COVID-19 mutations: without a general vaccination, the pandemic will drag on for many years

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Like any virus, COVID-19 began to mutate, forming new strains. Already known are the "British" (alpha), "Brazilian" (gamma), "South African" (beta) and "Indian" (delta) coronaviruses. At the same time, changing, COVID-19 can become more infectious and resistant to treatment and antibodies acquired during the previous vaccination.

On the way, more and more "letters of the Greek alphabet", for example, WHO has shown interest in the "Peruvian" version called "lambda", the mortality rate from which today is the highest in the world. Has evolution led to the formation of the super-coronavirus, or should we not worry too much about the problems of South American Indians?



Usually, our body is able to defend itself against external attack, thanks to the ability to produce antibodies that defeat the aggressor and provide immunity. However, things are not as simple as we would like. In order to survive in this evolutionary war, viruses adapt by changing their outer shells to trick immune cells. This is how a new strain is formed, to which the antibodies present in the body are not yet adapted, since their protective program is tuned to the previous strain. It is because of the constant mutation of the virus that we get sick with ARVI again and again every year. Once in cells, the virus inserts its genetic information into them, and they begin to reproduce millions of their infected copies. At the same time, some errors inevitably occur, leading to a change in the virus.

By the way, mutation does not always lead to a more dangerous version, sometimes the virus, on the contrary, weakens. As infectious disease doctors explain, the likelihood of mutation increases if the virus is kept inside a weakened organism for a long time in immunocompromised patients. An external aggressor can more successfully resist their immune system, and therefore has more opportunities for adaptation and change. For this reason, places where infected people congregate, such as hospitals or covid hospitals, are hotbeds of potential COVID-19 mutation.

The epidemiological situation in the country could be improved by mass vaccination, which is capable of providing herd immunity to broad layers of the population. Vaccination by itself will not guarantee against infection with a new strain, however, the presence of antibodies in the body will allow it to more easily pass the stage of the disease and speed up recovery. In this context, the categorical refusal of a significant part of Russians from vaccination is a real problem.

We live in a globalized world, and any new infection that has appeared somewhere on another continent can reach us very quickly. If the pandemic began a year and a half ago with the "Wuhan" coronavirus, now its place has been taken by the "Indian" version of Delta SARS-CoV-2. This strain is considered more dangerous due to the increased risk of transmission. Today, about 90% of the cases of infection detected in Moscow, the Moscow region and St. Petersburg are in the "delta". It is not difficult to guess how the Indian strain got into the largest Russian megalopolises, but from there it managed to start moving around the country. Over the past three weeks, for example, in the Rostov region, Delta SARS-CoV-2 has been detected in covid patients. Apparently, tourists from Moscow, who were not allowed to rest abroad, brought the coronavirus to the southern regions.

What makes it even more annoying is that the activity of the vaccines against the "delta" has decreased by about 2,6 times. This concerns our Sputnik V vaccine. However, this is a very good indicator of effectiveness, since it decreased 3-5 times for competing products Pfizer, Moderna and others. This is an inevitable natural process for the reasons indicated above. But what to do next? To produce all new vaccines for new strains? It is simply impossible to do this promptly, since each new drug must be re-tested and certified.

Meanwhile, COVID-19 continues to change. For example, doctors are concerned about the "Peruvian" coronavirus called "lambda". This strain was identified in Lima last year, and now it has supplanted all other variations of the coronavirus in this country, where 100 out of 97 detected cases of infection are localized. the average is 6 deaths. The altered form of the spike-like outer protein allows the "Peruvian" to easily bypass the "antiviral defense" of the body. To date, the "lambda" has managed to spread to 30 countries of the world, which means that it will eventually reach Russia. Experts reassure that the increased mortality in Peru can be explained by other factors: overcrowding, underfunding of medicine in this poor country and a shortage of beds in infectious diseases wards.

It is possible that this is so, but does it make it easier for us? By and large, only timely vaccination can become a real help in the body's fight against the constantly changing coronavirus. The presence of herd immunity in the vast majority of the population will be a factor hindering the mutation of COVID-19 and the formation of its more dangerous strains.
25 comments
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  1. -3
    16 July 2021 13: 40
    Good explanatory article with the right message. I hope it helps someone to make the right decision for themselves.
  2. +1
    16 July 2021 22: 38
    The reason for the appearance of varieties (strains) of the virus is the vaccination itself in the midst of an epidemic.
    In early July, there were reports of the start of re-vaccination (re-vaccination) in Moscow. Sorry, now you need to get vaccinated every six months? And from each strain?
    As far as I know, humanity discovered corona viruses in 1965. Since then, about 1200 of their varieties have been studied. In 1982, a person very close to me died with a diagnosis of viral pneumonia. And only in 2020, the international symbiosis of politicians, doctors and various "if-rey-ye-sus" came up with a "pandemic" for the population of the Earth and arranged a sabbath that continues to this day, earning fabulous sums on this: (((.
    1. -3
      17 July 2021 09: 05
      Sorry, now you need to get vaccinated every six months? And from each strain?

      Do you have a better offer?

      It must be remembered that the vaccine protects not only from the infection itself, but also from the severe course of the disease with a fatal outcome, if the person is still infected.

      If this pandemic is allowed to take its course, the healthcare system itself will quickly collapse. It simply cannot cope with the large influx of seriously ill patients in dire need of intensive care. People will begin to die en masse simply because they do not have enough space on the same ventilator, not to mention the indirect impact on the rest (not "covid") patients, who will also have to postpone treatment, operations, due to the banal lack of places in clinics completely overcrowded with "covid" patients.

      Not so long ago, we have already observed this on the example of Italy, etc. Do you want to repeat this in Russia (or where are you from there)?

      As far as I know, humanity discovered corona viruses in 1965. Since then, about 1200 of their varieties have been studied.

      Yes, this has long been known, but today's pathogen SARS CoV-2 (Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome - SARS, English SARS) is a mutant from the second group of coronaviruses that causes COVID 19 disease
      It appeared not so long ago.

      The question is rather; did he appear himself, or was it really "helped"?

      And only in 2020, the international symbiosis of politicians, doctors and various "if-rey-ye-sus" came up with a "pandemic" for the population of the Earth and arranged a sabbath that continues to this day, earning fabulous sums of money.

      The fact that someone scrupulously makes money or satisfies their political ambitions during a pandemic is a sad fact, which, in turn, does not deny the existence of the problem itself.

      There is a pandemic, and it needs to be dealt with somehow.
      1. +1
        17 July 2021 10: 41
        Do you have a better offer?

        My suggestion is only two things: wash your hands with soap and water as often as possible, do not rub your eyes, do not pick your nose or lick your fingers; maintain a sanitary distance and stay away from people with obvious signs of the disease (sneezing, coughing).
        The use of masks has not been proven by anyone and anywhere. Also, the effectiveness of vaccination in an epidemic has not been proven.

        then the health care system itself will quickly collapse.

        The Russian healthcare system, "optimized" by Deputy Prime Minister Golikova, a financial economist by training, showed few signs of life before the "pandemic". In the cities, she still worked somehow, but in a remote province - there it is easier for a small Russian person to die than to wait for treatment.

        It simply cannot cope with the large influx of seriously ill patients in dire need of intensive care.

        And Russian medicine did not cope with the large influx. In Russia, they simply stopped treating other diseases: all hospitals were transferred to the fight against covid. And in the end, this gave a 30% increase in mortality in 2020.

        did he appear himself, or was it really "helped"?

        In my humble opinion, this kind of "crown" was brought to Wuhan by Chinese scientists, who somehow allowed it to leak from laboratories.

        There is a pandemic

        Somehow you ask what a "pandemic" is? What is happening now is nothing more than an epidemic. There are strict scientific definitions - what is an epidemic? what is a pandemic?

        And the last question: could you tell me last year's statistics on influenza in Russia?
        1. -3
          17 July 2021 11: 20
          My suggestion is only two things: wash your hands with soap and water as often as possible, do not rub your eyes, do not pick your nose or lick your fingers; maintain a sanitary distance and stay away from people with obvious signs of the disease (sneezing, coughing).

          Great, a little more than two things, but the direction is right! But, by the way, it is not always well implemented.

          But your right: if you suddenly, God forbid, get sick, strongly advise your doctor to "stay away from YOU."))

          The use of masks has not been proven by anyone and anywhere.

          Masks protect against excessive emission of "aerosols" (for example: when talking, breathing, coughing and sneezing) from the mouth and nose of the wearer.

          By the way, again, your right: If YOU are suddenly operated on, then before anesthesia, be sure to demand that the surgeon work with your "carcass" without a surgical mask!)

          Also, the effectiveness of vaccination in an epidemic has not been proven.

          For some reason, you strongly specify: "... during an epidemic."

          What's wrong with "this time"?

          Maybe you think that the epidemic covers everyone at the same time and at once? So I will disappoint you.

          Even during an epidemic, in addition to the sick, there are also "those who did not have time to get infected." So they are inoculated, (if you haven't guessed yet).

          Somehow you ask what a "pandemic" is? What is happening now is nothing more than an epidemic. There are strict scientific definitions - what is an epidemic? what is a pandemic?

          Counter question: You yourself, where are you "interested"?)

          Okay, read:

          A pandemic (Greek πανδημία "all the people") is an unusually strong epidemic that has spread over the territory of countries, continents; the highest degree of development of the epidemic process. A pandemic is the most dangerous form, that is, an epidemic that covers the vast majority of the world.

          Wikipedia

          What's wrong with the scientific definition?
          1. 0
            17 July 2021 12: 40
            but the direction is correct! But, by the way, it is not always well implemented.

            Well, yes, they save on cheap soap and forget about basic sanitation. And some subjects cannot resist picking their noses at all :))

            if you suddenly, God forbid, get sick,

            In May last year I had already been ill. And he recovered, living at home and taking 3 times a day (7 days) Flemoxin Solutabil 500mg + ACC 600mg (7 days) 1 time a day, one tablet. I did not get to paracetamol, which was prescribed at T above 38.

            Masks protect against unnecessary release of "aerosols"

            Bravo! You are just like Academician Gunzburg! I can only add that they protect medical masks, and not those rags with rubber bands, which are sold everywhere.

            the surgeon worked with your "carcass" without a surgical mask!)

            I am not in the habit of telling specialists how they should work.
            Exactly, the mask must be surgical, and not with a rag on rubber bands.

            there are also "those who did not have time to get infected"

            I'll tell you a secret: about 80% of people are asymptomatic, about 10% are mildly ill, and the remaining 10% are moderate and severe. Vaccinate doctors, people aged 60+ and chronically ill with other ailments.

            You, then yourself, where are you "interested"?)

            You are a master at asking counter questions. But these tricks will not pierce me.

            A pandemic (Greek πανδημία "the whole people") is an unusually strong epidemic,

            ))) In about the same way I can explain what a "downpour" is - an unusually heavy rain.
            There the numbers should be: how many infected, sick, died per 100.000 population. And these numbers define what is "epidemic" and what is "pandemic". And if we talk about Russia with its vastness, then this is not even an epidemic, but acute outbreaks of morbidity in certain regions.
            1. -4
              17 July 2021 13: 41
              In May last year I had already been ill. And he recovered, living at home and taking 3 times a day (7 days) Flemoxin Solutabil 500mg + ACC 600mg (7 days) 1 time a day, one tablet.

              Happy for you. You have a good immune system. Not everyone can boast of this.
              By the way, “worthless Russian medicine” did it help you?)
              But 600 thousand US residents, and more than a million Europeans who have already died from the coronavirus, were "slightly less fortunate." Appreciate.

              I'll tell you a secret: about 80% of people are asymptomatic, about 10% are mildly ill, and the remaining 10% are moderate and severe.

              Where does this information come from?)

              You, then yourself, where are you "interested"?)
              You are a master at asking counter questions. But these tricks will not pierce me.

              I just wanted to understand how you relate to medicine.
              You don't have to answer this, I can already see it.
              1. +1
                17 July 2021 14: 27
                At first, I did not write that Russian medicine is "worthless". You attribute to me what I did not say. This is a completely unwashed trick.
                Second, the this recipe was prescribed to me by a medical brother aged about 20-25, who graduated from a medical school and received a secondary specialized education there. And covid-19 is far from the most deadly disease, so medical brothers after a Russian medical school can also treat it.
                Thirdly, 600 thousand US citizens, this is what% of the total US population of 330 million people? I'm too lazy to count, but offhand these are hundredths of% of the total population. Isn't it funny for you to understand this yourself? Well, yes, you just do not catch up with this, so you are catching more blizzards here :).
                In the fourth, I read these numbers somewhere. I did not pay attention to the source, but I remembered the numbers. And then, you do not tell me the sources of your information. Why are you asking them then? The most cunning gallery?
                Fifth, when the mayor of the capital S.S.S. last summer he said that Muscovites have already developed a herd immunity against the corona virus, you asked him if he studied virology at the Kostroma Institute of Technology in 1973?
                At sixth,

                You don't have to answer this, I can already see it

                So I personally see that you are not able to master the spelling of your native language from the secondary school program, but nevertheless, you are trying to portray yourself as something grandiose :)).
                1. -4
                  17 July 2021 14: 55
                  Thirdly, 600 thousand US citizens, this is what% of the total US population of 330 million people? I'm too lazy to count, but offhand these are hundredths of% of the total population.

                  Try to turn on your mighty brain, and link the number of deaths not to the entire population, but to the number of patients, and a miracle will happen (!), And you will see the percentage you need (~ 1,76%). Now imagine how much higher that percentage could have been if the US had not vaccinated the (currently fully vaccinated) 161 million of its citizens.
                  And in many European countries this figure is still much worse.
                  1. +1
                    17 July 2021 15: 32
                    Not. What does the number of patients have to do with it? For example, I was ill in a mild form, and there are millions of people like me. Why is it necessary to "tie" the dead to those who were easily ill?
                    By the way, we must also distinguish between the infected and the sick. Further - in different countries there are completely different methods of counting sick, so that you do not get cancer for a stone.
                2. The comment was deleted.
        2. -4
          17 July 2021 11: 33
          The Russian healthcare system, "optimized" by Deputy Prime Minister Golikova, a financial economist by training, showed few signs of life before the "pandemic".

          Did I miss something? Are we discussing Russian politics now?
          Stay tuned, please.

          In the cities, she still somehow worked,

          So you admit - I worked, and that's good! And this is the main point!

          and in a remote province - there it is easier for a small Russian person to die than to wait for treatment.

          And there, in the "remote province", the "little Russian man" has less chance of getting infected. Or?)

          And Russian medicine did not cope with the large influx. In Russia, they simply stopped treating other diseases: all hospitals were transferred to the fight against covid. And in the end, this gave a 30% increase in mortality in 2020.

          And I gave you an example not with Russia, but with Italy & Co.
          There is exactly the same problem, and they just can't cope with it.
          1. +2
            17 July 2021 12: 55
            Did I miss something? Are we discussing Russian politics now?
            Stay tuned, please.

            In Russia, this is the way it is - an economist-financier who holds the post of Deputy Prime Minister and nicknamed "Madame Arbidol" deals with health issues.
            And in countries such as Finland, Denmark or Germany, specialized specialists are engaged in health issues, and not politicians who make completely stupid statements from time to time (Sobyanin, in particular).

            It worked, and that's good! And this is the main point!

            She "has accumulated" a 30% increase in mortality compared to 2019.
            This is really the main thing.

            not with Russia, but with Italy & Co

            I see you love Italy. You probably live there. Or your dad is Italian :))
            And I'm all about the edge of native birches. It's somehow closer to me. It's a pity, I have nothing to do with Italy :)
            1. -3
              17 July 2021 14: 13
              In Russia, this is the way it is - an economist-financier who holds the post of Deputy Prime Minister and nicknamed "Madame Arbidol" deals with health issues.
              And in countries such as Finland, Denmark or Germany, specialized specialists are engaged in health issues ...

              You have no idea who is doing what in "countries like Finland, Denmark or Germany .."

              Here are your idols:

              Finnish Minister of Health Juha Pekka Mattila, graduated from the Faculty of Geography of the University of Oulu. Prior to that, she graduated from a pedagogical school.

              German Minister of Health Jens Spahn graduated from the University of Hagen. He has an academic degree - Master of Arts.)

              And in Denmark, in general, the Ministry of Health is merged with the Ministry of the Interior. So only God knows who this Sophie Lunde is by education.

              I see you love Italy. You probably live there. Or your dad is Italian :))
              And I'm all about the edge of native birches. It's somehow closer to me.

              I love everyone, and accordingly I live everywhere.
              I don’t know if birches grow in the land where you (on your logo) were given this shameful "badge", and in my homeland, in the Krasnoyarsk Territory, I saw these birches more than yours.
              1. 0
                17 July 2021 15: 39
                It must be remembered that the vaccine protects not only from the infection itself,

                This "discovery" will pull you to the Nobel Prize! But keep in mind that after the first vaccination with covid, 1% of those vaccinated get sick. Are you not afraid to get into this 1%?
                1. -4
                  17 July 2021 16: 46
                  And I thought that you would first of all focus on my arguments, but as I understand it, you actually have nothing to argue with.

                  Explaining: In terms of "nothing", I meant some kind of counter-arguments. Otherwise, you will think that I am being rude to you again, solely in terms of your “mighty brain”.)))

                  But keep in mind that after the first vaccination with covid, 1% of those vaccinated will get sick….

                  I understand that you are a great expert in The Great and Mighty. Decipher to me, a "foreigner," the meaning of this ingenious tautology of yours.
                  Well, if you yourself understood what you wrote.)
                  1. -1
                    17 July 2021 17: 13
                    that you first of all focus on my arguments

                    I simply cannot focus on what is not - your "arguments". All you have is empty boasting about how “we” are doing well, but “they” (in the USA, Italy) are doing badly.
                    And I'm not going to focus on your propaganda.

                    require the surgeon to work

                    The word "so" in this context is written together.

                    You smoothly hushed up 2 interesting questions:
                    1. Why is there no official statistics on the incidence of influenza in 2020 in Russia?
                    2. What exactly gave the 30% increase in mortality in Russia in 2020 compared to the previous year?

                    But I see that in this topic you are "another specialist" ("the vaccine protects not only from the infection itself"), therefore these questions are rhetorical and your "highly qualified" answer is clearly not required :).
                    1. -3
                      17 July 2021 20: 53
                      I am simply unable to focus on what is not - your "arguments"

                      I will repeat myself. To your unsubstantiated statement:

                      And in countries such as Finland, Denmark or Germany, health care professionals are involved, not politicians,

                      I objected to you:

                      You have no idea who is doing what in "countries like Finland, Denmark or Germany .."

                      Here are your idols:

                      Finnish Minister of Health Juha Pekka Mattila, graduated from the Faculty of Geography of the University of Oulu. Prior to that, she graduated from a pedagogical school.

                      German Minister of Health Jens Spahn graduated from the University of Hagen. He has an academic degree - Master of Arts.)

                      And in Denmark, in general, the Ministry of Health is merged with the Ministry of the Interior. So only God knows who this Sophie Lunde is by education.

                      You still don't see my arguments? Go to the optometrist and have them prescribe the correct glasses for you.

                      You smoothly hushed up 2 interesting questions:
                      1. Why not in Russia ..

                      I have not hushed up anything, since I have no desire to deviate from the topic of the article:
                      "COVID-19 mutations: without universal vaccination, the pandemic will drag on for many years." But you, with an "unknown place of residence" (Ukraine?), And with your purely "Russian" nickname (Capitan Stones), and a "purely Slavic" emblem, seem to be interested here on the site, only to throw mud on Russia.

                      Your undisguised irritation at the "empty boast" you saw in my posts, this only proves.

                      It is not only I who see it, but the others as well.
                      It is no coincidence that your user rating on this site, quickly and confidently, and deservedly so, goes to zero.

                      The word "so" in this context is written together.

                      Your ridiculous attempts to poke my nose into a spelling error that does not in any way change the meaning of what I have said are dictated by your complete ignorance. After all, you do not even understand the elementary: language is just a means of communication.

                      No more, no less.

                      I don’t pretend to be a novelist, so go by.

                      As long as two people, when communicating, literally understand each other, we can assume that the purpose of the language is fulfilled on this.

                      But you just have some kind of blatant, pathological misunderstanding of the very essence of what has been written. About people like you, they say: looks into a book, sees a fig.
                      1. +2
                        17 July 2021 21: 50
                        But then a vision problem is added.

                        By informing me about the academic degrees of European ministers, you once again proved the well-known truth - talented people are talented in everything. But this cannot be said about an international journalist in charge of space, a river transport engineer who was in charge of sports, and now became a banker, a builder, became the Minister of Defense, and so on and so forth.

                        Many human scientists argue that vaccination during an epidemic only generates new strains of the virus. Are you attracted to the idea of ​​vaccination? - for God's sake, it won't hurt you. And leave normal people alone.

                        But you, with an "unknown place of residence" (Ukraine?), And with your purely "Russian" nickname (Capitan Stones), and a "purely Slavic" emblem, seem to be interested here on the site, only to throw mud on Russia.

                        I am not obliged to provide my personal information, FZ-152 has not been canceled yet. Captain Stoner = Capitan Stones? Now you are not even able to write 2 words correctly :))

                        But you just have some kind of blatant, pathological misunderstanding

                        Do you need to put a comma after each word?
                        "some" - spelled with a hyphen, in any way.
                      2. -4
                        17 July 2021 22: 04
                        I am not obliged to provide my personal information,

                        Oh, okay!) We are afraid to share personal information)) And about the birches, who was complaining here?))
                        Ridiculous!

                        So you have already identified my nationality once - Italian!))
                        Or has your genius brain already forgotten it?

                        Captain Stoner = Capitan Stones? Now you are not even able to spell 2 words correctly

                        So I am an "Italian" .. and here, some sort of language ... a dog. How do I know how to do it right ..))

                        Here, after each word, you must put a comma
                        "some" is written with a hyphen.

                        Oo! Your "intellect" is asking straight out!)
  3. -2
    17 July 2021 16: 40
    Yes, we must pierce everyone. Otherwise, how will Gunzburg become a billionaire?
  4. +1
    17 July 2021 18: 12
    “The vaccine materials have not passed sufficient clinical trials,” says 73-year-old Nadezhda Shabashova, immunologist, doctor of medical sciences, professor at the II Northwestern Medical University. Mechnikov. - Any vaccine must be tested for at least four to five years. Only then it becomes clear whether it prevents morbidity. And now vaccination is underway, and the incidence is only increasing.
    Shabashova believes that now in Russia many people "listen to the nonsense that they carry from the screens" and "go like sheep to the slaughter." “The main law of the Russian Federation is the Constitution,” says the doctor. - And according to the Constitution, all vaccinations are voluntary, and each person must understand this and make his own decision.
    1. -5
      17 July 2021 21: 48
      “The vaccine materials have not passed sufficient clinical trials,” says 73-year-old Nadezhda Shabashova, immunologist, doctor of medical sciences, professor at the II Northwestern Medical University.

      I very much doubt that the immunologist, Doctor of Medical Sciences, Professor of the North-Western Medical University named after I.I. Mechnikov. I could say something like that.

      I suspect that these are your own fantasies. Or you repeat common nonsense by someone.

      She, unlike you, understands that it really takes years to create a good vaccine, and in today's reality, this time is simply not there.
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  5. 0
    17 July 2021 23: 00
    The vaccine itself will not guarantee against infection with a new strain, however, the presence of antibodies in the body will allow it to more easily pass the stage of the disease and speed up recovery.

    Why do we get vaccinated against smallpox, diphtheria, etc. in childhood? In order not to get sick! Doctors say that the best vaccine is the disease that a person has suffered. He already has antibodies for this disease! It annoys me that the authorities do not tell the whole truth and do not provide statistics on recurrent diseases and side effects. For example, the death of the director-actor Menshov? According to rumors on the Internet, he took a root in March. A side effect affected. But there are rumors, but no refutations. And this is not an ordinary person. Power could condescend to explanations. And so in everything! In general, I am already old, and I have nothing to travel, so first I will donate blood for antibodies, I will be examined, and then it will be seen.
  6. -1
    18 July 2021 09: 39
    Opened the news today:

    The number of carriers of the virus doubles every two weeks. Today in Israel, almost a thousand positive tests are detected a day. There are many vaccinated among the sick. True, they tolerate COVID easily, often asymptomatically.

    https://smotrim.ru/article/2589507
    What is the point of getting vaccinated if you get sick again?
  7. +1
    19 July 2021 07: 38
    Disputes, disputes, disputes. I am chronic, diabetes for 15 years. My family and I, along with grandparents, were vaccinated in the spring. I went to the vaccination with such a thought. Better to be in the statistics of vaccinated, pnm in the statistics of those who have recovered. Because I know if a virus touches me, then everything will be difficult. Anyone who does not want to be vaccinated will be weeded out by natural selection. But this will no longer concern us, this is a matter and a choice of everyone