How the real military clash between the USA and China over Taiwan will end

It is customary to talk about the US Armed Forces only in superlatives: the richest, the most powerful, the most brilliant and invincible, etc. And, yes, the Americans do have an overwhelming superiority over almost any army in the world. But what if they have to fight not against some Serbs, Iraqis or Libyans, but against an adversary comparable to them in terms of technological level, like Russia or China?

Why do these two countries stand apart? Probably because Washington itself recognized them as the main threat to the US national security. Against Russia, the Americans and their European allies in the NATO bloc are constantly conducting military exercises near the Kaliningrad region, as well as not far from the Crimea in the Black Sea, which should symbolize the unshakable confidence in the victory of the Stars and Stripes. And now the Pentagon has decided to make China a little bit worse by holding the largest naval exercise in history, the Large Scale Exercise (LSE) in 2021.



The anti-Chinese maneuvers started on August 3 and will last until the 16th. The exercises will involve 25 thousand people, aviation and 36 warships, including submarines, aircraft carriers and one unmanned ship. To intimidate Beijing as much as possible, the Pentagon deployed more than two dozen of its fifth-generation F-22 fighters to Guam. It is assumed that the "Raptors" will be dispersed there over many small airfields to make it difficult for the PLA to preemptively destroy stealth aircraft with missile strikes right on the ground, when they are as defenseless and useless as possible. The US Navy will be controlled by the Marine Corps, which is rather unusual, but it directly testifies to the real objectives of the exercises. How we detail told Previously, the US Marines will work with the Navy to practice "Expeditionary Forward Base Operations," "Offshore Operations in a Contested Environment," and "Command and Control in a Contested Environment."

Therefore, we are talking about a demonstration of the US military capabilities in a certain "disputed zone", where a military expedition should be conducted with subsequent control and command. And what kind of zone is this?

If you look at the map where the 2021 Large Scale Exercise (LSE) is taking place, it becomes obvious that Taiwan is meant. Apparently, the Pentagon sees its possible clash with China not directly, but on this island as its ally and protector of Taipei, where the US Navy and the Marine Corps will have to inflict a convincing and humiliating defeat on the PLA in order to then bring the ashamed Beijing to the negotiating table. on their own terms. Good plan, quite workable. However, there is one problem: modern China is not the Middle Kingdom of the era of the "opium wars", and the US military has a very good chance to hit it in full. Yes exactly. And this is not the idle reasoning of Russian jingoistic “couch analysts”, but the results of a simulation conducted by the Americans themselves.

Specialized foreign edition Whiskey & Gunpowder came out with an article under the telling title "It Failed Miserably - What If the US Lost a War and Nobody Noticed?" Its author, Byron King, shared the story of how the US military conducted a headquarters exercise last fall to defend Taiwan from mainland Chinese attack. The Americans played for the "blue", the enemy in the person of the Chinese army - for the "red". The results were discouraging. This is how US Air Force General John Hayten commented on them at the conference of the think tank “Institute of New of technologies":


Crushed soft-boiled? Americans? What went wrong?

As a matter of fact, General Hayten has already told everything himself. Potential adversaries, such as the PRC or the Russian Federation, are closely studying the US Armed Forces and are trying to develop effective responses to all their challenges, symmetrical or asymmetrical. One of the undoubted advantages of the American army is its enormous firepower and the most advanced control technologies that allow reconnaissance, target designation and coordination of different types of troops at the same time. The US Armed Forces have a significant advantage over any adversary precisely due to "information dominance". But in the case of the Reds, things did not go according to plan.

In the virtual battle for Taiwan, the Pentagon habitually concentrated a huge strike fist, which was supposed to grind the advancing aircraft, fleet and the PLA landing force that miraculously broke through to the island. But then the excellent American communications system suddenly stopped working, satellites and reconnaissance UAVs stopped transmitting signals, and "information dominance" disappeared somewhere. General Hayten commented on the following:


Oh, yes, after the electronic warfare attack (and this was exactly it), a series of powerful missile strikes followed on the American group in Taiwan. The PLA is not an Iraqi or Libyan army, the Chinese are doing fine with missiles and military aircraft. Suddenly it became clear that an enemy with comparable weapons and technologies could himself arrange a "meat grinder" for the Pentagon. Unpleasant discovery, but such is life. And we are also talking about conventional weapons, leaving out of brackets the nuclear arsenals that the PRC and the Russian Federation have. By the way, in terms of electronic warfare technologies, it is our country that is a recognized world leader, and we also make rockets and with ballet everything is also not bad. Even inveterate Russophobes should always remember the results of such headquarters exercises conducted by the Americans themselves.