Partition of the European Union and Financial Collapse: What Challenges Our World Faces

21

Big guys play with big cubes. What happens when little guys get into their games with their toys, I told in previous text, where, using the example of the recent epic in its audacity passage of the British destroyer Defender through our Crimean territorial waters near Cape Fiolent, I examined the complexity of relations in the London-Washington and Washington-Moscow pairs. Today I will finish this topic.

The world froze on the brink of the Big Nix


Epigraph: "When I was born, this did not happen, and here it is again the same! .." (Viktor Stepanovich Chernomyrdin)



Do you remember this old anecdote told in his time by Putin about white and black stripes? "We thought it was a black stripe, but it turned out that it was still white!" Paraphrase on the topic - we thought it was the bottom, but knocked from below.

So, I must console you, now with all these pandemics and quarantines we still have a white streak. Yes, whole sectors collapsed economicssuch as HoReKa (I translate for those who do not know - Hotels-Cafes-Bars-Restaurants), passenger transportation (especially international air transportation), the entertainment industry, including those related to sports, the tourism business generally ordered to live a long time, but it's not the bottom yet. According to their schedules, technical analysts predict that we will face a global financial and economic crisis, an analogue of the crisis of 1929-33, which went down in history as the Great Depression. All black swans show that this crisis will be even worse. Global tryndets. And all global players are preparing for it, because not everyone will be destined to get out of the crisis alive. Only economies that have internal resources and are closed on the internal consumption market.

Great Britain does not have any of this, so London is bustling about, trying to destroy the EU, dragging some of the players under itself, into its currency zone. Berlin, of course, is categorically not happy with this. In fact, there is a war for leadership on the European continent. If London wins, countries such as Britain, Ireland, France, Spain, Portugal, Belgium, the Netherlands, Luxembourg and western Germany (formerly Germany) will move into the pound zone. London is even ready to bargain in the eastern part of Germany (former GDR), offering it to Moscow along with its entire Black Sea-Baltic limitrophic belt (all of Eastern Europe, including Georgia and Ukraine). As you can see, London does not waste time on trifles; Trying to destroy the EU in order to survive on his own, he sacrifices even the Bundes queen (the Germans may need a united Germany, but the British do not need it at all), not counting other small figures (Poland, Czech Republic, Slovakia, Hungary, Romania and Bulgaria), about the Baltic pawns and Ukraine and Georgia, I do not even speak. But these plans were not destined to come true, because the United States and the Russian Federation took the side of Berlin with the passive neutrality of the PRC. And who is London to trade entire countries, while the hegemon is still alive?

Putin did not even begin to talk to Johnson, he had long ago bet on Berlin (SP-2 is a weighty confirmation of this), and he will get the Eastern European limitrophes anyway, practically for nothing. Putin sent Lavrov to communicate in his place, and he set conditions that were obviously unacceptable for London - to admit the groundlessness of his claims regarding the poisoning of Litvinenko with polonium-210 and the Skripal family by Novichok, disavowing them. The Downing Street office was hysterical, and he couldn’t go to it with all his desire, although Johnson personally had nothing to do with these insinuations. The Defender incident was London's attempt to go for broke. Putin did not even fall for her, although he received a message from the ruling Queen Elizabeth II through her ambassador summoned to the Foreign Ministry on the occasion of the incident.

The world is now experiencing a calm before the storm. In medicine, this phenomenon is described as remission. Some improvement in the condition before its final deterioration. Did the deceased sweat before dying? Yes? It's good! Since April 2020, the price of a barrel of oil from the level of $ 22 / bar has already reached its three-year high in the fall of 2018, when it exceeded $ 80 / bar. Gas also breaks all records, its cost at the Dutch hub TTF has already crossed the mark of $ 400 per thousand cubic meters. Lyapota! Gazprom and Rosneft rub their hands together. Miller and Sechin are twisting holes for new orders. Even in Ukraine, which has fallen into a coma, the current situation on the world commodity markets has led to the fact that the country with its three main export items of income (ore, grain and sunflower oil) has already covered the negative trade balance, and in the balance of payments has reduced it to a minimum. ... For the first time in many years, a budget surplus has been recorded in the country of zhovto-blakit benches, which allows the Mediocre Clown to abandon IMF loans and look to the future with optimism. Silly Clown doesn't understand that all this is temporary. He thinks that he has grabbed God by the beard and is already dreaming of a second presidential term, tightening the screws for his disenfranchised population. Well, what a fool with a dummy bagaty! Especially for him, the so-called Murphy's laws have long been written, the main of which, Padder's law, says:

Anything that starts well does not lead to anything good. Anything that starts badly ends worse, or even horrible !.

The Foolish Clown does not know that all currencies are strengthening before their crushing fall. The US national debt has already exceeded the $ 27 trillion mark (many here do not even understand such numbers, a trillion is a thousand billion) and the United States survives only due to the low rate of the Federal Reserve of 0,25% on its servicing. But in 2023, the Fed to tighten monetary policy will be forced to raise it (the decision to raise the Fed's rate has already been announced), which will strengthen the dollar, but call into question the servicing of the 27-trillion national debt. And then the X hour will come for making fateful decisions to zero the national debt by devaluing the national currency through the transition, for example, to the digital dollar. Then all the black swans will converge at a single point, then the entire market (the entire stock and commodity market) will collapse overnight, all indices, starting with the Dow Jones, will fly to hell, and an ideal financial storm will begin, after which only a select few will remain afloat. ... Guess who will be? As the famous boxer from politics, the mayor of Kiev Vitali Klitschko said:

And today, tomorrow, not everyone can watch. Rather, not only everyone will be able to watch, few people will be able to do it.

В previous article I already wrote about this when I said that in the distant future, which all living people risk to find, the world will be divided into the Chinese currency zone of influence, the Russian (guess who will enter there?), the American and the European, which will remain a satellite of the American, but will lose a number of players from the eastern flank. Berlin and London are fighting for the right to command in Europe right now, and if London wins, then Berlin's fate is predetermined, it will be torn apart, part of it will go to the English zone of influence - the former FRG, and some to the Russian zone - the former GDR. But these are very distant plans, and it is in the power of Berlin, Moscow and Beijing to rewrite them. That is why the victory of Berlin and Moscow in their war for Nord Stream 2 is so important.

In order not to lead you into the jungle of geopolitics and macroeconomics, I will simply say that global processes are currently taking place in the world, the globe is bursting at the seams, the platform under the hegemon is shaking (who is our hegemon, have you forgotten yet?), There in the shining City on Kholm is now deciding who, in the upcoming man-made storm, when the financial bubble inflated by the States still bursts, will have to survive, and who is destined to go to feed the financial sharks. Only those who can defend their right, including by military means, to their separate independent currency zone of influence will be able to survive. The lot of the rest was the death of the brave in this war, having sold their assets for a pittance to the beneficiaries of these battles. But this is a topic for a separate article, I will not overload you now.

Putin, apparently, knows something, so now, without waiting for the X hour, he excluded the dollar from the structure of the National Welfare Fund (NWF), replacing it with yuan, euro and gold. Prior to that, its share there was 35% ($ 41,5 billion out of a total basket of $ 119 billion). London, Berlin, Beijing, Tokyo are also aware of the upcoming events. Everyone is preparing for them as best they can. And only Kiev is in blissful ignorance, initially betting on the wrong horses (now London, Ankara and Warsaw are among his favorites - the notorious outsiders of these races with elimination). The coming financial tsunami will last at least three years, after which a completely different picture of the world will be recorded based on their results. Previously, the map of the distribution of zones of influence was redrawn as a result of world wars, the upcoming redistribution of the world will for the first time occur as a result of the global financial crisis. Tehran 1943 happened in Geneva on June 16, 2021. Yalta-1945 will not happen until 2023. Potsdam 1945 in an even more distant perspective. I can name three participants of the hypothetical Yalta-1945 already now - these are Beijing, Washington and Moscow. We will see Berlin or London there soon. London's chances are asymptotically approaching zero so far. But not zero - it all depends on whether Boris Johnson is sitting in his chair on Downing Street or not. If he leaves, then London's chances of remaining in the US cage will increase.

From the life of the limitrophes


How did Britain come to life like this, when from a US outpost in Europe it turned into its pathetic limitrophe on its borders with the EU? I must say right away that the limitrophe is not an insult, it is a statement of fact. The Limitrof is a buffer border state on the border of two empires, not part of either of them. As long as Britain was a member of the EU, not even an ordinary member, but one of its founders and empire-forming states, it was not a limitrophe, it was part of the transatlantic empire, which included the North American United States along with Canada and the European Union, as soon as it happened Brexit, and she left the EU, she automatically became a limitrophe. Moreover, the interests of the United States in this status, she represented only a short time from February 1, 2020 to January 20, 2021, from the moment of her official exit from the EU until the inauguration of the 46th President of America, Joseph Biden. Until July 24, 2019, before the change of prime minister in the Downing Street office, while Theresa May was sitting there, her interests and the interests of the then 45th President of America, Donald Trump, did not coincide, but Britain was at least a member of the EU.

However, after her exit from the EU and the changing of the guard in the White House in January 2021, the interests of the old man Joe who came there, for the reasons I have given above, with a swift jack diverged from the interests of the one who had been sitting for a year and a half (from July 24, 2019) in the office on Downing Street of Boris Johnson, and Britain found itself between two chairs - between an American empire in every sense of the word, which includes Canada in addition to the United States, and a European nascent empire, which lacks only a military factor to fully comply with this status (but this is acquired, the Russian Federation also did not pose any military threat to the United States in 2000). The Russian Federation also claims the status of an empire, but it lacks just an economic factor to fully comply with this status, but in the presence of a military factor, the absence of an economic factor is already secondary (which was confirmed by the Geneva talks between the leaders of the United States and Russia). The Chinese empire has already confirmed this status and its fate is exclusively in its hands. There are no more empires, and will not appear in the near future. Regional powers such as Turkey, Iran, India, Brazil, South Africa do not claim this status. But all of them, one way or another, will be affected by the coming financial crisis. What will remain of them after him, we'll see.

Joe Biden, who came to the White House, would be glad to keep the EU under American influence as a transatlantic satellite, but the strengths are not the same, and the global financial crisis approaching with the speed of a courier train makes you think about saving your own skin, and not preserving the status of the transatlantic empire. These processes, when empires are weakening, lead to the formation of a pack of limitrophes on their borders, who are forced to maneuver between two fires, choosing which camp to stick to and whose boots to lick.

The war for leadership in the EU is not over yet, and its outcome will determine what configuration the world will take as a result of the coming financial collapse. If London wins this war, which I strongly doubt, then all Western and Northern Europe (France, Spain, Portugal, Ireland, Sweden, Denmark, Finland and the Benelux countries) will go to its zone of influence. Eastern Europe (Poland, Hungary, Romania, Czech Republic, Slovakia and the Baltic countries) and part of the South (Bulgaria, Slovenia, Croatia, Greece and Malta with Cyprus) risk in this case retreating under the wing of the Russian Empire, which, of course, will include the current undecided limitrophes such as Belarus, Ukraine, Moldova, Georgia and the countries of Central Asia with Armenia and Azerbaijan. The fate of Italy and Austria is not yet clear to me, to whom they will stick in the event of the collapse of the EU, we will see. The fate of Berlin is exclusively in his hands and the powers that be. To fall victim to London and be cut in half, or to keep the EU and its leadership in it will depend on the decision of Moscow and Washington. In the meantime, it is in favor of Berlin.
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  1. -6
    7 July 2021 09: 01
    And, everything is lost, the dollar will collapse, the Angles have violated the border as a sign of reconciliation with Moscow, etc.)))))
    Until then, USD 74,40 + 0,91.
    The ruble will not collapse ...
  2. +2
    7 July 2021 09: 26
    The fate of Berlin is exclusively in his hands and the powers that be. To fall victim to London and be cut in half, or to keep the EU and its leadership in it will depend on the decision of Moscow and Washington. In the meantime, it is in favor of Berlin.

    Only here I see that there is a problem with logic in general: the subject becomes an object, but retains its subjectivity.
    1. +1
      7 July 2021 12: 41
      Only here I see that there is a problem with logic in general: the subject becomes an object, but retains its subjectness.

      here I see problems with the Russian language! the subject retains subjectivity within the limits of his degrees of freedom. Angela Merkel did not lie under the United States and fought to the end for SP-2. As it happens otherwise - look at Ukraine
  3. -1
    7 July 2021 10: 11
    I analyzed the complexity of the relationship in pairs London-Washington and Washington-Moscow

    I'll just say that global processes are currently taking place in the world

    I can already name three participants in the hypothetical Yalta-1945

    London will win this war, which I strongly doubt

    The fate of Italy and Austria is not yet clear to me

    - the reasoning of the Vicar of God on Earth, no less ... Well, at worst, Napoleon ... Only from which chamber?
    1. 0
      7 July 2021 12: 46
      Do you have any complaints about buttons? in fact, can you object to something? if geopolitics is a dark forest for you, this does not mean that for the rest it is just as dark, dig in the ground and do not look at the sky, when the financial crisis breaks out, you will be told
      1. -3
        7 July 2021 21: 40
        Geopolitics in Russia is considered a pseudoscience.
  4. +1
    7 July 2021 12: 37
    The author does not want to consider the Berlin-Moscow-Beijing axis. But this is economic + military power. And more than that of the "hegemon".
    In this case, the role of Eastern Europe may repeat recent history
    1. 0
      7 July 2021 12: 48
      in the event of a global financial crisis, all these friends will be saved one by one, each in its own currency zone
      1. +2
        7 July 2021 16: 44
        Its own currency zone implies its own domestic demand. Neither Russia nor Germany individually will be able to provide this. All this can be provided by China, provided it is supplied with resources and technologies. And this one will be provided by Germany and Russia.
        Another controversial point of the article is the division of Germany. This is from the realm of unscientific fiction.
        I agree with the thesis about the approaching universal "kirdyk". But I do not agree with the methodology of the section. The given clusters may form a little differently.
        The problem is that the European limitrophes (the Balts, Poland, all sorts of Bulgaria and Romania, the Czech Republic, Slovakia and ... Ukraine) do not fall into the zone of influence of either Germany or Russia. They will all be in the zone of influence (and under the influence of the States). The reincarnation of the Covenant could break this unwanted tendency. With the involvement of China.
        1. 123
          +5
          7 July 2021 21: 30
          The problem is that the European limitrophes (the Balts, Poland, all sorts of Bulgaria and Romania, the Czech Republic, Slovakia and ... Ukraine) do not fall into the zone of influence of either Germany or Russia. They will all be in the zone of influence (and under the influence of the States).

          There are some doubts about this. While this pack hangs around the neck of the EU, which is essentially pro-American, one might even say somewhat controlled by it. If Germany balkes and stops filling the trough of the Young Europeans, then everything will be completely different. Where will they be found? The states will not feed them, which means there is no dinner, no dancing. Who needs such a master?
          And now they are in a vice. On the one hand, Germany, on the other, Russia, and the states somewhere out there, from afar wave and morally support.
          The situation will be similar to Afghanistan. If the surrounding countries declare that the transatlantic fairy-tale creatures are not officially welcome here, then you will not particularly roam. Bagram is not the last item left. The show continues and it is very possible that everything will not be limited to Afghanistan.
  5. 0
    7 July 2021 14: 40
    Do not bury yourself in someone else's - you will lose yours.

    Oh, how true that saying is.
  6. +1
    7 July 2021 18: 38
    The traditional financial system has ceased to respond to time and economic relations, and the threat of a crisis is accelerating the transition to digital currencies. The issue of their provision. If it is true that history repeats itself but at a different historical turn, then most likely - in gold.
    It is difficult to calculate the consequences, but the redistribution of spheres of influence between the largest world political and economic centers: China-USA-EU and the question is inevitable - by what forces and means.
    London is one of the two largest world economic, financial, legal, intellectual and other centers along with New York, whose sphere of interest is the whole world. The stay of Britain in the EU was stipulated by a number of preferences, which eventually ceased to satisfy big business. Lengthy negotiations on special conditions ended with an unproductive compromise, which predetermined the decision to leave the EU without breaking ties - typically in the British way.
    Formal exit from the EU does not mean a single voyage of Britain, because it is strongly affiliated with the United States, leads the British Commonwealth, and this is half of the world, has offshores all over the world and which of them goes by whom is a big question.
    Be that as it may, the EU has two strategic programs - the Eastern Partnership and the Mediterranean Union, which there is not even the slightest hint of refusing to implement them.
    1. 123
      0
      7 July 2021 21: 50
      Be that as it may, the EU has two strategic programs - the Eastern Partnership and the Mediterranean Union, which there is not even the slightest hint of refusing to implement them.

      They may not refuse, partners will refuse.

      WHAT IS EASTERN PARTNERSHIP?
      The Eastern Partnership (EaP) is a joint programmatic initiative aimed at deepening and strengthening relations with the EU's six eastern neighbors: Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Georgia, Moldova and Ukraine.
      The regulation of EU relations with its neighbors is based on the EU Global Strategy and the updated European Neighborhood Policy, which indicate the need to focus efforts on increasing the stability and resilience of the EU's eastern neighbors.
      At the forefront is a joint desire to achieve concrete results tangible for the citizens of the entire region. Adhering to a results-based approach, the European Commission and the European External Action Service have identified 20 key targets for the period until 2020, with intermediate targets to be achieved by the next EaP summit, which took place in Brussels in November 2017.
      These commitments by the EU, its member states and six partner countries cover four main priority areas of the Eastern Partnership:
      • Stronger economy (economic development and market opportunities);
      • Strengthening governance (strengthening institutions and good governance);
      • Stronger connectivity (connectivity, energy efficiency, environment and climate change);
      • Stronger society (mobility and people-to-people contacts).
      ...
      HOW IT WORKS?

      https://www.euneighbours.eu/ru/policy/vostochnoe-partnerstvo

      It doesn't seem like request What kind of stability are we talking about? Did they decide something in Moldova, Georgia, Ukraine? How was their role manifested in the Karabakh crisis? Loud statements? Of the five, Azerbaijan and Belarus have economies. And what does the EU have to do with partnership? The rest of the points are just some water about universal human values. Lukashenka has slowed down this very partnership, and it is possible that everything will end there. And then Serbia announced that it no longer expects anything from the EU.
      What is this grandiose Mediterranean Union? Libya? Algeria with Russian weapons? Is it an alliance with Egypt? Or with the Turks? Who else is there? Israel, Lebanon, Syria? What kind of union is this?
  7. +1
    7 July 2021 20: 25
    I do not think that some "heads of state" will have the right to vote. They are puppets, zits-chairmen ...
  8. +1
    7 July 2021 20: 59
    This time they will finish off: Russia will not survive the second “perestroika”
    https://topcor.ru/11925-v-jetot-raz-budut-dobivat-vtoroj-perestrojki-rossija-ne-perezhivet.html
  9. +1
    8 July 2021 19: 55
    Oh, you are fantastic! Oh, you and a card sharper too. So who are you in your pocket or your sleeve
    identified Turkey and India?
    If India can be reconciled with China, and still form a China-India-Russia troika, then this is one alignment. And China-Russia has chances for Europe. Together with Germany.
    If India and Turkey find themselves in a link between the United States-Britain-Canada-Australia-Japan, then this is a completely different alignment of forces in the world. This is an alignment against Russia and China.

    If, as a result of the new World Financial Crisis, the United States and Britain cease to
    show off and unite (to survive) - and launch a new currency - to lose
    forever trillions of debt, and a clean slate?
    Is this fantasy or possible reality?
    Don't they think and care about survival?

    Where is the Russian economy and the Russian domestic market? To survive?

    I understand that the Kremlin continues to dream of taking Europe away from the United States.
    Well, if the China-Russia alliance is strengthened by India, then yes, this is real. And if not?

    And where do you keep dropping Turkey? - well, it is not reasonable.
    To Russia-China? To the USA-Britain-Japan?

    The only thing that is indisputable is that the World Financial Crisis will force you to re-unite and deal cards in a new way.
    But, in my opinion, you are bluffing with Europe. You are really counting on Gazprom.
    And we need real confidence in the preservation and development of Russia in the world.
    And that Russia has REAL plans for the future (both in the crisis and after it).
    I don’t argue that "Putin knows something." It is important not to be deceived in your capabilities.
  10. 0
    8 July 2021 21: 09
    The fate of Berlin is solely in his hands ...
    .... to keep the EU and its leadership in it will depend on the decision of Moscow and Washington.

    Everything is clear, nothing is clear. But it's scary.
    Maybe the EU will also have time to organize itself and begin to claim the title of empire, it's just a pity that everything is not clear with the Italians.
    Inspired by looking at the Italian "boot" on the map. Maybe the Italians also organize a referendum, they have already flown and the reconnaissance on the spot is practically carried out - suddenly there will be a "Mediterranean Crimea", the Americans will die of envy. laughing
  11. -1
    13 July 2021 01: 54
    the only thing that will actually happen is the transformation of the global financial system. And this will not be done by the Americans, they will print their papers to the last as long as there is demand for them. This will be done by new proposals for capital investment, perhaps something digital, perhaps something like a world currency. And unfortunately, not Russia, let alone London (with which excuse *** England will gain influence on half of Europe, dividing even the FRG into two parts ??), not even China does not have the prospect of becoming something similar to the United States in terms of financial influence.
  12. -1
    13 July 2021 15: 11
    Globalists do not know how else to cheat someone. They completely lost their scent. In 1929 they deliberately made a crisis in America in order to show and see how the Americans would react to the collapse in the economy. And what the government will say to them: the reasons can be different. .. ((In our country, there are always reasons to raise the tariffs of homeowners' associations ("partnerships" are like a collective farm, a pyramid, or a fund for the construction of an apartment building) and prices for everything are literally - oil prices are both low and high, and prices always rise the population is completely zatyukonny state and officials and there are no laws to protect the rights of the population). And all countries know very well, even from the time of the Tatar-Mongol invasion, that our population can be swindled with impunity and our officials will be sold for villas, etc. Now everyone will think carefully how to continue to deceive us and which of the officials can still continue to deceive the population of Russia on a large scale and that this requires a war with Ukraine, etc. or a crisis of supposedly oil and gas (just likebefore 1991, when the United States and S. Arabia agreed to buy oil from us for a penny) .. Now globalism and to heat up not only YOUR people, but also ANOTHER people is not tolerant and bad. In India there is a caste for this. equality: they did it to harness women to work for global profit. And nationalism was not held in high esteem. And now a pandemic ... And the crisis must wait? Yes, in our country it will never end. For the sake of appearance they will shake our hands and make us a handle behind our backs ... we have too many nationalities and many of them are corrupt and they have no homeland, etc.
    1. -1
      13 July 2021 15: 27
      The war always makes the population soft and obedient to officials and to all the measures they then take in the country, it is easier to justify the poverty of the population and its deprivation by losses in the war.
  13. 0
    18 July 2021 22: 20
    This is a stream of consciousness, do not forget to take your pills.