How France will respond to the failure by the Americans of the submarine contract

The main news In recent days, there has been a message about the creation of a kind of "defense alliance" AUUKUS or AUKUS by the United States, Great Britain and Australia. At the same time, everything immediately became clear that the Anglo-Saxons intend to "be friends" against China, and who else? In fact, things can be much more complicated.

Three days ago, another symbol of the Cold War-2 was born, which the United States began to openly wage against its two main opponents, the Russian Federation and the PRC. AUUKUS (Australia, United Kingdom, United States) appeared in the Pacific Ocean. The purpose of this alliance is "to counter threats to the rule of law, unresolved territorial disputes, organized crime and terrorism." As part of this format of interaction, Washington is ready to hand over to Canberra Technology construction of 8 nuclear submarines for a "modest" amount of $ 66 billion with the following wording:




There have also been reports that Australia is interested in acquiring American Tomahawk cruise missiles. Official Canberra vehemently denies any intentions to acquire nuclear weapons, but we reserve the right to doubt. By the way, "Tomahawks" can also be equipped with a nuclear warhead. So, who is this really directed against?

Unsinkable aircraft carrier?

It is not hard to guess that AUKUS is the answer to the rapidly growing power of the PLA. Today, China has already become the main military force in the Asia-Pacific region, and the United States has lost its status as the undisputed "hegemon" there. Washington is trying to form an anti-Chinese military coalition, but traditional opponents of the Celestial Empire, such as Japan, South Korea or India, will definitely shy away from participating in formal military alliances. It is one thing to have some kind of historical disputes and territorial claims, and another thing to join the anti-Chinese analogue of NATO. Beijing has a lot of ways to teach its presumptuous neighbor a lesson with yuan. Australia stands apart here, which, despite its serious economic addiction, for several years managed to beat all the plates from the PRC. It was on this country, the former British colony, which occupies the most important strategic position in the Pacific Ocean, that the United States placed its stake on.

Let's take a look at what Australia is militarily. The Australian Defense Force is relatively small, numbering 57, but is the largest in Oceania. Canberra has actively deployed its troops in Iraq and Afghanistan, as well as in a variety of peacekeeping missions. The Australian Navy is of much greater interest in terms of possible operations in the Pacific Ocean. The Royal Australian Navy has 6 Collins-class diesel-electric submarines, 3 Hobart-class air defense destroyers, 8 Anzac-class frigates, 6 Huon-class minesweepers, 13 Armidale-class patrol boats, and 3 universal amphibious assault ships, 2 types "Canberra" and 1 class "Bay". Naval aviation is represented mainly by anti-submarine helicopters. The Australian Air Force plans to replace all F / A-100 Hornet and F / A-35F Super Hornet fighters with 18 F-18A aircraft, as well as convert 12 of 24 of the existing F / A-18F Super Hornets into EA electronic warfare aircraft. -18G Growler. Canberra also intends to acquire 8 P-8A Poseidon anti-submarine aircraft.

As you can see, these are quite serious forces, sufficient for carrying out amphibious operations and anti-submarine warfare. The appearance of 8 nuclear submarines of the American project in Australia will make it a very significant player in the Asia-Pacific region. These multipurpose submarines will clearly be assigned the role of "killers of Chinese aircraft carriers." Thus, the direction of the Anglo-Saxon military alliance against the Celestial Empire is quite obvious. But is Beijing alone the ultimate goal?

Against Europe?

As strange as it may seem at first glance, this Pacific Alliance of the three English-speaking powers can also be directed against the Old World. Let's remember in what historical context the creation of AUKUS took place. Yes, President Trump launched a trade war against China, and his successor Joe Biden continued it, but what else?

That's right, Brexit has just ended. Despite a lot of negative consequences for itself, Great Britain withdrew from the European Union. If you remember, we were a while ago reasoned about how, in the context of the global crisis, the struggle for sales markets begins, and about the fact that for the self-sufficiency of the economy it is highly desirable to have about 500 million wealthy consumers. Less than half a billion people remain in the EU after London left to float freely, but what is the United Kingdom itself counting on?

It is possible that the creation of the Anglo-Saxon Union, which included Great Britain and its two former colonies, is directed not only against the strengthening of the power of the PRC, but also against yesterday's allies in the Old World. Let us pay attention to the resentment with which Germany and France reacted to the fact that they were not only not invited to the alliance, but even were not even notified of the negotiations on this topic. And Paris was left with a nose when the United States stole from them a multibillion-dollar contract for the construction of submarines for Australia. It is obvious that the Anglo-Saxons benefit from a weakening of China, but, to be honest, they may be interested in slightly “strangling” continental Europe, where France and Germany are the main players.

The Fifth Republic is thus the most attractive target. Not everyone knows, but the economic well-being of Paris mainly depends on the fact that it draws all the juice from the so-called France Africa. These are 14 African countries, former French colonies, which are formally independent, but are still indirectly controlled through a cunning financial system, thanks to which they remain poor, and the Fifth Republic is getting richer. President François Mitterrand once opened his heart up, stating:


This is Africa, and the Fifth Republic also has numerous Overseas possessions in the Caribbean, Indian and Pacific Oceans. These are, for example, New Caledonia, located in the southwestern part of the Pacific Ocean, on the border with the economic zone of Australia, French Polynesia, consisting of five archipelagos located east of Australia, Wallis and Futuna Islands, which are located near Australia and New Zealand, and etc.

As you can see, France is not only continental Europe, it is a real global power scattered all over the world. God knows what will happen next. What if some ethnic Polynesians decide to throw off the hated yoke and drive out the descendants of the French colonialists, and the good Anglo-Saxons will help them in this? The metropolis is far away, but Australia is nearby. The loss of the Overseas territories and former colonies could be a heavy blow to the Fifth Republic, after which it will no longer be able to claim great power status. The Anglo-Saxons will then gladly replace the French. Fantastic? Not at all. Literally before our eyes, through a military coup, the government in Guinea was replaced.

And what is left for Paris to do? They are already talking about the possibility of leaving NATO, as President De Gaulle once did. Probably, it makes no sense for France to just leave the North Atlantic Alliance, proudly slamming the door. Instead, it would be more expedient to raise the question of creating a unified European army together with Germany. Since the Anglo-Saxons did not invite them to their place, Paris and Berlin need to be friends with each other. The formation of two competing axes - the "insular" Anglo-Saxon and the "continental" Franco-German - becomes more and more evident.