Ukrainian media on gas shortage: Only "subtropical winter" will save us


The reserves of "blue fuel" in underground gas storages in Ukraine are decreasing by 2-3 percent every day and may not be enough until spring. The main winter energy raw materials have not been pumped into UGS facilities since the beginning of October, according to the Ukrainian news agency UNIAN.


The media notes that by winter, the fullness of Ukrainian UGS facilities amounted to slightly more than half of the total volume - 16 billion cubic meters. m. of 31 billion cubic meters. m. Currently, gas reserves are disappearing literally before our eyes, although a year ago Ukraine boasted record gas reserves - almost 27 billion cubic meters. m. and was even going to sell it to the EU.

This autumn was extremely favorable for Ukraine. The average temperature in November was + 7- + 8 ° С. At the same time, over 2 billion cubic meters of gas were pumped out of the UGS facility in that month. m. of gas. There are still 4,5 months ahead when it is necessary to heat the premises and infrastructure. But the volume of consumption of "blue fuel" will largely depend on weather conditions, since on frosty days the gas extraction increases, and decreases with warming.

The authorities assure that there will be enough gas for Ukraine for the winter. But an elementary mathematical calculation indicates that this will happen only when all Ukrainian officials and power engineers ask Grandfather Frost for a fabulous gift - "subtropical winter" so that the air temperature does not drop below zero.

- explains the media.

In Ukraine, in general, about 55 million cubic meters are mined (by companies of all forms of ownership). m. of gas per day. However, the total daily consumption during the heating season is 130-140 million cubic meters. m. of gas., of which 80-90 million cubic meters. m. of raw materials falls on household consumers (population) and heat producers. It is possible to cover the difference between production and consumption by means of reserves in UGS facilities, if they were previously pumped there.

In the period from December 2021 to mid-April 2022, about 11 billion cubic meters will be pumped out of the Ukrainian underground storage facilities. m. "blue fuel". However, of the remaining 16 billion cubic meters of storage facilities in the UGS. cubic meters of gas, 3-4 billion cubic meters. m. raw materials do not belong to Ukraine, but are stored there by European firms.

Frosts in January-February can create a daily fuel shortage of 30 million cubic meters. m. of gas. In order not to turn off the population, the government may have to restrict the supply of raw materials to enterprises. By March, Ukrainian UGS facilities will have reserves that cannot be pumped out, since they maintain the required pressure - this is a buffer gas and there will be a shortage of raw materials.

Ukraine can theoretically pass the heating season “with grief in half”, but the need for gas will not go anywhere. The most painful issue for the residents of the country in the new year will be the price of gas. From May 1, the fixed price for gas for the population will expire and market relations will begin. This suggests that the next heating season may become even more shocking and people will not be able to pay "space" bills for communal apartments.
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  1. Vladislav N. Offline Vladislav N.
    Vladislav N. (Vlad) 7 December 2021 15: 38
    0
    This is how the holiday of glaciation will happen in fasc. Mazeppia - together we will rejoice as greedy horses-russophobes warming Nazism by farting in the bitter frost.
    In the meantime ... a testicle in a kizda, a bird in a nest, and a dolb-propagandon for the eighth year rushes about every winter with slogans like a naked village boob with a cracked tub on a burning bathhouse.
  2. gunnerminer Offline gunnerminer
    gunnerminer (gunner miner) 7 December 2021 15: 49
    -3
    Come on, Mr. Miller, don't let us down! Frost APU and SBU. laughing
    1. 123 Offline 123
      123 (123) 7 December 2021 18: 48
      +1
      Come on, Mr. Miller, don't let us down! Frost APU and SBU.

      What does Miller have to do with it? Let this flock warm or freeze ukroreykh. This is not his problem at all. If they bought gas, let them do whatever they want with it; if they didn’t buy it, let them jump.
      1. gunnerminer Offline gunnerminer
        gunnerminer (gunner miner) 7 December 2021 20: 09
        -5
        Miller is the head of Gazprom.
        1. 123 Offline 123
          123 (123) 7 December 2021 20: 37
          +2
          Miller is the head of Gazprom.

          I know. What does he have to do with the problems of ukroreyha?
          1. gunnerminer Offline gunnerminer
            gunnerminer (gunner miner) 7 December 2021 21: 40
            -5
            He tries to ensure that the transit does not stop for a minute. With his lawyers, he will constantly be scammed by crooks from Naftogaz.
            1. 123 Offline 123
              123 (123) 8 December 2021 08: 43
              +2
              He tries to ensure that the transit does not stop for a minute. With his lawyers, he will constantly be scammed by crooks from Naftogaz.

              He fulfills signed contracts. No more, no less. "Naftogaz's crooks" are petty punks, they no longer talk to. They kicked out into the cold and slammed the door. In which they are now scraping.
              1. gunnerminer Offline gunnerminer
                gunnerminer (gunner miner) 8 December 2021 13: 57
                -1
                He fulfills signed contracts. No more, no less. "Naftogaz's crooks" are petty punks, they no longer talk to.

                The contracts were signed strongly in favor of Naftogaz. The new bald German chancellor will help the Naftogaz people not freeze.
                1. 123 Offline 123
                  123 (123) 8 December 2021 14: 20
                  +1
                  The contracts are signed strongly in favor of Naftogaz.

                  Contracts? Are there several of them? It seems like one and as far as I can imagine the prospects for the extension are very vague. Yes, it is not profitable, the payment for transit is expensive and there is a condition of obligatory payment for the transit of a certain amount of gas. But only he does not guarantee gas supplies to Ukraine. Yes, Gazprom, as a conscientious partner, will pay for transit and what to do with it in Ukraine? Drown with money?

                  The new bald German chancellor will help the Naftogaz people stay warm.

                  Will it really warm you with your own body? Are you hinting at this? smile
                  1. gunnerminer Offline gunnerminer
                    gunnerminer (gunner miner) 8 December 2021 15: 37
                    -3
                    But only he does not guarantee gas supplies to Ukraine.

                    Otherwise, it would not have been signed from both sides. Germany and Washington are guaranteed. It is easier for the Kremlin to drive in transit than to keep expensive BTGs in the field. Disrupt the annual combat training plan.
                    1. 123 Offline 123
                      123 (123) 8 December 2021 15: 55
                      +1
                      Otherwise, it would not have been signed from both sides. Germany and Washington are guaranteed.

                      The faith of slaves in the omnipotence of the master is immeasurable fellow

                      The transit of Russian natural gas through the territory of Ukraine in daily terms is now less than the contract of 2019 provides. This statement was made on Friday by the head of the Ukrainian GTS Operator, Sergei Makogon.
                      In addition, he said that the Ukrainian operator is ready to transport additional "significant volumes of gas", which, according to him, exceed the capacity of Nord Stream 2. Makogon also claims that in 2021 Gazprom cut physical transit through Ukraine three times, from 186 million cubic meters. m up to 86 million cubic meters. m from October 1. "The graph shows that Gazprom often does not use transit capacities that have already been paid for. And not only in Ukraine, but also in other countries. For example, in Slovakia," the head of the Ukrainian GTS Operator also says.
                      https://tass.ru/ekonomika/12676071

                      That's all the guarantee. Drown them. yes Dream and wait, abroad will help you good

                      It is easier for the Kremlin to drive in transit than to keep expensive BTGs in the field. To disrupt the annual combat training plan.

                      It is easier for the Kremlin to grind it all together with the dung. It remains to wait until they twitch yes
  3. Alexndr p Offline Alexndr p
    Alexndr p (Alexander) 7 December 2021 18: 07
    0
    Only "subtropical winter" will save us

    great nation, which, instead of brains, thinks with emotions, mriyas and snot
  4. Dmitriy )))) Offline Dmitriy ))))
    Dmitriy )))) (Dmitry Kashev) 8 December 2021 23: 31
    0
    Who wrote this ???? Why do you show your incompetence in the question?
    As of December 7, 15,6 billion cubic meters in the underground storage facilities, of which 1,5 billion are in the customs warehouse regime (1 billion belongs to non-residents, 0,5 to residents).
    2 out of 11 UGS facilities are already empty, there is only cushion gas left there or close to it; this season, no lifting was carried out of them.
    In October, UGS facilities were raised by 75,8% more than last year, in November they were raised by 9,6% more than last year.
    The maximum daily consumption of the Sumerians is approximately 195,8 million cubic meters.
    Production of 55 million cubic meters.
    Maximum daily withdrawal from UGS facilities is 139 million cubic meters. was on January 19, 2021, if they screw it up again, then maybe the peaks will pass, but most likely, with the volume of gas that remains in the UGS facility, the maximum UGS facility will not be given, which means they will steal from transit.
    But this is the lesser of evils, if we take the data on the rise of gas from the UGS facility in the winter of 2020-2021, then the current volume of gas in the UGS facility will be enough until about February, and the buffer gas will remain in the UGS facility, and we will observe an experiment on how to draw out the unrecoverable and at the same time preserve UGS facility in working order.