Why is Russia ready to let the American military into its bases in the CIS


The swift withdrawal of American troops from Afghanistan and the equally swift offensive of the militants of the Taliban group banned in Russia, as expected, marked a new stage in the "Great Game" for the redistribution of spheres of influence in Central and South Asia. It is clear that the United States intends to create a powerful hotbed of tension in this key region for Russia, China and Iran. And so Moscow made an offer to Washington, with which Washington would not be able to agree.


According to the statements of the Taliban leadership, this radical Islamist group currently controls about 85% of the country's territory. In the capital of Qatar at the same time, negotiations are being held between the Taliban and representatives of the puppet pro-American government of Afghanistan, left to fend for themselves by their curators. It is already clear that no one is able to prevent the capture of Kabul by the militants, except for Turkey, which is trying to play its own political the game. After that, a new geopolitical reality will set in, in which a country of considerable size, rich in natural resources and considered one of the world's largest drug production centers, will be under the full control of an armed group of radical Islamist persuasion. The Taliban leadership naturally faces the question of legalizing its own regime and recognizing it in the eyes of the international community, which is what the current negotiations in Qatar are aimed at with the official government in Kabul, which is living out its last weeks or even days. The creation of some kind of transitional government with the participation of the Taliban can become a form of legitimization of this structure in the future.

It is clear that this new reality is very frightening for all the neighbors of Afghanistan, which risks turning into a center of concentration, and then the spread of radical Islamic ideas. Considering that there are no really closed state borders there, armed militants will be able to penetrate Tajikistan, Uzbekistan, Turkmenistan and further into Kyrgyzstan and Kazakhstan, closer and closer to Russia, without much difficulty. No less dangerous for China is the possibility of the Taliban's expansion into Pakistan and their support for Muslim separatists in the Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region. This is the kind of mess the United States made, first invading Afghanistan in 2001, and 20 years later leaving without achieving the stated goals. Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov expressed concern about the further development of the situation:

In the light of the hasty withdrawal of the US and NATO contingents, the uncertainty of the development of the military-political situation in this country and around it has sharply increased ... It is obvious that in the current conditions there are real risks of an overflow of instability to neighboring states.

What's next? And then the fun begins. The American military intends to retreat from Afghanistan, but not somewhere to Alaska, but to remain nearby, on the territory of the former Soviet republics. Washington sent a proposal on this to the leadership of Tajikistan, Uzbekistan and Kazakhstan. But that's not all. In addition to the US military bases in Dushanbe, Tashkent and Nur-Sultan, it is proposed to deploy Afghan collaborators who have collaborated with the invaders for two decades on their territory. Initially, it was about ten thousand refugees, but now this figure may rise to one hundred thousand. For some reason, Washington does not want to thank its accomplices by issuing a green card to them in the United States.
Such ideas naturally caused a sharp rejection in the Kremlin. Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Sergei Ryabkov commented on them as follows:

Let me emphasize that the redeployment of US troops to neighboring countries with Afghanistan is unacceptable. We told the Americans directly that this would change a lot, not only in our perception of what is happening in this important region, but also in our relationship with the United States.

Recall that earlier the US military had already used the infrastructure in Uzbekistan and Kyrgyzstan as logistics centers to support their operations in Afghanistan. And this despite the fact that Kyrgyzstan is a member of the CSTO, and according to the Uzbek Constitution, the deployment of foreign military bases on the territory of the country is prohibited. Then Moscow turned a blind eye to all this, since it provided the United States with support in the fight against extremists after the terrorist attacks of September 11, 2001. But a lot of water has flowed under the bridge since then, and the relations between our countries are no longer the same. The Americans had to leave their homes in Central Asia not of their own free will, but only under pressure from Moscow on Bishkek and Tashkent.

Equally alarming is Washington's idea of ​​dropping hundreds of thousands of Afghan refugees from among American collaborators to the CIS territory. It is completely incomprehensible where, how and at whose expense to equip them there, how long it can last. (Presumably, indefinitely). It is also unclear whether there are recruiters of extremist groups among them, but it is clear that tens of thousands of Afghan refugees, completely loyal and dependent on the mercy of the United States, will become an instrument of American foreign policy in Central Asia. So far, no enthusiasm has been heard from Tashkent, Dushanbe and Nur-Sultan about this, and it is not surprising. And now comes the fun part. According to the publication that appeared on the website Kommersant information, the Kremlin has officially offered Washington to use the military infrastructure in Tajikistan and Kyrgyzstan to the Pentagon, but not the former American, but the existing Russian. The Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation was ready to cooperate with colleagues from the United States on the issue of exchanging intelligence data, but they have not given any intelligible answer to this day.

To be honest, all this resembles the story of the 2007 sample from the Gabala radar station. Then the United States actively promoted the idea of ​​creating a European missile defense system, ostensibly to defend against Iran. And it was a no brainer that in fact the purpose of this anti-missile system was to weaken Russia's nuclear potential. But President Putin approached Washington with a proposal to jointly use the radar station leased from Azerbaijan, if the Americans are so afraid of Iranian medium-range missiles. Naturally, this story did not end well: the United States nevertheless built elements of the Aegis missile defense system in Romania and Poland, and Baku dramatically raised the rental price for Moscow. Ultimately, Russia refused to extend the treaty, removed all the equipment near Voronezh and handed over the facility to Azerbaijani "brothers", and dual-use launchers appeared in Eastern Europe, where anti-aircraft missiles can literally be replaced with Tomahawk cruise missiles equipped with nuclear combat units capable of flying to the Urals.

So why has Moscow extended a helping hand to Washington again? Probably, this is done to "clear the conscience", they say, we offered you ourselves. Hopefully, certain conclusions have been drawn from the history of 2007, and after this political gesture, Russia will begin the process of actively returning to Central Asia, occupying a strategically important military infrastructure for the needs of the RF Ministry of Defense. If we do not do this first, the Americans or, worse, the Turks will come there, who will soon have to retreat somewhere from Kabul.
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  1. Jacques sekavar Offline Jacques sekavar
    Jacques sekavar (Jacques Sekavar) 18 July 2021 16: 28
    +2
    Afghanistan is of strategic importance in Asia as a springboard for pressure on the Russian Federation, China, Iran and other state entities, including India.
    The Taliban, the Ishil, like any other organization, is capable as long as it has a source of funding.
    If Turkey gets involved in the Afghan showdown, clashes with Pakistan, reinforces the myth of the invincibility of the Afghans and, with a high degree of probability, in addition to the existing ones, will also have problems with the Kurds.
    All politics are based on economics. Therefore, in order to begin external expansion into neighboring states, the Taliban will first have to create this economy in Afghanistan itself.
    It is impossible to do this without outside help, and no one will ever help under the threat of the Taliban. Therefore, the Taliban reasonably declares its non-interference in the internal affairs of neighboring states, unless, of course, it is provoked to do so.
    In fact, now there is a struggle for influence on the Taliban between the SSH, RFF and Chinese, in which the Chinese have a clear advantage.
    The consent of the Russian Federation to accept the invaders leaving Afghanistan is contrary to logic and common sense, due to the commercial interests of the ruling class.
    The influx of Afghan refugees poses a great and real threat to neighboring states, but there are options to avoid this threat, if only the political will of the neighboring states could be stimulated by the same SShas, RFF and Chinese.
  2. Tourist Offline Tourist
    Tourist (tourist) 18 July 2021 16: 54
    +1
    https://interfax.by/news/policy/v_mire/1299564/
    09.07.2021 10:48
    In the world

    The Taliban said they would welcome China's participation in the reconstruction of Afghanistan
    The Taliban movement (banned in Russia) considers the PRC a friend of Afghanistan and hopes for early negotiations with Beijing on its assistance in rebuilding the country, Taliban spokesman Suhail Shahin told the South China Morning Post.

    "(Our representatives - IF) have been to China many times, and we have good relations with it. China is a friendly country whose participation in the reconstruction and development of Afghanistan we welcome," he said.

    According to him, the Taliban now control 85% of the territory of Afghanistan, and the movement will guarantee the safety of PRC investments and the safety of Chinese workers.

    At the same time, he assured that the Taliban would not allow Uighur separatists, some of whom had sought refuge in Afghanistan, to settle there. Shahin recalled that the Taliban, within the framework of the agreements with the United States of February 2020, will not allow any foreign group to use the territory of Afghanistan to prepare attacks abroad.

    He stressed that the presence of the Al-Qaeda group (banned in the Russian Federation) is "in the past," and the Taliban will not allow it to operate in Afghanistan any longer. Shahin noted that the presence of this group in the country is a legacy of the times of Afghan President Burhanuddin Rabbani, whose government fell after the Taliban seized Kabul in 1996.

    “We allowed (al-Qaeda - IF) to stay in Afghanistan because they had no place in any other country,” he said, adding that there are currently no members of this group in Afghanistan.

    The Taliban movement has gradually strengthened its positions in various Afghan provinces in recent months. This is taking place against the backdrop of the withdrawal of US forces and their partners from Afghanistan.

    The South China Morning Post recalls the well-known US intelligence findings that the Afghan government could collapse within six months of the American withdrawal.

    Meanwhile, the newspaper points out, Afghanistan has the world's largest undiscovered reserves of copper, coal, iron, gas, cobalt, mercury, gold, lithium and thorium, worth up to $ 1 trillion. Earlier, Chinese firms received the right to develop copper deposits in the Logar province.
    1. Jacques sekavar Offline Jacques sekavar
      Jacques sekavar (Jacques Sekavar) 18 July 2021 20: 10
      +4
      The Chinese bought the largest copper deposit long ago, but they are in no hurry to invest - the political situation, transport communications, the Sshasovites, who declared the PRC an enemy.
      Other innumerable riches are speculative assumptions, no geological exploration has been carried out.
      The Chinese will come and take up the construction of roads, communications, standards, other infrastructure, geological exploration - the development of the territory, and the Taliban will be unfastened to keep their pants up so that they do not interfere, behave decently and do not climb with their charter in neighboring countries.
  3. steelmaker Offline steelmaker
    steelmaker 18 July 2021 19: 56
    -2
    Lots of text, but I still don't understand

    Why is Russia ready to let the American military into its bases in the CIS

    And so always, for the last 20 years, Putin will say something stupid and everyone starts looking for an excuse for this stupidity. And the Kremlin never even once tries to justify the "boss's" stupidity. And all political scientists and experts are silent, they digest stupidity. The author was the first to dare to justify this nonsense, said by Putin. And God forbid that the United States refused! Where the US will climb, they already dictate the conditions: Armenia, Ukraine. Few?
  4. AND Offline AND
    AND 18 July 2021 23: 02
    +2
    Quote: steel maker
    Lots of text, but I still don't understand

    Why is Russia ready to let the American military into its bases in the CIS

    And so always, for the last 20 years, Putin will say something stupid and everyone starts looking for an excuse for this stupidity. And the Kremlin never even once tries to justify the "boss's" stupidity. And all political scientists and experts are silent, they digest stupidity. The author was the first to dare to justify this nonsense, said by Putin. And God forbid that the United States refused! Where the US will climb, they already dictate the conditions: Armenia, Ukraine. Few?

    Stupidity from Putin? Do not make me laugh! It's just you here and write nonsense. It's time to pay attention to your disadvantages, you breed one insanity here. All you have is anti-rush propaganda. And now the question is, what are you doing on the Russian site then? Are you a patriot or a provocateur-propagandist?
    1. steelmaker Offline steelmaker
      steelmaker 20 July 2021 10: 39
      -1
      Stupidity from Putin?

      Another mediocrity was found! List what clever Putin said? For example? And let's laugh together!
  5. marciz Offline marciz
    marciz (Stas) 19 July 2021 07: 18
    -1
    Amerikosy ofigeli from such stupidity !!!!
  6. AND Offline AND
    AND 20 July 2021 12: 04
    0
    Quote: steel maker
    "Is it stupidity from Putin?"
    Another mediocrity was found! List what clever Putin said? For example? And let's laugh together!

    A mediocrity in your head, a paid propagandist. Putin does not speak but does. What are you, what a benduzhnik. You are like Navalny against all Russian current and write. "Alya patriots mummers".
  7. Canich-dotoshnii 22 July 2021 09: 03
    -1
    Why did the USSR have to climb into Afghanistan. How many young soldiers would have survived. And now we need to strengthen the borders of the CIS.
    How long does Russia still need to rake the manure left behind by the commies?
  8. Yes, they will not defend the Dudli of the Tajiks, but to send them a hundred thousand Mujahideen is easy