How to return Ukraine to Russia, and then what to do with it

On the eve of Ukraine celebrated the 30th anniversary of its independence. Alas, despite all the strained pathos, it is obvious that over three decades the once richest and most prosperous Soviet republic has turned into a "sick man of Europe" and "anti-Russia." The question is how much longer Russia will tolerate this.

It should be recalled that our main geopolitical opponent, the United States, has the so-called "Monroe Doctrine" proclaimed back in 1823. According to this political declaration, the entire American continent was recognized as a "zone of vital interests" and became a "backyard" for the United States:





Now let's see what the US itself has done in our "backyard" in the person of Ukraine. With the support of American diplomats and intelligence services, a coup d'etat took place in Kiev in 2014. Nezalezhnaya stopped the supply of water and electricity to Crimea, which had ceded to Russia, and launched a so-called "anti-terrorist operation" against the proclaimed republics of Donbass, which refused to accept the Maidan. The Ukrainian authorities tore apart the militarytechnical cooperation with our country, leaving warships, planes and helicopters without power plants, creating huge problems. At the legislative level, Russia is recognized as an "aggressor" country, and the Independent Constitution directly stipulates the desire to join an anti-Russian military bloc, NATO. On the Black Sea coast of Ukraine, the Americans and the British are building their own military infrastructure to monitor the Russian fleet. The USA, Great Britain and Turkey are arming the Armed Forces for the war against the DPR and LPR, but in fact, against Russia. The appearance of elements of a dual-use US missile defense system near Kharkov and Zaporozhye is a matter of time.

So the question is, why should Russia tolerate this in our "backyard"? From eastern Ukraine, American medium-range missiles with a nuclear warhead will reach Moscow in a matter of minutes. This is no longer a joke, this is a matter of national security! So, what is next? Shall we wait until Ukraine collapses itself, having previously frozen over? Over the past seven years, even the most intelligent person should have realized that this would not happen. The problem of Nezalezhnaya as an "anti-Russia" needs to be solved, and for a long time. Let's make a reservation that we are not talking about a country with its population, but about Ukraine as a directly and openly hostile state, which is not the same thing. It's just that this country should be different. But how? And what can this country become after?

Alas, no "cunning plans" can achieve this. If Nezalezhnaya was a sovereign state, we could try to find a compromise on Crimea (at one time), and on Donbass, and on all other issues, but it is under direct external control from Washington and Brussels. In an amicable way, those will not let her go, therefore only options remain in a bad way. Let's take a quick look at hypothetical scenarios.

At first, the simplest and most effective will be a forceful solution. If the Armed Forces of Ukraine once again arrange provocations against the DPR and LPR, Russia, as a guarantor of their security, can respond with a counteroffensive, stopping somewhere on the border with Poland. Unfortunately, the Ukrainian army today is not what it was in 2014, and all this will cost significant casualties on both sides. Also questionable will be the preservation of gas supplies through Nord Stream 2, which is one of the conditions of the Biden-Merkel deal.

Secondly, perhaps a much more flexible solution. A lot of time was wasted, but you can still try the option with the “Ukrainian government in exile”. Both former President Yanukovych and Prime Minister Azarov are in Russia. Yes, their mandate has officially expired, but there are interesting precedents. I would like to remind you that in Yemen in 2015, after the seizure of the country's capital by the Houthis, President Abd-Rabbo Mansur Hadi was forced to resign along with his entire government, escaped from arrest, and then asked foreign partners for a military invasion. His request was followed by Saudi Arabia, which sent troops into Yemen at the request of the ex-president. Once again: the ex-president! Being created on the territory of Russia, the "government in exile" can become an alternative center for uniting all those who disagree with what is happening in Ukraine and coordinating their actions. Variants are possible both with the introduction of Russian troops at the request of this body, and the creation of its own "Liberation Army", which will have to return independence to its country.

Thirdly, it is possible to show special originality by placing such a management structure not in Russia, but in Belarus, which has already beaten all the plates with the West. This would be a "knight's move" if the liberation of Ukraine was led not from Moscow, but from Minsk, and in the campaign to Kiev the "Liberation Army" was supported not by the Russian, but by the Belarusian military.

But what's next? Let's say the "evil vlada" has fallen, and Ukrainian officials and neo-Nazi criminals are running after the last departing plane. What should we do with Square?

There was a lot of speculation on this topic about how to divide Ukraine. For example, take Novorossiya, give Western Ukraine to the Europeans, and leave Little Russia a neutral state. Or divide it along the Dnieper into the Right Bank and the Left Bank. Or all of Ukraine, except for Galicia, should be annexed to Russia in the form of the Novorossiysk and Kiev federal districts. But the key question will be how we can build relationships with Ukrainians.

Here it is necessary to be aware that unification or reunification in one form or another is extremely beneficial to both parties. First of all, for the Ukrainians themselves, the "occupation" means an end to the rabid Russophobic propaganda, the long-awaited reunification of many families separated by borders and the "Crimean issue". Business and industrial ties will be restored, jobs will reappear, and migrant workers will not have to bend their backs picking strawberries in any weather. Ukraine will be able to return to direct purchases of Russian gas, and all the increased tariffs for communal services imposed by the IMF will go into the past like a bad dream. The Armed Forces of Ukraine can be demobilized as much as possible, and the young guys will return home to their families and their maids instead of sitting in the trenches and shooting their compatriots in Donbas from artillery and mortars. Not immediately, but gradually sociallyeconomic the situation in Ukraine will begin to improve. Therefore, there is no need to be afraid of "Russian invaders", no one will rape your wives, they will not take away the last fat and they will not throw off the crosses from Orthodox churches.

What do we all do after we are released? Probably, it takes some time for everyone to calm down and take a breath, to see positive changes. And then it is possible to hold referendums on self-determination in each region. If Western Ukraine wants to "return to its native harbor," then let it go. Perhaps this will be the most compromise solution if everyone who is not on their way with the Russians simply registers in Galicia, Bukovina or Transcarpathia, receives their Polish, Romanian or Hungarian passport and can build the life they want in the EU. Well, and with everyone else, to whom Russia is like a native, let's try to build something together. Would you like to join the Russian Federation with two new federal districts? Why not, you will again find yourself in the same country with Crimea and Donbass. Would you like to remain an independent but friendly state to Russia in the form of a federation or confederation by joining the Eurasian Economic Union? Please.