Valera75
    Valera75 (Valery) 29 December 2021 16: 43
    +2
    I'm wondering where these greens will recycle hundreds of millions of healthy lithium batteries every year, when the electric car will be under a billion on earth, as well as computers and household appliances in Africa, making it the world's trash heap, and where to get electricity to charge hundreds of millions of cars every day in the future, and this is not counting the rest of consumption by people and factories, for example in winter? Fans will swing or solar panels? Don't tell me the green ones, this year the wind has already blown energy into the fan so that gas costs more than 2000 foreign rubles
    1. Dear sofa expert. 30 December 2021 00: 08
      +3
      And where to get electricity to charge hundreds of millions of cars every day in the future, and this is not counting the rest of the consumption of people and factories for example in winter?

      And most importantly!: Where can I get so much time to charge all these cars?)
      For example, on the average German autobahn, one gas station serves about 3 thousand cars per day. This is about 5 minutes for one car. (by the way - there are tens of thousands of these gas stations!)
      Refueling one electric vehicle requires at least one hour! Where should the rest, requiring charging, "hang" at this time? In the air?
  8. lniksom Offline lniksom
    lniksom (lniksom) 2 January 2022 18: 59
    +1
    The "green" energy revolution does not let the West go: what should Russia prepare for ": laugh for a long time
  9. Crunch Offline Crunch
    Crunch (Crunch) 4 January 2022 22: 33
    +1
    Quote: Bulanov
    Let's try to figure out what this can lead to in the future, and what consequences it will have for our country.

    In the Russian Federation, due to the closure of energy-intensive production in the West, these plants and factories from the EU countries may appear. It is more profitable than closing them. You can even take part of the engineering staff. The Russian Federation can become an assembly plant in Europe and it will be beneficial to everyone.
    And Biden, instead of signing a military budget of almost 800 yards, should have funneled this money into world science so that scientists can find new sources of energy. And Gates has to spend part of his money on this, too. Then everyone will see that they are not only talking, but also trying to do decbonization.

    Absolutely insane proposal. Is it not clear that by bringing all dirty and energy-intensive production beyond the borders, "cleaning" their production, they are now, in their own style, trying to impose quitrent taxes on those who have adopted it, and, at the same time, on the suppliers of energy and energy materials. Europe needs to keep up with it in order to be in the wake and also have time to break off someone else's pie. WHAT decarbonization are you writing about? Yes, they do not need it, and the longer it lasts, the more they will suck out of the countries of raw materials. We, as energy suppliers, if such procedures are adopted, will need to increase the prices for our energy supplies by the amount of that carbon tax, shifting the desire to live in a clean environment onto them.
  10. Crunch Offline Crunch
    Crunch (Crunch) 4 January 2022 22: 37
    +1
    Quote: Dear couch expert.
    And where to get electricity to charge hundreds of millions of cars every day in the future, and this is not counting the rest of the consumption of people and factories for example in winter?

    And most importantly!: Where can I get so much time to charge all these cars?)
    For example, on the average German autobahn, one gas station serves about 3 thousand cars per day. This is about 5 minutes for one car. (by the way - there are tens of thousands of these gas stations!)
    Refueling one electric vehicle requires at least one hour! Where should the rest, requiring charging, "hang" at this time? In the air?

    The only way out of this inconvenience is not to charge the batteries at the "gas stations", but to change them for already charged ones. To do this, they need to replace all the mismatches with unified types used on any car. And also make the design of the car so that you can quickly undock-dock the blocks, as they do quickly in Formula-1 competitions. And accumulate an exchange fund for batteries at each gas station. And also, create a reference system that promptly notifies consumers about the presence of such in a particular gas station.
  11. Crunch Offline Crunch
    Crunch (Crunch) 4 January 2022 22: 44
    +1
    Quote: Valera75
    I'm wondering where these greens will recycle hundreds of millions of healthy lithium batteries every year, when the electric car will be under a billion on earth, as well as computers and household appliances in Africa, making it the world's trash heap, and where to get electricity to charge hundreds of millions of cars every day in the future, and this is not counting the rest of consumption by people and factories, for example in winter? Fans will swing or solar panels? Don't tell me the green ones, this year the wind has already blown energy into the fan so that gas costs more than 2000 foreign rubles

    Beloved by many downs, Musk has already solved that problem. Service centers dismantle dead blocks, take out still living batteries, assemble home systems for generating and storing electricity from them, selling the same can five to ten times in different assemblies until it dries up completely. So he "built" an accumulation station in Australia. by 149 megawatts. From Panasonic batteries. The simplest calculation says that there are tens of millions of these fingers installed on this technological "miracle".