Direct contract with Russia and reduction of gas transmission system: experts described the gas future of Ukraine

According to PJSC Gazprom, on December 15, gas reserves in Ukraine's UGS facilities dropped to 15,34 billion cubic meters. m., almost reaching the level of the start of injection. This is 2020 billion cubic meters less than in 9,9. m., i.e. by 39,2%. Industry experts described Ukraine's gas prospects.

For example, Sergei Pikin, director of the Energy Development Fund, told the Internet publication ""that Kiev has few options to improve the energy situation. He predicts that the shortage of "blue fuel" in the underground storage facilities will force Ukraine to sign a direct contract with Russia.

The specialist noted that the Ukrainian side has only two sources of gas - its own production and reverse from the European Union. However, in mid-December, Ukraine already has minimal volumes in UGS facilities, from which one can say with a high degree of certainty that there will not be enough raw materials to pass the winter.

They will soon come to meanings that never happened.

- Pikin specified.

He explained that Kiev could organize LNG supplies from Europe through the EU gas transportation system, but now the Europeans themselves are experiencing a shortage of "blue fuel", so they are unlikely to go for it.

They already have the highest gas prices in history, and it won't be better.

- Pikin is sure.

He added that Ukraine will try in every possible way to avoid concluding a direct contract with Russia. However, this will only aggravate the situation in the Ukrainian energy sector, and Kiev will have to resolve this issue no later than February 2022.

In turn, the general director of GTS Operator of Ukraine LLC Serhiy Makogon said in an interview with the Ukrainian First Business TV Channel that Kiev does not consider it necessary to invest in transit capacities, since it does not know whether gas transit will continue after 2024 at all.

We do not invest in the modernization of equipment that will not be used in the absence of transit. We invest only in those compressor stations and those gas pipelines that will be used, regardless of whether there is transit or not. We produce 20 billion cubic meters. m. of gas, and we need to deliver it to consumers. <...> As for investments, 4-5 billion is not only investments in capital construction. This is a common investment to support our GTS. This includes maintenance, diagnostics, and capital investments.

- explained Makogon.
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  1. Bakht Online Bakht
    Bakht (Bakhtiyar) 16 December 2021 10: 15
    It is quite possible that there will be no "direct contract".
    Ukraine, like Poland, achieved a revision of gas prices in Stockholm. So you will have to pay $ 1500 per thousand cubic meters. And the budget of Ukraine will not allow it. Plus, even five years ago, due to non-payment on time, Gazprom requires Ukraine to pay 100% in advance. Precisely such an advance payment will be demanded from Moldova as well.
    Personally, I would consider a concession from Gazprom to be the greatest stupidity.
    1. Bulanov Offline Bulanov
      Bulanov (Vladimir) 16 December 2021 10: 34
      Personally, I would consider a concession from Gazprom to be the greatest stupidity.

      Well, if the West urgently asks (otherwise the NATO bases in Ukraine are starting to freeze), then there may be concessions.
    2. greenchelman Offline greenchelman
      greenchelman (Grigory Tarasenko) 16 December 2021 10: 36
      Yes, Kiev will oppose in every possible way the conclusion of a direct contract, otherwise the entire ideological doctrine will fall apart.
      1. Bakht Online Bakht
        Bakht (Bakhtiyar) 16 December 2021 10: 55
        The question is not ideology, but money. Kiev can start buying gas from Europe even now. At the exchange price. The pocket does not allow. Therefore, they talk about direct deliveries from Russia at 300-400 dollars per thousand cubic meters. What Medvedchuk was chatting about. But who is Medvedchuk? Official person? Does he have authority?
        On the other hand, Gazprom has in its hands the decision of the Stockholm Arbitration, where the pricing formula for Ukraine is clearly spelled out. Linked to a TTF hub. And there today the price has exceeded $ 1500.
  2. gorenina91 Offline gorenina91
    gorenina91 (Irina) 16 December 2021 12: 51
    Direct contract with Russia and reduction of gas transmission system: experts described the gas future of Ukraine

    - No - well ... - "again - twenty-five" ...
    - I'm just tired of listening to all this nonsense !!!
    - Damn - but not about Ukraine now you need to think !!! - And about Gazprom !!!
    - Damn, tomorrow Germany will buy out its SP-2 pipe from Gazprom - "at the residual value" and itself will begin to indicate to Gazprom how much gas and when to supply ...
    - Damn --- - Vaughn - China has already done this for a long time ... - China has long been commanding - giving commands to Russia - how much gas to feed it through the Power of Siberia pipe and when ... - and the price of Russian gas itself I have already established ... - For the time being, Russia seems to be formally the owner of the Power of Siberia, but in fact, China has been in control of the Power of Siberia for a long time !!!
    - So Germany is striving for this in exactly the same way ... - And in Germany it also began to take shape ... - It remains only to "put the squeeze" on Gazprom - and that's it ...
    - So let's see - how then Germany will react "like a proprietor" to Ukraine ...
    - Yes, Germany will give Ukraine Russian gas; but will set conditions such that ... what ...
    - Okay, I won't talk about the harsh and terrible ...
    - It's just that Russia itself will secretly (for nothing) - slowly illegally (secretly from Germany) supply its gas to Ukraine through this dilapidated pipe - just out of a feeling of pity (just kidding) ...
    - These are what they will be - "direct contracts" between Russia and Ukraine ...
  3. NikolayN Offline NikolayN
    NikolayN (Nikolai) 16 December 2021 13: 23
    Ukrainians are naive guys. They have not yet encountered Russia. Der @ mo their fan is thrown and rejoiced to say: what tough kids we are - we freeze, but we don’t give up.
    But the Americans collided. In Vietnam, Korea. Several Thousand American planes shot down.
    Dear Ukrainian children. Russia knows how to wait. We will deal with our problems for now, do not bother us. Regarding direct gas supplies - this is to Gazprom. Gazprom will consider the Ukrainian issue in the first place, certainly not in seven years.
    1. gorenina91 Offline gorenina91
      gorenina91 (Irina) 16 December 2021 14: 07
      We will deal with our problems for now, do not bother us.

      - What are your "problems" ??? - Moldavian, Chinese, Western European; or the problems of paying off the fines that are awarded to us with enviable consistency ??? - And which Russia is engaged in endlessly and urgently ...
      - Express yourself more specifically, boy ... - Personally, I am not from Ukraine; but personally, it’s very interesting for me to find out what kind of problems Russia is dealing with in the “first place” ???
      1. NikolayN Offline NikolayN
        NikolayN (Nikolai) 28 December 2021 17: 52
        Boy, the fact that you are not from Ukraine is no longer a bad thing. This is a plus for you. And we have a lot of problems, which one interests you more? For example, there is one: how to grow feihua in the open field.
  4. Eduard Aplombov Offline Eduard Aplombov
    Eduard Aplombov (Eduard Aplombov) 17 December 2021 10: 45
    the fact that ukrusiya can quite easily sign a contract with Russia at a very convenient price, you can agree on many issues and both have their own interests that will outweigh the lives of those killed in the LDNR, water in the Crimea, debts under unfulfilled contracts and huge stuck there funds
    an example of gypsies from moldavia who, having a huge debt, bargained for themselves an acceptable price, found arguments and words so that the Kremlin and Miller backed down from their original demands
    knock about in the press and forget that we are no longer brothers with Bandera, they will start selling at 300-400
    although, I cannot say that this is a complete betrayal of the Kremlin, politics is a dirty business, from my stool I can only react emotionally, alas, the power of its tower is each playing its own game, and not for our people