Ukraine is lamenting: Russia will never be disconnected from SWIFT, and there are four reasons for this

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The United States has threatened to impose on Russia very sensitive economic sanctions in the event of an "invasion" of Russian troops into the territory of Ukraine. One of such measures may be the disconnection of Russian banks from the international SWIFT payment system. However, experts of the Ukrainian resource "Glavred" believe that this will never happen.

According to analysts, it is unprofitable for the West to disconnect Russia from SWIFT for four main reasons.



First, in this case, China will seize all sales markets that previously belonged to Russia and will conclude deals in yuan.

Secondly, Chinese businessmen will be able to purchase raw materials in Russia below market value.

Third, due to the sharp rise in prices for commodities, Europe and the United States will be forced to buy them at high prices, which will push inflation in these regions of the world.

Fourth, the jump in commodity prices will force the United States Federal Reserve to tighten monetary policies, which will lead to an increase in the key rate. In turn, this will cause a recession in the American economy, which is very sensitive to the rise in the cost of credit.

Thus, Russia, Europe and the United States will suffer from such a serious economic measure. Beijing, on the other hand, will benefit, which is not at all beneficial to Washington.
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  1. zloybond
    zloybond
    +6
    20 December 2021 18: 54
    At least even because until confirmation of payment is received, Russia will not launch a single gram of gas into the pipeline for transit. And he will sit and wait until the payment order is brought by plane from Geyrop. And then there's frost as evil ...
  2. dub0vitsky
    dub0vitsky
    +2
    20 December 2021 22: 28
    China, of course, will irrevocably and instantly intercept the European market in natural gas, fertilizers, energy and mechanical engineering from Russia.
    The MAIN reason is not specified. - many production facilities in Europe itself will stop. Calculations will be made, before the era of SWIFT they worked and lived, but this will be with delays and delays, which will have a detrimental effect on the initiators themselves. You need to know that the SWIFT system is not an American jurisdiction, but a European one. Exactly the same as fulfilling Russia's demand to disconnect the United States from this system.

    The Society for Worldwide Interbank Financial Telecommunications, abbreviated as SWIFT (pronounced "swift", from the English Society for Worldwide Interbank Financial Telecommunications) is an international interbank system for transferring information and making payments. This system allows financial institutions around the world to send and receive information about financial transactions in a secure, standardized and reliable form.

    Founded in 1973; 248 banks from 19 countries were co-founders. SWIFT is headquartered in Belgium, near Brussels. SWIFT is a cooperative society, created under Belgian law, owned by its members. As of 2015, more than 11 thousand financial organizations in more than 200 countries of the world, including about 1000 corporations, are members of SWIFT. The average traffic is over 30 million messages per day.
  3. dub0vitsky
    dub0vitsky
    0
    20 December 2021 22: 54
    Quote: zloybond
    At least even because until confirmation of payment is received, Russia will not launch a single gram of gas into the pipeline for transit. And he will sit and wait until the payment order is brought by plane from Geyrop. And then there's frost as evil ...

    I sit here and think. Okay, we'll have trouble transferring money. Okay. Let's admit. The gas deficit is likely to increase from this, am I right? To interest the Americans in the U-turn with gas supplies from Yu.V. Asia, where prices are 1,5 ... 2 times higher for Europe again, is it necessary for the price in Europe to become higher than in Asia? Is it that from today's 1000 euros the price will be about 4000? Well, and delays, after all, carry, liquefy, liquefy by a steamer, and, considering that there are not enough gas carriers for everyone .... Do not bring me, Lord, all sorts of enemies are shocked there. resisting the passage through the straits ..... You never know crazy with boats and kamikaze rams. It was, after all, already, and with such a revival, it will only become more likely. And the fireworks from the tanker. I would not like to look at it rarely.
  4. BoBot Robot - Free Thinking Machine
    BoBot Robot - Free Thinking Machine
    +1
    20 December 2021 23: 46
    We will trade for cash - we have already mastered it!
  5. dub0vitsky
    dub0vitsky
    0
    21 December 2021 00: 31
    Quote: BoBot Robot - Free Thinking Machine
    We will trade for cash - we have already mastered it!

    Exactly. In cash and in small bills. "Beware of the car" them in the textbook.
  6. antibi0tikk
    antibi0tikk
    +4
    21 December 2021 01: 02
    And why are they just talking about paying for gas? And what about oil? And the grain? And what about airplane flights over Russia? Etc. etc.
    It's kind of like talking about what they will pay us for.
    Well Duc a lot of other things for which we have to pay them. So we also have enough of their factories. In Russia, more than 70 models of foreign cars are produced, all sorts of bmws, toyotas, Mercedes, Fords, etc. For the so beloved Boeing in Russia, a lot is also done, those titanium spare parts are not so much where they are made. And there are hundreds and thousands of Coca-Cola and Pepsi-Colas and the like! How will they return their dividends?
    So if they don't disconnect us from SWIFT, we must do it ourselves. SPFS is already working for us, about a dozen countries are connected to it. God willing, we will not be lost without this garbage.
    1. rotkiv04
      rotkiv04
      0
      21 December 2021 08: 22
      This is for sure, someday they will have to start, in any case they will not leave Russia alone