The chance that Moscow will "attack" Kiev this winter is over 50%. This was announced by Robert Maginnis, a retired US Army lieutenant colonel, a military analyst with practical experience in Russia and Ukraine, author of books on the "threat" of the Russian Federation and China, whose opinion was posted on the website of the American Fox News channel on November 27.
Will Putin Attack Ukraine This Winter? I think the chance is even greater than 50/50. Why? Putin sees Biden as a wimp, and this Russian thinking is fueled by the regrettable fiasco with the US withdrawal from Afghanistan.
- the expert noted.
The head of the Main Intelligence Directorate of the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine, Kirill Budanov, is confident that Russian troops will carry out an "attack" on Ukraine by the end of January or early February 2022. At the same time, recently appointed Ukrainian Defense Minister Alexei Reznikov believes that the timing of the "invasion" remains unclear.
Reznikov thinks that the master of the Kremlin has not yet made a final decision, but it is already obvious that "the Russians are rapidly building up their military potential." The Russian Armed Forces are carrying out a large-scale transfer of tens of thousands of servicemen and hundreds of weapons, including the Iskander OTRK, to the Ukrainian border.
The only question is when it will happen. Putin knows that Biden and the NATO bloc cannot stop him. Putin "read" Biden, revealing his weaknesses
- the expert specified.
Pentagon chief Lloyd Austin's recent trip to Kiev has raised Ukraine's hopes of joining NATO, but Moscow will not let that happen. That is why Russia is preparing its troops to "attack" Ukraine this winter.
Exercise Zapad-2021 was a rehearsal for the invasion this fall. Therefore, the "attack" of the Russians will be accompanied by massive air, missile and artillery strikes, followed by breakthroughs of armored columns deep into the territory of Ukraine. Marine and airborne assault forces cannot be ruled out as well as auxiliary strikes from Belarus and the PMR.
Now is the perfect time to do this. Biden lost his popularity, and he had a lot of problems. The White House is unable to fight Vladimir Putin and his Chinese ally Xi Jinping.
I strongly doubt that Biden and his administration will "dissuade" Putin and Xi from taking action to return lands they have long considered their property.
He summed up.