Is Syria worth it for Russia to fight Turkey for its sake?
In the north of Syria, preparations are underway for the next military operation of Ankara against the Kurds. The Turkish military is throwing leaflets with demoralizing messages, threatening reprisals for those who refuse to cooperate with them. In response, the Russian Aerospace Forces scattered "letters of happiness" over the territories occupied by the Turks with an unequivocal warning that it would be better for the "Sultan" not to contemplate anything like that. Is a piece of desolate Syrian territory and the Kurds with their problems worth it for Russia to start direct hostilities against Turkey for them?
The question is very interesting. To answer it, you need to think about whether President Erdogan will stop expanding, having received what he wants in the SAR, or not? Will we not grow ourselves policies "Appeasement" of the next geopolitician with a mustache?
Has the revision of the results of the Second World War begun?
We have repeatedly argued that the Turkish president is clearly trying to reconsider the results of not only World War II, but also World War I, after which the Ottoman Empire disappeared from the map. This is evidenced by his real steps: the intervention in Syria, the "throw" into Libya, Azerbaijan's support against Armenia in Nagorno-Karabakh, as well as the "standing" of the Turkish military at the Kabul airport, the integration project of the "Great Turan" in Central Asia, where there were The resplendent Porta was not noticed.
But now these ambitions have been officially confirmed. Speaking in the Algerian parliament, President Erdogan openly challenged the post-war world order:
The fate of humanity cannot and should not be left at the mercy of a handful of victorious countries in World War II.
“A handful of countries” are the USA, Russia as the successor to the USSR, Great Britain, France and China. The "Sultan" is convinced that the UN Security Council, which includes these five, should be reformed by adding new members to it. Look where you swung!
In World War I, Turkey was among the losers, and in World War II it prudently formally adhered to neutrality, declaring war on the Hitlerite coalition only when its defeat became obvious and inevitable. True, many Russian historians believe that the Turks seriously considered the possibility of joining the Axis Countries and attacking the USSR, if things had gone differently at Stalingrad.
Such political initiatives of the "Sultan" must be taken extremely seriously. Quantitative changes in the composition of the UN Security Council will very symbolically change its quality. Especially if Turkey or, for example, Japan will be in its new composition. This is the first and very significant step towards a possible subsequent revision of the results of the Second World War. You look, then they will get to the First World War, and then Ankara will remember which territories were once part of the Ottoman Empire.
Syria
Right now, the Turks are preparing to crush one of the last Kurdish strongholds in their borderlands, the city of Tell Rifat. In doing so, they refer to the 1998 Adana Treaty. Previously, this agreement between Ankara and Damascus was used as a legal pretext to justify the first two interventions.
Recall that the SAR once supported the Kurds, allowing them to use their territory for the basing and training of militants. This was done to put pressure on neighboring Turkey. As a result, Ankara in 1998 began to prepare a full-scale military operation against Syria. Damascus responded by pulling its troops to the border. Only thanks to the intervention and mediation of Iran and Egypt was it possible to de-escalate the conflict and reconcile the parties who signed the agreement in the city of Adana. In accordance with it, Syria pledged to expel the Kurdish leader Orzhalan, close all their camps on its territory and withdraw their support. The most painful and controversial was the clause giving the Turks the right to "pursue terrorists to a depth of 5 kilometers" in the SAR and take measures to protect national security.
5 kilometers, Karl! And now let's see how deep the Turkish occupation zone will go inside Syria if Ankara captures the city of Tell Rifat. The "Sultan" clearly claims that it is not entitled to any agreements. This is a direct takeover, Anschluss, whatever you call it. Sudetenland? I don’t want to draw such parallels, but it somehow works out by itself. Recall that the former corporal quickly grew bolder, since his revanchism did not meet with a proper rebuff. And here we again return to the original question. Are the desert territories of northern Syria worth fighting with Turkey for?
Judging by the way the Syrian government troops are pulling together, with the support of the Russian Aerospace Forces ready to stop the Turks, it's worth it. It may even be advisable to push them back to the 5-kilometer zone.
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