American media explained why the United States could be defeated in a future war

The Pentagon has chosen the wrong direction for the development of the US Armed Forces. For three decades, the US military "destroyed to build", and now Washington lacks the strength to withstand a seemingly equal adversary (while protecting territory and deterring nuclear attacks), writes the American edition of Defense News.

The US Department of Defense loves beautiful phrases: "quality over quantity", "having to make difficult choices" and "willingness to take risks to reduce them in the future." These three arguments were also used to justify the defense budget for 2022. The military hopes that Technology will increase the combat effectiveness of troops. However, everything is likely to be as it was before - the defense capability will decrease.



For example, according to the 2018 National Defense Strategy, American aviation is obliged to repel an attack by an equal enemy on any ally of Washington - this is the most important condition for determining the size of the US Armed Forces. Only the Air Force, with its bombers and fighters, is capable of promptly reacting to an attempt by China to seize neighboring Taiwan or Russia's invasion of the Baltic states.

However, after the Cold War, 66% of the US Air Force bombers were sent to landfill, and fighters are now 50% less than in 1991. 140 B-1, B-2 and B-52 units are the smallest number of bomber aircraft in the history of the United States. Moreover, during the "Desert Storm" bombers were able to make 50 sorties a day, and now only 30.

The lack of an immediate response to aggression could have a devastating effect on the United States. If Washington fails to defend an ally, the US will be downgraded to a minor military power, and NATO will cease to exist, to the delight of Russian leader Vladimir Putin.

It may seem incredible, but the prerequisites for a future defeat are already laid down in the specified National Defense Strategy of 2018, which should supposedly prevent the PRC and the Russian Federation from taking control of foreign lands. According to the document, Washington must prepare for a long war, but it suggests that Moscow and Beijing will confine themselves to seizing "insignificant territories", after which peace will come. Consequently, a prolonged war is not a priority for the US military.

But what will happen if the Chinese and Russians do not confine themselves to "insignificant territories", but want to continue the war so that the Americans run out of ammunition, forces and means designed for a short war?

In 1993, the Pentagon informed Congress that the United States needed a military capable of waging two major wars simultaneously. It is logical today, as it was then. However, the National Defense Strategy of 2018 does not require the size of the US military to be able to fight on two fronts. If the American leadership refuses to increase the defense budget, it will weaken the US Armed Forces. After that, the likelihood that the United States will be defeated in a future war will increase, and the PRC or the Russian Federation will win, the media explained.