What prevents the Kremlin from deciding on a war with Ukraine

Western journalists were sent a new training manual with the thesis that Russia is gathering forces to attack Ukraine. An information campaign has begun, the goal of which, however, is not to prevent war, but to fan the hysteria of the "Russian threat".

The Minsk agreements have reached a hopeless impasse, which is recognized by everyone except the leadership of the signatory states. The participants in the Minsk Dialogue continue to insist on the observance of the agreements, accuse each other of their violations, and call for the development of the Minsk format. The other day, Erdogan once again tried to intervene in the stalemate by offering his intermediary services, and was naturally ignored by the Kremlin.

The Minsk agreements have no prospects for implementation in the current situation for the following reasons. The plan of Russian diplomacy was to sign agreements that would become the basis for ending the civil war in Donbass when Ukraine's political leadership changes from pro-Western to pro-Russian. Since this change did not take place, they stalled. The agreements themselves do not reflect either the interests of the people of Donbass, who will never return to the rule of the puppet Kiev government, or the interests of international forces that control the Ukrainian leadership. The latter went to the signing of the Minsk agreements only for reasons of public relations, in order to "prove" that the West is for peace and not for war. Whereas in reality both the United States and Germany are interested in the maximum destabilization of Russia's western borders. Thus, the one who determines the political course of Kiev. If pro-Russian forces came to power in Ukraine, the conditions of “Minsk” would be realized, which would be a victory for Russian diplomacy. In the meantime, the Minsk agreements serve as a cover for American fascism in Ukraine. The people of Donbass have become a victim of these political games, since their will is expressed by the desire for the region to become part of Russia, which, obviously, is recognized by the Kremlin as inexpedient.

This whole situation is clear enough, therefore, fertile soil is being created for the next information campaign against Russia, which is supposedly preparing a power scenario.

Western media invent Russian aggression

According to the Western press, the aim of the Russian aggression is to "break the deadlock in the Minsk agreements" and establish a regime loyal to Moscow in Ukraine. As you can see, these goals themselves are indeed visible in Russia's foreign policy, but this does not mean that in order to achieve them, Russia will move from diplomacy and dialogue to war. Western journalists do not bother to motivate the change of non-violent methods to violent ones; they have long ago made aggression, war and Russia synonymous in propaganda.

The reason for the deployment of the next information attack was the statements of V.V. Putin on the "military development of the territory of Ukraine." Say, since the President of Russia is worried about this issue, it means that the Russians are preparing a military campaign.

The Western press cites the following facts and considerations as arguments.

First, Russia has radically changed the political situation in several conflicts with the help of military force. We are talking about the aggression of Georgia in 2008, the lightning-fast operation in Crimea in 2014, the support of the LPNR in the war with the Armed Forces of Ukraine and the civil war in Syria. Everywhere there is a high-quality political result of the use of military forces. These facts, according to Western journalists, indicate that Russia is not only effective, but also concentrated, organized and suddenly using force to solve political problems.

Secondly, the use of military force by Russia did not provoke the intervention of the United States and Europe, and their international consequences did not undermine either the economic or political situation of the country. The internal political situation and economy The Russians are quite stable, which automatically means for the Western press that the Russians are ready for war. Since there is no devastation and chaos in the country, it means that there are no restraints for external aggression.

Thirdly, the Western press itself admits that the strengthening of NATO's military infrastructure on Russia's borders threatens to violate the strategic parity of forces, and therefore becomes a factor in unleashing a new war.

The scenario of the conflict in the West is seen something like this: the Russian army, with complete air supremacy, with a sudden blow dismembers the Armed Forces of Ukraine, encircles some of the groups, and presses some of them against the Dnieper, along which the front line is stabilized. Capturing Kiev, Russia proclaims a new Ukrainian state. Thus, there will be two Ukraine on the political map of the world: pro-Western and pro-Russian.

It is easy to see that all this “analytics” is a product of Cold War thinking, a concentration of phobias and the implantation of a mythological image of Russia as an aggressor.

The NATO secretary general willingly joined the information campaign, declaring that the alliance was ready for Russia's invasion. However, at the same time, he recalled that "a close and valuable partner" Ukraine is not a NATO member, therefore "we must understand the difference ...". Stoltenberg threatened Russia with "heavy economic and political sanctions" in the event of an attack on Ukraine. What is this if not an attempt to provoke a war?

The co-ordination of the press and the military bureaucracy suggests that the situation is gradually moving out of the framework of information strengthening of the image of an external enemy. Now the United States is experiencing an acute crisis of the loss of world hegemony, and they see the prospect of maintaining their positions primarily in the weakening of their main competitors. Therefore, it is likely that the Armed Forces of Ukraine and fascist gangs on the borders of the LPR will receive the command to organize a major military provocation. And the information campaign in this case will serve as a preliminary processing of public opinion before the next round of conflict.

Passivity of Russia's foreign policy

A liberal-oriented reader may say: "What if Russia really plans to solve the problem of Donbass and Ukraine by military means, is pulling up troops to attack the Armed Forces of Ukraine, and the West is only reflecting on this?" The fact is that a war, even the smallest and most victorious, in the East of Ukraine is unprofitable for the political leadership of Russia, it is beneficial for the United States. There are absolutely no arguments in favor of the scenario proposed by Western journalists, other than the liberals' favorite postulate about the "muscularity" of the Putin regime. Their whole concept is based on extreme subjectivity and phobias.

Moreover, Russia's foreign policy is generally not offensive in nature, there is not a single story in which a constructive, strategic line of behavior aimed at the formation of something long-term and sustainable is visible. Modern Russia always and everywhere only reacts to external threats, responds to aggression and intervenes in situations set by others when non-intervention threatens with large losses. Forcing Georgia to peace in 2008 was a consequence of the need to protect Tskhinvali. The annexation of Crimea was a consequence of the fear of losing the Black Sea Fleet base. The support of the LDNR became a forced decision due to the powerful rise of patriotism and the desire of the Russian people to defend the anti-fascist uprising in the Donbass and somehow maintain their influence in Ukraine. Moreover, it is very moderate and restrained. Intervention in the civil war in Syria was driven by Assad's requests and fear of the revitalization of Islamism in Russia. Intervention in the Nagorno-Karabakh war took place only after the complete defeat of the Armenian forces and is rather passive. In all these situations, it was not Russia that “played combinations” in the international arena, it only reacted to the actions of external forces.

Even the construction of the Nord Stream cannot be considered a fully constructive and strategic solution, because the construction of a gas pipeline under the sea bypassing a couple of countries can hardly be called a long-term solution to the problem. But what if tomorrow more hostile to Russia forces come to power in Germany, the "stream" pulls to Denmark?

But even if we assume that the war can quickly and easily achieve the goal and solve the tasks of Russia in Ukraine, the losses and consequences of the conflict for the ruling strata will clearly exceed the gains. The passivity of Russia's foreign policy is not dictated at all by the weakness or indecision of the country's political leadership, but by the pressure on it from the business community, which is not at all delighted with the confrontation between Russia and the West. A full-scale war will call into question most of the economic ties with Western countries, and since we have a market economy, private interests prevail, insofar as it is dependent on the world market both in terms of supply and sales. This means that business will support the war only when the benefits from it will exceed the loss of markets. To wage a war in a country with a market economy without the support of business means knowingly provoking a political crisis.
Dear reader, to leave comments on the publication, you must sign in.
  1. rotkiv04 Offline rotkiv04
    rotkiv04 (Victor) 2 December 2021 09: 38
    The summary of the entire article at its end - loot, as always, triumphs over good
  2. Igor Pavlovich Offline Igor Pavlovich
    Igor Pavlovich (Igor Pavlovich) 2 December 2021 09: 47
    The author has absolutely no understanding of cause and effect relationships. Logic and analysis are lame on both knees - white is black, and vice versa - black is white. About such Ilf and Petrov wrote almost a hundred years ago -

    Elena Stanislavovna, who had the same idea about agriculture as a student of Leonardo da Vinci's choreographic courses, who thinks that cottage cheese is obtained from dumplings, and rolls grow on trees, about three-eighth-inch dies, still sympathized ...

    12 chairs 1927
    1. The comment was deleted.
    2. Old Skeptic Offline Old Skeptic
      Old Skeptic (Old Skeptic) 2 December 2021 22: 03
      And more specifically?
      To blurt out: the author is wrong.
      And then what?
      In what?
      Or just to blurt out?
  3. Sergey Latyshev Offline Sergey Latyshev
    Sergey Latyshev (Serge) 2 December 2021 11: 38
    Yes, the commentators are right, some kind of idealism left over from bygone times.

    In fact, the leadership is the business community, and "the war is there" is a favorite topic not only of the Western, but also of the native media.
    For example, here too - half of the notes about Ukr, and in the part - "until, forward, it's time",
    That does not prevent, on occasion, refer to their "experts")))
  4. boriz Online boriz
    boriz (boriz) 2 December 2021 12: 34
    Another outbreak of hysteria about the Russian attack on Ukraine in this particular situation is simply an attempt by interested groups to interfere with the next meeting between Biden and Putin, plus the desire to prove that they are needed.
    Hence the inconsistency in information from the US, NATO, and Ukraine. Will attack, will not attack ...
    1. Alexey Davydov Offline Alexey Davydov
      Alexey Davydov (Alexey) 3 December 2021 17: 36
      Well, they will interfere. Well, the meeting will not happen ... So what?
      1. boriz Online boriz
        boriz (boriz) 3 December 2021 18: 35
        Well, for example, Johnson will have a little more time to try to get a personal zone for the WB. Now it is clearly not shining for them.
        Each group has its own interest.
        1. Alexey Davydov Offline Alexey Davydov
          Alexey Davydov (Alexey) 3 December 2021 18: 44
          And what is it to us? Why do we need this meeting?
          What did we do to go to it "to reap our honestly earned fruits"?
          You must first do something to change the situation, get some "trump cards", and then talk
          1. boriz Online boriz
            boriz (boriz) 3 December 2021 18: 53
            You may not have noticed, but Russia has become a great power that will defend its interests in the division of zones and the development of rules for relations between zones.
            The United States still has a phantom imperial feeling. Russia, together with China, will drive them into its (their) corner.
            1. Alexey Davydov Offline Alexey Davydov
              Alexey Davydov (Alexey) 3 December 2021 19: 08
              It seems to me that this "division", like Russia's participation in it, exists only in your "artistic" imagination.
              Modern Russia is considered great only by ourselves, and even then not all. We have yet to make her like this for everyone else.
              1. boriz Online boriz
                boriz (boriz) 3 December 2021 19: 09
                The key word is "it seems."
              2. boriz Online boriz
                boriz (boriz) 3 December 2021 22: 26
                By the way, Biden recently blackmailed Xi with a diplomatic boycott of the Olympics. That is, no one will cancel the sports part, otherwise the bankers will not make money at the Olympics, but Biden and other politicians will not come. And not only from the USA.
                Xi personally (by phone) invited Putin. And Biden did not invite. At all.
                It’s strange that you don’t see how rapidly the US level is falling. They are just wiping their feet about them.
  5. Pink 123 Floyd 328 (Pink Floyd) 2 December 2021 13: 26
    How real is a military conflict in the format of a big war with the Russian Federation openly participating in it? In order to prove its absolute impossibility, two paragraphs are enough, and from the reader - the perfect minimum of analytical skills. After all, there is only one fact to analyze, namely: the number of Putin's soldiers concentrated on the border with Ukraine - as much as 92 thousand, as the CIA and GUR report in unison. Is it not enough against 204 thousand Ukrainian soldiers (the total number of the Armed Forces of Ukraine is 255 thousand, including civilian personnel)? For comparison: in February 1994, for a decisive assault on Grozny, Moscow concentrated a grouping of federal forces of 75 thousand bayonets, which was opposed by about 15-17 thousand Chechen ... heavy weapons.
    And in general, on average, on Nezalezhnaya one and a half times a year there is a hysteria about the imminent inevitable invasion of Putin's hordes, a card with blue arrows aimed at Odessa and Lvov is thrown into the media, a date is set for the invasion and ... nothing happens.
    So, brothers-Ukrainians, you should know: if the authorities start to frighten you with the imminent offensive of Putin-Waffe, then this is 100% bullshit. That means they will rob you a little on the sly. And so that you don't get very upset, in March they will announce that Puttin has once again chickened out, the clown saved Ukraine, everyone should be proud of themselves and rejoice violently.
    1. Adler77 Offline Adler77
      Adler77 (Denis) 2 December 2021 21: 14
      I disagree with your opinion.
      It is incorrect to compare the Russian army of the 1995 sample and the 2021 sample.
      In addition, 94 thousand against 200 thousand people do not play, but this is with equal strength, and if these 200, and even 300 for a start, are thinned out by artillery and aviation, 100 demoralized thousand may remain from them.
      Are you talking about partisans? But there may be guerrillas / rebels or whatever you call them, but on the other hand, those who are waiting and will start actions in case of war.
      But. Personally, I think that Russia will not attack first, but will definitely answer if necessary. And Ukrainian politicians understand this and are unlikely to launch an attack on the LPNR. So, under the guise of "Putin will attack" they will rob their own people, as you said.
  6. sH, arK Offline sH, arK
    sH, arK 2 December 2021 13: 30
    The answer is simple - ANYTHING IN FACT DOES NOT HINDER! But the answer to the question "why then" is very simple - WHY? What will we get as a result? How do you benefit?

    Therefore, there is only one option - to wait. But we must not just wait, we must create pressure inside the outskirts of the boiler, no gas contracts, no transit after 2024, it’s time to stop supplying oil products from Belarus, it’s important to rock the economy of DUrkaina, there are all the possibilities for this! And then there will be no need to fight! No one will just feed 35 million! And it makes no sense to us. But to separate the lambs from the goats is clearly necessary;))
  7. tulip Offline tulip
    tulip 2 December 2021 15: 41
    Well, there really is no point in fighting - the maximum is possible only to respond to the aggression of Ukraine against Donbass. So far, at the moment, this is a more or less normal position of Russia in terms of military operations. Here the question is different - Russia can destroy the Ukraine project without fighting - just economically. First, stop pumping gas and just pay once to Ukraine - we have a contract, download or pay. To pay a billion, but not to drive gas. Where will they get gas for their needs if the pipe is empty and this empty pipe will last for a long time?) Contracts with Europe can be fulfilled without Ukraine's gas transportation system. Secondly, to completely cut off the supply of fuel and electricity, including from Belarus. The losses of Russian and Belarusian suppliers can be replenished - it will still be cheaper than losing from the sanctions in the war. Thirdly, to cut off the flow of money from Russia by Ukrainian guest workers. You can also name it in the fourth and in the fifth and in the sixth - but in principle, the first three options are enough for Ukraine to start dying and freezing in full. And this is without the introduction of troops. Why our government doesn't do this is an interesting question.
  8. Radziminsky Victor (Radziminsky Victor) 3 December 2021 00: 12
    The Kremlin - to defend the interests of the Russian People and the Russian State - is hindered
    business owners of Russia.
    We don't know yet - is this FOREVER?
    Or can the business elite be forced to take into account the requirements of the Russian Society and the interests of the State?
    1. Alexey Davydov Offline Alexey Davydov
      Alexey Davydov (Alexey) 3 December 2021 03: 12
      I don't think they interfere. The Kremlin itself is like that.
      I hope that Russia will come up with a way to save herself this time.
  9. Alexey Davydov Offline Alexey Davydov
    Alexey Davydov (Alexey) 3 December 2021 03: 32
    What prevents the Kremlin from deciding on a war with Ukraine

    The choice made by the Kremlin in September 2015 favored Syria over Ukraine.
    I think that the Kremlin left (fled) to Syria from the unresolved problem of Ukraine. It was necessary to divert the population to other military actions and, at the same time, to do "useful work."
    This faint-hearted choice was the Kremlin's most serious strategic mistake, which is now steeply "crawling out sideways" for us.
    1. Radziminsky Victor (Radziminsky Victor) 4 December 2021 14: 05
      The business elite simply did not allow Putin to get involved in events in Ukraine.
      The main thing is business projects.
      The destabilization of Russian society - They are not interested.
      Therefore, Syria emerged as a cover.
      1. Alexey Davydov Offline Alexey Davydov
        Alexey Davydov (Alexey) 4 December 2021 14: 29
        May be so. Or maybe he thought that they would not be allowed. Or maybe he himself did not want to risk it ...
        Why do we keep looking for excuses for him?
        But you are right - the answer may be in the degree of freedom of Putin in his decisions.
        But that is why he and the President is to direct the course of events. Obliged to Russia
        1. Radziminsky Victor (Radziminsky Victor) 5 December 2021 00: 16
          Seriously, Putin is not at all free in his actions.
          "Putin serves Russia honestly." - This is a propaganda wrapper. And the candy itself ...
          Putin is OBLIGED to promote the business interests of Rosatom, Rosneft, Gazprom, etc. in the world. etc.
          "Strong Russian business is strong Russia." This is the direction given to the Kremlin.
          And the Kremlin is spinning as it can, trying to save the face of State Interests.
          Putin has freedom - only in arming the Army.
          And the Kremlin hopes that the armament of the Army will somehow save, compensate, neutralize - the submissive, shameful surrender of Ukraine to all enemies of Russia.
          But tanks and missiles cannot cure the health of the Russian Society.
          Ideology is not. There is no foreign policy in the countries of the former USSR.
          Everywhere business rules - as it wants.
          1. Alexey Davydov Offline Alexey Davydov
            Alexey Davydov (Alexey) 5 December 2021 00: 34
            What you write is a "talk for the poor."
            You can certainly try to "get into the position", but what's the point?
            In order to save Russia, the authorities are OBLIGED to "break" the unfavorable course of events.
            She alone can do it. How? As you wish! At any cost!
            The death of Russia is the real death of tens of millions of people unnecessary for the West, whom it will physically destroy. The death of an entire branch of human culture, perhaps - the death of his hope for survival.
            The authorities and Putin himself will face the judgment of the history of Russia and the world. Before God at last!
            It is in his best interest to make amends while possible.
            1. Radziminsky Victor (Radziminsky Victor) 5 December 2021 04: 28
              What are you, Alexei, about the "death of Russia" - we can not talk, in principle!
              The state of Russia on planet Earth - nothing threatens. Russia is protected.
              In Russian society and in "Reporter" everyone argues and discusses something else, very important.
              DIGNITY of Russia. RESPECT for Russia. Respect for RUSSIANS inside their country.
              So that about the image of Russia - do not wipe your feet. Do not dare to humiliate and insult.
              This is not death. This is an insult to the impudent pressure on Russia and, of course, serious claims to the Russian authorities, to the Kremlin.
              Under the Kremlin's nose, in Ukraine, terrorists are being trained and cyber troops are being organized to destabilize Russian society and life in Russia.
              The West is building military bases around Crimea.
              What's this? Why did the Kremlin allow this?
              The Kremlin is silent and throws up its hands.
              Let's hope that the new team in the Kremlin (after Putin) will be able to deal with the arrogant Russian "elites" and find a way to neutralize and pacify Ukraine.
              There is no hope for Putin, with regard to Ukraine.
              1. Alexey Davydov Offline Alexey Davydov
                Alexey Davydov (Alexey) 5 December 2021 10: 13
                What are you, Alexei, about the "death of Russia" - we can not talk, in principle!

                This can not be in your comments, but it can and does in the States.
                Full swing.

                Russia - protected

                With what? "Dead hand"? We are being pressed against this wall. Therefore, we lose our influence in the environment - as a hopeless leader.
                It is impossible to retreat with impunity in front of a mortal enemy.
                They will completely surround and crush you.
                It looks like you have not completely got rid of the "rose-colored glasses"
              2. Alexey Davydov Offline Alexey Davydov
                Alexey Davydov (Alexey) 5 December 2021 16: 33
                By the way, check out the news on Finland. Soon there will be missiles there.
                Do you think - also just to "wipe your feet on us"?
                1. Radziminsky Victor (Radziminsky Victor) 5 December 2021 23: 58
                  Mikhail Bulgakov and prof. Priobrazhensky:

                  You were asked - in order not to go crazy - do not read the newspapers!

                  Russia's competitors in the West, now, are terminally ill, seriously weakened.
                  Therefore, there is so much information noise. And loud, to the whole world - "show-off".
                  Since real wars with Russia, now, are NOT POSSIBLE - they have intensified information attacks, - overflights of aircraft ... passages of ships ...
                  They get on the nerves, affect the psyche, try to sow panic in Russian society. And judging by you, the information wars of the West are piercing the mind of someone inside Russia.
                  A series of psychic attacks - and someone starts to "go crazy".
                  In order not to kill American soldiers and not to demonstrate their weakness - it is more profitable to spend money and launch an "information WAR" - perhaps panic, hysteria will begin in the ranks of the enemy and you can win without fighting.

                  But in reality, now, there is only one HEALTHY and POWERFUL competitor to Russia - this is China. But he is still Russia's allies.
                  1. Alexey Davydov Offline Alexey Davydov
                    Alexey Davydov (Alexey) 6 December 2021 08: 54
                    If you like to see the world like that. Look at your health.
                    Am I against it?
  10. shinobi Offline shinobi
    shinobi (Yuri) 3 December 2021 05: 22
    Ze needs a small victorious war. How gas is needed. War will write off everything. But the United States needs a protracted, sluggish conflict. To distract Russia from the impending showdown on the side of China. But the protracted conflict of the Ukrainian Armed Forces will not pull off on its own. NATO intervention will have completely different consequences that the United States needs. .Big war they do not need, they will not pull the showdown on two fronts.
  11. EarthBotV2 Offline EarthBotV2
    EarthBotV2 (EarthBotV2) 3 December 2021 07: 54
    by the pressure on it from the business community, which is not at all delighted with the confrontation between Russia and the West

    But the business community in the West has no objection to war, as the last 100 years demonstrate! What explains the difference?

    Pressure on him from the business community, which is not at all delighted with the confrontation between Russia and the West

    But the business community in the West doesn't mind war, as the last 100 years have shown! What explains the difference?
  12. EarthBotV2 Offline EarthBotV2
    EarthBotV2 (EarthBotV2) 3 December 2021 08: 15
    Modern Russia always and everywhere only reacts to external threats, responds to aggression

    The aggression began in 2014, with the US-backed coup. Russia did respond at that time - by helping Crimea to free itself and by helping the LDNR to survive the bombardment by Kiev's forces. The aggression continued, however - in the form of shelling Donbass towns and in the form of US weapon deliveries. Russia's response came in the form of nice words that mean nothing to the aggressor. More is needed! For example, Russia could announce that it will respond to each act of aggression by moving the front-line west a tenth of a kilometer.

    When aggressors pay no price, their aggression escalates, till the point where Russia has no means to respond, apart from nukes: All or nothing. Russia's passive posture means that Russia is constantly forced to issue denials, denials that make Russia seem guilty and weak and defensive. And weakness invites war.

    Translation: Modern Russia always and everywhere reacts only to external threats, reacts to aggression

    The aggression began in 2014 with a US-backed coup. Russia then replied - helping the Crimea to free itself and helping the LPR to survive the bombing of Kiev's troops. However, the aggression continued - in the form of shelling of the cities of Donbass and the supply of weapons to the United States. Russia's response came in the form of pleasant words that meant nothing to the aggressor. Need more! For example, Russia may declare that it will respond to every act of aggression by moving its front line westward by a tenth of a kilometer.

    When the aggressors pay no price, their aggression escalates to such an extent that Russia has no means of responding other than nuclear weapons: all or nothing. The passive position of Russia means that Russia is constantly forced to deny, deny, which makes Russia seem guilty, weak and defensive.
  13. kriten Offline kriten
    kriten (Vladimir) 3 December 2021 14: 30
    Fear of comprehensive sanctions from the West paralyzes the actions of the Kremlin .. For this, the Donetsk republics were betrayed for 7 years. But further cowardice of the Kremlin will inevitably lead to them. Everyone can see why the Kremlin is paralyzed with fear, and this is what makes the West go to provocations in Donbass or Transnistria.
  14. ivan2022 Offline ivan2022
    ivan2022 (ivan2022) 3 December 2021 15: 18
    It's not just "business interests", but mainly whose business it is.
    And business is international, the main bourgeoisie of all countries united long ago, despite a number of contradictions. The main thing is that there are no "friends and foes" here, everyone has been their own for a long time. As the saying goes, "What did you fight for?" If they fought, then they "ran into" exactly the proletarians.
    For they did not fight, but only voted FOR "privatization". And they still do not see any connection between this very and the trenches, which have already been tired of them.

    I suppose that a limited fight between "brothers - Slavs" will be a good decision for business. The profits will be awesome ...... And we have them and they also have these there ..... And how many troops each has where is it doesn't matter. The people stayed too long in their apartments. It's time to air it out. As the accountants say, "Everything is accounted for by a mighty hurricane."
  15. alex-sherbakov48 4 December 2021 09: 14
    The West and the United States need the current hysteria in the West to process public opinion in their favor, so that the electorate there is sure that Russia wants to unleash the war, and then, when Ukraine unleashes a war in Donbass, it began not to be shown to anyone, but to show only that, how Russian troops strike at the Ukrainian armed forces, i.e. do exactly as they did in Georgia on 08.08.08. Then declare sanctions on Russia as an aggressor.
  16. Dust Offline Dust
    Dust (Sergei) 4 December 2021 16: 27
    On the good, Russia does not need Ukraine. At the moment, this is a headache. This immediately raises the question - How to feed 35 million people. They don't just need to be fed. but to create the same standard of living as in Russia. Then we must not forget, unfortunately in Ukraine the most active population is people from Western Ukraine. Russians living in Ukraine, and there are about 10 million of them. As in the Baltic states, they sit quietly and are silent in a rag. They are waiting for Russia to intercede for them. I think the main task of Russia is to return its lands donated by the communists to Ukraine.
  17. turbris Offline turbris
    turbris (Boris) 4 December 2021 19: 19
    The nonsense of the Western media about the war with Ukraine is off the charts. What does Russia need? We need an independent bloc-free state with a sane policy, which will simultaneously interact with both the East and the West. The West wants with all its might to turn Ukraine into anti-Russia and so far is achieving its goals, relying on nationalist formations. Russia is not going to invade Ukraine and then restore everything that was destroyed there in 30 years. Military actions can only take place in the event of Ukrainian aggression against Donbass, then you will have to protect the citizens of Russia.
  18. Guest throat bone 4 December 2021 19: 46
    It is too early .......
  19. otvinta Offline otvinta
    otvinta (Otvinta) 5 December 2021 20: 27
    Gentlemen, maybe everything is simpler?
    Crimea was defended from Bendery with the Americans and at the same time "squeezed" the peninsula forever.
    "They killed two birds with one stone." The Americans, as always, “washed up”, and we didn’t even thank them.
    But there was held a referendum on the status of "Crimea" - a vote on specifically posed issues, which "untied our hands", since our actions do not fall under international concepts: violations of freedoms, genocide, forceful deprivation, etc.
    Moreover, the Crimea now has a strong "roof" - the Russian Federation.
    In Albania in the 90s there was not even a referendum, but almost all Serbs were massacred.
    The Anglo-Saxons were the first to recognize them.
    What are they fighting for in the DPR and LPR? To not be imprisoned for "nothing"?
    So become a state and accept your laws.
    Has anyone heard anything about the wishlist of their leadership or the suggestions of our leadership?
    In our country, for some time, the most democratic constitution was in force, the provisions of which allowed the union republics (except for the autonomous ones) their own international relations, law enforcement bodies, armed forces and the right to "secede" from the union of republics.
    This was the pre-war "Stalinist" constitution of the USSR.
    After the war, all these positions were removed from the constitution. all the same they did not live by it.
    In the present situation, it would be time for the LPR and DPR to voice their "constitutions" according to which they want to live, since they (constitutions) will define the scope of our support for them.
    In South Africa, for about 30 years, they fought for laws against discrimination against blacks, but the demands were voiced initially.
    And in the present situation it is not clear: what are they fighting for?
    If we proceed from the Minsk agreements, then they can begin to be implemented “yesterday”:
    1. Adopt the constitutions of the DPR and LPR in a referendum, where they are independent republics / states with the right of their own international relations, law enforcement agencies, armed forces, ready to join the federal state of Ukraine while maintaining the basic provisions of their independence and with the right to “secede” federal Ukraine on the basis of voting.
    Until the final formation of Ukraine as a federal state, in the territories of the DPR and LPR, the effect of legislative acts and court decisions of the relevant authorities that usurped power in the rest of Ukraine is canceled.
    The whole APU will run over to them at once.
    2. From that moment, the DPR and LPR, having received in the referendum the people's non-recognition of the “Kiev power” (which is key) and the assignment of the status of independent states to the republics, has the right to call the Kremlin and ask for help.
    And here the Russian Federation will certainly help.
    And after 2-3 years of working with "activists" in Odessa, Nikolaev and Kharkov, form a Federal Ukraine and 4 republics (former regions): Luhansk, Donetsk, Zaporozhye, Kharkov and demand to remove from the UN incomprehensible representatives of Ukraine.
    If everyone sees that the Russian Federation is strictly guarding the dividing line between "Kiev" and the "new republics", then no UN or Anglo-Saxons will vyat, even when they are "swept away with a broom" into the Black Sea from the coast.
  20. Peter Nikolov Offline Peter Nikolov
    Peter Nikolov (Peter Nikolov) 7 December 2021 14: 01
    The Americans are posting plans without taking into account the "Supreme Commander"!
    The Cosmic Wind, however, is blowing the other way - see the script for the Cosmic Wind and World Revolution here:
  21. predessor Offline predessor
    predessor (Naum) 14 December 2021 19: 47
    Russia is following the course of Stolypin, for whom wars are contraindicated.
    As for the capitalists, they are the very economy of Russia. Their interests are inseparable from the interests of Russia, in contrast to the Leninist comrades-in-arms, who raved about the World Revolution.
  22. NikolayN Offline NikolayN
    NikolayN (Nikolai) 20 December 2021 22: 26
    They are still different. They cannot understand that we are "teaching" them. It is for this squeal that everything is conceived. And under this screech, we will turn off the gas to Ukraine.
  23. NikolayN Offline NikolayN
    NikolayN (Nikolai) 6 January 2022 17: 28
    And what tasks to solve for Russia in Ukraine? Do you have any tasks now? The author, by "pressure" on Ukraine, Russia solves other problems. And the West knows that our tasks are not there. But their task is to put pressure on us, to present us as a party to the conflict. The further, the more difficult it will be for them to do this. It is impossible to tell all the time that the troops of the Russian Federation are in the Donbass, and without this the myth of the peaceful Maidan revolution is falling apart. This means that the West supported the coup and the Civil War in Ukraine. Introduced illegal economic sanctions against Russia. This undermines faith in democracy and justice in the EU. And then there are the courts. After all, you can take Merkel to prison too.
  24. The comment was deleted.
  25. House 25 Sq. 380 (House 25 Sq. 380) 16 February 2022 19: 11
    It remains a mere trifle - to prove this thesis, otherwise the whole logic of the article crumbles: "The idea of ​​Russian diplomacy was to sign agreements that would become the basis for ending the civil war in Donbass when the political leadership of Ukraine was changed from pro-Western to pro-Russian"...
    I want to remind you right away: the presidential elections in Ukraine were held in May 2014, we are glad - in October 2014, that is, BEFORE signing agreements ...
  26. cooper Offline cooper
    cooper (Alexander) 24 February 2022 22: 52
    Today's events (24.02.2022/XNUMX/XNUMX) - the beginning of a large-scale Russian military operation in Ukraine - completely overturn this author's analytics ..