"Guns instead of butter": why the budget of the Russian Federation did not find money for the real sector of the economy

17

An explanatory note to the draft federal budget for the next three years got into the domestic press. After reviewing it, we can conclude that the "coronavirus crisis" has passed, and the country is finally getting on a war footing, starting to stamp "guns instead of oil." How justified is such a bias in the economy Russia, whose share in world GDP is about 2%?

We talk a lot about what new types of weapons our country needs: fifth generation fighters, Armata tanks, UDC and aircraft carriers, spy satellites, stealth nuclear submarines, and so on. All this is needed here and now, and preferably as much as possible. The reason is a new iteration of the Cold War with the United States and its allies, which began after the events of 2014 in Ukraine. De facto, a new arms race has been going on for several years now, and the federal authorities are verbally refusing to participate in it. This naturally leads to an increase in military spending, which, in principle, can be welcomed. The only question is, at what cost and at what expense?



Note that even the mighty USSR, whose share in the total industrial output was about 20%, did not pull out a tense race with the Western bloc. The Russian Federation is immeasurably weaker than the Soviet Union: over the past 30 years, there has been a process of de-industrialization, degradation of the system of higher and secondary vocational education, health care, and the problem of depopulation has not been resolved. A strong air force, army and navy are good, of course, but they have to stand on some kind of solid economic basis, right? What is the use, for example, of thousands of ultra-modern tanks, if they have nothing to refuel, and the tankers have nothing to pay wages and give out the state-owned apartment? How many powerful Soviet warships were out of order, since they could not be repaired, and they went to the scrap or abroad to more zealous owners?

Let's see in which direction the Russian economy will develop in the next 3 years. Already next year, the state will spend 3,5 trillion rubles on the "National Defense" against 3,46 trillion on the "National Economy". The priorities are still social policy, for which 5,8 trillion rubles have been allocated. It is obvious that the budget is again returning to the "military track", from which it was necessary to get off the "civil" tracks in 2020 and 2021 due to the coronavirus pandemic. Most of the defense spending is classified as secret, and, in general, their growth can be welcomed against the backdrop of the intensification of the military activity of the NATO bloc and the noticeable militaristic changes taking place in Japan. We need rockets, tanks, planes, submarines, and everything else. But what is the reason for the increase in military spending?

First of all, we note the overall budget cuts planned by the government. Yes, yes, from 21,3% of GDP in 2021, they will decrease to 17,4% in 2024. Why this is happening, we will tell at the very end. Healthcare spending will decline from 342,9 billion rubles in 2022 to 304,6 billion in 2024. Apparently, the authorities believe that we have coped with the consequences of the coronavirus pandemic, and this is gratifying. The costs of the Accessible Environment program for people with disabilities will be cut by several billion rubles. Funding for the Housing and Urban Environment project will be cut from 183,8 billion rubles in 2022 to 165,7 billion in 2024. Also, we were not pleased with the plans to reduce budgetary spending on the environment: from 115,5 billion rubles in 2022, they will decrease to 99,5 billion in 2024. And this is against the backdrop of the annual burnout of millions of hectares of forest in the taiga and the declared course for "greening" the economy.

On the other hand, government investments in so-called "culture" will grow slightly - from 43,1 to 43,8 billion rubles over the specified period. Apparently, for domestic filmmakers to "please" us with another "great film" about the Great Patriotic War or a spreading "cranberry" about the Revolution, the Civil War, Chernobyl, or even about the "king-father" and his personal life. All this, of course, for budget money.

What I would like to say about all this. We do not call for cutting military spending, taking money from the RF Ministry of Defense in order to transfer it, for example, to reforestation. In general, the point is different. Contrary to Dmitry Anatolyevich Medvedev's fiercely "trashy" phrase, there is money in the country. They are hidden in the gold and foreign exchange reserves and the National Welfare Fund and do not work for the Russian economy in any way. On the contrary, being deployed abroad, these funds stimulate the development of our direct geopolitical adversaries. It has already been calculated that at the current exchange rate, all our gold and foreign exchange reserves are worth somewhere around 75 trillion rubles. Compare this to what the government is willing to invest in our economy, health and the environment. No one is proposing to "plump" all international reserves into the real sector at once, zeroing the "money box", but it is possible and even necessary to start with the liquid part of the NWF in order to eliminate the imbalance in the federal budget towards the military unit. But instead, President Putin is proposing that the Cabinet of Ministers consider raising the threshold for spending the fund from 7% of GDP to 10%, that is, depriving the economy of the money it needs so much for development.

What for? What is the use of wonderful fifth-generation fighters if the industry is not able to quickly mass-produce them, and in the budget in 10-15 years, due to a decrease in the export of hydrocarbon raw materials, there will be no funds to fulfill social obligations to the population? With such a bias towards the defense industry, to the detriment of the real sector, our country will overstrain much faster than the USSR, and the final result may be even more deplorable.
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  1. The comment was deleted.
  2. 0
    5 October 2021 15: 35
    Funding for the Housing and Urban Environment project will be cut from 183,8 billion rubles in 2022 to 165,7 billion in 2024.

    It is high time to start again building municipal housing, which belongs to the state, as in the USSR. From him the state will have the rent and so on.
    In general, the State Planning Commission needs to be restored by at least 50%.
    1. 0
      6 October 2021 17: 18
      In Russia, the system is capitalist. Fuck the capitalists will give people housing? And, you mean the state ... like in the Russian state at the helm are completely good uncles and aunts sitting and all for the people, well, yes, well, yes. Quite the opposite, there are only capitalists * and sit and believe me, they think about the interests of the people in the very last, most extreme, most distant place. So it turns out that the state will not build anything, since it is not obliged. And there will be no state plan. There is a plan ... well, you get the idea, everything is going according to it. That is to say according to the plan! Buy, the capitalists are now building for every taste. No money left? Well ... it happens, take a loan, pay the last one? No luck ... We stand on that!

      * they can also have dual citizenship! How!
  3. +1
    5 October 2021 17: 06
    it is not so easy to spend those several hundred billions that are resting in our national funds. If you pour even $ 20-50 billion into the economy, this will already affect inflation. The injection of such money also leads to greater corruption, because the money will go to "projects" and will be partially sawn (and taken out abroad). Russia is preparing for a major global crisis, perhaps even a war. This global event is almost inevitable. This does not mean that Russia will face an inevitable war in the next 5-10 years. But there is no doubt that Russia will need a strong army in the near future.
    1. 0
      8 October 2021 12: 03
      Yes Yes. Strong army. It will be necessary. And even more National Guards will be needed. Of course, enemies are all around. Yeah. War is on the nose. Let's tighten our belts. Macaroshki are the same everywhere. Not asked to give birth. The state owes you nothing. Go into business. The ruble will not crawl under the ass and the sofa.
      Let's rally. So we will win. The Englishwoman shits. We will all go to heaven, and they will simply die. There is no money, but you hold on there, all the best to you ... Russia has overcome the crisis, prosperity is growing ... To achieve collective immunity ... Negative growth ... The forecast is favorable ...
  4. -7
    5 October 2021 17: 36
    The reason is a new iteration of the Cold War with the United States and its allies, which began after the events of 2014 in Ukraine.

    I would add, after our intervention in the events in Ukraine then, in 2014, and continuing to this day.
  5. 0
    5 October 2021 19: 55
    ... and the tankers have nothing to pay their salaries for ...

    As far as I can imagine, the salary is paid to a bank card or directly in cash.
    There is no shortage in the country either with cards or with taking hands.
  6. -4
    5 October 2021 20: 18
    After us, even a deluge! That's the whole principle of government.
  7. +2
    6 October 2021 06: 45
    Someone lacks oil? Yesterday in the discounter only 8 varieties of Russian counted. I am exaggerating of course. Posuschestvu. Distortion because by 2025 the rearmament and re-equipment must be completed. In any available way. Because of the probable transition of the frozen conflicts of the late 90s and early XNUMXs into a hot phase. Thank you to the "hegemon" for them. The army must be ready.
    1. -1
      6 October 2021 09: 11
      likely transition of frozen conflicts of the late 90s and early noughties into the hot phase.

      Announce the entire list of pzhsta.
      And then I could not remember anything except Chechnya.
      1. The comment was deleted.
      2. -2
        7 October 2021 12: 58
        Do you know how to read? Use the Internet? Google, Yandex, Tor, Bingo and other search engines will help you!
  8. 0
    6 October 2021 11: 22
    To judge such cases, you need to cut the trick in the economy, in politics! In short, let the heads rattle about this at the Ministry of Finance.
  9. 0
    6 October 2021 12: 16
    Marzhetsky did not notice that the borders of the Russian Federation had moved very close, that the number of slippers and barmaley who were ready to carry out any order for food in adjacent territories was also growing. And taking into account the totality of recent events, you do not need to be Baba Vanga, the situation with additional acceleration will only get worse. I think this is an indicator, the Kremlin is preparing for any scenario, and the time has come for the mass purchase of tanks, armored personnel carriers, new-generation BMPs, the S-500, aviation, hypersound. We need to keep up with the oil and gas and even coal flooded up.
    1. -1
      6 October 2021 17: 25
      Write correctly. Everything is correct. Only ... this very Kremlin is preparing for what? Do not think, I believe, but ...
  10. +2
    6 October 2021 14: 57
    PROBLEMS OF ECONOMIC MANAGEMENT.
    The government of any country, as well as the Russian Federation, performing the functions of managing the economy of its industries and even basic monopoly corporations, must firmly defend - to observe the state interests.
    For effective work and systemic progressive development, management must apply and use the entire arsenal of communication methods: economic incentives, protectionism, and equally forced coercion.
    At the same time, planning, recording and monitoring the implementation of the set goals and objectives are of fundamental importance. You say - they say that enterprises are private, or collective property and the influence of government structures on them is not possible by law. This is not entirely true, and under an hour it cannot be just like that!
    Administrative structures, both local, territorial, and sometimes federal, have the right and are obliged to keep track of the movement of products produced on a legal basis and its impact on the socio-economic state. The task of management structures is to ensure the stable and sustainable development of society, and this implies strict adherence to the needs, needs of society and responsively to its requests.
    But what happens to enterprises and even industries that make up the country's economic potential when the state (government, or its representatives) withdraws itself from management.
    Greed, on the one hand, and (including major) waste, on the other, of the current monopoly Masters, prompts (to liquidate various funds) to optimize expenses and incomes, presumptuously considering them lost profits. And, the lack of funds: a reserve, renovation, new technology, welfare and others, including social ones, especially with unreliable economic ties with subcontractors and natural disasters, are fraught with a clear threat of ruin or absorption. And only State support, incl. and societies can provide an opportunity for businesses and industries to cope with anticipated crises and emergencies.
    Such state support presupposes a mutual socially responsible attitude of enterprises to the state and society, which is absent in the current system of relations at all! Full reciprocity is still being replaced by the satisfaction of personal interests of the direct representative of the state and society.
    With such a system of economic relations continuing, there is only one prospect - this is the destruction of the state as a Subject of law and the colonization of its fragments by Trans-national corporations. In this situation, the institution of governorship will be quickly legalized, which is what the globalizers are trying to achieve, who proclaimed the Europe thesis from Lisbon to the Far East! This is what the absence of its own state ideology means, without which no other result can be seen in the coming years.
    More specifically and with numbers, we take from the REPORTER's public article:
    “Let's see in which direction the Russian economy will develop in the next 3 years. Already next year, the state will spend 3,5 trillion rubles on the "National Defense" against 3,46 trillion on the "National Economy". The priorities are still social policy, for which 5,8 trillion rubles have been allocated. It is obvious that the budget is again returning to the "military track", from which it was necessary to get off the "civil" tracks in 2020 and 2021 due to the coronavirus pandemic.
    Most of the defense spending is classified as secret, and, in general, their growth can be welcomed against the background of the intensification of the military activity of the NATO bloc and the noticeable militaristic changes taking place in Japan. We need missiles, tanks, planes, submarines, and everything else. But what is the reason for the increase in military spending?
    First of all, we note the overall budget cuts planned by the government. Yes, yes, from 21,3% of GDP in 2021, they will decrease to 17,4% in 2024. Why this is happening, we will tell at the very end. Healthcare spending will decline from 342,9 billion rubles in 2022 to 304,6 billion in 2024. Apparently, the authorities believe that we have coped with the consequences of the coronavirus pandemic, and this is gratifying. The costs of the Accessible Environment program for people with disabilities will be cut by several billion rubles. Funding for the Housing and Urban Environment project will be cut from 183,8 billion rubles in 2022 to 165,7 billion in 2024. Also, we were not pleased with the plans to reduce budgetary spending on the environment: from 115,5 billion rubles in 2022, they will decrease to 99,5 billion in 2024. And this is against the backdrop of the annual burnout of millions of hectares of forest in the taiga and the declared course for "greening" the economy.
    On the other hand, government investments in so-called "culture" will grow slightly - from 43,1 to 43,8 billion rubles over the specified period. Apparently, for domestic filmmakers to "please" us with another "great film" about the Great Patriotic War or a spreading "cranberry" about the Revolution, the Civil War, Chernobyl, or even about the "king-father" and his personal life. All this, of course, for budget money.
    What I would like to say about all this. We do not call for cutting military spending, taking money from the RF Ministry of Defense in order to transfer it, for example, to reforestation. In general, the point is different. Contrary to Dmitry Anatolyevich Medvedev's fiercely "trashy" phrase, there is money in the country. They are hidden in the gold and foreign exchange reserves and the National Welfare Fund and do not work in any way for the Russian economy. On the contrary, being deployed abroad, these funds stimulate the development of our direct geopolitical opponents !!!
    It has already been calculated that at the current exchange rate, all our gold and foreign exchange reserves are worth somewhere around 75 trillion rubles. Compare that to what the government is willing to invest in our economy, health and the environment. No one is proposing to "plump" all international reserves into the real sector at once, zeroing the "money box", but it is possible and even necessary to start with the liquid part of the NWF in order to eliminate the imbalance in the federal budget towards the military unit. But instead, President Putin is proposing that the Cabinet of Ministers consider raising the threshold for spending the fund from 7% of GDP to 10%, that is, depriving the economy of the money it needs for development. "
    The trend of what is happening in the country is a gradual systemic degradation of both the executive and representative authorities at all levels. In practice - it looks like a roadmap for the colonization of the Country!
    1. -1
      6 October 2021 17: 28
      The trend of what is happening in the Country is a gradual systemic degradation of both the executive and representative authorities at all levels.

      In fact of the matter! In fact of the matter.....
  11. 0
    8 October 2021 13: 37
    Well, maybe Marzhetsky should study the dynamics? He would then have noticed that the growth in 3 years of the article Nat. The economy amounted to 0,5 trillion rubles and the "horror" reduction for the next year amounted to 20 billion rubles ... provided that we have an average of 100 billion not fulfilled.
  12. +3
    21 October 2021 16: 37
    The starting conditions for Vladimir Putin's rule were critically unfavorable - the state was on the verge of collapse and civil war, the economy was below the waterline, and the population survived as best it could.
    Against this background, relations with the West were at their peak.
    As soon as V.V. Putin began to impose elementary order in the economic, legislative, executive power, relations with the West immediately began to deteriorate and continued to deteriorate as the strengthening of sovereignty, the growth of the economy and defense capability, reaching its peak by the end of V.V. Putin's powers and development of the Russian Federation.
    The Russian Federation paid off all the debts of the USSR, more than a thousand large enterprises were built, dozens of infrastructure projects were implemented, civil construction unprecedented in history unfolded, the state became Controlled, and the trend of falling living standards of the population broke and moved to a gradual growth.
    The era of V.V.Putin's rule will go down in the history of the state as the “golden age of Pericles,” which the “democrats” will try to discredit, just like the achievements of the USSR during the era of J.V. Stalin's rule.